Sunday 1/11/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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English Premier TODAY 13:30
ArsenalvStoke
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS19/20

15/4

7

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KEY STAT: Six of Stoke’s eight league defeats this season have been by a single goal

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal’s away defeat at Southampton in their last league outing was a setback in their bid for a top-four finish, but it shouldn’t stop punters backing them on home soil. The Gunners continue to impress in front of their own fans, losing just once at home all season – a defeat by Manchester United in a game that they dominated - and a narrow win looks likely.

RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal to win 2-1
1


REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 16:00
Man UtdvSouthampton
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS117/20

11/4

7/2

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KEY STAT: Robin van Persie has scored six goals in the last five matches between the teams

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester United rate unappealing odds-on shots and the best bet could be backing goals. Southampton’s attacking threat has been nullified slightly by the aabsence of Sadio Mane, but they’ve scored 34 league goals this term – the same as United – and both teams to score has copped in the past six meetings.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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REFEREE: Phil Dowd STADIUM:

 

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Italian Serie A TODAY 11:30
IntervGenoa
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT18/13

11/4

9/2

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KEY STAT: Inter have lost just one of their last eight home fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Roberto Mancini has had a tough first seven weeks in his second coming as Inter head coach but there have been signs of improvement and the process can continue with a victory at home to Genoa. Inter's 1-1 draw at Juventus sets them up nicely for the match with Genoa, who have taken one point from the last three games.

RECOMMENDATION: Inter
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Italian Serie A TODAY 14:00
RomavLazio
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT1Evs
23/10
14/5
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KEY STAT: Roma are unbeaten in their last nine domestic home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Lazio failed to score in either of last season's Roman derbies and may once again struggle to make an impression against their city rivals. Roma have responded to Champions League elimination by taking seven points from nine and can keep up the pressure on title rivals Juventus, who are just a point better off.

RECOMMENDATION: Roma
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French Division 1 TODAY 16:00
LyonvToulouse
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ESPN8/15

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KEY STAT: Lyon have won eight home matches in a row in Ligue 1

EXPERT VERDICT: Toulouse beat Lyon 2-1 on the opening day but Hubert Fournier’s side have improved significantly since that defeat and can reverse the form. Lyon, who have been lifted by the outstanding form of Alexandre Lacazette, have a formidable home record and should comfortably account for a side who have lost nine of their last 12.

RECOMMENDATION: Lyon
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French Division 1 TODAY 16:00
NantesvMetz
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BT13/4

13/5

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KEY STAT: Metz have lost six of their last seven Ligue 1 fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Nantes needed extra-time to see off Metz in the League Cup but they should be able to prevail in 90 minutes this time against the team with the worst away record in the division. Metz have scored a paltry three goals in their ten road fixtures and the shosts can maintain their decent run.

RECOMMENDATION: Nantes
1


 
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Yonkers: Sunday 1/11 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

FINAL 2014 MEET STATS: 376 - 1439 / $2,516.70 BEST BETS: 32 - 118 / $154.60

Best Bet: AMERICAN FLIGHT (12th)

Spot Play: HUNKOFBURNINLOVE (5th)


Race 1

(5) CLIENT NINE Sharp trotter can keep on his winning ways. (7) CANDY STASH got the job done last out at The Meadowlands. (9) TAMASIN HALL showed good speed for win honors last time out at the Big M.

Race 2

(3) ROSE RUN NASH was used up in the early stages last out. Trotter could be a serious threat with a perfect trip. (5) BAMBINO HALL flashed good speed in Jersey finale last time around. (8) SELENA is not out of this.

Race 3

(10) DR CAL Philly invader fits with these and could boss this group at his best. (4) COMMISSIONER DALEY has scored in his last two trips. (5) SCOTTISH CROSS was nailed last out for win honors.

Race 4

(4) HERE COMES NUMBERS is back at Yonkers where he has done quite well; contender. (9) NOBLE WARRAWEE was caught at the wire in his latest trip to the post; main danger. (6) ALTERNAT THURSDAYS has hit the board in his last two starts; watch out.

Race 5

(4) HUNKOFBURNINLOVE put in a game effort for the place spot last time out. Trotter seems ready to make today a winning one. (1) VALLEY GLIDER should fare quite well from the fence. (10) HALLANET did show some early zip last time around.

Race 6

(4) BIG BILL BREEZE was quite good in his latest and he surely can get back to his winning ways against these. (2) SHORTSKIRTNHIHEELS Pennsylvania invader has fine speed; she's a threat in here. (3) DOT DOT DOT DASH will be closing in the final strides.

Race 7

(3) DO IT FOR ANNIE Trotting miss put in an even finish recently and she is capable of moving forward. (2) NOWERLAND FIREBIRD is clearly better than her last flop. (6) SUN OF A VICTORY could land a share of the purse.

Race 8

(5) NOT AFRAID is back at Yonkers where this trotter got the job done two trips ago. Ready to get back on the winning track today. (1) TAKE MY PICTURE should do much better from the rail slot. (7) DANCEHALL MISTRESS She fits well in here; watch out.

Race 9

(3) CANBEC FRIDOLIN is knocking at the door. Has the tactical speed to pounce and score over these. (4) JESSES STORY was second best in her last try. (5) STIR ME UP could have a say in the outcome.

Race 10

Will take a shot with (6) ABC CROWN ME QUEEN to put it all together and get the job done. (4) THROUGH THE NIGHT Gelding was a game third last time out. (2) CC MISTER C closed strongly last out to grab the show spot.

Race 11

(3) BRETT MCFAVRELOUS put in a mild rally last time out and with the right trip, he could mow these down for all the glory. (5) BUBBIE BOY just got up for show honors at Philly last out. (7) WESTERN COLE could grab a share.

Race 12

(2) AMERICAN FLIGHT showed signs of life recently and this gelding seems to be ready to put his best foot forward. (5) TWIN B FLIRT Good score at The Meadowlands last out; big threat again. (3) FRITZIE PIC UP MAN should fare well from the three slot; don't overlook.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (3rd) Culminating, 3-1
(6th) Building Permit, 4-1


Fair Grounds (3rd) Idealities, 7-2
(8th) Pleasant Tales, 8-1


Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Eltoninadress, 7-2
(6th) Ted Oliver, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (4th) Copper Hill, 8-1
(9th) Winning for Sarah, 10-1


Parx Racing (3rd) Break Your Heart, 3-1
(7th) What's Your Excuse, 6-1


Santa Anita (1st) Empty Headed, 3-1
(9th) Pat the Bear, 9-2


Sunland Park (4th) Lonnie Ton, 3-1
(8th) Zach's Dash, 8-1


Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Standing Appeal, 4-1
(8th) Racetrack Romance, 3-1


Turfway Park (1st) Code Blue Zone, 6-1
(9th) Patrick's Joy, 5-1
 
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AFC Divisional Cheat Sheet

Odds provided by the LVH SuperBook at Westgate Las Vegas Resort

Sunday, January 11

AFC – Indianapolis at Denver (CBS, 4:40 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Denver -7.5, Total 52.5

Indianapolis Road Record: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS
Denver Home Record: 8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS

Head-to-Head: In Week 1, Denver defeated Indianapolis 31-24 at home but failed to cover as an eight-point home favorite. The Broncos led 24-3 at the break and 31-10 late in the fourth quarter before the Colts earned the backdoor cover with 14 unanswered points. These teams met last season at Indianapolis and the Colts earned a 39-33 win at home as 6 ½-point underdogs.

Playoff Notes: Since QB Peton Manning arrived in Denver, the Broncos are a pedestrian 2-2 in the playoffs and only 1-3 versus the number. The Colts are 2-2 both SU and ATS in the playoffs under Andrew Luck, both losses coming on the road by double digits.

Total Notes: The Broncos saw the ‘over’ go 10-6 this season, 6-2 at home. The ‘over’ has gone 9-8 for the Colts this season, but the ‘under’ owns a 5-3 mark on the road. The last two encounters between the teams went ‘over’ with totals ranging from 53 ½ to 55 points.
 
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NFC Divisional Cheat Sheet

Odds provided by the LVH SuperBook at Westgate Las Vegas Resort

Sunday, January 11

NFC – Dallas at Green Bay (FOX, 1:05 p.m. ET)

Opening Line: Green Bay -6.5, 52.5

Dallas Road Record: 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS
Green Bay Home Record: 8-0 SU, 6-1-1 ATS

Head-to-Head: These teams met last season and Green Bay earned a 37-36 win at Dallas as a four-point underdog with backup QB Matt Flynn under center. Prior to this meeting, the last encounter came in 2010. The Packers have won and covered four of the last five meetings at home against the Cowboys, all four victories coming by double digits.

Playoff Notes:The Packers are 5-4 SU and 5-3-1 ATS in the playoffs with QB Aaron Rodgers under center. Two of those losses came at home. Prior to Sunday’s Wild Card win over Detroit, the Cowboys haven’t been in the postseason since 2009. QB Tony Romo is 2-3 both SU and ATS in the playoffs, going 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS on the road.

Total Notes: The Packers watched the ‘over’ go 11-5 this season, which includes a 7-1 record at home. Green Bay averaged a league-best 39.8 points per game at home. Dallas was a strong ‘over’ bet (7-1) on the road behind an offense that averaged 34.4 PPG.
 
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NFL Opening Line Report:
By COLIN KELLY

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-6.5)

Dallas, in the playoffs for the first time in five years, rallied to beat Detroit 24-20 Sunday but fell short at the betting window as 6-point chalk. Now the third-seeded Cowboys (13-4 SU, 10-7 ATS), who have won five in a row SU (4-1 ATS), get to go on the road, where they are an impeccable 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS this season.

Green Bay (12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) had a bye as the NFC’s No. 2 seed, after closing the season with a 30-20 home win over Detroit giving 8.5 points. The Packers are on a 7-1 SU run (5-3 ATS) heading into Sunday’s divisional contest.

“Well, the media got the matchup it wanted, and we have two teams the public loves to play, so action will be heavy,” Lester said. “I would’ve liked to open this at a touchdown, but we anticipate early action on the Pack, and we know we will have our normal massive allotment of players on Dallas.”

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-7)

Fourth-seeded Indianapolis (12-5 SU, 11-5-1 ATS) dumped Cincinnati 26-10 laying 3.5 points at home in a Sunday wild-card game. That set up a rematch next Sunday with Denver, which beat the Colts 31-24 in the regular-season opener, with Indy cashing as an 8-point road pup.

Denver (12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS), the No. 2 seed, had a bye after capping the regular season with a 47-14 trouncing of Oakland laying 16.5 points at home.

“We went with the safe number again here, but I expect we will see some upward push from the bettors, as they never shy away from Denver,” Lester said. “Unlike the Bengals, the Broncos actually have some pass rushers who can get to Andrew Luck. I think the Colts certainly have a chance at Mile High, but we were all on the same page and very confident in setting this spread.”
 
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Pagano, Colts begin prep for Peyton
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

INDIANAPOLIS -- And so, Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts and former Colt record-setting quarterback Peyton Manning now brace for another collision.

By virtue of their 26-10 victory Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals, the AFC No. 4 seed Colts will travel to No. 2 seed Denver on Jan. 11 to meet the Broncos, who now have that Manning fellow under center.

Indianapolis defeated Denver in 2013 in a regular-season game, and the Broncos opened the 2014 season with a 31-24 victory against the Colts in Denver.

The winner of this game will play for the AFC championship, and Denver and Indianapolis will play in 2015 in Lucas Oil Stadium.

No matter how hard they try, Luck and Manning can't seem to avoid each other. Less than 45 minutes after Sunday's game ended, Luck and Colts coach Chuck Pagano were peppered with questions about facing Manning and the Broncos yet again.

"To me, we face the Broncos, and it's not quarterback versus quarterback," Luck said. "At the same time, I have a lot of respect for him and for what he does. It is amazing. But I have to worry about the Denver defense. Now, we have to try and keep the journey alive."

Pagano is eager for the challenge.

"This is a great opportunity," Pagano said. "Week One seems like a lifetime ago. We dug ourselves a hole and found a way to get back within a touchdown. We have another shot at their place. It's always a challenge to play the Broncos, and obviously, they have a great, great quarterback. It is a huge challenge, but we will embrace the opportunity."

Pagano is confident Luck will be ready to match Manning in the passing game.

"Today, Andrew was outstanding," Pagano said. "He just took what they gave him. And I think that is why Boom Herron had 10 catches. They weren't going to let our game-breakers get behind them, so there were a bunch of things underneath. The magical touchdown pass to Donte Moncrief was Andrew at his finest. He made great decisions all day long."


--With Trent Richardson limited by flu-like symptoms, Herron rushed 12 times for 56 yards and caught 10 passes for 85 yards. Herron filled the role that Ahmad Bradshaw had played in the 27-0 regular-season win over the Bengals.

"He is gaining confidence," Pagano said of former Ohio State standout Herron. "There were some plays out there that he would like to have back, but the guy is a playmaker who can create. When there is not much there, he has the ability to create his own yards and make people miss in space. I am proud of where he is. It is coming at a good time."

Pagano expected Richardson to play until late Friday.

Richardson practiced on Wednesday and Thursday, and then was dealing with the flu and missed Friday's practice. Herron got most of the reps on Friday and Saturday, so Pagano went with him Sunday.

"We anticipate having him back for the Denver game," Pagano said.

--Having failed to win a playoff game since 1991, Bengals coach Marvin Lewis still believes his team has the right pieces to win.

"I think we do have to be happy with the core," Lewis said. "But obviously we got depleted by injuries late in the season. That is part of it though, and we've got to keep finding a way. I think guys gained experience through this. It is a learning experience for some to always be ready. We have done a good job of that, but today, it was not quite enough."

--The Colts are expecting plenty of pressure packages from the Denver Broncos this week. Luck had two interceptions and was hit six times, including six sacks, in the Week 1 loss at Mile High. Indianapolis has battled injuries on the offensive line all season. Other than left tackle Anthony Castonzo, who started all 17 games, the Colts have used at least three starters at every offensive line position.

"I think this was our 11th starting lineup when you talk about the offensive line," Pagano said. "Credit the offensive line coaches and those players for sticking to the process and those guys staying ready, and having a quarterback that, he's unflappable that way. It doesn't really matter, as long as we've got five guys in front of him, he doesn't really care who the jersey numbers are."
 
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AFC playoffs have familiar feel
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

INDIANAPOLIS -- The past three conference champions and the Indianapolis Colts are the four teams still standing in the American Football Conference.

Indianapolis advanced to the divisional playoffs for a rematch with the Denver Broncos with a 26-10 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. That game will be the final game played next weekend, Sunday at 4:30 p.m. ET, and is the third matchup between Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck. Manning threw three touchdown passes and the Broncos built a 31-10 lead before hanging on to beat the Colts 31-24 in Week 1 of the 2014 regular season.

"We know they're a tough team," Luck said Sunday. "We know they're a great team. It'll take perfection in all three phases."

Denver, the reigning AFC champion, knows the Colts can go as far as their quarterback takes them.

"He's one of those guys that you have to play a 60-minute game against. He has really good pocket awareness. He's always one of those guys, just like Peyton (Manning), where he hits the open guy the majority of the time," Broncos defensive end DeMarcus Ware said. "He plays a fundamentally sound game. He's one of those quarterbacks you don't want to go against, but you have to make sure you get pressure on him and make him one-dimensional."

Luck passed for 376 yards against the Bengals, his third consecutive 300-yard passing game in the postseason.
 
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NFL Divisional Playoffs: Ice Bowl II?
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

ARLINGTON, Texas -- Dallas defeated the Detroit Lions 24-20 at home Sunday, and now the Cowboys take their show on the road, where they were undefeated in 2014.

For the first time since the fabled Ice Bowl in 1967, the Cowboys make a postseason trip to Lambeau Field for Sunday's divisional playoff game against the NFC's second-seeded Green Bay Packers (12-4), who had a bye during wild card weekend. The Cowboys (13-4) were the NFL's only team with a perfect 8-0 record on the road in the regular season.

The Packers were undefeated at home (8-0) in 2014.

The Ice Bowl was the 1967 NFL Championship Game, played Dec. 31, 1967. The Packers won the game 21-17 with coach Vince Lombardi beating Tom Landry's Cowboys with a reported wind-chill factor of 48 degrees below zero.

Accuweather calls for highs near 21 degrees in Green Bay on Sunday.

The past three conference champions and the Indianapolis Colts are the four teams still standing in the American Football Conference.

Indianapolis advanced to the divisional playoffs for a rematch with the Denver Broncos with a 26-10 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. That game will be the final game played next weekend, Sunday at 4:30 p.m. ET, and is the third matchup between Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck. Manning threw three touchdown passes and the Broncos built a 31-10 lead before hanging on to beat the Colts 31-24 in Week 1 of the 2014 regular season.

"We know they're a tough team," Luck said Sunday. "We know they're a great team. It'll take perfection in all three phases."

Denver, the reigning AFC champion, knows the Colts can go as far as their quarterback takes them.

"He's one of those guys that you have to play a 60-minute game against. He has really good pocket awareness. He's always one of those guys, just like Peyton (Manning), where he hits the open guy the majority of the time," Broncos defensive end DeMarcus Ware said. "He plays a fundamentally sound game. He's one of those quarterbacks you don't want to go against, but you have to make sure you get pressure on him and make him one-dimensional."

Luck passed for 376 yards against the Bengals, his third consecutive 300-yard passing game in the postseason.
 
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Packers open as 6-point faves over Cowboys
Andrew Avery

Green Bay Packers as 6-point home faves for their NFC Divisional Round playoff game versus the Dallas Cowboys.

The Cowboys prevailed 24-20 over the Detroit Lions Sunday, but failed to cover as 6-point home faves.

Total for the NFC showdown at 53.
 

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