Strength of schedule system for wildcard games

[Bebo67]

Rank the teams with regard to schedule strength from 1st (most difficult) to 32nd (easiest) and bet on the team in the wildcard round that played the more difficult schedule. This system has produced a SU and ATS mark of 32-12 since 2002. Let's look at this year’s wildcard teams and their scheduling strength based on Sagarin's ratings.

SFR[06]
NOR [08]
IND [11]
SDG [19]
KCY [26]
CIN [27]
PHI [28]
GBY [30]

The ratings call for plays on SFR, NOR, IND, and SDG. Now let's add one more level of sophistication to this system - only bet on teams that are ranked 10 or more spots higher than their wildcard opponent. Voila - now we have an ATS and
SU 20-3 record. You can take a quick glance at the teams in this year's wildcard round and it calls for strong plays on SFR, who are slotted 24 positions higher than GBY; and NOR, who are slotted 20 positions higher than PHI; and IND, who is slotted 16 positions higher than KCY.

Okay for you dog bettors let's take a look at some numbers for betting on dogs in the wildcard round. If you played any dog with a higher S.O.S. in this round you would be SU 11-8 and ATS 14-5 and even better if you can find dogs that have S.O.S. of 10 or more better than their opponent (NOR) they are SU 7-3 and ATS 8-2.

 

[BROOMSKI]

great info...i wish i had it yesterday, might have switched to n.o. But good to know for today

 

[Bebo67]

2-0 yesterday based on closing line

 

[BROOMSKI]

there is just no way I can bet on s.d. Though....

 

[Salsantorre]

Yes, but wild card home dogs are now 12-4 last sixteen

 

[Bebo67]

I'm not saying play SF and SD today. Just sharing a pretty successful system. Do what you want with it.
Like all systems, it's a look at past performance...and not necessarily predictive of the future.

 

[pastagramps]

Great job Bebo.

Any selections for Sunday?

 

[memphis]

there is just no way I can bet on s.d. Though....

ur not just bettin on sd ur bettin on 7..

 

[memphis]

I'm not saying play SF and SD today. Just sharing a pretty successful system. Do what you want with it.
Like all systems, it's a look at past performance...and not necessarily predictive of the future.

there both thd play

 

[BROOMSKI]

I think cinn blows them out...s.d. Shouldn't even b there

 

[pizza]

I'm not saying play SF and SD today. Just sharing a pretty successful system. Do what you want with it.
Like all systems, it's a look at past performance...and not necessarily predictive of the future.

spoken like real financial advisor

 

[ballerhanz]

I'm not saying play SF and SD today. Just sharing a pretty successful system. Do what you want with it.
Like all systems, it's a look at past performance...and not necessarily predictive of the future.

Spot on. I wish more people were aware past performance is not indicative of future success.

 

[Michelangelo]

Nice info Bebo. Does this hold true through the next three rounds?

Thanks in advance and good luck today

 

[Acebb]

This system is 3-0.
Thanks for posting.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

You're on fire (Scarface disco song)

 

[Bebo67]

3-0 for sure...hard to grade the SF/GB game since it was available all week at -2.5 (win), but closed at -3 (push). I personally had SD and GB+3.5 and won on both. But I know a lot of people who won on SF-2.5 too.
Either way....nice system to keep in mind for next year. It's long term success (since 2002) speaks for itself.

 

[pizza]

please post strength of schedule for the next round TIA

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Bebo, am I assuming correct that this system only works well in the wildcard round?

 

[SoLicky]

thanks for sharing this system with us BB! keep up the good work!!

 

[Bebo67]

please post strength of schedule for the next round TIA

You can gather that info for yourself a USA Today.com Saragin ratings