Kinda new to baseball betting. Curious if there is any discussion or posts about staggered parlay bets (I just made up that term, maybe there’s a more official term) where the goal is to hedge with a later game. Sort of like taking even money at BJ when you get a BJ and the dealer has an ace (I know it's a bad bet).
I take a three of four leg parlay with the last leg being a game after the earlier games are over. If I win the first two (or three), I hedge with the last leg. And I make the last leg something that is a high probability win so to cover that, the wager is plus money odds.
Example: I have had some luck with NRFI or my book offers first inning draw. Oddly, the line for NRFI is less favorable than first inning draw.
So I pick two earlier games with low totals, good pitchers, and bet on the two earlier games being first inning draw. Then I pick a third game where NRFI – yes is +140 or so.
If first two games hit (and there have been several times where one of the games hit because the first inning score is 1-1). On Wednesday, I took first inning draw parlay (my book won’t let me parlay NRFI anyway):
Seattle/TB,
Philly/Detroit and
Cleveland/Baltimore.
I forget which game was the later game, but the first two hit (and Philly/Detroit was 1-1 first inning). I took “yes score in first inning” at something like +120 or so, and wagered a hedge that guaranteed at least about half of the payoff.
I have done this with F5 sides (usually ML), and even full games if the last one is scheduled later (Saturdays are great), and just make the last leg favorable odds, maybe -200. Then just take the opposite of the third leg.
This can’t be novel. Anyone heard of it? Got comments to it?
TIA.
I take a three of four leg parlay with the last leg being a game after the earlier games are over. If I win the first two (or three), I hedge with the last leg. And I make the last leg something that is a high probability win so to cover that, the wager is plus money odds.
Example: I have had some luck with NRFI or my book offers first inning draw. Oddly, the line for NRFI is less favorable than first inning draw.
So I pick two earlier games with low totals, good pitchers, and bet on the two earlier games being first inning draw. Then I pick a third game where NRFI – yes is +140 or so.
If first two games hit (and there have been several times where one of the games hit because the first inning score is 1-1). On Wednesday, I took first inning draw parlay (my book won’t let me parlay NRFI anyway):
Seattle/TB,
Philly/Detroit and
Cleveland/Baltimore.
I forget which game was the later game, but the first two hit (and Philly/Detroit was 1-1 first inning). I took “yes score in first inning” at something like +120 or so, and wagered a hedge that guaranteed at least about half of the payoff.
I have done this with F5 sides (usually ML), and even full games if the last one is scheduled later (Saturdays are great), and just make the last leg favorable odds, maybe -200. Then just take the opposite of the third leg.
This can’t be novel. Anyone heard of it? Got comments to it?
TIA.
