Sunday 09/09/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

Preview: Seahawks at Broncos
Gracenote
Sep 7, 2018

The Seattle Seahawks missed the playoffs last season for the first time since 2011, and they begin their quest to return to postseason play when they visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday. Denver understands that misery as it has missed the playoffs in consecutive seasons and recorded just five wins last year.

Broncos general manager John Elway wasn't happy with the play at quarterback last season as the trio of Trevor Siemian, Brock Osweiler and Paxton Lynch combined for 22 interceptions, so he signed Case Keenum (3,547 yards, 22 touchdowns) to a two-year, $36 million contract after his breakthrough campaign with Minnesota. "Come on. He's played in big games. He got to within one win of the Super Bowl last year," Denver coach Vance Joseph said after a reporter asked if Keenum was up to the challenge. "I think he's going to be even better than we've seen." Seattle has its own fine quarterback in Russell Wilson, who led the NFL and tied the franchise mark in 2017 with 34 touchdown passes while throwing for 3,983 yards and rushing for a team-best 586. "The biggest thing is, I think Russell's better," Seahawks receiver Doug Baldwin told reporters. "This is the best I've seen Russ since he's been here. I'm really excited and happy for his progress, because obviously that makes us a lot better. It makes it easier on us."

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Broncos -3. O/U: 43

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (2017: 9-7, 2ND IN NFC WEST): Establishing the run was tough for Seattle last season, but hopes are high that the ground game will be vastly improved with Chris Carson (208 yards in four games) recovered from a broken leg and first-round pick Rashaad Penny offering support. Star middle linebacker Bobby Wagner (133 tackles last season) leads the defense, while rookie Shaquem Griffin will start in place of weak-side linebacker K.J. Wright (knee). Safety Earl Thomas ended his holdout on Wednesday, leaving his status for the season opener up in the air, but the secondary is in revamping mode after the departures of cornerback Richard Sherman (San Francisco) and safety Kam Chancellor (career-ending neck injury).

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2017: 5-11, 4TH IN AFC WEST): Third-round draft pick Royce Freeman had a strong preseason, beating out Devontae Booker for the starting job at running back. "He can carry the load from a physical standpoint and a mental standpoint," Joseph told reporters. "He was really good in pass (protection). That's your biggest worry about having a young halfback playing with a veteran quarterback - the pass (protection) issues." Star linebacker Von Miller (NFL-best 83.5 sacks since 2011) has reached double digits in sacks in six of his first seven seasons, while linebacker Brandon Marshall has topped 100 tackles in three straight campaigns.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Broncos routed the Seahawks 43-8 in Super Bowl XLVIII following the 2013 season.

2. Denver WR Demaryius Thomas ranks second in franchise history with 8,653 receiving yards and 57 touchdown catches, and third with 629 receptions.

3. Baldwin has 29 touchdown receptions since the start of the 2015 season, the second-most in the NFL during that span.

PREDICTION: Seahawks 23, Broncos 20

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Seattle

Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1.
Seahawks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Denver

Broncos are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 1.
Broncos are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Broncos are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

OU Trends
Seattle

Under is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 road games.
Under is 6-2 in Seahawks last 8 games in September.

Denver

Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games in September.
Over is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games in Week 1.
Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games overall.

Head to Head

Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Denver.
Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Denver.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Redskins at Cardinals
Gracenote
Sep 6, 2018

Two teams pinning their hopes on new quarterbacks will do battle on Sunday as the Washington Redskins visit the Arizona Cardinals in the season opener for both clubs. Washington finally realized Kirk Cousins was not the answer, allowing him to flee to Minnesota as a free agent after acquiring Alex Smith in a trade with Kansas City.

Smith subsequently was signed to a massive four-year, $94 million contract after guiding the Chiefs to double-digit victory totals and playoff appearances in four of his five seasons with the team. The three-time Pro Bowler has attempted at least 450 passes and thrown fewer than 10 interceptions in each of his last five campaigns, the longest such streak in NFL history. Arizona transitions from one injury-plagued quarterback to another as Sam Bradford takes over for the retired Carson Palmer. The 30-year-old Bradford, who signed a two-year contract in March, gets a chance with his fourth team after appearing in only two games with Minnesota last season due to a knee injury.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Cardinals -1. O/U: 43.5

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (2017: 7-9, 3RD IN NFC EAST): Smith is hoping fellow newcomer Adrian Peterson will help make the offense successful as the seven-time Pro Bowler and former league MVP needs 37 rushing yards to pass Marshall Faulk (12,279) and Jim Brown (12,312) and climb into the top 10 in NFL history. With 97 yards on Sunday against the team with which he finished last season, Peterson will join Brown, Emmitt Smith, Walter Payton and Edgerrin James as the only players rush for 1,000 in season openers. Washington, which is beginning a season on the road for the first time since 2014, is seeking its first win in Arizona since posting a 17-13 victory in 2005 at Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (2017: 8-8, 3RD IN NFC WEST): David Johnson, who is seeking a new contract, is hoping to prove his doubters wrong after having his 2017 campaign ended by the dislocated wrist he suffered in the season opener. "I think everyone has a question mark on me," Johnson, who rushed for 1,239 yards and recorded another 879 on 80 receptions in 2016, told reporters on Wednesday. "They don't know how good I'm going to be. I don't know, a lot of people probably overlook what I did in 2016." Larry Fitzgerald looks to add another milestone to his resume as he needs eight receiving yards to join Hall-of-Famers Jerry Rice, Andre Reed, Randy Moss and Don Maynard as the only players with at least 1,000 and eight touchdown catches in season-opening games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Peterson's next rushing touchdown will be the 100th of his career, making him the seven player in league history to reach the century mark while also gaining at least 12,000 yards on the ground.

2. Fitzgerald also needs one reception to extend his streak to 212 consecutive games, which would move him past Tony Gonzalez for the second-longest run in NFL history, and one TD catch to tie the former tight end for seventh on the all-time list with 111.

3. Washington placed RB Byron Marshall (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday and signed LB Josh Keyes, who was released by Houston four days earlier.

PREDICTION: Redskins 33, Cardinals 14

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Washington

Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Redskins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.

Arizona

Cardinals are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Cardinals are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

OU Trends
Washington

Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games overall.
Over is 10-3 in Redskins last 13 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 games in September.
Over is 20-8 in Redskins last 28 games on grass.
Over is 20-8 in Redskins last 28 vs. NFC.
Under is 15-7 in Redskins last 22 games in Week 1.

Arizona

Under is 15-5 in Cardinals last 20 home games.
Under is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games on grass.
Under is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 vs. NFC.
Under is 15-7 in Cardinals last 22 games in September.

Head to Head

Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Arizona.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Bears at Packers
Gracenote
Sep 6, 2018

The NFL's oldest rivalry, one that featured such legendary names of Halas and Lombardi, has taken on a Moneyball slant entering the 2018 season. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers became the highest-paid player in NFL history last month and will guide the Green Bay Packers into a Week 1 matchup against the visiting Chicago Bears and new meal ticket Khalil Mack on Sunday night.

Rodgers signed a four-year, $134 million contract extension but his true value was evident last season when he missed nine games due to a broken collarbone and the Packers spiraled to a 7-9 record. "Obviously, my financial commitment is such that I feel good about my place on the team in the next few years," Rodgers said. "I want to go out and prove that I'm still an elite payer in this league, and if I do that then I'll feel good (that) I've got the opportunity to finish my career in Green Bay." Ready to make Rodgers earn every dime is Mack, who was acquired by Chicago in a blockbuster trade with Oakland and rewarded with the richest contract given to a defensive player -- a whopping six-year, $141 million extension. The Bears, who have finished last in the NFC North four years running, also will feature a different look on the other side of the ball as they begin a new era under first-year head coach Matt Nagy.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Packers -7. O/U: 47.5

ABOUT THE BEARS (5-11, 4TH IN NFC NORTH): Chicago traded a pair of first-round draft picks as part of the package to bring in Mack, the 2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year who has registered double-digit sacks in each of the past three seasons. The Bears also used a first-round draft pick (No. 8 overall) to select linebacker Roquan Smith out of Georgia to further bolster a defense that ranked No. 7 against the pass with an average of 211.0 yards in 2017. Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky threw for only 2,193 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games as a rookie last season, but he has plenty of new weapons in wide receivers Allen Robinson (Jacksonville) and Taylor Gabriel (Atlanta) along with tight end Trey Burton (Philadelphia). Jordan Howard has rushed for at least 1,100 yards in each of his first two seasons while Tarik Cohen provides a dynamic pass-catching threat in the backfield.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (7-9, 3RD IN NFC NORTH): Rodgers' impact on Green Bay's offense cannot be overstated -- the two-time NFL MVP started all 16 games from 2014-16 and amassed 109 touchdown passes against only 20 interceptions. Longtime favorite target Jordie Nelson was let go in the offseason, but Rodgers still has plenty of options with returning wideouts Davante Adams and Randall Cobb (140 combined catches in 2017) and the arrival of tight end Jimmy Graham, who had 10 TD receptions with Seattle last season. Jamaal Williams rushed for a team-high 556 yards last season and will share the load with Ty Montgomery while Aaron Jones serves a two-game suspension for violating the league's substance abuse policy. The Packers were 26th in points allowed (24.0) and 22nd in total defense, leading to the dismissal of defensive coordinator Dom Capers and the hiring of Mike Pettine.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Rodgers had 14 touchdown passes and one interception in his last four home starts versus Chicago.

2. Mack, the No. 5 overall pick in the 2014 NFL Draft, has 36.5 sacks over the last three seasons.

3. Green Bay has won four straight against the Bears and leads the all-time series 95-93-6.

PREDICTION: Packers 26, Bears 20

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Chicago

Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.

Green Bay

Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 1.
Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.

OU Trends
Chicago

Under is 6-0 in Bears last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 vs. NFC.
Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 road games.
Under is 8-3 in Bears last 11 games on grass.
Under is 10-4 in Bears last 14 games in Week 1.

Green Bay

Over is 6-1 in Packers last 7 games in Week 1.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games in September.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games on grass.
Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 vs. NFC North.
Over is 17-5 in Packers last 22 vs. NFC.
Over is 22-7 in Packers last 29 games overall.

Head to Head

Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Favorite is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Green Bay.
Bears are 10-25-1 ATS in their last 36 meetings.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Green Bay.

 

[bmd1803]

(459) BUFFALO @ (460) BALTIMORE | 09/09/2018 - 1:00 PM
Play ON BALTIMORE using the money line in Home games in September games
The record is 29 Wins and 7 Losses since 1992 (+23.70 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(469) KANSAS CITY @ (470) LA CHARGERS | 09/09/2018 - 4:05 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the money line in All games versus division opponents
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.10 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(457) CINCINNATI @ (458) INDIANAPOLIS | 09/09/2018 - 1:00 PM
Play UNDER INDIANAPOLIS on the total in Home games against conference opponents
The record is 1 Overs and 11 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.90 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(469) KANSAS CITY @ (470) LA CHARGERS | 09/09/2018 - 4:05 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY in the first half in All games versus division opponents
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+9.90 units)

 

[bmd1803]

NFL Dunkel

Sunday, September 9

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland

Game 453-454
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
129.902
Cleveland
127.832
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 6
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+6); Under

San Francisco @ Minnesota

Game 455-456
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
137.687
Minnesota
136.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+6); Over

Cincinnati @ Indianapolis

Game 457-458
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
129.229
Indianapolis
122.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 6 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+3); Over

Buffalo @ Baltimore

Game 459-460
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
122.985
Baltimore
137.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 14 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 7
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-7); Under

Jacksonville @ NY Giants

Game 461-462
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
136.232
NY Giants
124.735
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 11 1/2
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-3); Under

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans

Game 463-464
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
127.806
New Orleans
142.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 14 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 9 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-9 1/2); Over

Houston @ New England

Game 465-466
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
117.759
New England
141.487
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 23 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-6 1/2); Over

Tennessee @ Miami

Game 467-468
September 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
125.925
Miami
129.438
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 3 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+1 1/2); Under

Kansas City @ San Diego

Game 469-470
September 9, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
133.795
San Diego
134.631
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
by 3 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+3 1/2); Under

Seattle @ Denver

Game 471-472
September 9, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
132.927
Denver
125.244
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 7 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3
42
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+3); Over

Dallas @ Carolina

Game 473-474
September 9, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
134.042
Carolina
133.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+3); Over

Washington @ Arizona

Game 475-476
September 9, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
127.693
Arizona
132.198
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 4 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
Pick
44
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
Under

Chicago @ Green Bay

Game 477-478
September 9, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
123.166
Green Bay
133.561
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 10 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 8
48
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-8); Under

 

[bmd1803]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Sunday, September 9

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PITTSBURGH (13 - 4) at CLEVELAND (0 - 16) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 105-77 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 10) at MINNESOTA (14 - 4) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 12) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (9 - 8) at BALTIMORE (9 - 7) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (12 - 7) at NY GIANTS (3 - 13) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (5 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 6) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (4 - 12) at NEW ENGLAND (15 - 4) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (10 - 8) at MIAMI (6 - 10) - 9/9/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 112-146 ATS (-48.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (10 - 7) at LA CHARGERS (9 - 7) - 9/9/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (9 - 7) at DENVER (5 - 11) - 9/9/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (9 - 7) at CAROLINA (11 - 6) - 9/9/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (7 - 9) at ARIZONA (8 - 8) - 9/9/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (5 - 11) at GREEN BAY (7 - 9) - 9/9/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 108-78 ATS (+22.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 187-133 ATS (+40.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

NFL

Week 1


Trend Report


Sunday, September 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New Orleans's last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
San Francisco is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Minnesota is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco


Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 7-11-3 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo


Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Jacksonville is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games
NY Giants is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 12 games at home
NY Giants is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville


Houston Texans
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games when playing New England
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
New England is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New England's last 15 games
New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 13 games at home
New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Houston
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 10 games when playing Houston
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston


Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Tennessee is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tennessee's last 18 games when playing Miami
Tennessee is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tennessee's last 13 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 2-7-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games
Miami is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games at home
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Miami is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Tennessee
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 13 games when playing at home against Tennessee


Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Cincinnati is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Indianapolis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati


Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 13 games at home
Cleveland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Chargers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Chargers is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games at home
LA Chargers is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
LA Chargers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
LA Chargers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City


Washington Redskins
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Washington's last 20 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games
Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Arizona's last 20 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Arizona is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington


Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games when playing Denver
Seattle is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games when playing Seattle
Denver is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Seattle
Denver is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle


Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas


Chicago Bears
Chicago is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Chicago is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago

 

[bmd1803]

Trends to Watch - September
Marc Lawrence

HOME TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Good): Off another sensational NFL Preseason Baltimore is an excellent home team this month at 30-17 ATS and have Buffalo (9/9) and Denver two weeks in the land of crab cakes.

You might think Buffalo's best home month is December, but it's not. They are strong in September at 34-22 ATS but only have one homer, against the L.A. Chargers on Sept. 16th.

Detroit is a solid 30-19 ATS in the Motor City and has the Jets on the first Monday Night game of the season and Dallas on the third Sunday of the month (9/23). San Francisco is thought to be revitalized this season and is 28-17 ATS this month in their building, but they have a nasty opening slate and just the Lions (9/16) at home early.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Arizona has three games in Glendale to start the season with the Redskins (9/9), Bears (9/23) and Seahawks (9/30) and we will find out right away if the oddsmaker 5.5 win total is correct.

Carolina will be tested right off the bat with it's poor 16-24 home spread record, with Dallas there on Week 1 and Cincinnati in Week 3. Speaking of the Bengals, the days of "The Jungle" are long gone with a 17-29 ATS record. And it might not improve with Baltimore in Cincy for the second Thursday night affair.

After playing in Arizona in their season lid-lifter, Washington hosts Indianapolis and Green Bay the next weeks trying to better 18-31 ATS home mark.

AWAY TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Good): For the first three months of the season, Dallas is an exceptional away club and that starts with a 33-18 ATS mark in September. Given their past, going to Carolina (9/9) or Seattle two weeks later would not imposing for the Cowboys.

Denver is none too shabby either at 28-18 ATS and they get tested only once, at Baltimore on the 23rd. Fellow AFC West partner Kansas City also fits this quality profile at 34-19 ATS. One concern for the Chiefs starting the season is at the Chargers and at the Steelers for first-time starter Patrick Mahomes.

Bad: It's been a while since the Rams were this good after last season. They are a horrific 16-32 ATS in the road whites and they play the late game in Oakland on MNF, before a three-game homestand.

Keep an eye on (Bad): New coach, new system, but same old results for Chicago away from the Windy City? The Bears are 19-29 ATS on the road and go to the not so frozen tundra at Lambeau Field on the 9th and to the red-hot Arizona desert on the 23rd.

As good as Detroit is at home, that's basically home bad they are on the road at 19-31 ATS. At San Fran on a short week in Week 2 won't be easy and likely or will a trip to Big D on the 30th.

Most years, Pittsburgh labors early and is an unsightly 17-31 ATS on the road. They are often not covering as away favorites and let's see how they do in that role at Cleveland in Week 1 and on the third week of MNF at Tampa Bay.

FAVORITES

Keep an eye on (Good): Seattle is 31-20 ATS, but they are in transition. There is a chance they might not be a favorite all month, but chances are they will be at least once against @Chicago (9/17), Dallas (9/23) and @Arizona (9/30).

Bad: For years, the Rams, no matter where they were from, they were a brutal favorite. Their record of 12-30 ATS record explains that, but things could be changing. This L.A. bunch has the young loaded roster and is expected to be favored in all four of their games this month. Nonetheless, paying attention to history still matters.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Sportsbooks are calling for Arizona to be last in their division, but because of three home games this month, they will be favored at least twice. That might not be good since the Cardinals are only 11-20 ATS, facing Washington (9/9) and Chicago (9/23)

At 12-23 ATS when handing out points, Carolina is not a pretty play. The Panthers will give points to Dallas in Week 1 and Cincinnati in Week 3, both at home.

Chicago has a similar record to Carolina at 14-23 ATS and will catch Tampa Bay in Week 4 as a fave. Da Bears might be a very small favorite in Week 2 in the Windy City against Seattle, but the prior week's results will determine that.

UNDERDOGS

Good: Dallas has been a sharp 27-11 ATS in this role they will be around a three-point pooch at Carolina to start the season. The early line had the Cowboys catching points in Seattle (9/23) but that could change.

Keep an eye on (Good): Kansas City is a nice 29-18 ATS as a September dog and as we start the month, they are receiving digits in two away games at the Chargers (9/9), and Pittsburgh (9/16).

The Vikings ship also travels well as underdogs at 27-18 ATS and they will be in Green Bay (9/16) and at the Rams on the last Thursday of the month.

DIVISION

Keep an eye on (Good): The Chiefs have been well prepared for AFC West action to begin the season with a 24-13 ATS mark. Good chance to improve in Game 1 against the Bolts in L.A.

Bad: It's Gruden 2.0 in Oakland and at 11-22 ATS versus division competitors, Week 2 at Denver might not be good.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Chicago is 18-27 ATS this month in the NFC North and it could get worse with a trip to Green Bay on Sunday Night football.

 

[bmd1803]

NFL


Week 1

Steelers @ Browns— Since re-joining the NFL in 1999, Browns started season 0-1 18 out of 19 years; they’re 3-12 vs spread in last 15 Week 1 home games. Steelers won their last six games with Cleveland, taking last three by 3-3-4 points- they won four of last six meetings here, with three of four wins by 16+ points. Since 2015, Pitt is 14-9 vs spread as a road favorite- under is 23-7-1 in their last 31 road games. Browns are 4-15-1 vs spread in last 20 games as home underdogs; under is 12-3 in their last 15 home games. Pitt lost five of last seven road openers; they’re 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11. Steelers had a special teams TD in both series games LY. Haley is Cleveland’s new OC; he had same job for Steelers the last six years.

49ers @ Vikings— Minnesota’s OL coach Sparano died unexpectedly this summer; the OL also has injury issues now. Home side won 11 of last 12 series games; 49ers lost last five games in the Twin Cities, with three losses by 11+ points. Vikings are 5-2 in last seven series games; four of last five series totals were 37 or less. Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 18-5-1 as home favorites; under is 19-13 in their home games the last four years. 49ers were 5-2 as road underdogs LY in Shanahan’s first season, after being 7-13-1 from ’13-’16. Over is 15-9 in SF road games the last three years. Minnesota won/covered its last three home openers. Cousins will be Minnesota’s 11th different #1 QB the last 15 years, 4th in last four years.

Bengals @ Colts— Home side won last eight series games; Bengals lost their last eight visits here, with last visit a ’14 playoff game- their last win here was in ’97. Since 2012, Cincy is 17-12-2 as a road underdog; under is 21-11 in their last 32 road games. Colts are 12-9-1 in last 22 games as home favorites; under is 17-7 in their last 24 home games. Bengals open on road for 8th time in last nine years; over is 8-1 in their last nine road openers. Colts lost their last four home openers, three by 4 or fewer points. Indy started season 0-1 seven of last eight years- they’re 1-9 vs spread in Week 1 the last ten years. Luck’s return at QB is a huge boost for the Colts.

Bills @ Ravens— Peterman is Buffalo’s starting QB here; he was 1-1 in two starts LY, throwing five INT’s in a half in a horrific 54-24 loss to the Chargers, then beating Colts 13-7 in a December home game. Home side won last six series games; last four were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Bills lost last four visits here, by 14-12-3-6 points. Since ’12, Ravens are 16-22-1 vs spread as home favorites; under is 19-13-1 in their last 33 road games. Since ’14, Buffalo 14-9-1 as road underdogs; under is 19-13 in their road games. Ravens won 11 of last 13 home openers; under is 4-1 in last five of those. Bills made playoffs LY for first time in 19 years, but QB Taylor is gone; top draft pick Josh Allen is Peterman’s backup.

Jaguars @ Giants— Last five years, Jags are 3-17 vs spread when playing an NFC team. Home side won all six series games; Jaguars are 0-3 vs Giants here, losing by 3-7-4 points- they’re 3-6 vs Jets in Garden State, so 3-9 overall in the Swamp. This will be first time in six years Big Blue opens the season at home; Giants lost five of their last six home openers (0-6 vs spread); five of those six games stayed under. Since ’15, Big Blue is 7-4 vs spread as home underdogs; under is 10-6 in their home games the last two years. Since ’12, Jaguars are 2-3 as road favorites; over is 28-20 in their road games the last six years. Giants are one of four NFL teams (Bills, Dallas, Panthers) whose backup QB’s have zero NFL starts.

Buccaneers @ Saints— No Jameis Winston (suspended) for Bucs; Fitzpatrick (48-70-1 as NFL starter) gets the nod at QB- Tulane alum Griffin is his backup. Saints are 10-3 in last 13 series games, but last six were split. Bucs lost six of last seven visits to Big Easy, with four of six losses by 11+ points. Under Koetter, Tampa Bay is 7-6-1 as road underdogs; since 2011, over is 29-26-2 in their road games. Since ’14, NO is 10-15-1 as a home favorite; over is 21-11 in their home games last four years. Saints lost their last three home openers; they started last four seasons 0-1. Saints scored special teams TD in both meetings vs Tampa Bay LY. Last five years, Bucs are 7-13-1 vs spread on artificial turf.

Texans @ Patriots— Last 15 years, Super Bowl loser is 2-13 vs spread in their first game the following season, 2-10 when favored. Patriots are 14-2 SU in last 16 home openers, but just 1-5 vs spread in last six. Houston is 0-6 in Foxboro, with five of six losses by 13+ points; they’re 1-9 overall vs Patriots, losing last seven- they lost 36-33 here LY. Texans are 11-15-1 in last 27 games as road underdogs; under is 9-6-1 in their road games last two years. Since ’13, Patriots are 23-10-3 as home favorites; Over is 41-23 in their home games the last eight years. Texans open on road for only 2nd time in last 10 years; they won seven of last nine road openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven season openers. Over was 5-1 in QB Watson’s six starts last year.

Titans @ Dolphins— Tennessee made playoffs LY for first time in nine years, won a playoff game, then fired the head coach; not sure why. Teams split last six meetings; Titans won two of last three visits here. LY, Miami beat Tennessee 16-10 here, in game where neither team gained 200 total yards. Since 2012, Dolphins are 12-7-2 vs spread as home underdogs; over is 11-4 in their last 15 home games. Since ’14, Tennessee is 2-5-1 as a road favorite; over is 14-10 in their road games the last three years. Titans are 9-2 vs spread in last 11 road openers; under is 16-5 in their last 21 road openers. Tannehill is back at QB for Miami, after missing all of LY; his record as a starting QB is 37-40.

Chiefs @ Chargers— 2nd career start for KC’s new QB Mahomes; he won the first one in Denver last December. Chiefs won last eight series games, with three of four wins in Golden State by 10+ points. Chiefs are 12-9 as road underdogs under Reid; over is 13-9-1 in their road games last three years. Since ’11, Chargers are 15-21 as home favorites; under was 6-2 in their home games LY, their first year playing home games in Carson. KC is on road three of first four weeks this season, with a QB who has started one NFL game- they won that game 27-24. Bolts covered five of their last six home openers; over is 12-3 in their last 15. Last three years, KC was a combined +45 in turnover margin; with Alex Smith gone, can they maintain that?

Seahawks @ Broncos— Seattle won three of last four series games, but lost seven of last eight visits here; since 2011, Seahawks are 13-8-6 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 15-9 in their road games last three years. Since ’15, Broncos are 5-9-2 vs spread as home favorites; under is 12-10-1 in their last 23 home games. Denver opens at home for 8th year in row; they’re 26-3 SU in last 29 home openers, 6-3 vs spread in last nine. Seahawks open on road for 6th time in last eight years; they lost their first road game 10 of last 11 years; they’re 1-12 vs spread in last 13 road openers. Last couple years, Seahawks are 2-6-1 vs spread on natural grass.

Cowboys @ Panthers— Norv Turner coaching Cam Newton’s offense will be fascinating. Home side lost five of last six series games; Dallas is 9-4 overall vs Carolina, 5-2 in Charlotte- both losses were playoff games. Under Garrett, Dallas is 21-14 as a road underdog; under is 17-6 in their last 23 road games. Last two years, Carolina is 5-8 as a home favorite; under is 23-16-1 in their last 40 home games. Panthers open at home for only 2nd time in last seven years; they’re 0-5 last five times they started season at home. Carolina’s last Week 1 home win was in 2003. Dallas covered nine of last 11 road openers. Cowboys have some injury issues on OL and a rookie kicker. Panthers’ T Kalil is out for first weeks of season.

Redskins @ Cardinals— Both teams have new QB; Arizona has new coach, too- he was with the Panthers for six years, was DC last year. Redskins’ QB Smith is 88-62-1 as an NFL starter, injury-prone Bradford is 34-45-1- he played only two games LY for Minnesota. Home side won last six series games; Redskins are 9-2 in last 11 games vs Arizona, but lost 30-20/31-23 in last two visits here- they beat Redbirds 20-15 (-4) at home LY. Last three years, Arizona is 10-13-1 vs spread at home; under is 19-12-1 in their last 32 home games. Under Gruden, Redskins are 16-16 vs spread on road; over is 17-7 in their last 24 road games.

Bears @ Packers— Green Bay is 14-2 in last 16 games in this ancient rivalry, winning last four by 16-3-17-7 points, but Bears split last four visits to Lambeau. Last two years, Bears are 4-10-1 as road underdogs- under is 10-5-1 in their last 16 road games. Since ’14, Packers are 17-8-2 as a home favorite; under is 15-9 in their last 24 home games. Chicago opens on road for only 2nd time in last nine years; they’re 2-5 in last seven road openers. Under is 12-2 in their last 14 road openers. Packers won 10 of their last 11 home openers. Chicago’s new OC is former Oregon head coach Mark Helfrich, who has zero NFL experience; DC Fangio has been in Chicago since 2015, so he is familiar with Green Bay.

 

[bmd1803]

ALEX SMART
NFL | Sep 09, 2018
Titans vs. Dolphins
UNDER 45

The host Dolphins and the visiting Titans have gone under in 11 of their L/13 versus each other here in Miami...with an average combined score clicking in at 32.8 points per game going under by an average of 8.5 ppg. Considering both these teams offences sputtered last season, with Tennessee averaging 17.6 ppg and the Fins averaging 20.6 ppg, and also considering off season adjustments show little in the way of imminent advancement from my perspective , it will not be a hard decision for me to recommend we take an under stance here with this tilt.

Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.Under is 8-3 in Titans last 11 games in Week 1.Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games in Week 1.

NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (TENNESSEE) - good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game, in conference games are 24-4 UNDER L/34 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 37.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 

[bmd1803]

TOTALS GURU
NFL | Sep 09, 2018
Steelers vs. Browns
Browns+4 -105

 

[bmd1803]

JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: San Francisco 49ers +6.5

Admittedly, the Minnesota Vikings have been one of my favorite teams to back ever since Mike Zimmer took over. They have made me a lot of money. But they were usually in the underdog or small favorite role over the past few seasons. I believe after making the NFC Championship Game last year, they are clearly overvalued now. 2018 may finally be the year it’s not profitable to back the Vikings blindly.

The odds appear to have caught up with the Vikings already in Week 1. They are being asked to win by a touchdown or more here to cover this 6.5-point spread against an improving 49ers team. It’s a 49ers team that opened 1-10 last year before inserting Jimmy Garoppolo into the starting lineup. The rest was history.

Garoppolo improved to 7-0 as a starting quarterback in the NFL dating back to his time with the Patriots. He went 5-0 as a 49er to close the season. The offense was vastly improved, and the defense got better as well because they weren’t on the field as much. The 49ers outgained their final five opponents by an average of 108 yards per game and were one of the best teams in the NFL from Week 13-on.

Now Garoppolo has had an entire offseason to grasp Kyle Shanahan’s system. I believe Shanahan to be the best offensive mind in the game, and there’s proof dating back to his time with the Redskins and Falcons, especially the Falcons. Garoppolo excelled with limited weapons last season, but now the 49ers get their No. 1 receiver back healthy in Pierre Garcon, who he didn’t get the pleasure of working with last year.

The Vikings are going through some big changes this season on offense. They lost their coordinator Pat Shurmur, who is now the head coach of the Giants. John DeFilippo will be a first-time offensive coordinator. I don’t believe Kirk Cousins is much of an upgrade over Case Keenum. Cousins was shaky in the preseason and won’t be hitting on all cylinders in Week 1.

So despite the fact that the Vikings still have an elite defense, I question if they have the offensive punch to cover this big of a number in their opener. The 49ers are notorious fast starters, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven Week 1 games. I think they get the job done for us here. Bet the 49ers Sunday.

 

[bmd1803]

CAPPERS CLUB
NFL | Sep 09, 2018
Bears vs. Packers
Packers -7

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears face off on Sunday night football and in this game the value lies with the Packers.

The Packers are the better team with Aaron Rodgers and don't let the fact the Bears have Khalil Mack fool you, they aren't staying in this game.

The Bears offense is still a big issue this year and it's what will hold them back this year. The Packers will have too much offense in this game.

Back the Packers

 

[bmd1803]

R&R TOTALS

R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 9-9-18

UNDER 41 -106 Pittsburgh/Cleveland