Stat Guys I need your help

[NoTax]

Ok lets say i have 4 games at 4 different times

10am WY +4 1/2

1PM KY +2 1/2

4PM USC +7 1/2

7PM CAL +2 1/2

What are the odds on all 4 games losing?

 

[maxdemo]

are you parlaying them or straight wagers??

 

[NoTax]

straight

 

[HaveAGoodOne]

ODDS FOR ALL FOUR LOSING AT ONCE/ FOUR TO ONE MAYBE?

 

[Journeyman]

Would it be 12.5% ? Do you plan to double down or something?

 

[maxdemo]

Is this a trick question??

 

[Banned4Life]

You will lose (or win) all four once in every 16 tries, assuming each has a 50-50 chance of losing (or winning).

 

[NoTax]

So would that mean over 64 games you would lose 4 in a row once?

 

[NoTax]

Journeyman

Im working on a system

 

[Tekari]

no tax, you would lose 4 in a row once out of every 16 games.

 

[NoTax]

Tekari

So there is a 25 percent chance of losing all 4 games?

 

[Fishhead]

All four will lose one in sixteen times.

This would be based on a PERFECT SPREAD where the spread was an idicator of game final score prediction and not trying to draw equal action.

 

[NoTax]

Fish

So basically every 64 games (16 times) you will lose 4 in a row??

Based on the Perfect Spread of course??

 

[Skyweasel]

of losing all 4 bets which you have already placed, assuming the line perfectly splits the probabilities, 1/16 as Fishead stated.

However, if you say, I'm going to place 64 bets in a row, what are the odds I'll lose X number of bets in a row, that's a totally different bit of math (which I don't have the capability to do right now). Plain probability would say you'd lose 32 and win 32 but you could have unusually long win or loss streaks within the 64 due to variance.

 

[NoTax]

Sky

Thanks man that is the kind of stuff im looking for

If you or anyone have more info on this its all appriciated

 

[PanchoSanza]

During those 64 bets, you can expect to have a 4 game losing streak about 4 seperate times.

You will have 61 different "sets" of 4 games, and in each of those instances, you can expect to go 0-4 6.25 % of the time so we get 61 X .0625 = 3.81

 

[NoTax]

Pancho

You have me really confused

What do you mean 61 different sets?

 

[Journeyman]

50%
25%
12.5%
6.25% ANSWER...


No Tax what is the system,lol?

 

[NoTax]

Journey no need to blab out a half baked system

I need more info

 

[PanchoSanza]

Games 1-4, 2-5, 3-6, those are all seperate groups of 4 games.

At games # 62, you only have 3 games left so that is where the "sets" end.