Sunday 12/16/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

[bmd1803]

Oakland Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals Preview and Predictions 2018-12-16
NFL PREDICTIONS 14TH DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE


The Cincinnati Bengals are looking to end a losing streak that ruined their season, but their opponent may not be the pushover it has been for the majority of the campaign. Cincinnati attempts to halt its five-game slide when it hosts the Oakland Raiders on Sunday.


The Bengals had their bye after rebounding from back-to-back defeats by edging Tampa Bay in Week 8 but are winless since, with the latest loss being a 26-21 road setback against the Los Angeles Chargers (as a +16.5 point underdog at intertops) last Sunday. Oakland would have appeared to be the perfect remedy for Cincinnati's skid, but it has won two of its last four contests - including a 24-21 home upset of Pittsburgh last week. The Raiders, who are seeking consecutive victories for the first time this year, still are in disarray off the field. The team fired general manager Reggie McKenzie on Monday, was sued by the city of Oakland the following day in regard to its move to Las Vegas for the 2020 season and remains unsure of where it will call home next year.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Bengals -3 O/U: 46


ABOUT THE RAIDERS (3-10): Derek Carr's early-season interception problem is a thing of the past as he has gone eight games without being picked off. The 27-year-old, who has thrown for 3,434 yards and 18 touchdowns, leads the AFC and ranks fifth in the entire league with a 69.5 completion percentage. Carr is hoping protection is not an issue against the Bengals, considering Jon Feliciano (calf) was placed on injured reserve while fellow guards Gabe Jackson (elbow/ankle) and Kelechi Osemele (toe) have not practiced this week.


ABOUT THE BENGALS (5-8): One bright spot for the team this year is its proficiency in the red zone, as it has scored 27 touchdowns on 36 trips for a 75.0 success percentage - which ranks second in the NFL. Joe Mixon is coming off one of his best rushing performances of the season as he gained 111 yards on 26 carries against the Chargers. The 22-year-old, who also scored a TD, has recorded at least 115 yards from scrimmage five times thus far during his sophomore campaign.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Raiders TE Jared Cook has made a career-high six touchdown catches, including one in three of his last four games.


2. Cincinnati's Geno Atkins leads all NFL defensive tackles with 68 sacks since the start of the 2010 season.


3. Oakland signed G Cameron Hunt and OL Denver Kirkland due to injuries on its offensive line.


PREDICTION: Bengals 33, Raiders 27

 

[bmd1803]

Oakland at Cincinnati 2018-12-16 1:00 PM at Cincinnati 2018-12-16 1:00 PM
Cincinnati Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Under is 15-7 in Bengals last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.	68.2	7	15	0
Over is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	80.0	4	1	0
Over is 9-3 in Bengals last 12 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.	75.0	9	3	0
Under is 35-16 in Bengals last 51 games in December.	68.6	16	35	0
Over is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games on fieldturf.	80.0	4	1	0
Under is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.	75.0	2	6	0
Under is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 vs. AFC.	71.4	2	5	0
Under is 19-9 in Bengals last 28 games following a ATS win.	67.9	9	19	0
Under is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	75.0	2	6	0
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games in Week 15.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 12-4 in Bengals last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	75.0	4	12	0
Under is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	71.4	2	5	0
Cincinnati Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.	0.0	0	5	0
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	80.0	4	1	0
Bengals are 7-19-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	26.9	7	19	3
Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.	0.0	0	4	0
Bengals are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games in December.	70.4	19	8	0
Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	70.0	7	3	0
Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.	25.0	2	6	0
Bengals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.	71.4	10	4	0
Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.	16.7	1	5	0
Bengals are 24-10-2 ATS in their last 36 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	70.6	24	10	2
Oakland Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Under is 14-6 in Raiders last 20 games overall.	70.0	6	14	0
Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	6	2	0
Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	85.7	1	6	0
Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	85.7	1	6	0
Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games following a straight up win.	83.3	1	5	0
Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games in December.	85.7	1	6	0
Under is 9-4 in Raiders last 13 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.	69.2	4	9	0
Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 6-1-1 in Raiders last 8 games as a road favorite.	85.7	1	6	1
Over is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.	80.0	4	1	0
Under is 5-1-1 in Raiders last 7 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.	83.3	1	5	1
Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games on fieldturf.	100.0	4	0	0
Over is 34-15-2 in Raiders last 51 games following a ATS win.	69.4	34	15	2
Under is 8-2 in Raiders last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	80.0	2	8	0
Over is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	83.3	5	1	0
Under is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.	71.4	2	5	0
Over is 7-3 in Raiders last 10 games in Week 15.	70.0	7	3	0
Under is 11-5 in Raiders last 16 games as an underdog.	68.8	5	11	0
Over is 18-8-1 in Raiders last 27 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	69.2	18	8	1
Over is 11-5-1 in Raiders last 17 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	68.8	11	5	1
Oakland Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.	30.0	3	7	0
Raiders are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.	28.6	2	5	1
Raiders are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.	0.0	0	8	0
Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 15.	25.0	1	3	1
Raiders are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	25.8	8	23	1
Raiders are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	3	1	1
Raiders are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.	31.4	16	35	1
Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.	71.4	5	2	0
Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	20.0	1	4	0
Raiders are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	14.3	1	6	2
Raiders are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.	22.2	2	7	0
Raiders are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.	75.0	3	1	1
Raiders are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.	30.0	3	7	1
Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.	20.0	1	4	0
Raiders are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.	31.2	5	11	1
Raiders are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	25.0	3	9	0
Raiders are 8-17-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall.	32.0	8	17	2
Raiders are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite.	28.6	4	10	1
Raiders are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.	28.6	4	10	0
Raiders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	0.0	0	3	1

 

[bmd1803]

Washington Redskins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Preview and Predictions 2018-12-16
NFL PREDICTIONS 14TH DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE


Despite coming off one of their most embarrassing performances in recent memory, the Washington Redskins still will be playing for their playoff lives when they visit the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. The Redskins have lost four straight contests, including a 40-16 drubbing by the New York Giants last week (as a +3 point underdog at intertops), but they still have an outside shot at a postseason berth.


It's an unlikely quarterback matchup as Jacksonville's Cody Kessler will make his third start since replacing Blake Bortles while Washington will give Josh Johnson his first NFL since 2011. Redskins coach Jay Gruden worked with Johnson in both Tampa Bay and Cincinnati, and the signal-caller sparked the offense in the second half last week in his first appearance since 2014. "Well, he's played with or against everybody in the league, so for starters, he knows everybody on the Jacksonville defense," Gruden told reporters. "He knows everybody we're about to play and is familiar with terminology and systems and coverages and defenses and all that stuff, so that's a good thing. As far as knowing what to do here, I think the big reason we wanted him is because of his familiarity with what we do." The Jaguars have lost eight of their last nine games and scored in single digits in four of those contests.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Jaguars -7.5 O/U: 36

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (6-7): Washington's offense already was among the league's worst before Alex Smith was lost to injury and followed soon after by backup Colt McCoy. Mark Sanchez was a disaster in his only start, but Johnson brought some life to the offense in relief last week. The defense played well to start the season but has given up at least 400 total yards in five of the last six games and has especially struggled against the run of late.

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (4-9): Jacksonville snapped its seven-game losing streak in Kessler's first start - but it was because of the defense, which pitched a shutout in a 6-0 win over Indianapolis. The secondary is outstanding, but the team has been susceptible to the run, although it allows an NFL-low 15 points per game at home. Kessler's stats have been unimpressive, but he's thrown only one interception -- none in his two starts -- and will have a healthy Leonard Fournette in the backfield with him.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Washington RB Adrian Peterson (13,148) needs 112 rushing yards to pass Eric Dickerson for eighth place on the all-time list.


2. Jacksonville K Josh Lambo, who is 27-for-27 on field-goal attempts at home since joining the team, is questionable with a groin injury.


3. Washington LB Ryan Kerrigan has recorded eight sacks, two forced fumbles and a fumble recovery in his last eight games.


PREDICTION: Jaguars 16, Redskins 13

 

[bmd1803]

Washington at Jacksonville 2018-12-16 1:00 PM at Jacksonville 2018-12-16 1:00 PM
Jacksonville Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Over is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	6	2	0
Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.	85.7	6	1	0
Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	100.0	4	0	0
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.	80.0	1	4	0
Over is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 games in December.	70.0	7	3	0
Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 home games.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games on grass.	83.3	1	5	0
Over is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.	75.0	6	2	0
Under is 9-4 in Jaguars last 13 games following a straight up loss.	69.2	4	9	0
Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.	100.0	0	5	0
Under is 9-4 in Jaguars last 13 games following a ATS loss.	69.2	4	9	0
Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.	100.0	5	0	0
Under is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	85.7	1	6	0
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	80.0	1	4	0
Over is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	75.0	6	2	0
Over is 9-4 in Jaguars last 13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.	69.2	9	4	0
Under is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.	85.7	1	6	0
Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	70.0	3	7	0
Over is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	6	2	0
Jacksonville Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Jaguars are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.	20.0	1	4	2
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Jaguars are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.	25.0	1	3	1
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.	20.0	1	4	0
Jaguars are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.	75.0	3	1	1
Jaguars are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.	0.0	0	3	1
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.	20.0	1	4	0
Jaguars are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.	27.8	5	13	0
Jaguars are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	0.0	0	3	1
Jaguars are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.	16.7	1	5	2
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.	20.0	1	4	0
Jaguars are 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.	25.0	1	3	2
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	20.0	1	4	0
Jaguars are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	80.0	8	2	1
Jaguars are 8-21-3 ATS in their last 32 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.	27.6	8	21	3
Jaguars are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.	14.3	1	6	2
Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.	0.0	0	4	0
Jaguars are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.	20.0	1	4	1
Jaguars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	28.6	2	5	1
Washington Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Over is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	83.3	5	1	0
Over is 6-2 in Redskins last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	6	2	0
Under is 7-2 in Redskins last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.	77.8	2	7	0
Over is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.	80.0	4	1	0
Under is 6-2 in Redskins last 8 road games.	75.0	2	6	0
Over is 11-5 in Redskins last 16 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	68.8	11	5	0
Under is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.	100.0	0	5	0
Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 games in December.	83.3	1	5	0
Over is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.	71.4	5	2	0
Under is 10-4 in Redskins last 14 games on grass.	71.4	4	10	0
Under is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 games following a straight up loss.	70.0	3	7	0
Under is 6-2 in Redskins last 8 games following a ATS loss.	75.0	2	6	0
Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 games as a favorite.	83.3	1	5	0
Over is 14-6 in Redskins last 20 games as a road underdog.	70.0	14	6	0
Under is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	100.0	0	7	0
Over is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	80.0	4	1	0
Over is 6-2 in Redskins last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.	75.0	6	2	0
Over is 21-10 in Redskins last 31 games as an underdog.	67.7	21	10	0
Under is 8-1 in Redskins last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	88.9	1	8	0
Under is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	100.0	0	6	0
Over is 12-4 in Redskins last 16 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	12	4	0
Washington Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Redskins are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	29.2	7	17	0
Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.	71.4	5	2	0
Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.	28.6	2	5	0
Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 15.	75.0	6	2	0
Redskins are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.	28.6	2	5	0
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	6	2	0
Redskins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.	100.0	5	0	0
Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.	71.4	5	2	0
Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.	71.4	5	2	0
Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	71.4	5	2	0
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	80.0	4	1	0
Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.	69.2	9	4	0
Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.	28.6	2	5	0
Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	20.0	1	4	0
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	83.3	5	1	0
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	80.0	4	1	0

 

[bmd1803]

NFL LONG SHEET

Sunday. December 16

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MIAMI (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (6 - 5 - 1) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (3 - 10) at CINCINNATI (5 - 8) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 51-84 ATS (-41.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 36-61 ATS (-31.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 39-81 ATS (-50.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (5 - 8) at BALTIMORE (7 - 6) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (8 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 6) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (5 - 8) at BUFFALO (4 - 9) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (5 - 7 - 1) at CHICAGO (9 - 4) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 192-137 ATS (+41.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 5-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (7 - 6) at NY GIANTS (5 - 8) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (6 - 7) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 9) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 10) at ATLANTA (4 - 9) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against NFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ATLANTA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (7 - 5) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 10) - 12/16/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 5 - 1) - 12/16/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (6 - 7) at LA RAMS (11 - 2) - 12/16/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 189-238 ATS (-72.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 189-238 ATS (-72.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 135-188 ATS (-71.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 146-189 ATS (-61.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 66-101 ATS (-45.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday. December 17

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NEW ORLEANS (11 - 2) at CAROLINA (6 - 7) - 12/17/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 116-86 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

NFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY DECEMBER 16, 2018

Miami
@
Minnesota
Game 307-308
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Miami
124.305
Minnesota
136.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Minnesota
by 2 1/2
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Minnesota
by 7
43
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota
(-7); Under

Oakland
@
Cincinnati
Game 309-310
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Oakland
125.127
Cincinnati
126.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Cincinnati
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland
(+3 1/2); Under

Tampa Bay
@
Baltimore
Game 311-312
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Tampa Bay
125.134
Baltimore
139.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Baltimore
by 14 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Baltimore
by 8
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore
(-8); Under

Dallas
@
Indianapolis
Game 313-314
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Dallas
136.159
Indianapolis
134.330
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Dallas
by 2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Indianapolis
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick: Dallas
(+3); Under

Detroit
@
Buffalo
Game 315-316
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Detroit
124.772
Buffalo
128.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Buffalo
by 4
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Buffalo
by 2
38
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo
(-2); Over

Green Bay
@
Chicago
Game 317-318
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Green Bay
130.826
Chicago
138.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Chicago
by 8 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Chicago
by 5 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago
(-5 1/2); Over

Tennessee
@
NY Giants
Game 319-320
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Tennessee
132.817
NY Giants
132.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Tennessee
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Giants
by 2 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee
(+2 1/2); Over

Washington
@
Jacksonville
Game 321-322
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Washington
121.957
Jacksonville
125.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Jacksonville
by 7 1/2
36
Dunkel Pick: Washington
(+7 1/2); Under

Arizona
@
Atlanta
Game 323-324
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Arizona
121.504
Atlanta
126.404
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Atlanta
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Atlanta
by 9
44
Dunkel Pick: Arizona
(+9); Over

Seattle
@
San Francisco
Game 325-326
December 16, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating: Seattle
132.337
San Francisco
128.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Seattle
by 3 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Seattle
by 6 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco
(+6 1/2); Over

New England
@
Pittsburgh
Game 327-328
December 16, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating: New England
00.000
Pittsburgh
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: New England

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: New England

Dunkel Pick: New England
( );

Philadelphia
@
LA Rams
Game 329-330
December 16, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating: Philadelphia
130.231
LA Rams
136.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Rams
by 6 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Rams
by 9 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia
(+9 1/2); Over

MONDAY DECEMBER 17, 2018

New Orleans
@
Carolina
Game 331-332
December 17, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating: New Orleans
138.483
Carolina
134.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: New Orleans
by 4
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: New Orleans
by 6 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick: Carolina
(+6 1/2); Under

 

[bmd1803]

NFL's Best ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Saints 10-3 ATS
2. Bears 9-4 ATS
3. Seahawks 8-3-2 ATS
4. Chiefs 8-4-1 ATS
t5. Pats 8-5 ATS
t5. Cowboys
t5. Dolphins
t5. Browns


NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

32. Falcons 3-10 ATS
t30. Niners 4-9 ATS
t30. Eagles
29. Jaguars 4-7-2 ATS
t25. Raiders 5-8 ATS
t25. Jets
t25. Bills
t25. Panthers


NFL Top OVER Teams (based on Over %)

1. Chiefs 8-4-1
t2. Bears 8-5
t2. Bengals
t2. Jets
t2. Bucs
t6. Falcons 7-6
t6. Panthers
t6. Packers
t6. Chargers
t6. Giants
t6. Steelers
t6. Niners


NFL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

1. Broncos 9-3-1
t2. Cardinals 8-5
t2. Texans 8-5
t2. Vikings 8-5
t2. Pats 8-5
t2. Saints 8-5
t2. Eagles 8-5

 

[bmd1803]

NFL Underdogs: Week 15 pointspread picks and predictions
Jason Logan

I’ll be truthful. At first glance, I didn’t have any knee-jerk, must-play feelings about a single NFL betting underdog in Week 15. That’s strange, because there are usually one or two each week.

I feel like I walked into Toys R Us (we still have those in Canada, BTW) on Christmas Eve looking for whatever glitter-infused, rainbow-pooping unicorn toy my daughter’s been asking for, but I’m faced with barren shelves and discounted dolls with one eye that doesn’t quite open all the way. Creepy.

But like any good father, I’m going to find that god damn unicorn. I just have look harder. And when it comes to finding value with the points in Week 15, it’s going to take some additional digging. Like finding out that Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been an underdog in Chicago since the 2008 season – his first year as the No. 1 QB in Green Bay (Packers were +4.5 at Chicago in Week 10 with Brett Hundley under center last season).

Yep, you’ve got to go all the way back to Week 16 of the 2008 schedule to see A-Rod pegged as a pup in the Windy City. Books gave the Packers four points that day, and they lost 20-17 in overtime but came through with the cover for Cheeseheads with a little extra cheddar on the line.

This Sunday, sportsbooks are dealing Green Bay +6 against a Bears squad boasting a dominating 6-1 SU and ATS record inside Solider Field and fresh off a victory over the L.A. Rams Sunday night, sucking all the offensive power out of an attack that’s averaging almost 33 points per game.

I’m not buying the Packers based on Rodgers’ track record as a favorite in Chicago – I just thought that was an interesting stat (although Green Bay is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 meetings in Chi-Town). I don’t think they win this game outright. This is just too many points to give in a heated divisional rivalry with a Green Bay team still trying to prove something with an interim head coach singing for his supper.

Green Bay is a dismal 1-4-1 ATS on the road this season but none of those games came inside Soldier Field. This is the Packers’ home away from home and it’s nice to be home for the holidays.

Pick: Green Bay +6


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens (-7.5, 46.5)

The Ravens find themselves in a sandwich spot, hosting the Bucs as 7.5-point favorites. Baltimore is coming down off a disappointing finish in Kansas City (losing 27-24 in OT in Week 14) and has a huge lookahead game on deck, traveling to L.A. to take on the Chargers – another team vying for a AFC Wild Card spot - in Week 16.

Thrown into this situational stew is a sprig of internal drama, with the Ravens doing everything but cutting veteran QB Joe Flacco and leaning on rookie “passer” Lamar Jackson down the stretch (and let's not forget RG3). The media is all over this controversy, pulling even more attention away from Tampa Bay.

The Buccaneers are playing much better football over their last four games. Well, three and a half games. Tampa Bay had New Orleans on the ropes with a 14-3 halftime lead last weekend and crumbled in the final 30 minutes.

Regardless, this isn’t the same Tampa team that was the punchline of the league for two and a half months of the season. The stop unit has improved (which wasn’t too hard to do), finally gaining an identity behind a beastly defensive line, and the offense is capitalizing on chances, with a near 78 percent touchdown rate inside the red zone over the past three games.

Pick: Tampa Bay +7.5


Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-10, 44)

Last week, I took the Cardinals +3.5 at home to Detroit and even though Arizona lost that game 17-3, I still feel like it was the correct pick. Weird right?

The Cardinals defense held the Lions to 223 yards of offense and 10 points. The Arizona offense outgained Detroit by 78 yards and won the time of possession battle 31:44 to 28:16, Yet, a pick-6 from rookie Josh Rosen late in the third quarter broke the back of this Arizona team, which would eventually surrender another score in the final minutes of the fourth.

The Cardinals are getting 10 points in Atlanta, where the Falcons drag a five-game losing skid into Mercedes Benz Stadium. Atlanta has lost by an average margin of 10.6 points per game during this slide, allowing rushing totals of 211, 132, 150, 207, and 138 yards. That’s almost 168 yards on the ground against per contest.

Cardinals RB David Johnson has been the scourge of the fantasy football community all season, failing to live up to his past production, but will totally redeem himself (Lloyd Christmas style) and push some long-suffering fantasy GMs to their league finals with a huge effort in Atlanta.

Pick: Arizona +10

Last week: 2-1 ATS
Season: 28-13-1 ATS

 

[bmd1803]

Gridiron Angles - Week 15
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Cowboys are 10-0-1 ATS (9.4 ppg) since Dec 09, 2012 on the road coming off a win where they had at least 400 total yards.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since Oct 28, 2001 as a home favorite of more than three points coming off a road game with less than 300 total yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER ATS TREND:

-- The Buccaneers are 0-8-1 ATS (-5.8 ppg) since Dec 24, 2016 after a loss in which Cameron Brate had a receiving touchdown.

NFL CHOICE TRENDS:

-- The Ravens are 9-0 ATS (18.0 ppg) since Sep 21, 2008 as a home favorite off a game as a dog where they had less than 200 passing yards.

-- The Giants are 9-0 ATS (17.7 ppg) since Sep 25, 2011 coming off a game as a favorite where they allowed no more than 15 first downs.

TOP NFL PLAYER OU TREND:

-- The Patriots are 0-8 OU (-10.3 ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 on the road coming off a road game where Tom Brady threw at least 35 passes.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Texans are 11-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since Nov 14, 2004 coming off a loss in which they had zero turnovers.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Patriots are 0-10-1 OU (-10.1 ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 on the road coming off a loss.

SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:

-- Teams playing their final regular season home game which have won at least six of their first seven home games are 96-77-3 ATS. Active on Chicago.

NFL BIBLE ATS ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Giants are 0-10 ATS (-15.1 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a win as a road favorite in which they benefitted from a turnover margin of+2 or greater.

NFL BIBLE O/U ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Bills are 0-12 OU (-8.9 ppg) off a loss as a home favorite in which they converted at least five third downs.

 

[bmd1803]

TECH TRENDS

BY Bruce Marshall

SUNDAY, DEC. 16

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MIAMI at MINNESOTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Miami only 2-4 vs. spread away TY but is 8-5 overall vs. number and has covered last three. Tannehill 5-2 vs. spread in games he has started. Also “under” 6-1 last seven away. Vikings “under” 5 of last 6 TY and “under” 8-1 last nine at home in reg season.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Dolphins, based on “totals” and trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy on 1-7 SU and 2-6 spread slide. Oakland 5-8 vs. line TY, on 7-17-3 spread skid since early last season, though has covered three of last four. Raiders “over” thre eof last four TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders and “over”, based on recent team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TAMPA BAY at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens have covered last three with Lamar Jackson in lineup. Bucs on 9-5 “over” run since late 2017 though “under” last three.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DALLAS at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dallas has now won and covered last five in 2018 and has covered 3 of last 4 on road. Colts however 6-1 SU last seven TY “under” last 4.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Cowboys, based on recent “totals” and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DETROIT at BUFFALO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions 2-5 vs. spread last seven in 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bills, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Pack 0-8 SU, 1-6-1 vs. line last 8 away since last LY. Though they have won 8 straight at Soldier Field dating to 2010 NFC title game. Bears 7-1 SU and vs. line at home since late 2017. Last four “over” in series.
Tech Edge: Bears and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TENNESSEE at N.Y. GIANTS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Eli 4-0-1 vs. line last five TY, though only 1-4-1 vs. spread at MetLife. Titans snapped 3-game spread skid with win over Jags but only 2-4 vs. spread as visitor TY (not counting London game).
Tech Edge: Giants, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
WASHINGTON at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags 1-9 SU and 1-6-2 vs. line last nine TY, but they are 3-2-1 vs. spread at home. Jags “under” 4-1 last five at home. Skins “under” 6-2 last 8 away since late LY.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ARIZONA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cards 6-4-1 last eleven vs. spread TY, 3-1-1 last five away. Falcs only 3-10 vs. line in 2018. Atlanta no covers last five, 1-4 last five vs. points at Mercedes-Benz.
Tech Edge: Cards, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SEATTLE at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Hawks 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 in 2018, covered last four away. Niners 2-5 last seven vs. line. Hawks have won last ten in series and 8-2 vs. spread in those.
Tech Edge: Seahawks, based on team and series trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ENGLAND at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Belichick has won last five and six of last seven SU vs. Tomlin, 5-1-1 vs. line. Steelers no SU wins last three or covers last four TY (0-3-1). Belichick “under” 12-6 in reg season since mid 2017. Steel however “over” 7-1 last eight at Heinz Field.
Tech Edge: Patriots, based on series trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PHILADELPHIA at L.A. RAMS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Rams surprisingly only 2 covers last ten TY (2-6-2), no covers last four at Coliseum (0-2-2). Birds 4-9 vs. line TY, 4-11-1 last 16 reg season. After 6-2 as dog LY, Eagles 0-2 TY. Birds “under” 10-5 last 15 in reg season.
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MONDAY, DEC. 17

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at CAROLINA (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. ET)
Saints won all three meetings LY (2-1 vs. line including wild card round) and have covered last four at Charlotte. Brees 10-1 vs. spread last ten TY, Cam no wins or covers last five. “Overs” 7-1 last eight meetings.
Tech Edge: Saints and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

 

[bmd1803]

SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Patriots vs. Steelers
Bonus Play on Steelers +3 -115

 

[bmd1803]

JACK JONES
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Cardinals vs. Falcons

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals +10

The Atlanta Falcons are just not in a good state of mind right now. And with their poor mental state, they have no business laying 10 points this week, not even against a team that’s considered to be one of the worst in the NFL in the Arizona Cardinals. Let’s dive a little deeper into Atlanta’s state of mind.

This is a Falcons team that went to the Super Bowl two years ago and lost to the Patriots in excruciating fashion. Then last year they earned their way back to the playoffs and even beat the Rams on the road before a tough loss to the Eagles. So this is a team used to playing in big games the past two seasons.

But here they sit at 4-9 on the season and with nothing to play for. It has been a challenge for them to find reasons to be motivated every week, and they just haven’t been. They got back to 4-4 on the season with back-to-back wins over the Giants and Redskins, but have completely fallen apart since.

Indeed, the Falcons are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. Four of those five losses came by double-digits, and the five losses have come by an average of 10.6 points per game. That’s the sign of a team that has quit, and at the very least one that is just going through the motions. How can they possibly be motivated to face this 3-10 Arizona team this week?

The Falcons have an atrocious defense that is giving up 28.2 points and 387.1 yards per game on the season. They have been even worse at home, giving up 28.7 points and 430.6 yards per game in their seven home games thus far. They are just 2-5 ATS at home this season, and 3-10 ATS overall.

The Cardinals have a first-year head coach and a rookie quarterback in Josh Rosen, who is making strides every week. They are exactly the type of team that even at 3-10 will show up every week. They certainly showed up two weeks ago in their last road game, a shocking 20-17 upset win at Green Bay as 13.5-point underdogs. That’s the same Packers team that just beat the Falcons 34-20 at home last week.

I think the Cardinals are being undervalued off their 3-17 home loss to the Lions last week. But that was one of the most misleading finals of the week. The Lions only had one offensive touchdown and managed just 218 total yards against this very solid Arizona defense. The Cardinals outgained them by 61 yards, yet lost by 14.

Rosen should get some help this week from running back David Johnson, who should have plenty of success against this Atlanta defense. The Falcons rank 26th in the NFL in giving up 131.2 rushing yards per game, and they are even worse ranking 29th in yards per carry (5.0) allowed. Opposing quarterbacks are also completing 71.3% of their passes inside the Georgia Dome this season. Rosen is in line for one of his best games of the season.

Plays on road teams (Arizona) - after failing to cover three of their last four games coming in, in December games are 43-16 (72.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven against NFC opponents. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

 

[bmd1803]

COLE FAXON
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Packers vs. Bears
Bonus Play on Packers +6 -115

 

[bmd1803]

Doc’s Sports

Take #313 Dallas Cowboys over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX)

Just believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Dallas has won 5 straight games including beating teams that are better than what they will see from Indianapolis this week. The Colts need to win out to keep their slim hopes of a playoff berth alive and I just do not see that happening. They will struggle to move the football against the Cowboys defense and expect this to be a low scoring game. Dallas has covered the spread in 5 straight games during this 5 game winning streak. Indianapolis is 5-12 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 19 games following a victory in their previous game.

 

[bmd1803]

RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Cowboys vs. Colts
Dallas +3

The Cowboys have completely turned their season around.

After it looked like they were down and out, the offense has completely shifted gears with Amari Cooper coming over. He added the value on Sunday as he caught a deflected pass in overtime to help Dallas grab a win over Philadelphia.

They hold value here on Sunday as the Colts haven't been as sharp as they'd like to be as of late. Indianapolis has been sloppy taking caring of the ball and have struggled to cover the number at home.

Grab the points here. Back Dallas.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

 

[bmd1803]

TIM MICHAEL
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Cowboys vs. Colts
Cowboys+3 -115

T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys (Bonus Play)

The Colts bounced back last week from a 6-0 defeat to Jacksonville to knock off the red hot Texans in an important divisional battle, but I think they’ll have their hands full with a Cowboys team which has completely turned its season around and looks great in all three phases. The Boys are 8-5 after last weekend’s crucial 29-23 OT home win over the Eagles. While Andrew Luck has the advantage over his counterpart Dak Prescott under center, I’m giving the nod to Dallas in the run game, on defense and also in special teams. Note as well that the Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 as an underdog, while the Colts are just 10-11 ATS in their last 21 at home, including only 2-3 ATS this season. Consider Dallas.

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Dallas.

 

[bmd1803]

INFO PLAYS
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Eagles vs. Rams
1* Bonus Play on Eagles +11 -110

 

[bmd1803]

MARK WILSON
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Titans vs. Giants
Bonus Play on Giants -2½ -120

 

[bmd1803]

CALVIN KING
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Lions vs. Bills
[1%] Bonus Play on Bills -1

 

[bmd1803]

ART ARONSON
NFL | Dec 16, 2018
Bucs vs. Ravens
Ravens-8 -106

This is a 1* Bonus Play on the Baltimore Ravens.

The Bucs did their best to play “spoiler” to the Saints last weekend and while they looked “OK” for one quarter, eventually they’d stumble and succumb to the superior team. The Bucs laid everything on the line at home and the result was a 28-14 setback. Now they have to hit the road and face the league’s No. 1 defense which comes in off a tough 27-24 OT road loss in KC. The Ravens will be hungry to return to form and to keep pace in the playoff picture.

Additionally note that Tampa is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after a loss by ten points or more, while Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. Lay the points.

AAA Sports