IndianCowboy
Sunday's Comp Selection
13-7 (62%) Comp Winners
Take the LA Angels +127 over the NY Yankees (Sunday @ 3:35pm est). I understand that the Yankees are looking to avoid getting swept here in LA, but I like Lackey today at home. Plus, getting the Angels on a dog price, on a Sunday afternoon when the big boys come into town, is something it is tough to pass up. Bear in mind that Lackey comes off a non-quality start where he gave up six runs on 9 hits in less than 5 innings against the Rangers at home. Texas went on to win that game 9-5 in Anaheim. Lackey is one of the best bounce-backs in the league as prior to that he had given up just 2 runs in 15 innings. In fact, Lackey's earned runs of late go in this order from most recent: 6, 2, 0, 4, 3, 8, 2, 5, 3, and 4. You notice each time he gives up four or more runs, he comes back with a strong start. For example, after giving up 4 runs to Seattle on 5/18, he came back to give up 3 runs to the Dodgers on the road. After giving up 5 runs to Seattle on 5/29, he came back to give 2 runs to the Bluejays on the road. And, after giving up 8 runs to Tampa Bay on the road, he came back to win and give up 3 runs to the Giants on the road. After giving up 4 runs to the Dodgers on 6/21, he came back to give up 0 runs in 7 innings to the Diamondbacks on the road. Such is the case today as the Abilene, Texas native faces the Yankees today at home coming off a rough start against Texas. CC on the other hand comes off one of his best starts of the year giving up 1 run on just 3 hits in 7 innings against the Twins. I suspect he will be sound today but likely not as sharp as Lackey. The Yankees are 1-4 after CC comes off a quality start and the Angels 5-0 as an Underdog of +110 to +140.
Good luck,
IC
Sunday's Comp Selection
13-7 (62%) Comp Winners
Take the LA Angels +127 over the NY Yankees (Sunday @ 3:35pm est). I understand that the Yankees are looking to avoid getting swept here in LA, but I like Lackey today at home. Plus, getting the Angels on a dog price, on a Sunday afternoon when the big boys come into town, is something it is tough to pass up. Bear in mind that Lackey comes off a non-quality start where he gave up six runs on 9 hits in less than 5 innings against the Rangers at home. Texas went on to win that game 9-5 in Anaheim. Lackey is one of the best bounce-backs in the league as prior to that he had given up just 2 runs in 15 innings. In fact, Lackey's earned runs of late go in this order from most recent: 6, 2, 0, 4, 3, 8, 2, 5, 3, and 4. You notice each time he gives up four or more runs, he comes back with a strong start. For example, after giving up 4 runs to Seattle on 5/18, he came back to give up 3 runs to the Dodgers on the road. After giving up 5 runs to Seattle on 5/29, he came back to give 2 runs to the Bluejays on the road. And, after giving up 8 runs to Tampa Bay on the road, he came back to win and give up 3 runs to the Giants on the road. After giving up 4 runs to the Dodgers on 6/21, he came back to give up 0 runs in 7 innings to the Diamondbacks on the road. Such is the case today as the Abilene, Texas native faces the Yankees today at home coming off a rough start against Texas. CC on the other hand comes off one of his best starts of the year giving up 1 run on just 3 hits in 7 innings against the Twins. I suspect he will be sound today but likely not as sharp as Lackey. The Yankees are 1-4 after CC comes off a quality start and the Angels 5-0 as an Underdog of +110 to +140.
Good luck,
IC
Sunday comp play GC -mlb
On Sunday the comp play,as we go for 10 straight is on the Chicago Whitesox.Game 975 at 2:10 eastern.The Sox are a slight dog here and I have no problem taking them on the road in this spot as they have what I believe to be a nice pitching edge.Today the Sox send lefty M.Buehrle to the hill and he flat out has better than numbers that Minny pitcher S.Baker.the Sox are 6-1 in Buehrles road starts this year and he has a decent 3.38 era.Over his last 3 starts his era is right around 3.00 and he has handled the Twins in his carerr with a 24-13 record.S.Baker has not fared as well this year the Twins are 4-5 in his home starts but he has an elevated 5.53 era and has been subpar in his last 3 outings with a 5.79 era.In his career vs the Sox he has a 6.85 era,including 7.54 here at home.The Twins are just 2-4 in the last home game of a series if off a loss.The Sox also fit a modest dog system that pertains to high scoring games the day before.On Sunday the lead play is a 15-1 super system blowout side,with a big pitching advantageTake the Whitesox here today.bol GC-
On Sunday the comp play,as we go for 10 straight is on the Chicago Whitesox.Game 975 at 2:10 eastern.The Sox are a slight dog here and I have no problem taking them on the road in this spot as they have what I believe to be a nice pitching edge.Today the Sox send lefty M.Buehrle to the hill and he flat out has better than numbers that Minny pitcher S.Baker.the Sox are 6-1 in Buehrles road starts this year and he has a decent 3.38 era.Over his last 3 starts his era is right around 3.00 and he has handled the Twins in his carerr with a 24-13 record.S.Baker has not fared as well this year the Twins are 4-5 in his home starts but he has an elevated 5.53 era and has been subpar in his last 3 outings with a 5.79 era.In his career vs the Sox he has a 6.85 era,including 7.54 here at home.The Twins are just 2-4 in the last home game of a series if off a loss.The Sox also fit a modest dog system that pertains to high scoring games the day before.On Sunday the lead play is a 15-1 super system blowout side,with a big pitching advantageTake the Whitesox here today.bol GC-
Matt Fargo
St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals
Game Two of this doubleheader takes place tonight on ESPN and at worst, St. Louis will head into the All-Star break with a lead in the National League Central. It is 7-3 in its last 10 games to move to seven games over .500 for the season. The Cubs snapped a three-game skid with a victory on Saturday as they continue to struggle this year. They are right at .500 but expectations were high and their only saving grace is that the division leaders have not ran away with anything. Adam Wainwright is pitching solid once again and he looks to make it four straight quality starts after tonight. His ERA for the season is now down to 3.09 in 18 starts, 12 of whish have been wins for the Cardinals. His numbers are not as good on the road but it matters little when his offense has averaged 7.6 rpg in his eight road starts and the team has gone 7-1. Pitching at night has been the best time for Wainwright as he is 6-3 with a 2.51 ERA in 11 starts at night with St. Louis going 8-3 in those games. The Cardinals are 9-0 in Wainwright?s last nine starts as a road underdog and they are 5-0 in his last five starts against the Cubs. Randy Wells counters for the Cubs and he is having an incredible rookie season but this is where the value comes into play. Nine of his 11 starts this season have been quality outings including four of five at home but that does not necessarily translate into victories. Chicago is 6-5 in his 11 starts including 3-2 at home so while winning overall, the wins should be more based on the numbers. The Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 road games against a right-handed starter.
3* St. Louis Cardinals
St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals
Game Two of this doubleheader takes place tonight on ESPN and at worst, St. Louis will head into the All-Star break with a lead in the National League Central. It is 7-3 in its last 10 games to move to seven games over .500 for the season. The Cubs snapped a three-game skid with a victory on Saturday as they continue to struggle this year. They are right at .500 but expectations were high and their only saving grace is that the division leaders have not ran away with anything. Adam Wainwright is pitching solid once again and he looks to make it four straight quality starts after tonight. His ERA for the season is now down to 3.09 in 18 starts, 12 of whish have been wins for the Cardinals. His numbers are not as good on the road but it matters little when his offense has averaged 7.6 rpg in his eight road starts and the team has gone 7-1. Pitching at night has been the best time for Wainwright as he is 6-3 with a 2.51 ERA in 11 starts at night with St. Louis going 8-3 in those games. The Cardinals are 9-0 in Wainwright?s last nine starts as a road underdog and they are 5-0 in his last five starts against the Cubs. Randy Wells counters for the Cubs and he is having an incredible rookie season but this is where the value comes into play. Nine of his 11 starts this season have been quality outings including four of five at home but that does not necessarily translate into victories. Chicago is 6-5 in his 11 starts including 3-2 at home so while winning overall, the wins should be more based on the numbers. The Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 road games against a right-handed starter.
3* St. Louis Cardinals
Jimmy The Moose
Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Over
In last night's game the teams combined for 25 hits and 24 runs, easily playing the over. There were also 10 pitchers used between them in this game. The Royals send Bruce Chen to the mound and over his alst 3 starts his ERA is 6.88. The Red Sox are batting .270 at home and will rough up Chen. Beckett takes the mound today and 2 of his last 3 starts vs. the Royals have played over the total.
The team's won't combine for 24 runs this afternoon but this one will also play over the total.
Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Over
In last night's game the teams combined for 25 hits and 24 runs, easily playing the over. There were also 10 pitchers used between them in this game. The Royals send Bruce Chen to the mound and over his alst 3 starts his ERA is 6.88. The Red Sox are batting .270 at home and will rough up Chen. Beckett takes the mound today and 2 of his last 3 starts vs. the Royals have played over the total.
The team's won't combine for 24 runs this afternoon but this one will also play over the total.
Michael Cannon
St. Louis +105 at CHICAGO CUBS - DH Game 2
Take the Cardinals for the win tonight in Game 2 of their doubleheader against the Cubs.
Adam Wainwright is slated to start the second game and he’s been great in his last two starts. The right-hander has allowed just one run and has 21 strikeouts in 17 1-3 innings over that span and is 1-0.
In three starts this year against the Cubs Wainwright is 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA.
The Cubs will counter with Randy Wells, who has pitched well but suffered from a lack of run support in his first few starts. Since then, however, the right-hander has won his last four starts.
But I don’t see the Cubs getting him many runs tonight.
I’ll gladly side with the more accomplished Wainwright at this price.
Take the Cardinals as they grab the win tonight in Game 2 of their doubleheader against the Cubs.
3♦ ST. LOUIS
St. Louis +105 at CHICAGO CUBS - DH Game 2
Take the Cardinals for the win tonight in Game 2 of their doubleheader against the Cubs.
Adam Wainwright is slated to start the second game and he’s been great in his last two starts. The right-hander has allowed just one run and has 21 strikeouts in 17 1-3 innings over that span and is 1-0.
In three starts this year against the Cubs Wainwright is 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA.
The Cubs will counter with Randy Wells, who has pitched well but suffered from a lack of run support in his first few starts. Since then, however, the right-hander has won his last four starts.
But I don’t see the Cubs getting him many runs tonight.
I’ll gladly side with the more accomplished Wainwright at this price.
Take the Cardinals as they grab the win tonight in Game 2 of their doubleheader against the Cubs.
3♦ ST. LOUIS
Karl Garrett
Toronto at BALTIMORE -120
Now 9-4 the last 13 days with my comp plays!
For Sunday, take Baltimore to down Toronto one more time. The Orioles won in extra-innings last night to improve to 4-1 this season at home against the Blue Jays.
That win made it a 3-1 run for the O's their last 4 games, while Toronto lost for the 7th time in their last 9 games.
The Jays will go with Marc Rzepczyski who is making only his second start at this level, and that spells trouble, especially since he was solid in his first start at Tampa, allowing just 1 run over 6 innings. The G-Man feels this kid is gonna get hit hard today.
Opposing for Baltimore is Brad Bergesen who has taken a liking to his new home, going 5-1 with a 2.83 ERA at Camden Yards this season.
Have to stick with the rookie Bergesen to outduel his rookie counterpart from Toronto.
G-Man on the Orioles.
3♦ BALTIMORE
Toronto at BALTIMORE -120
Now 9-4 the last 13 days with my comp plays!
For Sunday, take Baltimore to down Toronto one more time. The Orioles won in extra-innings last night to improve to 4-1 this season at home against the Blue Jays.
That win made it a 3-1 run for the O's their last 4 games, while Toronto lost for the 7th time in their last 9 games.
The Jays will go with Marc Rzepczyski who is making only his second start at this level, and that spells trouble, especially since he was solid in his first start at Tampa, allowing just 1 run over 6 innings. The G-Man feels this kid is gonna get hit hard today.
Opposing for Baltimore is Brad Bergesen who has taken a liking to his new home, going 5-1 with a 2.83 ERA at Camden Yards this season.
Have to stick with the rookie Bergesen to outduel his rookie counterpart from Toronto.
G-Man on the Orioles.
3♦ BALTIMORE
Drew Gordon
Florida at ARIZONA +105
Now on a 24-15 roll with the plays I'm giving away, incl. the White Sox over the Twins 8-7 Saturday! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Florida/Arizona match-up.
The Marlins have gotten their asses handed to them in back-to-back games, as both Nolasco and West got lit up Friday & Saturday. It may be tempting to ride the Fish here expecting a bounce back behind their ace, Josh Johnson, but that's a mistake and here's why:
First off, the pitching match up is A LOT closer than bettors think, as Doug Davis has been great over his last 4 starts, allowing a total of 4 runs over his last 27 1/3 innings! The southpaw has also been stellar at Chase Field, albeit his 2-5 record is nothing to write home about, his 2.83 ERA speaks for itself! True, he got roughed up in his last start at Florida, but that was nearly a month and a half ago, and things are different this time around.
How are they different? The Marlins offense has fallen asleep at the wheel for one thing! All-Star Josh Johnson has received just 2.7 runs of support over his last 4 starts, and it isn't going to get any easier against Davis this afternoon! While Florida has hit lefties well at Land Shark Stadium, they have NOT done so on the road, averaging just 4.1 runs per game in that spot, batting .237 in the process!
On the flip side, while bettors are down on this Arizona offense overall, you can't complain with their production at home, where they average a hearty 4.8 runs per game against righties this season. Led by a resurgent Justin Upton, who's a ridiculous 7 for 13 in thus far this series, look for Arizona to get it done this afternoon. Note, for all his gaudy numbers, Johnson isn't nearly as good on the highway, where his ERA rises almost 2 runs, from 1.98 at home to a beatable 3.91 away! In the end, giving me Davis at home, at this price, is too much to pass up against this below average Marlins offense.
Take Arizona behind Davis over Florida and Johnson in this MLB match up.
3♦ ARIZONA
Florida at ARIZONA +105
Now on a 24-15 roll with the plays I'm giving away, incl. the White Sox over the Twins 8-7 Saturday! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Florida/Arizona match-up.
The Marlins have gotten their asses handed to them in back-to-back games, as both Nolasco and West got lit up Friday & Saturday. It may be tempting to ride the Fish here expecting a bounce back behind their ace, Josh Johnson, but that's a mistake and here's why:
First off, the pitching match up is A LOT closer than bettors think, as Doug Davis has been great over his last 4 starts, allowing a total of 4 runs over his last 27 1/3 innings! The southpaw has also been stellar at Chase Field, albeit his 2-5 record is nothing to write home about, his 2.83 ERA speaks for itself! True, he got roughed up in his last start at Florida, but that was nearly a month and a half ago, and things are different this time around.
How are they different? The Marlins offense has fallen asleep at the wheel for one thing! All-Star Josh Johnson has received just 2.7 runs of support over his last 4 starts, and it isn't going to get any easier against Davis this afternoon! While Florida has hit lefties well at Land Shark Stadium, they have NOT done so on the road, averaging just 4.1 runs per game in that spot, batting .237 in the process!
On the flip side, while bettors are down on this Arizona offense overall, you can't complain with their production at home, where they average a hearty 4.8 runs per game against righties this season. Led by a resurgent Justin Upton, who's a ridiculous 7 for 13 in thus far this series, look for Arizona to get it done this afternoon. Note, for all his gaudy numbers, Johnson isn't nearly as good on the highway, where his ERA rises almost 2 runs, from 1.98 at home to a beatable 3.91 away! In the end, giving me Davis at home, at this price, is too much to pass up against this below average Marlins offense.
Take Arizona behind Davis over Florida and Johnson in this MLB match up.
3♦ ARIZONA
