Strong US Open semifinal play

[HarryCaray]

Wawrinka o20.5 games +100

Match is basically a pk, if he wins it will easily go over unless he wins in straights. Will also almost certainly go over if it goes 5, win or lose.

Should be a very close match. Don't see Kei winning this match in 3 or 4, would take 5 IMO. Also don't see Stan winning in straights.

Line is overreaction to Nishikori beating Murray, Wawrinka should be favored IMO. How much does Kei have left in the tank after that win though? Wawrinka off a late match 2 nights ago over delPo, but he barely broke a sweat in that match as delPo was out of gas.

Nishikori not a good enough returner to get a lot of service break opportunities against Wawrinka's monster serve. Wouldn't shock me to see a couple tiebreakers here.

I almost never post plays up here but feel really strongly about this one.

 

[CHOPTALK]

Probably so but the correct player is favored IMO .

Got a nice winner fading Murray


Nishikori might be the best returner in the whole world don't know why you say he is not a good one. It's the strength of his game.

 

[CHOPTALK]

I really think this is the moment for nishikori to shine. I'm predicting he wins the whole thing. I look very forward to making a very juices bet on him against the joker in the next round

 

[Ricboff]

good luck with the wager HC. I like it. Stan is definitely the more experienced of the two deep into a GS.



Nish is a solid returner of server BUT he is not even close to being the best in the world-- here are the numbers.

% of service games won on hardcourt 2016;

1. Nole - 39% ...absurd
2. Murray - 37%

3. Nadal- 32%
4. Goffin-- 31%
5. Monfils- 30%



10. Nish- 27%


he is facing a tough guy to break in Stan.


Nish is fresh off taking care of Stan a few weeks ago in Toronto 7-6,6-1. BUT, to beat him in straights in a GS? THIS deep into the tournament? Gee, in THIS tournament Nish couldn't beat IN STRAIGHTS the likes of Becker, Mahut and Khachanov!! To handle an in form Stan in straights?

should be quite the show from the baseline tonight....

 

[KingEleven]

good luck with your tennis wagers 'fellas

cheersgif

 

[Ricboff]

sorry that should read- '% of return games won'

 

[CHOPTALK]

This Djokovic match is weird if I lose my under 9.5 on this shit I'll be steamed

 

[CHOPTALK]

This is unreal

 

[HarryCaray]

Probably so but the correct player is favored IMO .

Got a nice winner fading Murray


Nishikori might be the best returner in the whole world don't know why you say he is not a good one. It's the strength of his game.

I was on Nishikori against Murray too.

And no he's not, come on Chop.

 

[ML Dog]

Wawrinka o20.5 games +100

Match is basically a pk, if he wins it will easily go over unless he wins in straights. Will also almost certainly go over if it goes 5, win or lose.

Should be a very close match. Don't see Kei winning this match in 3 or 4, would take 5 IMO. Also don't see Stan winning in straights.

Line is overreaction to Nishikori beating Murray, Wawrinka should be favored IMO. How much does Kei have left in the tank after that win though? Wawrinka off a late match 2 nights ago over delPo, but he barely broke a sweat in that match as delPo was out of gas.

Nishikori not a good enough returner to get a lot of service break opportunities against Wawrinka's monster serve. Wouldn't shock me to see a couple tiebreakers here.

I almost never post plays up here but feel really strongly about this one.

I like the thought process behind this one HC. Matches Closer to EVEN odds-wise than we get accustomed to seeing within Tennis Odds (and at Majors especially), where The Line is trying to tell us that both players have a shot at prevailing + (plus) a gamble on GAMES OV TTL Play is a strategy I like:toast: Thanks for the post.


Only thing with me and Nishikori is, at Wimbledon (IIRC) he had a "knee" or ankle (?) something problem flare up and I am still pretty Iffy on Nishi, cuz of that. Versus, especially, a PowerServe.


prolly just me....

 

[ML Dog]

I was on Nishikori against Murray too.

And no he's not, come on Chop.

Congrats to all who managed successfully to Fade Murray. :toast:

For Ages now, certainly throughout Wimbledon-Late till now....I "looked" for an opportunity to Cash with a MurrayFade

but I personally did not manage that here. So I gotta give Big Props to those who did.

 

[ML Dog]

good luck with the wager HC. I like it. Stan is definitely the more experienced of the two deep into a GS.



Nish is a solid returner of server BUT he is not even close to being the best in the world-- here are the numbers.

% of service games won on hardcourt 2016;

1. Nole - 39% ...absurd
2. Murray - 37%

3. Nadal- 32%
4. Goffin-- 31%
5. Monfils- 30%



10. Nish- 27%


he is facing a tough guy to break in Stan.


Nish is fresh off taking care of Stan a few weeks ago in Toronto 7-6,6-1. BUT, to beat him in straights in a GS? THIS deep into the tournament? Gee, in THIS tournament Nish couldn't beat IN STRAIGHTS the likes of Becker, Mahut and Khachanov!! To handle an in form Stan in straights?

should be quite the show from the baseline tonight....

Great Post. :toast:


Stuff like this is what makes RX the best sports discussion forum online....

...despite the fact that, yeah, some of us are cuhrazy. (no present company included in that)

 

[HarryCaray]

Here's why I like this bet over just taking Stan. After he lost the first set, I don't even need him to WIN the match, just push it to 5.

And I have BETTER odds than the ML.

 

[HarryCaray]

Hope others cashed with me.

Kei had more chances on Stan's serve than I thought he would. However he did hit the wall like I thought he would.

Wawrinka/Djokovic should be a fun one. :toast:

 

[ML Dog]

Hope others cashed with me.

Thanks and I was glad to see we were of "Like Mind" OVerwise cuz I had OV TTL MATCH prior to seeing your post, bought down to OV 38.5 -155 in Parlay that needs 1002 Angelique Kerber -177 and a couple football games manyana to cash so, yeah, thanks for the post. :toast: