Sunday 05/24/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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LEE KOSTROSKI

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
PICK: Houston Astros

The Astros have not been a great home team but they also have not been swept at home all season. After back-to-back narrow losses Friday and Saturday including an extra-innings affair Houston should come out ready to play for Sunday’s finale in the opening Lone Star interleague series. Texas is a banged up team with Ian Kinsler, Michael Young, and Frank Francisco all unavailable for yesterday’s game and Josh Hamilton should be rested today. The Astros have played well on Sundays, winning 16 of the last 21 games to wrap up the week. Texas is just a .500 team on the road this season and having wrapped up the series last night the Rangers could letdown for this game, the sixth consecutive road game for Texas.

Brandon McCarthy has a winning record this season but he owns a 6.95 ERA in road games. McCarthy has allowed at least three runs in all but one of his eight starts this season and in road starts his WHIP is 1.91 while opponents are batting .320. Over his three most recent starts McCarthy has an ERA of 7.00 and he will be tough to trust against an Astros lineup that is actually hitting well in recent games. Houston is batting .304 over the last ten games and they have lost three one-run games in that span so they are close to putting together a much better record. The Texas bullpen has also been a big problem area this season outside of Francisco, as the Rangers feature an ERA of 4.85 among relievers.

Mike Hampton’s comeback attempt has not been an overwhelming success but he pitching respectably. He has 33 strikeouts in just 43 innings and in five of his eight starts he has allowed three runs or less.Over the last ten games the Rangers are hitting just .251 overall including just .233 against left-handed pitching despite having success against southpaws early in April. The Rangers are also hitting just .244 on the road this season. This is a critical game for Houston after dropping the first two of this series and the Astros are playing much better than the record indicates.
 
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Scott Delaney

I just don't believe the BoSox will let any team from New York come into Fenway and score a sweep. New York scored two runs in the top of the ninth and held on to beat the Red Sox 3-2 yesterday, and that won't sit right today when they take the field.

We have Timmy Wakefield going, and I'll bank on the knuckle-ball specialist to silence the Mets' bats in this one. The Red Sox have won each of his three home starts this season while he hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of those games. Boston is a stellar 9-2 when Wake faces N.L. squads, so I'll side with him here.

BOSTON RED SOX
 
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Craig Davis

Finally lost a Bonus Play for the first time in seven tries yesterday as the Nuggets failed to deliver. But I've still nailed six of seven and plan to make it seven of eight today with the OVER in the Cleveland/Orlando Game 3 matchup.

The first two games in this series have gone OVER the posted price and there's no reason to think Game 3 should be any different. Both teams average 100 PPG for the season, shooting better than 45% from the field. It appears that defense has gone out the window in the first two games of this series and after seeing Cleveland score at least 97 points in 6 of their last 7 playoff games, I think it's safe to say the Cavs have found their offensive rhythm.

Orlando has surpassed the century mark in two of its last three games, and still scored 95 in the other outing. No doubt both teams push 95 points today, and I wouldn't be surprised to see both of these teams hit 100 again.

Bonus Play winner #7 of 8 is on the Cleveland/Orlando game OVER the total.

2? CAVS/MAGIC OVER
 

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#902 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego +100
#910 - MLB - 3 units on Florida +111
#911 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +117
#913 - MLB - 3 units on Toronto +126



hows MADDUX been doing,.....im looking to use them when football season rolls around,....are they good in football and which are they better in,..nfl-college

thanks
 

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Nov 23, 2007
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Stan Sharp

Stan ran his record to 10-1 the last 11 and today is releasing a Big Triple Dime Play in fact it's his Mismatch of the Month. This is the only the play Stan is betting today and he is betting it Big. If your not following Stan Sharp you just don't like Money because Stan has been pure money. That's a Fact as over the last 786 Plays Stan is 453-334. Get STAN SHARP'S TRIPLE DIME MISMATCH OF THE MONTH
 

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Demarco

Al DeMarco
Sunday's Play 5 Dime - St. Louis Cardinals

I don't understand how this line isn't St. Louis -175 considering the slumping Royals haven't scored a run in 24 innings, have been shut out in the first two games of the series (hitting a collective .164), and have lost 11 of their last 14 games, a stretch in which they've managed to score a total of 45 runs.

St. Louis, on the other hand, seeks a season-high sixth straight victory with its current run fueled by its starting pitchers, who are a combined 5-0 with a 0.25 ERA in that period. The charge started when today's starter, Joel Pineiro, blanked the then-hot-hitting Cubs on Tuesday, going the distance with a three-hitter for his first shutout since 2003.

Prior to icing the Cubs, Pineiro had lost three straight starts, compiling a 4.74 ERA. That was after opening the season by going 4-0 with a 3.76 ERA. But rather than focus on his streakiness, instead note that he has won all three of his starts at spacious Busch Stadium this season where his ERA is 1.52. Compare that to his 4.99 ERA on the road and you truly get an idea of how critical the homefield is in Pineiro's case.

Kansas City won all four of Brian Bannister's starts after his recall from the minors in late April. But two starts ago, at Oakland, the righthander removed himself from the game because of shoulder soreness. His next start out versus Cleveland at home on May 19 was his worst of the season as he allowed nine hits and five earned runs in six innings pitched. Bannister faced the Cardinals twice during his nightmarish 2008 season, going 1-1 with a 6.94 ERA.

After losing Saturday's game, Kansas City made three roster moves, none of which will immediately impact the club, and none of which involved injured closer Joakim Soria. With seven straight road losses already, and the Cardinals playing their best ball of the season, the elevated price is worth laying.

You might ask why I'm not opting for St. Louis on the Run Line instead. Well, although the Cards have been winning, they haven't resembled the '27 Yankees offensively, scoring a total of 18 runs during their five-game winning streak, 10 of which have come in the first two games versus KC. Going back further, this is a squad that's scored a total of 32 runs in its last 11 games as injuries have taken their toll. That does not inspire confidence in a Run Line play. Plus, if you recall, last Tuesday I backed the Phillies and two Thursdays ago the Yankees as elevated favorites for the same reason: their offenses both concerned me in terms of getting Run Line victory. But, both managed to win on the moneyline and that's the same philosophy I'm going with today with the acknowledgement this play is pushing precariously close to my personal cap in terms of how big of a price I'll lay with a chalk.
 

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Budin

Steven Budin-CEO
SUNDAY'S PICK
FREEHOLD, NEW JERSEY WISE GUYS

25 DIME RUN LINE RELEASE

Chicago White Sox (Buehrle) - 1 1/2 Runs over Pittsburgh Pirates (Karstens)
 
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Gamehunter

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2009 Record: 173-157, +50.4174 Iorgs
Saturday: 6-5, +1.4625 units

I want just one come from behind win with a 2+ run deficit in the 8th or 9th innings to offset these horrific late beats. A's at +146 last night with a 4 run lead in the 8th lose in extras. Ouch!


CUBS +103 (1.75 UNITS)

UNDER PHI/YANKS 9 RUNS (-105) (1.75 UNITS)

TORONTO +127 (2 UNITS)

CLEVELAND -119 (1.5 UNITS)

BOSTON -1.5 RUNS (+108) (2.25 UNITS)

WHITE SOX -1.5 RUNS (+110) (1.75 UNITS)

OAKLAND -138 (1.5 UNITS)

SAN FRANCISCO +163 (1.25 UNITS)

MILWAUKEE +134 (1.5 UNITS)

OVER MILW/MINNY 9 RUNS (-122) (1.75 UNITS)
 

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