Spreadbeater's NBA Tuesday....

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NBA and Miami Heat Guru
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Sep 20, 2004
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YTD 34-34, -8.2 Units

Toronto Raptors +12.5 2 Units

Line way out of whack here due to the fact that Toronto has been struggling and the Cavs have been surging. Looking back at the last 10 meetings between these two teams, only once has the final margin been greater than this spread. Usually these two play close games, decided by single digits. Also, I am well aware that the Cavs have covered 8 straight. Not sure the exact numbers, but it is extremely rare for a team to cover 9 straight. This is another factor on our side. I think this one plays out similar to the past matchups, a game decided by single digits. Would not be surprised to see the Raps win outright.

Utah Jazz TT Over 100.5
1 Unit

Wolves come in allowing each of their past 7 opponents to reach 100 points. Minny allowing over 101 ppg on the season, while allowing the opposition to shoot 47% from the field. The Jazz have scored at least 100 points in each of the past 9 meetings with the Wolves. Even without Boozer, I think Utah reaches 100+ once again. Going a unit smaller here due to the fact that Minny has a new coach. Maybe the team will actually try to play defense. Still doubt it.

San Antonio Spurs ML -1.15
2 Units

Think this is a perfect spot for the Mavs to finally lose. Spurs look great the last two games, especially on the road against a hot Denver team. Spurs finally with all three of their superstars healthy. Taking what I feel is the better team. Plus, I dont think it is close. Spurs make a statement tonight and end this Mavs winning streak.

Will most likely add one or two plays on the late games. Will update around 8 ET.

Good luck!

SB :103631605









 

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gl!
brewers7 has the numbers on 9 straight covers in his thread. also looked at the ut/min game but i went u96.5 min tt.
 

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BOL!

I like utah over... sa so so... but those craptors are gonna kill me again... what a shit of a team
 

NBA and Miami Heat Guru
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Adding

Adding the following:

Milwaukee/Phoenix Over 205.5 2 Units

Bucks gave given up 100+ in 6 of their past 7 road games. Only team that did not score 100 on them was the anemic Charlotte offense. Suns defense has been dreadful as of late, giving up 100+ in each of their past 6 games. Both may see over 100 tonight.

That is it for tonight.
 

Rx Junior
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nice play on Phoenix over, played it in a couple of plays and got to cash in on one as the other play was paired with the Lakers and fucked me.
Great play and an easy hit as we got like 60 points in the 1st quarter and like 130 by halftime.
 

NBA and Miami Heat Guru
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2-2 on the Night....

2-2 on the night, making a slight profit. A Jazz bucket away from going 3-1. Just cant seem to catch any breaks so far this season.

The Raptors play was a dud from the start. Cavs dominated from start to finish. They are really playing some great basketball. I guess I will stay away from betting against them. With that being said, I am pretty sure they will not cover tomorrow.

The Jazz blew it in the 2Q, as they only put up 14 points. That is what killed that team total. A basket away from cashing.

The Spurs play surely was not easy. That was one of the best, if not the best, games I have watched thus far this season. Spurs kept blowing late lead after late lead. Thankfully they held on to win and cash.

Suns total was the easiest. About time a game is a guaranteed winner at halftime.

See ya tomorrow....
 

Rx Junior
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Suns game was absolutely beautiful as we got 138 at halftime. Wish they were all that easy.
 

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