StanfordSam's 2018 Election Political plays

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Btw, I don't bet parlays either as they are sucker bets with a house edge that is 2x that of straight bets unless they are correlated. There's a little math tip for you.

I dunno where the RX finds these kids but you crushed this thread.
 

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I'm not opposed to some back and forth as long at is stays Kosher in here. Arizona is unique in its growing immigration, but its reputation as a retiree destination. Should be an interesting race to say the least.

The real question is: Can a Republican pull off an upset in Ohio, PA, or WV? Michigan seems like a solid blue pick at this point.
 

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Really, we were just talking past each other. Not even really about the same subject. I was making a point AZ is not the darkest shade of red based on their previous senators and the reasons why that is. Echoing RunMaker comments.

He was just talking more about who will win the actual bet of 2018 senators. I don't know much about either candidate so no opinion really.

I actually bet Trump to win AZ in 2016, posted it on this site. At the nadir of his value, he got down to like -115 to win it.
 

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I wish you all the luck on your bets, but I've got to say that Arizona will be Mexico-ville in the near future.

You may win this bet and the different political battles may go mostly red for a short while, and then swing back and forth between red and blue... but in the end, make no mistake about it, it will be 100% blue and non-reversible.

The thing about Mexicans is they do not understand politics and do not understand how to vote. They will vote against their own benefit and for their own societal destruction until the cows come home; ie, just rinsing and repeating how they vote in Mexico.

The institutions, roads, schools, neighborhoods, the culture.... all will deteriorate to a lower level; shithole level. It is just the culture of Mexico and much of Latin America. Facts are facts. Although in their minds many Mexicans will believe that Mexico has the peace and efficiency of Sweden and Switzerland (Sweden is being destroyed right now, though).

Anyways, another thing to point out is the stupidity of white Democrats and white Republicans. They simply don't understand and don't get this.

White Democrats are simply stupid. White Republicans think, well, we'll just vote our way out of this and we'll go by the rule of law. Both sides are stupid. Mexicans are already the majority in Arizona and by a good margin. Don't be fooled by fake numbers and stats they would have you believe is legit.

There are tons of illegals and they are anchored in with 3, 4 or 5 anchor baby children which feed off the system. You ask them what they are and no where in their mind do they think they are Americans. "I am Mexican." Then you chain migrate the hell out of the system...

Anyways, it is what is. Arizona will be destroyed. Happens all the time throughout history. Sometimes for the betterment of the region or sometimes for the destruction of the region.
 

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Lol that is so extreme its just insane. I'll say this though, I would much rather live in a place full of Mexicans than live somewhere overrun with blacks. Not even a question.
 

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Lol that is so extreme its just insane. I'll say this though, I would much rather live in a place full of Mexicans than live somewhere overrun with blacks. Not even a question.

Lol.

Did you ever think there's a reason MILLIONS of Mexicans have fled Mexico?

Also, please don't be like a moronic liberal and just make a statement without an explanation. Tell me what part is "extreme". Seriously, what part is "extreme"? There is nothing extreme about my statement. Go over each line and point it out. There is nothing extreme.

There is nothing more comical than clueless white people who are obtuse to reality. Just like dumb white Europeans who see their fellow countrymen getting sliced and diced in the streets or run over with buses..... and go, "This Arab/African invasion of our country is fantastic".
 

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Lol.

Did you ever think there's a reason MILLIONS of Mexicans have fled Mexico?

Also, please don't be like a moronic liberal and just make a statement without an explanation. Tell me what part is "extreme". Seriously, what part is "extreme"? There is nothing extreme about my statement. Go over each line and point it out. There is nothing extreme.

There is nothing more comical than clueless white people who are obtuse to reality. Just like dumb white Europeans who see their fellow countrymen getting sliced and diced in the streets or run over with buses..... and go, "This Arab/African invasion of our country is fantastic".

Ok chicken little. You ever been to Phoenix, how about the US-Mexico border? I'm not gonna sit here and pick apart your "the sky is falling" theory that this state is Mexico North. It's simply not, I think maybe 25% Hispanic thanks to Obama.
 

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And like a good liberal.... you did not point out what is "extreme".

So try again.
 

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Santa ana town next to me is 90% mexican .my town fountain valley 45% asian . At anaheim hiton where we have about 400 employes or more . I estimate the work force is about 80% mexican .i wish i learned spanish better in high school. I have no idea wtf they are saying to baronman .
 

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Good luck on your plays. If you're on the clean side of Palo Alto, you're exposed to nothing. If not, you're exposed to reality.

I'd imagine many millionaire housewives are clueless to a lot of shit that goes on there.... just content to eat their $45 salads.


My comments are correct. And you should take them into account for voting bets in the future. Just imagine London in 20 years. Native actual English/Londoners are a minority in their own city... right now!
 

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Good luck on your plays. If you're on the clean side of Palo Alto, you're exposed to nothing. If not, you're exposed to reality.

I'd imagine many millionaire housewives are clueless to a lot of shit that goes on there.... just content to eat their $45 salads.


My comments are correct. And you should take them into account for voting bets in the future. Just imagine London in 20 years. Native actual English/Londoners are a minority in their own city... right now!

I get where you’re coming from. I just recently relocated to Menlo Park right across the street, so now I live in arguably a more exclusive area. I can assure you that I have been exposed to the other side.

I recently moved out here. I lived in central Ohio when Trump was elected. I’ve seen the endless roads of Trump signs outside of Columbus. Believe me, my judgements are based on places like that more than the exclusive bubble I live in now.
 

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Santa ana town next to me is 90% mexican .my town fountain valley 45% asian . At anaheim hiton where we have about 400 employes or more . I estimate the work force is about 80% mexican .i wish i learned spanish better in high school. I have no idea wtf they are saying to baronman .
i find this very funny - my first thought was - everybody wishes you learned english better in high school - because we have no idea what you are saying to us
 

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