Sunday 07/19/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 07/19/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be utilized for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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WNBA LONG SHEET


Sunday, July 19

INDIANA (11 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (7 - 6) - 7/19/2009, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games in July games since 1997.
INDIANA is 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
INDIANA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (7 - 9) at NEW YORK (4 - 7) - 7/19/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in July games this season.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (6 - 7) at CHICAGO (7 - 8) - 7/19/2009, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (9 - 6) at SEATTLE (9 - 6) - 7/19/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1997.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (4 - 7) at SACRAMENTO (3 - 12) - 7/19/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 135-88 ATS (+38.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games on Sunday games since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Sunday mlb comp play with 10-0 angle

On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the Oakland Athletics.Game 978 at 4:05 eastern.Oakland is a tremendous 10-0 as a home dog off a 5+ run loss.In todays matchup they have Lefty B.Anderson on the mound.Over his last 3 starts he has been nearly unhittable allowing just 1 run in 18+ innings for a 0.49 era.The Angles have old reliable on the mound today in J.Lackey.Digging deeper into the numbers we see that Lackeys road numbers are just about equal to Andersons home numbers this year.However Lackey hasnt pitched nearly as well recently.Oakland also fits a nice home dog system that plays on certain home dogs off a loss of 5+ runs having scored 5 or more runs.This system is 3 games over .500 for the Home dog over the last few years.On the Sunday late phone card the lead play is the AL Game of the Month.Backed with a 94% system that wins by over 3 r.p.g. and an incredible 21-1 team angle this game will cash just as easy as Saturdays double system winner on the Mets.For the Bonus Play lets go with the Oakland A/S.BOL-GC-
 
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MLB LONG SHEET

Sunday, July 19

PHILADELPHIA (50 - 38) at FLORIDA (46 - 46) - 1:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. ANDREW MILLER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 130-123 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 76-56 (+27.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 59-43 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 40-32 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 126-118 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 44-34 (+16.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 62-63 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 253-268 (+44.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 153-111 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-11 (+11.4 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-15 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-33 (+15.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 (+3.4 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW MILLER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MILLER is 0-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.375.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

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MILWAUKEE (46 - 44) at CINCINNATI (43 - 46) - 1:10 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 10-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-19 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-23 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 68-92 (-36.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 44-56 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 (+1.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GALLARDO is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CUETO is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.949.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (45 - 43) at WASHINGTON (26 - 63) - 1:35 PM
KEVIN HART (R) vs. GARRETT MOCK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1002-1052 (-192.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 300-340 (-91.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 151-210 (-63.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 945-968 (-170.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 498-472 (-103.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 61-49 (+19.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-63 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-30 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 16-28 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-29 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-60 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-46 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-38 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

KEVIN HART vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

GARRETT MOCK vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (49 - 40) at PITTSBURGH (39 - 50) - 1:35 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 13-6 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-40 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-40 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 66-58 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 13-5 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 13-5 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CAIN is 0-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.6 units)

ZACH DUKE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DUKE is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.370.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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ARIZONA (38 - 52) at ST LOUIS (50 - 42) - 2:15 PM
YUSMEIRO PETIT (R) vs. JOEL PINEIRO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

YUSMEIRO PETIT vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PETIT is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JOEL PINEIRO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
PINEIRO is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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COLORADO (49 - 41) at SAN DIEGO (36 - 54) - 4:05 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. MAT LATOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 50-113 (-49.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 45-63 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 57-64 (-32.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 25-39 (-30.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 49-41 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 26-22 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 49-41 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 36-27 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MARQUIS is 48-31 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 28-10 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 99-152 (-49.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-28 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 99-152 (-49.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-35 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 38-72 (-29.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 7-3 (+3.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MARQUIS is 5-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.406.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.3 units)

MAT LATOS vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

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HOUSTON (46 - 44) at LA DODGERS (56 - 34) - 4:10 PM
RUSS ORTIZ (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 56-34 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-6 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA DODGERS are 56-34 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-23 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 132-119 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-54 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 61-63 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-23 (+13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-13 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-32 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 128-117 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 96-89 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 60-60 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-15 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORTIZ is 27-12 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 72-58 (-35.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 (+4.5 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

RUSS ORTIZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ORTIZ is 9-9 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.634.
His team's record is 12-10 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-13. (-5.0 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
KURODA is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.66 and a WHIP of 0.732.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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NY METS (42 - 47) at ATLANTA (45 - 45) - 6:00 PM
FERNANDO NIEVE (R) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 131-120 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 131-120 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 87-89 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 35-17 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 117-135 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-27 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 116-133 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 81-91 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 27-32 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 16-21 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 (+1.7 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

FERNANDO NIEVE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NIEVE is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 0.819.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. NY METS since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 8-8 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.108.
His team's record is 12-10 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-12. (-5.1 units)

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SEATTLE (47 - 43) at CLEVELAND (36 - 55) - 1:05 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. AARON LAFFEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 239-225 (-74.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 47-43 (+6.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 12-6 (+7.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 44-39 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 36-55 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-26 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-50 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-49 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-30 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BEDARD is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.122.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

AARON LAFFEY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
LAFFEY is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.532.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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BOSTON (55 - 34) at TORONTO (44 - 47) - 1:07 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 6-14 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-25 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 52-38 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HALLADAY is 21-5 (+15.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
HALLADAY is 92-42 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HALLADAY is 109-49 (+35.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 156-106 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
BOSTON is 23-9 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 71-36 (+24.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 46-21 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 9-20 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-2 (+2.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

JON LESTER vs. TORONTO since 1997
LESTER is 3-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. BOSTON since 1997
HALLADAY is 12-11 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 15-19 (-6.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-18. (-4.3 units)

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BALTIMORE (40 - 49) at CHI WHITE SOX (46 - 43) - 2:05 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 8-31 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 20-50 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 78-135 (-38.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 30-68 (-27.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 136-119 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 78-49 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 128-94 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 75-48 (+23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (-0.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GUTHRIE is 0-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.97 and a WHIP of 1.790.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

JOSE CONTRERAS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CONTRERAS is 5-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (48 - 40) at NY YANKEES (52 - 37) - 2:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. JOBA CHAMBERLAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 122-128 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-74 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-96 (-32.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 80-47 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-10 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 46-32 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
JACKSON is 2-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.530.
His team's record is 3-7 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+2.0 units)

JOBA CHAMBERLAIN vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHAMBERLAIN is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (49 - 41) at KANSAS CITY (37 - 52) - 2:10 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 5-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-16 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
GARZA is 8-18 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARZA is 1-8 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARZA is 6-16 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARZA is 6-15 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 58-54 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 154-114 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 111-67 (+37.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 37-52 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 64-95 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

MATT GARZA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GARZA is 0-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.404.
His team's record is 0-5 (-8.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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LA ANGELS (50 - 38) at OAKLAND (38 - 50) - 4:05 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 50-38 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 74-52 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 10-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-11 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 27-13 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 16-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
LA ANGELS are 47-32 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 50-28 (+16.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 38-22 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LACKEY is 14-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 23-41 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 59-79 (-25.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-32 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-3 (+1.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LACKEY is 14-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 16-10 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-16. (-7.4 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
ANDERSON is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.64 and a WHIP of 2.141.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (46 - 44) at TEXAS (48 - 40) - 8:05 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 2-11 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 48-40 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 115-93 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 19-8 (+9.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
TEXAS is 47-38 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 36-27 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 41-26 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-6 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 92-74 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. TEXAS since 1997
LIRIANO is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Sunday, July 19

Hot Pitchers
-- Happ is 2-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Pirates won five of Duke's last six home starts. Cain is 3-1, 2.29 in his last seven outings.
-- Hart allowed one run in five IP in his first '09 start for the Cubs.
-- Pineiro is 2-1, 2.56 in his last four starts.
-- Marquis is 2-1, 1.17 in his last three starts.
-- Vazquez is 2-1, 1.35 in his last four starts.

-- Bedard is 3-0, 2.60 in his last five starts.
-- Red Sox won last four Lester starts (3-0, 2.28).
-- Jackson is 1-0, 2.96 in his last four starts.
-- Royals won Hochevar's last four starts (3-0, 3.81).
-- Contreras is 4-2, 2.27 since coming back from minor leagues.
-- Oakland won last four Anderson starts (2-0, 1.54). Lackey is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two road starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Cueto is 1-3, 8.90 in his last six starts. Gallardo is 0-3, 5.29 in his last three starts- Brewers scored four runs in the three games.
-- Miller is 1-1, 8.04 in his last three starts.
-- Mock was 5-1, 2.65 in eight AAA starts; he is 1-5, 4.83 in 54 major league innings-- he started three games for Washington LY.
-- Petit is 0-3, 7.84 in seven starts this season.
-- Latos was 5-1, 1.91 in nine starts at AA San Antonio; this is his big league debut for the Padres.
-- Ortiz is 0-3, 5.65 in his last seven starts. Kuroda is 2-4, 6.17 in his last six starts.
-- Nieve is 0-3, 6.00 in his last three starts.

-- Laffey has a 6.32 RA in his last three starts.
-- Toronto lost last four Halladay starts (0-2, 4.30).
-- Chamberlain is 1-1, 7.71 in his last five starts.
-- Guthrie has a 6.91 RA in his last three starts.
-- Rays lost six of last seven Garza road starts.
-- Liriano has a 5.06 RA in his last six starts. Holland is 1-4, 6.69 in his seven starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won five of their last six games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven home games.
-- Phillies won 11 of their last 12 games. Marlins won ten of their last thirteen home games, but lost last two.
-- Arizona won eight of its last eleven games. Cardinals won nine of 14.
-- Rockies are 29-10 in their last 39 games, 15-5 in last 20 on road.
-- Astros won eight of their last eleven games.

-- Mariners won four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Bronx Bombers won seven of last nine home games.
-- Twins won seven of their last nine road games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last ten home games.
-- Rays won six of their last eight games.
-- Angels won nine of their last thirteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last ten games, but won last two. Giants lost their last four road games, scoring total of four runs.
-- Reds lost eight of their last 11 games. Brewers lost nine of last 14.
-- Mets lost nine of their last twelve road games.
-- Padres lost twelve of their last fifteen games.
-- Dodgers scored six runs in losing two of their last three games.

-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Tigers lost 12 of their last 16 road games.
-- Rangers lost their last four games, scoring total of eight runs.
-- Orioles lost nine of their last twelve road games.
-- Royals lost 11 of their last 14 home games.
-- Oakland lost of its last home games.

Totals
-- Under is 13-5-1 in Cubs' last nineteen road games.
-- Nine of last ten games at PNC Park stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last fourteen Cincinnati home games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last eleven Arizona road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven games at Petco Park went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten games at Dodger Stadium stayed under the total.

-- Under is 20-6-2 in Seattle's last 28 road games.
-- Seven of last nine Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Detroit road games stayed under the total.
-- Last eight Minnesota road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Royals' last nine home games.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games went over the total.
-- 13 of Oakland's last 18 home games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Phil-Fla-- Nine of last 12 Kellogg games stayed under the total.
-- Mil-Cin-- There isn't enough data to analyze umpire Causey.
-- Chi-Wsh-- Visitor won five of seven Estabrook games.
-- SF-Pitt-- Under is 8-3 in Reliford's last eleven games behind dish.
-- Az-StL-- Under is 8-3 in Hirschbeck's last eleven games, with the favorite winning his last five games behind the plate.
-- Col-SD-- Barrett's last four games behind plate stayed under total.
-- Hst-LA--Both Moser games this season stayed under the total.
-- NY-Atl-- Five of last seven Hudson games went over total, with the home team winning six of the seven.

-- Sea-Clev-- Underdog won three of last four Fairchild games.
-- Bos-Tor-- 10 of last 13 Cooper games went over the total.
-- Blt-Chi-- Home team is 15-4 in Knight's games this season.
-- Det-NY-- Last four Nelson games went over the total.
-- TB-KC-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Tichenor games.
-- LA-A's-- Road team won both Muchlinski games this season.
-- Min-Tex-- Under is 8-4 in Cederstrom's last twelve games.
 
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Trend Report

1:05 PM
DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Detroit
NY Yankees are 16-8 SU in their last 24 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. CLEVELAND
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

1:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Toronto is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games

1:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

1:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. FLORIDA
Philadelphia is 7-0-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Florida
Philadelphia is 7-0-1 SU in its last 8 games
Florida is 2-8-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
Florida is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games

1:35 PM
CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

1:35 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home

2:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Baltimore is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Chi White Sox are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home

2:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. KANSAS CITY
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

2:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
Arizona is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona

4:05 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
San Diego is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

4:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
LA Angels are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Oakland is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels

4:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA DODGERS
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Houston

6:00 PM
NY METS vs. ATLANTA
NY Mets are 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TEXAS
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox (-135, 9.5)

The White Sox have been one of the best under plays at home this season, posting an over/under record of 15-29. Meantime, the Orioles are one of the worst road teams in baseball and have an over/under road record of 25-15-2.

So which side of the total will the number fall on this afternoon?

Take a look at the starting pitchers. The Orioles Jeremy Guthrie and the White Sox Jose Contreras combine to go under in five of their past six starts as each has done enough to keep opponents off the scoreboard. Guthrie and Contreras each struggled in earlier matchups against the others' teams, but should have a better idea of how to attack the lineups this time around.

Guthrie has scuffled early in games, but if he keeps the White Sox off the board heading into the third, they will struggle to score runs all day.

Pick: Under


Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (-125, 8)

How often do you see a money line involving the Red Sox that is actually in the black? There is, however, a very simple reason for the high line: Roy Halladay.

The Red Sox have yet to face the elite hurler this season. But Boston is one of the better road-hitting teams in baseball as they are batting .258 BA with 50 HR and 80 RBI away from Fenway Park. And they do have an ace of their own up their sleeve. An ace by the name of Jon Lester.

"He's got an incredible fastball, a good cutter, a sinker, curveball,” The Orioles Aubrey Huff said of Lester to the Associated Press. “When he's on, he's tough."

Halladay should keep Boston’s lineup in check, but look for Lester to do even more to win this showdown of elite AL pitchers.

Pick: Red Sox +117
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Javier Vasquez (Atlanta Braves)

The right-hander has done more than enough to overcome a nagging abdominal strain in his past four starts.

Vasquez (6-7, 2.95 ERA) has allowed two runs or less in each of those outings and has lasted at least 5 1-3 innings each time out. The key for Vasquez has been his ability to keep the ball in the yard. The Braves have lost five of the six starts in which he has given up a gopher ball this season.

In Vasquez’s most recent start, a 2-1 win over the Cubs in Chicago, he allowed only one run on five hits over seven innings as he struck out six.

"He just pitched like he's been pitching all year,” Braves catcher Brian McCann told the Associated Press. “We were making a joke about it, one [run] should be enough for him. That's basically what he's been getting this year.”

Jason Marquis (Colorado Rockies)

The National League leader in wins continues to do what he does best: rack up the victories.

Marquis (11-6, 3.65 ERA) has been fantastic in his past three starts, allowing just three earned runs over a combined 23 innings. The ground ball pitcher has done a fantastic job at keeping the ball down and forcing teams to hit into an athletic defense.

In his most recent start, a 4-3 loss to the Braves, Marquis allowed just three runs and struck out four batters over six innings. But don’t expect the Padres to even get that much. In his only other start against San Diego this season, he threw eight shutout innings.

"Sometimes you have to tip your hat to the other guy,” San Diego pitcher Chris Young told the Associated Press. “You have to tip your hat to Marquis.”


Slumping

Yovani Gallardo (Milwaukee Brewers)

The 23 year old entered the season as a dark horse to win the Cy Young award. But in his past two outings, the right-hander has looked more like a donkey.

Gallardo (8-7, 3.22 ERA) hasn’t made it past the fifth inning in either of his past two starts, combing to allow nine earned run on 12 hits with nine walks in just 10 innings. Milwaukee’s ace is fourth in the league with 123 strikeouts, but has issued far too many free passes (53).

"Something mechanically is a little off,” Gallardo told the Associated Press. "Mistakes that I left up in the zone, they put a bat on it."

Derek Holland (Texas Rangers)

The 22 year old may have been the only one happy to hear he was getting reinserted into the starting lineup after the All-Star break.

Holland (3-5, 5.97) was a train wreck as a starter last month, giving up 19 runs over a five-start stretch extending to July 4. After that, he was demoted to the bullpen, where apparently giving up two runs on six hits in five innings was enough to get him his starting job back.

"I have to have more than just a fastball," Holland told the Associated Press. "When you fall behind, you need your off-speed pitch as well."
 
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Sunday Night Baseball: Mets at Braves

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-250, 8)

Sunday night baseball resumes after the All-Star break when the Braves host the Mets in the finale of a four-game series at Turner Field in Atlanta.

Hard-luck Javier Vazquez (6-7 2.95 ERA) toes the rubber for the Braves against former Houston Astro Fernando Nieve (3-3 3.03 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers.

Trading places

Looking to add some spark into listless lineups, the Mets and Braves swapped outfielders Ryan Church and Jeff Francoeur on July 10. Both players were stunned upon hearing the news.

“It's definitely disappointing. I never wanted it to happen this way. You can imagine getting traded, but you never imagine getting traded to your biggest rival," Francoeur told the media.

Church was not in the starting lineup Thursday for his first home game as a Brave. Atlanta manager Bobby Cox used the right-handed hitting of OF Matt Diaz against Mets LHP Oliver Perez. Cox assured left-hand hitting Church that he would get the starts against right-handed pitchers.

OMG

Both teams entered this series looking like an over packed MASH unit.

On the DL for the Mets: closer Billy Wagner (elbow – Tommy John surgery, out until at least August) along fellow relief pitchers J.J. Putz (elbow – out 10-12 weeks) and Fernando Martinez (knee – out until September) join starting pitcher John Maine (shoulder) on a crowded Mets DL. Adding to their woes has been the loss of All-Star performers 1B Carlos Delgado (hip – out until mid-August), CF Carlos Beltran (knee) and SS Jose Reyes (calf).

Simply put, these are not the same Mets that were heavily favored to win a National League pennant prior to the start of the 2009 season.

Thanks to the loss of Tim Hudson and Jorge Campillo, the Braves have had to forge a new starting rotation.

Hudson pitched real batting practice Thursday. It was his final step before beginning a six-game rehab assignment before being activated. He began at Class-A Myrtle Beach this weekend. If he has no setbacks he could be activated in mid-August, more than a year after he had Tommy John surgery on his right elbow.

Campillo (right shoulder tendinitis) went on the 15-day disabled list retroactive to May 29, and he was transferred to the 60-day DL in June.

It’s been said that a team can never have too much pitching. But we’re not sure how the Braves will fit Hudson into the rotation when he's ready. But these things do have a way of working themselves out.

As former Atlanta Hawks coach Lenny Wilkens used to say when asked about roster moves more than a day away, "Someone could get hit by a truck."

In arms way

Nieve is a middle relief pitcher turned starter for the Mets. He began the season 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA. He has since dropped each of his last three starts while compiling a 5.40 ERA in those efforts. In addition, Nieve is winless, 0-2 with a 4.65 ERA, in the month of July for his career.

Vazquez missed his last scheduled start Sunday with a strained lower-abdominal muscle. He is having a terrific season in 2009 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.05 WHIP, but owns a losing record because of the Braves’ poor offense. His walk-to-strikeout ratio (23-to-136 in 18 starts) this season is among the best in the big leagues.

The All-Star break should have given Vazquez some much-needed time off and the Braves will benefit as a result.

Karnac says

As poorly as both clubs have performed in 2009, Atlanta's record at the All-Star break this season was 43-45. The Braves were five games under the .500 mark at the break last year.

With the anticipated return of Hudson to the starting staff and a reversal of fortune possibly in store for Vazquez, look for Atlanta to make a move the second half of the season.

Entering Saturday night’s game, New York had dropped 11 of its previous 14 games at Turner Field. The Mets are also just 4-12 on Sundays, including 1-6 their last seven away.

With Vazquez owning a sharp 3.18 ERA in nine career starts against the Mets, along with a 9-to-72 walk-to-strikeout ratio in those games, it would be no surprise for the Braves to improve to 14-6 at home on Sundays.
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun (-2, 139.5)

The Fever is starting to spread. The hottest team in the WNBA ran its franchise-record win streak to 11 games following an 84-79 win over Atlanta.

But now the Fever must face the Sun, who are picking the right time to shine. Connecticut, the only other team in the Eastern Conference to have a winning record, is flying high after posting a 72-64 win at San Antonio. The Sun are paced by star guard Asjha Jones, who has led the team in scoring eight of the past 10 games.

"They can trap me in the post, but they can't really trap me in the perimeter, so I tried to get out more where I had a little more room to work," Jones told the Associated Press. "From there it was more one-on-one, and I got a couple of open looks."

Indiana took the team’s only other meeting in Indianapolis, but the Sun are 4-3 at home and appear to have the right remedy to cure the Fever.

Pick: Sun -2


Minnesota Lynx at Seattle Storm (-4.5, 147.5)

The Storm has had no trouble caging the Lynx this season.

Twice last month Seattle handled Minnesota, posting wins by a combined 45 points. And it wasn’t even that close. In fact, the Lynx haven’t beaten the Storm since August of 2007 and have never won in the state of Washington.

Seattle likely will be missing stud center Lauren Jackson who is nursing a strained Achilles tendon, but in each victory the Storm showed their depth by putting multiple players in double figures.

"They've proven they can score and they do a good job in transition," Seattle guard Sue Bird told the Associated Press. "Early on, we sent three, four players back at time. We didn't want them to get off to a good start."

Pick: Storm -4.5
 
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Alex Smart

Pittsburgh Pirates (107)
Sun Jul 19 '09 1:35p

The San Francisco Giants in the recent past have had a hard time figuring out the Pittsburgh Pirates, as is evident by losing 18 of the L/23 overall meetings in this series, including 5 straight at PNC Park( 2 this past weekend).

Even the usually stable Matt Cain(10-2, 2.38 ERA) is just 0-2 along with a humbling 5.63 ERA in career starts vs the Pirates. He may also exhibit a little rust, after a extending lay off, that has seen him not pitch since July 10, because of a bruised arm. It must be noted Cains team is just 1-6 in his L/7 starts after being off for more than 7 days. Meanwhile, Zack Duke (8-8,3.29 ERA) the Pirates starting hurler in this spot, owns a 2-0 record along with a stingy 1.65 ERA in his L/3 starts vs the Giants. The left hander has pitched his best at home this season where he has garnered a 6-3 record along with a tight 2.77 ERA in nine home starts, and once again looks like a solid choice on a value line.

I know these teams have played at the opposite end of the performance spectrum for much of this season, but considering the recent history in this series, it will not be a hard decision to back the Pirates to come away with a win in this spot.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates
 
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Gold Cup soccer: Sunday's quarterfinal analysis and predictions
By SHAWN YOUNG
When it comes to numbers, Shawn Young knows what he's talking about. He's a former oddsmaker of European soccer (among other sports) and has his masters in mathematics.


The quarterfinals wrap up Sunday at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, TX. This will be the first ever sporting event at Jerry Jones’ new shrine to the Dallas Cowboys. Guadeloupe plays Costa Rica, the Mexico squares off against Haiti. The two winners meet in a Thursday semifinal in Chicago.

COSTA RICA (-0.5, -120) vs. GUADELOUPE

We have been all over Guadeloupe in every match they’ve played. Guadeloupe was thoroughly outclassed by Mexico in the wrap-up game in Group C and reduced to nine men before the end. It was painful to watch. Mastermind or Masochist, I call on you to keep the faith and bet Guadeloupe again here.

The market moved about 25 cents toward Costa Rica, but stabilized by Friday morning. This looks like an over-reaction to Guadeloupe’s poor performance. Had Guadeloupe played Mexico tougher, this quarterfinal would be rightly set as a pick’em. Costa Rica squeezed past Jamaica, but couldn’t beat Canada and actually lost to El Salvador. Costa Rica are very likely bound for next year’s World Cup, but have shown very little quality in the last couple of weeks.

Vertot (starting centre back) and Gotin (substitute attacker) are suspended for Guadeloupe. The defense will need to be firm, but it’s a job they can do.

prediction: Costa Rica 1, Guadeloupe 1.

MEXICO (-1.5, +105) vs. HAITI

This line is also likely in the wrong place, probably for the same reason as the early game - an overreaction to last weekend. This time, though, the dog is being given too much respect based on the most recent game.

Haiti came out flying at the start of the second half against the USA last Saturday and caught the Americans sound asleep. That five minute spell saved the Haitians’ tournament. That doesn’t mean Haiti is actually any good. The USA still outshot them 13-7 and Haiti only had three real chances in the 2-2 draw.

Mexico finally put a convincing effort forward against Guadeloupe. They match up very well against Haiti and should be able to keep things rolling in front of what rates to be a very partisan crowd. We’re not sure why the Mexicans aren’t -1.5, minus big money in this spot. Mexico -1, -150 is exceptionally attractive if you can still get it.

prediction: Mexico 3, Haiti 0.
 
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Craig Trapp

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

Tampa Bay Rays -147

TB -147: TB has been playing great baseball over the past month and looks to close out KC on Sunday with another sweep. So far this season TB has owned KC going 5-0 verse the struggling Royals. The only problem for TB today might be there starter Garza who is 0-4 verse KC lifetime. Garza is well rested and when he gets more than 6 days rest he is 5-0 lifetime. On the other side KC turns to starting pitcher Hochevar who has won his last 2 starts. The only bad news for them is in his last two starts he gave up 9 runs in 12 innings and only received a win because the offense carried him. Watch out today as TB is very explosive at the plate and will score early and often. This one might get out of hand before the 5th inning.

SCORE: TB 7 - KC 4
 
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Marc Lawrence

Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians Jul 19, 2009 1:05PM

PICK: Seattle Mariners

REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Seattle w/Bedard vs Laffey
Note: The Indians and Mariners wrap up their four-games series in Cleveland Sunday afternoon when Erik Bedard takes on Aaron Laffey at Progressive Field. Bedard takes the mound knowing he's 5-2 with a 3.51 ERA in his career team starts against the Tribe, including 4-0 his last four efforts. On the flip side, Laffey is in rocky KW form with 11 walks and 3 strikeouts in his last three starts. He's also 1-4 with a 7.67 ERA in his career team starts against the M's. Back the better team with the better arm here today.

1-unit play on Seattle with Bedard versus Laffey.
 
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Robbie Gainous

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians

Seattle Mariners -111

The Mariners will come away with an all important series victory if they can win on Sunday. They lost game one of this series on Thursday 4 to 1 but have bounced back in games two and three with victories and should get a win today behind Erik Bedard. Seattle is 48-43 W/L on the season while Cleveland has struggled with a record of 36-56 W/L on the year. Seattle is 20-11 W/L (+8.2) when playing against a team with a win percentage of 38 to 46 percent and Cleveland is 19-30 W/L (-11.8) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. A check of the database shows the Mariners are 5-0 W/L their last 5 as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 10-3 W/L their last 13 as a favorite in this price range overall, 6-1 W/L in Bedard�s last 7 starts versus a team with a losing record and 4-1 W/L his last 5 road starts. The news is not that good for Indians supporters because they are 4-11 W/L their last 15 at home, 7-19 W/L versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 3-10 W/L their last 13 as an underdog and 0-7 W/L their last 7 when Laffey gets the start and is installed as an underdog. Bedard is 5-2 W/L on the season with an ERA of 2.63 including a perfect 3-0 W/L on the road with an ERA of 2.72. We will lay the short price here with the visitor as the Mariners claim a series win over the host Cleveland Indians on Sunday afternoon.

Graded Selection: 2* Seattle Mariners 3 Cleveland Indians 1
 
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IndianCowboy

Sunday's Comp Selection:

16-11 (59%) last 27 Comp Selections (Astros/Dodgers Under Yesterday). Take Under 8.5 between the LA Angels @ Oakland As (Sunday @ 4pm est). John Lackey's lifetime numbers against Oakland is impressive. He is 14-4 against the A's with a 2.80 era in 26 career starts against them. In Oakland, John is 7-3 with a 3.15era. Anderson has been rolling lately as in over 18 innings of work, he has given up just 1 earned run and these come off starts at Fenway and at Tampa Bay. Anderson has been very sharp of late and I expect him to be solid on Sunday afternoon as he takes on the perennial Angels ace in Lackey. I look for this game to likely dip under. The Under is 12-3-3 in Lackey's last 18 road starts against a team with a losing record and the Under is 13-3 when the As face a right hander lately.
 
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Big Al McMordie

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies -139

At 4:05 pm our complimentary selection is on the Colorado Rockies over the San Diego Padres. Rockies starter Jason Marquis made his first All-Star squad although the 10-year veteran righthander did not pitch in the game and, despite that fact, the Rockies did not move his start up from this scheduled Sunday afternoon game in San Diego. Perhaps one day, 21-year-old Mat Latos will be an All-Star, but right now the San Diego rookie righthander is just focused on his first Major League start this afternoon. Matos has been rocketing up the Minors in 2009, going 3-0 with a 0.36 ERA at single-A ball before being promoted and going 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA at AA San Antonio. But although Matos gets to make his debut in a very pitcher-friendly park, this is not an easy assignment as Colorado has dominated the Padres lately. In the last 12 meetings between these two teams heading into Saturday, the Rockies have taken nine of those contests, and the team that Matos will be making his first-ever MLB start for has been horrible lately, going 8-23 in its last 31 games overall and it has the second-worst record in the National League behind only the Washington Nationals. The Rockies have actually won more games on the road than they have at hitter-friendly Coors field. Take the Rockies. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
 
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Jeff Benton

Tough loss Saturday with the Tigers, who fell 2-1 at the Yankees. For Sunday, I’m backing the Braves on the run-line (-1½ runs) against the freefalling Mets in Sunday Night Baseball action from Atlanta.


For starters, New York is a complete mess. Despite getting a 5-1 win Saturday behind a gem from Johan Santana, the Mets are still just 6-13 in theirlast 19 games, including 3-7 on the road. The main reason for New York's woes? It simply can’t score. During their 6-13 slump, the Mets have been shut out five times; they’ve scored one run on three occasions; they’ve tallied two runs three times; and they’ve produced three runs twice. That means New York has scored three runs or fewer in 13 of its last 19 games.


Take it a step further: Last night's five-run "outburst" was just the 10th time since June 14, a span of 29 contests, that New York has scored more than four runs in a game. Tonight, the Mets face one of this year’s most underrated pitchers in Javy Vazquez. The veteran right-hander ranks in the top 10 in the National League in ERA (2.95 ERA, 8th), WHIP (1.05, 4th) and

strikeouts (136, 2nd), and he’s given up two runs or fewer in seven of his last eight outings. So why is Vazquez just 6-7 and why have the Braves won just eight of his 18 starts? Because Atlanta’s offense barely averages four runs per game when Vazquez pitches, including just 3.2 runs per game at home.


So what makes me think the Braves will score enough tonight to not only win a game for Vazquez, but cover the run line? Two reasons: First, Mets starter Fernando Nieve, who won his first two games in impressive fashion after being called up from Triple-A, has come crashing back to earth. He’s 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts, giving up 10 runs, 25 hits and nine walks in 15 innings, losing by scores of 10-6 (at Milwaukee), 4-1 (at Philadelphia) and 3-0 (at home vs. Cincinnati).


Secondly, prior to getting shut down by Santana last night, Atlanta had averaged 5.9 runs over its previous six games (scoring four or more in each contest) and it has still taken four of the last six games from the Mets, scoring 8, 8, 5 and 11 runs in the four victories. Finally, four of the Braves’ last six wins behind Vasquez have been by multiple runs. Throw in the fact that Atlanta’s bullpen has been outstanding of late, and I’ll confidently lay the 1½ runs and look for the Mets’ pathetic offense to continue to struggle.

(based on a 1♦ to a 10♦ Rating)

4♦ ATLANTA (-1 1/2 runs)
 
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Matt Rivers

For Sunday take the Mets at this monster price.

Yes the Mets still stink despite the win yesterday and easily could get drilled today as they are just flat out too hurt to really compete with the Braves but call me a sucker because I am just sucked into this gargantuan number.


Javier Vazquez has been great this season, his first as a member of the Braves, but the righty is banged up and possibly could be a little vulnerable today than normal. Plus Vazquez has been striking out a ton of batters this season making his pitch counts awfully high which inturn gets him out of the game earlier than Bobby Cox would probably like.


Fernando Nieve is mediocre at the very best but he has had a nice little run here with the Mets and could at least hold his own. I do realize it's going to be very tough to score runs as the Mets have David Wright and not much more but at this price it's just worth that risk.


In this fourth game of this series and with it being a Sunday I can see a day off for a guy like Brian McCann therefore weakening the Atlanta lineup a tad.


I'm not fooled by Saturday's victory and do not think things have started afresh here for Jerry Manuel's crew but with Wright and K-Rod always lurking in the pen with a little luck the Mets could make it two in a row. It's unlikely but it is possible and at this price against a beat up Vazquez I'll make a small play on the visitors from New York.

1♦ Mets on a 1♦ to 5♦ Scale
 
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Jim Feist

(977) LOS ANGELES ANGELS
(978) OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Take "(977) LOS ANGELES ANGELS"

It's the penthouse club against the outhouse club. Or, first place Angels versus last place Oakland. The Angels have have won seven of the last 10 games, including Saturday's contest over the A's, 11-6. The Angels are third in the AL in runs/game (5.34) and first in batting average (.284). Meanwhile, Oakland is dead last in batting average (.246) and third from last in runs/game (4.20). The starting pitching is quite even here today. Brett Anderson for the A's has been red-hot, though overall he's only 5-7 with a 4.64 era. John Lackey has had a fair season also, posting a 4-4 record and 4.93 era. What really intrigues us here is Lackey's career against the A's. He's 14-4 lifetime versus Oakland with a 2.80 era. Laying about a quarter on the road looks like good value with the mismatch in these clubs. Take the Angels.
 

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