Drew Gordon
Houston -115 at ATLANTA
In years past, I'd be extremely reticent in backing Wandy Rodriguez on the road, and especially at Turner Field, where he's had some issues in the past. But I believe Rodriguez has really turned a corner this season, going 2-2 with an outstanding 1.69 ERA thus far! What's even more promising, is he's kept his ERA way down on the road, posting a 2.77 ERA on the highway thus far. Look for more of the same, as Rodriguez builds off the last time he saw the Braves, allowing just 1 unearned run over 7 innings back in September!
On the flip side, I know plenty of Atlanta-backers were happy to see Jo-Jo Reyes pitch so well in his last start, but I'm not convinced. Allowing 1 run over 7 innings at the Cardinals is noteworthy, but its also important to note that he hasn't beaten an NL team in exactly one year to the day! Guys, don't be fooled by one nice start, Reyes was a disaster in the start prior to the Cardinals (got rocked at PNC Park) and was horrendous in his last home start, allowing 5 runs in 3 1/3 innings to the Mets! Point being, trust Reyes at your own loss!
Also, although they didn't score a ton of runs against lefties last year, the Astros did bat a solid .271 against them. Its still early on this season, but they are averaging a healthy 4.6 runs against southpaws thus far, and a juicy match up against an inconsistent Jo-Jo Reyes is just what the doctor ordered to build off a nice offensive effort yesterday. In the end, Rodriguez has been too damn good to ignore at this price and in this spot.
Take Houston behind Rodriguez over Atlanta and Jo-Jo Reyes in this MLB match up.
3♦ HOUSTON