SportsInsights Data

[letsgohoosiers]

First off, they're offering a free 7 day trial again. If you type "3 extra" in their forum, you get 3 extra days for a 10 day free trial.

Secondly, unlike basketball, I've noticed that fading the public is doing remarkably well. Here's some of the things I've found.

BET on any team with less than 36% of the bets on the run line (spread).
Moneyline record: 24-18 +12.79 units
Run line record: 30-12

BET on any team with 31-40% of the bets on the moneyline
Moneyline record: 17-4 +16.48 units

An average game will have 75% on one side of the spread, and 69% on one side of the moneyline. So these aren't out of the ordinary plays.

Also found the following trends:

BET on any team that opens as a home dog following a loss
Moneyline record: 8-0 +8.99 units

BET on any team that opens as a home dog and sees the line move their way
Moneyline record: 11-3 +10.15 units

BET on any home team that is coming off a loss and has less than 50% of the public on both the moneyline and the spread
Moneyline record: 6-0 +6.97 units

There's more assuredly. I've found that profitable teams are:
- underdogs
- home teams
- line moves their way
- coming off a loss
- public is on the other team

Yeah, I know. Nothing you haven't heard before. Just thought I'd share whatever I'm seeing in the 6 days of baseball we've had so far.

 

[straightcashhomie]

Thanks for that info.

- SCH

 

[Paddywack]

LGH, just to clarify, you have determined that fading the pub in the NBA does not work long term?

 

[manchild]

How are the plays shaping up for today?

 

[RDC-3]

have u noticed if theyre getting more numbers now for the 1st 5 innings? i had a great system with that in the past but the few days i was with them this week they didnt have anything for most games.

 

[austintx05]

it only works in the mlb because fading the public is a 50/50 proposition.