Stinkers Week 6

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Dec 11, 2006
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Wk 1 // 2-5-1 -311
Wk 2 // 6-2 +397
Wk 3 // 6-4 +185
Wk 4 // 5-4 +96
Wk 5 // 5-4-1 +93

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Week 6

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Thursday:

San Diego +3 -108 (vs Denv)
This is a king stinker. Check out these San Diego stats. 0-9 SU last nine in the Division. 0-9!!! 0-3 SU in Spotlight games over the last two years. While Denver is 5-1 ATS in Spotlight games over the past two years.

Buuuuutttt....

San Diego is 5-0 ATS their last 5 in the Division. While Denver is 1-3 ATS their last 4 in the Division.

Buuuuttt....

Despite the fact that Denver is 4-1 SU while San Diego is 2-3 SU, San Diego is 0-2 in the Division having already lost to Kansas City and Oakland. They really need this game or their season is over in Week 6. I think they get it. Go Bolts.
 
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Love starting the week with a Thursday night win. Thank you Bolts.

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Sunday:

New England -7' +108 (vs Cincy)
Cincy was 13-3-1 ATS last year. This year they are 1-4 ATS. Why? Because they aren't the same team. After five games last year they were averaging 30 ppg vs 18 ppg this year. Even their D isn't as good. Last year they allowed 18 ppg after five games. This year it's up to 22. If you've been gambling during the Brady years you know what stellar records he has in Foxboro both SU and ATS. The Gronk Monster may not play. Brady still has the best receiving weapons he's had in years. Edelman, Amendola, Hogan, and Bennett will get plenty of points on the board. One final clincher. The cherry on top is that the Pats run game has gone from 82 YPG last year to 128 ypg this year, while Cincy's has gone from 111 last year to 84 this year. Pats in a romp.

Baltimore +3' -102 (@ NYG)
Odell Beckham has taken away the soul of the G-men. That's all.

Carolina -3 +105 (@ NOr)
At 0-2 in the Division it's time for Carolina to shit or get off the pot. The Super Bowl loser will effectively have the door shut to their season in Week 6. Their record stinks but they have three losses to Denver, Minnesota, and Atlanta who are a combined 13-2. New Orleans couldn't sniff the jockstrap if those three teams. New Orleans who is 1-6 SU and 2-4 ATS their last 6 in their Dome. Panthers growl.

more coming
 
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Chicago -2' -110 (vs Jax)
Bears stunk at home last year. 1-7 SU; 1-6-1 ATS last year. Peeeeyou. That was with Jay Cutler under center. But they aree 1-0; 1-0 at home this year with Brian Hoyer protecting and projecting the ball. The whole team is playing better with Hoyer as QB. Cutler was sacked 8 times in two games while the Bears got 4. Hoyer has been sacked 2 times in 3 games while the Bears got 7. The team was -3 in turnovers with Cutler. Even with Hoyer. Jacksonville ? Overhyped pre-season. They stink.
 

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Mike.............good luck with your action today..............indy
 
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Cleveland +7' -106 (@ Tenny)
The Brownies are 0-5. If they're gonna get a win this year, this is a spot they can compete. In fact as 1 point underdogs to Tenny the last two years they beat the Titties straight up both times. Over a TD is way too big of a price for a 2-3 team. Leave some Brown on Nissan Field.

Later games later.
 
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I added Buffalo earlier but somehow posted it in NFL's thread by mistake. I'm counting it in the record, win or lose, 'cause I post these picks three places, two on the RX. Need to keep the record consistent. Thanks. (Losing ATS right now in the 3rd Q)

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Oakland +1 +102 (vs KCy)
I know. I know. Andy Reed is 15-2 off the bye. Kansas City is 6-0 their last 6 in the Division. Not this time. We are watching Kansas City decline while Oakland emerges. Oakland has gone from 91 rushing yards per game last year to 119 this year while the Chiefs have gone from 128 to 90. Gimme Carr and his receivers over Smith and his. Those Raider crazies will be going Raider crazy.

 
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I'm skipping the writeups on the last two late afternoon games. I want to get back to watching Patriot football.

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Atlanta +6' -103 (@ Sea)

Dallas +5' -109 (@ GBy)
 
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Arizona -7' +109 (vs NYJ)
Two teams badly in need of a win. Can't see the Jets flying in to the Arizona desert to get one. Think it's gonna be more like crashing into the desert. They have two offensive TDs in the last three games. Fitz's favorite goalline target, Eric Decker, is gone for the season. It won't get better tonight. The Cardinals have 18 sacks and 12 takeaways in 5 games. The Jets have 13 giveaways in five games, 10 interceptions for Harvard Fitz. You think he's gonna correct that problem against that Zona sack pack? Nope.
 

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