So 75% of the people are choosing to lay road chalk on a weeknight and the line hasnt even began to budge. People are seriously considering betting K-State? Wow.
This line actually opened very early at -2.5, but I believe it opened to us regular bettors at -3.5 and now it's sitting at -5....what are you talking about the line hasn't budged....I've looked at this game very early, and all the angles point to K-State. Way better quarterback, deep offensive line, K-State got some good receivers, only question on their offense is their tight end. Only question for K-State is their defense as they have only 5 startes returning so it should be interesting to watch...
On the other hand whereas K-State lost their best reciever with 3 seniors returning competing with a few JUCO's, Louisville lost their 3 best receivers. And Louisville is also a question mark, as they have a JUCO guy who starts for them at tight end I believe...Louisvilles O-Line will have holes, they do have their all-conference center Wood, and tackle Bussey, but other than that, there will be holes...I if this game turns out into a shootout, which I think it will, HUGE advantage for K-state. Defensively, Louisville returns something like 8 starters on defense, but do you know how bad this defense was last year, and now people think they're just going to turn it around? Yeah right. This biggest problem with their defense as well is their 3 linebackers are gone!! They're very very thin there, and that's not going to be good. Add in almost the complete new defensive staff they need to adjust too.
I really believe the value is in K-St. and i already played em at -4, but gl if you go the other way.