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Take #487 New England (-6.5) over Detroit (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
I don't see any way that this game isn't a blowout for the Patriots. First off, you never need an excuse to bet on the Patriots. Over the last 15 years this is the most profitable team in NFL history against the spread. They have covered nearly 65 percent of their games during that stretch and the Patriots are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 games over the last four seasons. New England is also coming off a loss. They are a phenomenal 43-18 (70.1 percent) ATS in their last 61 games after a loss and this team usually goes bonkers on opponents after taking an L. Bill Belichick is also facing one of his old assistants, Matt Patricia. Patricia is a pud. He did next to nothing to earn that job and he has been nothing but incompetent to this point in it. I think that Belichick can and will absolutely bury his former defensive coordinator. The Lions have looked like trash in both of their games. They were blown out by 47-10 in their home opener by the Jets. (Read that sentence again.) Then they were down 30-13 late in the fourth quarter against the 49ers before some vintage Matt Stafford garbage time scores made that final score look way, way closer than it should've been. This team is not good. By all reports the players don't really like Patricia and haven't taken to his style. And they don't have the personnel to really get after the Patriots in this one. These guys were one of the worst teams in the league in the preseason and have been one of the worst teams in the league to this point in the season. We've seen what the Pats do to bad teams: they bury them. That's exactly what I think they do here.
 

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