Sunday 12/9/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

Search

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Preview and Predictions 2018-12-09
NFL PREDICTIONS 6TH DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE


The Houston Texans can take another big step toward clinching the AFC South when they host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. A 10th straight win for the Texans would eliminate the Colts from contention in the division and leave only the Tennessee Titans, who won Thursday against Jacksonville to get within 2 1/2 games, as a contender for the top spot.


Despite its dominant winning streak, which includes last Sunday's 29-13 win over the Cleveland Browns (as a -4.5 point favorite at intertops), Houston is not punching any postseason tickets just yet. "I just wanna win on Sunday," defensive end J.J. Watt told reporters. "It's the one-day-at-a-time mentality. I think when you start to look ahead, or you start to get overly excited about accomplishments ... you take things one day at a time." The Colts averaged 34.6 points during a five-game winning streak before being blanked 6-0 at Jacksonville last Sunday. Houston used a field goal with no time on the clock in overtime to top Indianapolis 34-31 earlier in the year.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Texans -4.5 O/U: 50


ABOUT THE COLTS (6-6): Andrew Luck threw for at least three touchdowns in eight straight games before the shutout loss to the Jaguars, despite 52 pass attempts. "I didn't feel very sharp," Luck told reporters. "I didn't feel like I was putting the ball in the places to really give guys a chance to catch them." That effort could be even more difficult this Sunday if T.Y. Hilton (shoulder) and tight end Eric Ebron (back) -- the team's top two receiving threats -- are unable to go.


ABOUT THE TEXANS (9-3): Houston was 0-3 before its visit to Indianapolis and turned around its season with the see-saw victory that week, with Deshaun Watson accounting for 375 passing yards, 41 rushing yards and three total touchdowns. "That was one game where we went through all types of phases and situations that kind of put us through this nine-game win-streak," Watson told the media. "Yeah, it was the start of everything." Opponents are averaging 15.9 points over the past eight games, with Watt recording 6.5 sacks in that span.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins had 10 catches for 169 yards and a TD in the first meeting.


2. Luck has eight of his 12 interceptions on the road.


3. Indianapolis has won four of the last five meetings in Houston.


PREDICTION: Texans 30, Colts 23
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Indianapolis at Houston 2018-12-09 1:00 PMat Houston 2018-12-09 1:00 PM
Houston Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.80.0410
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.80.0410
Under is 8-2 in Texans last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.80.0280
Under is 7-3 in Texans last 10 games following a straight up win.70.0370
Under is 17-7 in Texans last 24 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.70.87170
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.80.0140
Under is 22-8 in Texans last 30 games in December.73.38220
Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.71.4250
Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games as a home underdog.71.4250
Under is 11-4 in Texans last 15 vs. AFC.73.34110
Under is 7-2 in Texans last 9 games following a ATS win.77.8270
Over is 19-7 in Texans last 26 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.73.11970
Under is 19-7 in Texans last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.73.17190
Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games in Week 14.100.0040
Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games as an underdog.100.0050
Over is 21-9-2 in Texans last 32 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.70.02192
Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.100.0040
Houston Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.28.6250
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.83.3510
Texans are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.26.74110
Texans are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.28.07181
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.20.0140
Texans are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.20.0281
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.30.0370
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.30.0370
Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in December.12.5170
Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.28.6250
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.20.0140
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.20.0140
Texans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.70.0730
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.83.3510
Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.100.0500
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.20.0140
Texans are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.30.06140
Texans are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.68.41361
Indianapolis Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Under is 14-6 in Colts last 20 games overall.70.06140
Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.80.0410
Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.80.0140
Under is 7-3 in Colts last 10 road games.70.0370
Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.100.0050
Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.71.4250
Under is 21-5 in Colts last 26 games in December.80.85210
Over is 9-4 in Colts last 13 games as a road favorite.69.2940
Over is 11-3 in Colts last 14 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.78.61130
Under is 9-3 in Colts last 12 games following a straight up loss.75.0390
Under is 7-2 in Colts last 9 vs. AFC South.77.8270
Under is 7-2 in Colts last 9 games following a ATS loss.77.8270
Under is 8-3 in Colts last 11 games as a favorite.72.7380
Under is 6-2 in Colts last 8 games as a road underdog.75.0260
Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.100.0050
Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.100.0040
Over is 7-3 in Colts last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.70.0730
Under is 9-4 in Colts last 13 games as an underdog.69.2490
Under is 12-4 in Colts last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.75.04120
Under is 6-1 in Colts last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.85.7160
Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.80.0140
Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.100.0060
Indianapolis Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Colts are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.72.7831
Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.71.4521
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.28.6250
Colts are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 14.0.0050
Colts are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.100.0301
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.0.0040
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.28.6250
Colts are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.27.3380
Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.77.8720
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.20.0140
Colts are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC South.27.3381
Colts are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.28.6251
Colts are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.0.0060
Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.100.0400
Colts are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.72.01871
Colts are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.69.2941
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Carolina Panthers vs. Cleveland Browns Preview and Predictions 2018-12-09
NFL PREDICTIONS 7TH DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE


The Carolina Panthers need a road win over the Cleveland Browns on Sunday to buoy their fading playoff hopes. The Panthers have lost four straight contests to slide from division title contender to the fringe of the playoff picture.


With two matchups against NFC South-leading New Orleans in the final three weeks of the regular season, the Panthers can't afford a fifth consecutive loss. "I think we're in a spot where we need to win out," Carolina safety Eric Reid told reporters. "If we are going to make the playoffs, that's the only way to do it. If I had to guess, we need to win out and then cheer on a couple teams to help us get in." The Browns aren't quite postseason-ready, but they've made huge strides since last year's winless campaign. Cleveland had a two-game winning streak snapped in a 29-13 loss at Houston last week (as a +4.5 point underdog at intertops), but winning out would give the team its first winning season since 2007.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Panthers -2 O/U: 47

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (6-6): Carolina has watched its season start to slip away one excruciating loss at a time, as its last three defeats have come by a total of 11 points. Cam Newton quietly is putting together an excellent season, as he has passed for 2,999 yards with 24 touchdowns and 11 interceptions while combining with Christian McCaffrey to lead the league's No. 2 rushing offense. Turnovers have been the killer during the losing streak, as the Panthers have eight giveaways in their last four game after committing only seven during a 6-2 start.

ABOUT THE BROWNS (4-7-1): Rookies Baker Mayfield and Nick Chubb have made Cleveland's offense respectable, and the former passed for a career-high 397 yards in last week's loss to Houston. The Browns were done in by four turnovers against the Texans, and the defense failed to record a takeaway for the first time all season. Second-year defensive end Myles Garrett (11.5 sacks) has been the brightest spot on a defense that ranks 29th against the pass and 28th versus the run.


EXTRA POINTS


1. McCaffrey is the first player in NFL history with at least 50 yards both rushing and receiving in five consecutive games.


2. Mayfield's 263.9 passing yards per game is the second-highest average among rookies since 1970 behind only Andrew Luck's 273.4.


3. Newton has thrown at least two touchdown passes in 11 consecutive games, the second-longest active streak in the league behind Philip Rivers' 13-game run.


PREDICTION: Panthers 26, Browns 23
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Carolina at Cleveland 2018-12-09 1:00 PMat Cleveland 2018-12-09 1:00 PM
Cleveland Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.80.0410
Under is 20-8 in Browns last 28 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.71.48200
Under is 11-2 in Browns last 13 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.84.62110
Under is 37-12-3 in Browns last 52 games in December.75.512373
Under is 14-5 in Browns last 19 home games.73.75140
Under is 13-4 in Browns last 17 games as a home underdog.76.54130
Under is 17-8 in Browns last 25 games on grass.68.08170
Under is 6-2 in Browns last 8 games following a ATS loss.75.0260
Over is 6-2 in Browns last 8 games as a favorite.75.0620
Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.80.0140
Under is 16-6 in Browns last 22 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.72.76160
Over is 6-2 in Browns last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.75.0620
Under is 7-2 in Browns last 9 games in Week 14.77.8270
Over is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.83.3510
Cleveland Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Browns are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss.32.717350
Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.0.0040
Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.80.0410
Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.16.7150
Browns are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 home games.29.68190
Browns are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog.26.16170
Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 14.71.4520
Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.20.0140
Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.0.0040
Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.80.0410
Browns are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.26.97190
Browns are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.32.716332
Browns are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.31.416351
Browns are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.23.85160
Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.20.0140
Browns are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.20.03120
Browns are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games as an underdog.31.416351
Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.16.7150
Browns are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.31.210220
Browns are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.31.25110
Browns are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 games overall.30.216371
Browns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.25.97200
Browns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.16.7151
Carolina Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.75.0311
Under is 7-3 in Panthers last 10 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.70.0370
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 road games.80.0140
Over is 35-17-1 in Panthers last 53 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.67.335171
Over is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.75.0620
Under is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 games as a road favorite.85.7160
Under is 4-1-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.80.0141
Over is 16-7-1 in Panthers last 24 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.69.61671
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games on grass.80.0410
Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.83.3150
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a ATS loss.80.0140
Over is 16-6 in Panthers last 22 games as a road underdog.72.71660
Over is 25-8-1 in Panthers last 34 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.75.82581
Over is 7-3-1 in Panthers last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.70.0731
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games as an underdog.80.0410
Over is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.75.0620
Carolina Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.71.41040
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.20.0140
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.20.0140
Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.25.0260
Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.16.7150
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 14.100.0400
Panthers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.16.7150
Panthers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.0.0051
Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.25.0131
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.20.0140
Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.28.6250
Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.16.7150
Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.69.2940
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.20.0140
Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.0.0040
Panthers are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite.15.42111
Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.100.0600
Panthers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.73.11972
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers Preview and Predictions 2018-12-09
NFL PREDICTIONS 6TH DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE


The Green Bay Packers are cleaning house on the coaching staff with four weeks left in a disappointing season and will be under the direction of a new head coach when they host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. Offensive coordinator Joe Philbin will serve as interim coach after Mike McCarthy was fired following last week's loss to the Arizona Cardinals.


The Packers are losers of three straight and five of their last six games to fall out of the race in the NFC North, and McCarthy's tenuous relationship with quarterback Aaron Rodgers mixed with the disappointing results led to his ouster after 12-plus seasons in Green Bay. "We've had certain expectations and standards here for a long time," Packers general manager Brian Gutekunst told reporters. "To come out at home against a team we felt we should beat, it wasn't up to our standard. I don't think we played well most of the season. Things weren't changing as they needed to change." The Falcons are in a rut as well and dropped their last four games while failing to score 20 points in each. "We've got to get back to work," Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan told reporters. "We've got to find a good way to win. As far as stay together, I think we have a good group of men in our locker room, coaching staff and front office that are willing to work."


TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Packers -5 O/U: 50.5


ABOUT THE FALCONS (4-8): Ryan threw for a season-low 131 yards on 16-of-26 passing in a 26-16 home loss to the Baltimore Ravens (as a -3 point favorite at intertops) last week while getting sacked three times and knocked to the ground on several more occasions. "I'm concerned about it because if we're not protecting (Ryan) in the way that we can, then that gets hard," Atlanta coach Dan Quinn told reporters. "There are some games that the score is out of whack and it turns into a dropback game, there are going to be more chances for a defense to go after them, you know that. But at the end of it, yeah, I'm concerned, but I'm as concerned about us playing as well as we can." Ryan was sacked a total of 14 times in the last four games.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (4-7-1): Rodgers isn't playing quite up to his MVP-level standards this season but remains the face of the franchise, though he won't have a say in who the next coach of the team is going to be. "Obviously, he's free to provide input and talk to us," team president Mark Murphy told reporters of Rodgers. "But he's not going to be a part of the process. ... The other thing I would say, Aaron was no part at all in the decision to move on from Mike." Philbin's first move as interim coach was to fire associate head coach/linebackers coach Winston Moss, who had been with the team since 2006.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Packers TE Jimmy Graham (knee) and WR Randall Cobb (hamstring) are questionable.


2. Falcons WR Julio Jones (foot) sat out practice on Wednesday after recording season lows of two catches and 18 yards last week.


3. Atlanta took the last three meetings, including a 34-23 home triumph last season.


PREDICTION: Packers 28, Falcons 17
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Atlanta at Green Bay 2018-12-09 1:00 PMat Green Bay 2018-12-09 1:00 PM
Green Bay Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games overall.83.3150
Over is 12-3 in Packers last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.80.01230
Over is 11-5-1 in Packers last 17 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.68.81151
Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.100.0600
Under is 5-2 in Packers last 7 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.71.4250
Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 games in December.77.8720
Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games on grass.80.0140
Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.100.0040
Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games following a straight up loss.100.0040
Over is 21-7 in Packers last 28 vs. NFC.75.02170
Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games following a ATS loss.80.0140
Over is 11-5 in Packers last 16 games as a favorite.68.81150
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.80.0410
Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.100.0040
Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.80.0140
Under is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.100.0050
Over is 13-6 in Packers last 19 games as an underdog.68.41360
Over is 6-1 in Packers last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.85.7610
Over is 8-1 in Packers last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.88.9810
Over is 13-3 in Packers last 16 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.81.21330
Green Bay Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.20.0140
Packers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.69.61671
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.20.0140
Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 14.71.4520
Packers are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.0.0031
Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.85.7610
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.20.0140
Packers are 16-7-2 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.69.61672
Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.0.0040
Packers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.25.0261
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.20.0140
Packers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.25.0131
Packers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.16.7151
Packers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.20.0141
Atlanta Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Over is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.85.7610
Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games overall.100.0040
Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.71.4250
Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.80.0140
Under is 12-2 in Falcons last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.85.72120
Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 road games.77.8270
Under is 42-18-1 in Falcons last 61 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.70.018421
Over is 4-1-1 in Falcons last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.80.0411
Under is 18-7-1 in Falcons last 26 games in December.72.07181
Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a road favorite.80.0140
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.83.3510
Over is 6-0-1 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.100.0601
Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games on grass.80.0140
Under is 24-11 in Falcons last 35 games following a straight up loss.68.611240
Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 vs. NFC.73.34110
Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games as a favorite.100.0040
Under is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games as a road underdog.75.0260
Under is 15-6 in Falcons last 21 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.71.46150
Under is 36-15-1 in Falcons last 52 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.70.615361
Over is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.75.0311
Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games as an underdog.71.4250
Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.80.0140
Under is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.75.0260
Atlanta Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.16.7150
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.0.0040
Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.28.6250
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.0.0040
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.0.0040
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 14.80.0410
Falcons are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.0.0050
Falcons are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.28.07181
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.0.0040
Falcons are 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.72.537140
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.20.0140
Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.16.7150
Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.22.2270
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.80.0410
Falcons are 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.73.91761
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.71.4520
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.0.0040
Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.16.7150
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.80.0410
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.80.0410
Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.25.0260
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.20.0140
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.20.0140
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Predictions 2018-12-09
NFL PREDICTIONS 7TH DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE


The league's highest-scoring offense and its stingiest defense square off Sunday, when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Baltimore Ravens in a matchup of AFC playoff contenders. The high-scoring Chiefs hope to maintain their one-game lead in the AFC West, while the hard-nosed Ravens are trying to hang on to the last wild-card spot.


The Chiefs average an NFL-best 37 points per game - a total the Ravens have reached only once this season. Baltimore's defense has been especially dominant during the team's three-game winning streak - it held Atlanta to 131 total yards in last week's 26-16 victory (as a +3 point underdog at intertops) - but it will face its toughest test yet against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. "In reality, holding this team to what we did last (week) is probably not going to happen," Baltimore safety Eric Weddle told reporters. "But we can make things tough on them. We can create turnovers. We can hold them in the red zone." Baltimore has held its last three opponents to 255 total yards or fewer, while Kansas City's season low for total offense is 330 against Arizona.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chiefs -6.5 O/U: 51.5

ABOUT THE RAVENS (7-5): While Joe Flacco (hip) returned to practice on a limited basis Thursday, rookie Lamar Jackson is expected to make his fourth straight start, which limits the Ravens in the passing game but gives them a dynamic rushing attack. Baltimore has rolled up more than 200 rushing yards in the three games Jackson has started, as fellow rookie Gus Edwards has gained 315 in the last three contests. The defense, which ranks second against the pass, has allowed over 300 such yards only once all season, while the Chiefs average 345.3.

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (10-2): Kansas City's passing game has been nothing short of prolific, as Mahomes leads the NFL with 41 touchdown passes - including 11 to speedster Tyreek Hill and nine to tight end Travis Kelce. The ground game certainly took a hit with Kareem Hunt's release, but Spencer Ware has averaged 4.8 yards per carry this season and is a reliable target out of the backfield. The biggest question for the Chiefs is whether or not the defense can stop playoff-caliber opponents, and the secondary is especially suspect as the team ranks last against the pass.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Mahomes has passed for four or more touchdowns seven times this season - second-most in NFL history.


2. The Ravens are the first team with three straight games of 200 or more rushing yards since Jacksonville in 2010.


3. Kansas City DT Chris Jones has recorded a sack in eight straight contests.


PREDICTION: Chiefs 27, Ravens 24
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Baltimore at Kansas City 2018-12-09 1:00 PMat Kansas City 2018-12-09 1:00 PM
Kansas City Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Under is 7-2-1 in Chiefs last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.77.8271
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall.75.0311
Under is 9-2 in Chiefs last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.81.8290
Under is 39-14-1 in Chiefs last 54 games as a home favorite.73.614391
Under is 19-7 in Chiefs last 26 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.73.17190
Under is 19-9 in Chiefs last 28 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.67.99190
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games following a straight up win.75.0311
Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.100.0400
Over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.71.4520
Under is 48-20-1 in Chiefs last 69 home games.70.620481
Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games as a home underdog.80.0410
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games on grass.75.0311
Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.100.0040
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 vs. AFC.75.0311
Over is 7-3 in Chiefs last 10 games following a ATS loss.70.0730
Under is 8-3-1 in Chiefs last 12 games as a favorite.72.7381
Under is 11-4 in Chiefs last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.73.34110
Under is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.75.0131
Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.80.0410
Under is 35-17 in Chiefs last 52 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.67.317350
Over is 9-1-1 in Chiefs last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.90.0911
Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.80.0140
Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games in Week 14.100.0040
Over is 12-3-1 in Chiefs last 16 games as an underdog.80.01231
Under is 4-1-1 in Chiefs last 6 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.80.0141
Under is 7-2 in Chiefs last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.77.8270
Over is 5-2-1 in Chiefs last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.71.4521
Kansas City Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.80.0410
Chiefs are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.69.2941
Chiefs are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.72.01871
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.80.0410
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.80.0410
Chiefs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.76.21650
Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.100.0401
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.80.0410
Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.100.0600
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.80.0410
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.80.0410
Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.72.7830
Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.100.0401
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.80.0410
Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.100.0600
Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.75.01241
Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.78.61130
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.20.0140
Chiefs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.25.0131
Chiefs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.82.41430
Chiefs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.70.0731
Baltimore Over Under Trends%oversunderpush
Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.80.0140
Under is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games overall.70.0370
Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.80.0140
Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 road games.80.0140
Over is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.100.0400
Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games following a straight up win.80.0140
Over is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games in December.70.0730
Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games as a road favorite.80.0140
Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.71.4250
Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games on grass.83.3150
Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 vs. AFC.71.4250
Over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games as a road underdog.71.4520
Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games following a ATS win.100.0040
Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.80.0410
Under is 7-1 in Ravens last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.87.5170
Over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games as an underdog.71.4520
Over is 7-2 in Ravens last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.77.8720
Baltimore Point Spread Trends%winslossespush
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.20.0140
Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.75.0311
Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 14.28.6250
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.20.0140
Ravens are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.20.0282
Ravens are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.100.0501
Ravens are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.0.0040
Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.71.4520
Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.75.0311
Ravens are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite.30.8491
Ravens are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.22.2270
Ravens are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.75.0621
Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.77.8721
Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.80.0411
Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.80.0411
Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.25.0131
Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.0.0050
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Super Contest Top 5 Most-Selected Teams (2-3 each of last 4 weeks, 34-31 overall, 52.3%)

IND +5 at HOU
KC -6.5 vs. BAL
LAR -3 at CHI
BUF -3 vs. NYJ
NYG -3.5 at WAS


Super Contest Gold Top 5 (1-4 last week, 35-25-5, 58.3%)

PHI +3.5
IND+5
MIN +3.5
SF +4.5
BUF -3
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Super Contest leader Pigskin Junkies (49-16 ... 75.4% ... 2.5 points ahead of nearest competitor)


CLE +2.5 vs. CAR
GB -5.5 vs. ATL
BUF -3 vs. NYJ
NE -7.5 at MIA
SEA -3.5 vs. MIN
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Dec 09, 2018
Bengals vs. Chargers
Bonus Play on Bengals +14½ -105
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Oakland Raiders +10

I think there’s value on the Oakland Raiders as double-digit home underdogs this week against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Contrary to popular belief, the Raiders have not quit, and that has shown up in a big way the last three weeks.

Three weeks ago, the Raiders went on the road and upset the Cardinals 23-21 as 4.5-point favorites. And they deserved to cover as 13-point dogs at Baltimore, but lost 17-34 only after two non-offensive touchdowns by the Ravens with one on defense and one on special teams. So that was a 20-17 game when you take away those two gift touchdowns. And then last week the Raiders only lost 33-40 at home to the Chiefs as 14-point underdogs.

The Steelers are reeling right now with back-to-back losses to the Broncos and Chargers. And now they’ve become one-dimensional with the injury to James Connor, who has rushed for 909 yards with 467 receiving yards on the season, accounting for 1,376 yards from scrimmage. The drop-off to the backups are huge, especially in the passing game. Jaylen Samuels averages just 2.6 yards per carry, while Steven Ridley averages 3.1 per carry. These two will split Connors’ workload.

Big Ben is going to have his hands full this week. The Steelers now have to throw the ball 40-50 times in this game, and they just aren’t that good when they are one-dimensional. Even this bad Raiders defense can slow down a one-dimensional offense. Plus, Big Ben is terrible in this road. He is 1-9 ATS in his career as a double-digit road favorite. Also, Big Ben is 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in his career against the Raiders. He just hasn’t been able to figure out this team.

Plays against road teams (Pittsburgh) - off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 29-8 (78.4%) ATS since 1983. The Steelers are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Oakland is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet the Raiders Sunday.
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
JIMMY BOYD

1* Free NFL Pick on Tampa Bay Bucs +9

The public perception here is that last week's loss to the Cowboys was just a hiccup in the Saints season and there's no doubt they bounce back with an easy win over the Bucs, securing revenge from that upset loss at home to Tampa Bay in Week 1.

It's one thing to go on the road and beat a division opponent, but it's asking a lot for a team to win by double-digits against a division rival. We know the Bucs have the offense that can keep pace with New Orleans if this turns into a shootout and I think the defense is going to surprise some people with how well it plays in this game.

I know how bad Tampa Bay's defense was early on, but in their last 4 games the Bucs have held 3 of their 4 opponents under 20 points. The important thing is the improvement came from a change in schemes, so there's reason to think it's not a fluke. Since Tampa fired Mike Smith and promoted linebackers coach Mark Duffner to defensive coordinator, they have 24 sacks (2nd in the NFL during that time), are getting off the field 33.3% of the time on 3rd down (T-3rd) and are allowing the 10th fewest passing yards/game at 274.4.

There's no question the pressure Dallas was able to put on Drew Brees really disrupted the Saints offense and given how well Tampa has been getting to the quarter, the Saints offense might be stalled for another week. Either way, I love the Bucs to keep this one closer than the number posted here. Take Tampa Bay!
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
Doc’s Sports.

Take #115 New York Jets over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS)

Buffalo does not warrant to be favored by this many points against any of the 32 teams in the league. Both teams are terrible, and the Jets played their worst game of the season in the first meetings against the Bills in East Rutherford, NJ. This is a divisional game and pride will set in for the Jets and expect a much better effort on Sunday. Buffalo is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 divisional games. New York is 15-6 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 23 games played during the month of December.
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
DUSTIN HAWKINS
NFL | Dec 09, 2018
Saints vs. Bucs
Bonus Play on Bucs +9 -110
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Dec 09, 2018
Steelers vs. Raiders
Oakland +10

The Raiders are worth a flyer here. Oakland's offense came alive last week against the Chiefs as this team is still playing with some excitement and passion.

They seem to play up to their competition, which is a good sign here catching this many points against Pittsburgh. The Steelers defense looked gassed last week in a 33-30 loss to the Chargers.

Some trends to note. Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in December. Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings head to head as well as the Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Expect Oakland to do the same here as the Chargers did as far as turning the pace up.

Back Oakland. Good Luck, Razor Ray.
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
DOUG UPSTONE
NFL | Dec 09, 2018
Panthers vs. Browns
Panthers-1 -115

Play Against home teams home teams like CLEVELAND rushing for 4.5 or more YPA, against a team with an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPA), after gaining 50 or less rushing yards in last game. In the last 34 years, teams like the Browns are 5-23 ATS!
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
TIM MICHAEL
NFL | Dec 09, 2018
Ravens vs. Chiefs

T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs (Bonus Play)

The Chiefs’ offense continues to roll, most recently a 40-33 victory over Oakland. Baltimore enters off a tough 26-16 road win in Atlanta, leaving everything on the line in that one, knowing that it had a difficult task ahead of it this weekend. So far Ravens’ backup QB Lamar Jackson has been extremely solid, but I think he’ll have a hard time keeping pace with Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes, who has a 41/10 TD:INT (Jackson has a 2:3 TD/INT.) Baltimore has the No. 1 defense, allowing 17.8 PPG, but the Chiefs have the No. 1 offense, averaging a whopping 37 PPG. Note as well that Baltimore is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Kansas City is already 4-1 ATS this year as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. Consider the home side in this one.

T.M. Prediction: 35-21 Kansas City.
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
INFO PLAYS
NFL | Dec 09, 2018
Saints vs. Bucs
1* Bonus Play on Bucs +9 -110
 

Member
Joined
May 17, 2015
Messages
28,409
Tokens
MARK WILSON
NFL | Dec 09, 2018
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Bonus Play on Ravens +7½ -110
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,109,698
Messages
13,461,920
Members
99,486
Latest member
Ezwindows
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com