Spreadproof - NCCAB - Season Long Thread

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With football winding down time to start some good ol College hoops action.

The plays go up to 1 unit max and .5 unit min. Make sure you have at least 15 or 20 units in your bankroll, not expecting big swings but it stops you from tilting in this wonderful sports betting world.

First play

Arizona +4 (.5 unit)

Gl,
Spreadproof
 

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Plays 12/6/08 YTD (1-0) +.5 Units

Basketball - 803 Boston College -4 -110 for Game (1 Unit)
Basketball - 819 UNLV -2½ -110 for Game (1 Unit)
 

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Plays 12/9/08 YTD (2-0-1) +1.5 Units

Basketball - 532 Villanova +2 -110 for Game
Basketball - 535 San Francisco +5 -110 for Game
Basketball - 540 Davidson +2½ -110 for Game

All Plays for 1 unit.
 

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12/10/08 Play YTD (3-2-1) +.3 Units, Boxing games would put you up +5 units from the start but that is unofficial.

Basketball - 747 Gonzaga -5 -120 buying ½ for Game (2 Units, very rare to have this much value)

We took a last second loss on the San Francisco game last night, they were leading at the half time by 5. Boxing these games at the half would have changed a 1-2 day into a 4-3 day. Please read this from a previous post and live by these rules especially in basketball.

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Two new rules I want to add to enhance your profit, we were able to do this on the Indiana game yesterday. When we are on a team and they are winning the game straight up at the half. Bet on the other team second half when you have a box 3 points or larger. I.E. last night we had Indiana Pacers +8 for the game, at the half they were winning by 7 points straight up over Dallas. I bet Dallas 2nd half -6.5 creating a situation where Dallas just had to win the game and if they won it by less than 8 I win both ways. If you lose on this play you lose 10% juice, when you win which should be at least 1/3 you win 2 units instead of 1. (You are risking 10% to win 200%, that is a 20:1 ratio) It increases profits and provides protection against your original bet, another example is the New Jersey game last night, they were +13.5 for the game. At half time they were down by 2, this left 11.5 points for New Jersey, the lakers were a -7.5 favorite for 2nd half. I bet on the lakers, creating a box where if they lakers win by 6-10 points I win the game both ways. What actually ended up happening is the Lakers crushed New Jersey, instead of taking a full loss on the game I just lost juice. If you are at all able, box your bookie in at the half when we are on dogs. Make sure you always have at least a 3 point cushion when doing this. My personal result doing this yesterday turned a 2-3 day into a 4-3 day.
 

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Butler and Gonzaga both came in big, +3 Units. Should have some more plays tomorrow.

If you played my box rules you lost a 10 point box on the Butler game, losing .1 unit on that play, the box was still a great play, just didn't work out this time. They are still worth doing.
 

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12/12/08 Play B-Ball YTD (5-2) +3.3 Units

Basketball - 726 Iowa -8½ -110 for Game (1 Unit)
 

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Iowa another winner! I hope people start to notice a trend here. YTD (6-2) +4.3 Units.
 

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12/14/08 Play YTD (6-3) +3.75 Units
Basketball - 725 Stanford -6 -110 for Game (1 Unit)

Yesterdays 1/2 unit play lost, play stanford for the come back, you can take it at up to -7.5
 

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12/17/08 Plays YTD (7-3) +4.75 Units
Basketball - 533 Arkansas Little Rock +21 -110 for Game (1 Unit)

1st of 3 plays to come out today. More to follow just waiting to see status on players.

The Stanford Play on 12/14/08 was an easy cash in.
 

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12/17/08 Addon Plays YTD (7-3) +4.75
Basketball - 519 Illinois State -7 -110 for Game
Basketball - 529 Georgia State +12½ -110 for Game
 

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1/7/09 Plays YTD (8-5) +3.55 Units

Basketball - 559 Missouri State +7 -110 for Game (.5 Unit)
Basketball - 563 Northwestern +7½ -110 for Game (.5 Unit)
 

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1/8/09 Plays YTD (9-6) +3.50 Units

.5 (1/2) Unit each.

Basketball - 713 Illinois Chicago -6 -110 for Game
Basketball - 718 Louisiana Tech +7½ -110 for Game
Basketball - 722 UL Monroe +6 -110 for Game
 

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1/9/9 Plays YTD (9-9) +1.85 Units

Yesterday sucked, going 0-3, over all my leans it went 14-7, so I have decided to try it. Bet the board see what happens.

I have decided to release all my suggested lines and plays. I am personally playing these for .5 units each I personally play a 20 unit bankroll. The bold plays are the ones with the largest variance from Vegas to my line.

1/9/09 7:30pm NCAA Basketball 840 Iona -12½ -110 vs Canisius, My Line Iona -14.5
1/9/09 7:00pm NCAA Basketball 837 Marist +220 vs Manhattan, My Line Marist -10
1/9/09 7:00pm NCAA Basketball 837 Marist +6 -110 vs Manhattan, My Line Marist -10

1/9/09 7:00pm NCAA Basketball 835 Niagara -12½ -110 vs St. Peter’s, My Line Niagra -41
1/9/09 7:00pm NCAA Basketball 834 Siena -11½ -110 vs Rider, My Line Siena -39.5

1/9/09 7:00pm NCAA Basketball 832 Loyola Maryland pk -110 vs Fairfield, My Line Loyola Maryland -3
1/9/09 11:00pm NCAA Basketball 829 Santa Clara +14 -110 vs Saint Mary’s CA, My Line Saint Mary’s -3.5
1/9/09 10:00pm NCAA Basketball 827 San Diego -125 vs San Francisco, My Line San Diego -4
1/9/09 10:00pm NCAA Basketball 827 San Diego -1½ -110 vs San Francisco, My Line San Diego -4
1/9/09 9:00pm NCAA Basketball 825 Wisc Green Bay +100 vs Wisc Milwaukee, My Line Wisc Green Bay -1.5
 

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Tread lightly on these bet the board plays, only 1 day of testing. I have to verify some other information before I feel fully confident in them.
 

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