First 5 weeks of the season, i played systems.. I handicapped none... Rx Posted record over that time: 69-99 (-$208) during that time, i also played a R/L road system that went 118-47 (+$2908)... I personally didnt play all those games and wound up breaking about even, in real money.. Not trying to BS anyone.
Yesterday i returned to selective handicapping. A style in which im pretty well suited. Im hesitant to call it "one a day" but will call it, "one at a time". Im in this to make money, winning records mean nothing in baseball, its all about the money won or lost. In saying that, i seriously doubt that ill have any plays over $500..
Plays of the day: 1-0 (+$500)
Play for tuesday: may 9th
Texas (-1.80) $450 to win $250. millwood/silva
the amount wagered has no meaning to tha amount that i like the game. i am a big believer in money management... and will use a little John Patrick philosophy today... if i lose, im still up $50 with a 1-1 record.. if i win, im up $750 in 2 days and i can most certainly live with that... Its still a long season and i plan on making plenty of money. Not arrogant, when i say that. its something that i firmly believe..
Now some reasons for Texas and millwood tonight..
Texas: 45-13 in last 58 as favorites of (-1.50) or more.
Texas: 21-7 in last 28 as home favorites.
Texas: 44-18 in last 62 vs teams with losing record.
what does that tell you? it tells you texas beats the teams that they are supposed to beat.
Minn: 3-13 road record this season.
Minn: 21-49 in last 70 as dog of (+1.50) or more.
Minn: 10-26 on road vs a winning team.
Minn: 7-23 in last 30 road games.
Minn: 1-7 in last 8 road games vs right handed starter.
what does this tell you? it tells you minnesota flat out sucks on the road vs winning teams.
Lets look at the starters;
Millwood: 3-2 (3.52 era), going for 4th win in a row. coming off a complete game 4 hitter last thursday vs baltimore.
Silva: 1-5 (8.59 era), losing his last 4 starts and basically being a complete gas can.. In his defense, he is coming off a good outing last thursday against the royals.
In other words, the pitching matchup, is a big mismatch.
Personal preview: we were winners last night with Texas. No reason not to back them tonight. Since im only playing "one at a time" i can live with the big odds and have reduced the risk by playing slightly smaller... One thing that i always do, is cover my back.. ive been a winner for several years now and this is one of the reasons why. anything can and will happen in a baseball game... cant make money, laying odds like this ---across the board, however you can do ok by being selective in your wagering..
enough of the BS...
best of luck..
Yesterday i returned to selective handicapping. A style in which im pretty well suited. Im hesitant to call it "one a day" but will call it, "one at a time". Im in this to make money, winning records mean nothing in baseball, its all about the money won or lost. In saying that, i seriously doubt that ill have any plays over $500..
Plays of the day: 1-0 (+$500)
Play for tuesday: may 9th
Texas (-1.80) $450 to win $250. millwood/silva
the amount wagered has no meaning to tha amount that i like the game. i am a big believer in money management... and will use a little John Patrick philosophy today... if i lose, im still up $50 with a 1-1 record.. if i win, im up $750 in 2 days and i can most certainly live with that... Its still a long season and i plan on making plenty of money. Not arrogant, when i say that. its something that i firmly believe..
Now some reasons for Texas and millwood tonight..
Texas: 45-13 in last 58 as favorites of (-1.50) or more.
Texas: 21-7 in last 28 as home favorites.
Texas: 44-18 in last 62 vs teams with losing record.
what does that tell you? it tells you texas beats the teams that they are supposed to beat.
Minn: 3-13 road record this season.
Minn: 21-49 in last 70 as dog of (+1.50) or more.
Minn: 10-26 on road vs a winning team.
Minn: 7-23 in last 30 road games.
Minn: 1-7 in last 8 road games vs right handed starter.
what does this tell you? it tells you minnesota flat out sucks on the road vs winning teams.
Lets look at the starters;
Millwood: 3-2 (3.52 era), going for 4th win in a row. coming off a complete game 4 hitter last thursday vs baltimore.
Silva: 1-5 (8.59 era), losing his last 4 starts and basically being a complete gas can.. In his defense, he is coming off a good outing last thursday against the royals.
In other words, the pitching matchup, is a big mismatch.
Personal preview: we were winners last night with Texas. No reason not to back them tonight. Since im only playing "one at a time" i can live with the big odds and have reduced the risk by playing slightly smaller... One thing that i always do, is cover my back.. ive been a winner for several years now and this is one of the reasons why. anything can and will happen in a baseball game... cant make money, laying odds like this ---across the board, however you can do ok by being selective in your wagering..
enough of the BS...
best of luck..
>)~
