Stale Lines...

[OppieFreelie]

Okay... can someone explain why CAR opened @ +1.5 but now it's -4? Injuries?Also why did Det move to -9 now from -6.5? Nevermind: here's the answer... cuz CHI SUX!!!! lol....Anyway, Same question for STL... what made them go from -4.5 to -6.5? Thank you!!!

 

[sdf]

where did Car open +1.5? i see nothing but 3s

the Detroit line moved because Cutler was benched

stl went from 4.5 to 6.5 because sharps and public betting and teasing them...it happens every week. nothing new here

 

[LENBO]

I think he is confusing the LVH posted number on Wednesday with the opener.
LVH took a guess on the Newton situation and whiffed .

 

[OppieFreelie]

I think he is confusing the LVH posted number on Wednesday with the opener. LVH took a guess on the Newton situation and whiffed .

Yes I was referring to the LVH posted #.... what do you mean they whiffed? Why is CAR at -4 now from +1.5? I mean -3 is the most probable COVER from the people that took +1.5 anyway, so at -4 it should still be a strong bet do you agree?

 

[LENBO]

Yes I was referring to the LVH posted #.... what do you mean they whiffed? Why is CAR at -4 now from +1.5? I mean -3 is the most probable COVER from the people that took +1.5 anyway, so at -4 it should still be a strong bet do you agree?

LVH had to put up a number on the game for the contest when most had it off the board not knowing if Newton would play.
By saying they whiffed means they made a bad guess on the line.
At plus 1.5 it's almost a must play for the contest. At -4 it makes a big difference.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I think Carolina wins by 2 or 3 .......a lot of bettors are following these top LVH contest cappers & a lot of these players will take Carolina -4, which is a very bad line compared to the contest........

 

[OppieFreelie]

You have a point, but what's the most likely way that CAR +1.5 covers? Chances are very slim that they will lose by EXACTLY 1 point, or win by EXACTLY 1 or 2 points. The most likely possibility is a 3-point cover by CAR and I'm willing to take my chances on them winning by over that, as a matter of fact I think they DESTROY Cleveland at home! Points hardly matter anyway.

 

[OppieFreelie]

Expanding.... +1.5 is a pretty stupid line to begin with since Carolina pretty much must win the game in order for it to cash. None of those strong ass cappers thought, "Oh wow! +1.5! I better snap at that line immediately because i KNOW Carolina will lose by EXACTLY 1 POINT!!!"............. Anyway Carolina -4 to the motherfucking BANK.

 

[sdf]

LOL

just like Carolina DESTROYED a 2-13 TB team.....by 2 whole points.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

LOL

just like Carolina DESTROYED a 2-13 TB team.....by 2 whole points.

^^^^^^


This......Carolina was -3 & won by 2.......this game has the exact result IMO, a 2 point win by Carolina.

Also, everyone saw how poor Manziel played last week & got shutout 0-30.......odds of it happening again?

Not good.......do not bet the Panthers -4, altho I really do think they win SU......also, at least 3 or 4 games a week fall inside the number, so be careful......of course I could be way off on this game.

 

[OppieFreelie]

^^^^^^This......Carolina was -3 & won by 2.......this game has the exact result IMO, a 2 point win by Carolina.Also, everyone saw how poor Manziel played last week & got shutout 0-30.......odds of it happening again? Not good.......do not bet the Panthers -4, altho I really do think they win SU......also, at least 3 or 4 games a week fall inside the number, so be careful......of course I could be way off on this game.

Nah... CAR in an onslaught