JIMMY BOYD
1* Free Pick on Miami Marlins +147
This is a great price to back the Marlins at home against the Mets. Most will just jump on New York with Noah Syndergaard on the mound, but there's not as big of a pitching mismatch here as you might think. Miami's Wei-Yin Chen is 4-8 with a 5.48 ERA, but you have to look at his home/away splits to see the value here.
Chen has a miserable 10.27 ERA in 9 road starts, but owns a sensational 1.94 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in 9 home starts. Miami is 14-5 in Chen's last 19 home starts and have also won 5 of his last 6 vs a team with a losing record.
The Mets are also just 2-7 in their last 9 vs a left-handed starter, 2-7 in their last 9 division games and 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take Miami!
1* Free Pick on Miami Marlins +147
This is a great price to back the Marlins at home against the Mets. Most will just jump on New York with Noah Syndergaard on the mound, but there's not as big of a pitching mismatch here as you might think. Miami's Wei-Yin Chen is 4-8 with a 5.48 ERA, but you have to look at his home/away splits to see the value here.
Chen has a miserable 10.27 ERA in 9 road starts, but owns a sensational 1.94 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in 9 home starts. Miami is 14-5 in Chen's last 19 home starts and have also won 5 of his last 6 vs a team with a losing record.
The Mets are also just 2-7 in their last 9 vs a left-handed starter, 2-7 in their last 9 division games and 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take Miami!