Sportsbook Needs

[Loves2kickass]

Which would you prefer your money to be on?

The sides that the books need or the side the money is on. Books aren't in buisness because they lose week to week.

Me, personally, I choose to be on the side the books need which also provides you with the better spread and money line return.

Some factors in deciding which side the books need at that actual specific book, not what false percentages certain websites spew, are.....

Spread %, money % and often forgot about are teaser & parlay heavy money.

Teasers are a great way to improve your odds with sides that you like and parlays are a way in which the average bettor throws his/her money away for the chance of a high return.

There's no info the books don't have when they formulate lines.

In week 12 the side of the books payed off.

*The books needed a straight up Steelers win.
*The books needed the Bengals to win, preferably by at least a FG.
*The books needed a NYG cover.
*The books needed a Bills win WITH a Lions cover.

Hmmmmm, all those scenarios the books needed actually happened.

 

[Loves2kickass]

I'll post what sides I'll be heavily betting on gameday and why.

 

[XENO]

That is not as ez as one thinks as percentages online, are 50 - 50 at best because 60% of the money comes in last hour most of the time - 1 other thing, there are many times the percentages of bets are higher on a team but the money is on the opposite team .last nite there was more over plays on Pitt game but More money was on the under.

 

[Loves2kickass]

That is not as ez as one thinks as percentages online, are 50 - 50 at best because 60% of the money comes in last hour most of the time - 1 other thing, there are many times the percentages of bets are higher on a team but the money is on the opposite team .last nite there was more over plays on Pitt game but More money was on the under.

Its pretty easy if people don't focus on the %'s given out by suspect online websites. % of bets doesn't matter as much as money.

You mentioned the total in last night's game. Here are the facts. The Over was getting 61% of tickets, but the money was running dead even. The play the books needed was a Steelers straight up win. Early and mid week money was on Pittsburgh but late money a few hrs before the start of the game came in on the Colts heavy.

You're correct in saying a large part of the money comes in on game day but you left out the fact that a large part of that money is public money which in turn sways which side the books need.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Early in the week Tennessee is a team I'll be watching the money along with a few others.

 

[Loves2kickass]

That is not as ez as one thinks as percentages online, are 50 - 50 at best because 60% of the money comes in last hour most of the time - 1 other thing, there are many times the percentages of bets are higher on a team but the money is on the opposite team .last nite there was more over plays on Pitt game but More money was on the under.

Look for the money with the proper respected resource. Indianapolis had 59% of moneyline bets and of those wagers they had 85% of moneyline dollars. The books heavily needed the Steelers straight up. I used that as an example because you mentioned that game. Good luck to you Xeno.

 

[Michelangelo]

What site are you using for your bet tracking numbers, L2KA?

 

[Serbone]

It is way way too complex, if you are making money now, do not change your approach, there are so many different entities that report % of bets, and % of money bet, how can you have access to all? How can you make a decision until 5 minutes before the game to know what %'s are? Public plays home favorites, especially small home favorites, and avoids road dogs, especially small road dogs, that is a big chunk of it, actually, but it is too complex overall.
eg I avoid Bookie Report, it works sometimes, yes, but it is a very SSS. Yes I have looked at major books and the %'s they report, good luck with that.
There is so much more but I will leave it at that. Unless you are a LV insider, you will never have all the info you need
Stick to your current methods or drive yourself even further insane with all of this... DON'T DO IT!
GL!

 

[Loves2kickass]

What site are you using for your bet tracking numbers, L2KA?

Not using a website for bet tracking numbers.

 

[Loves2kickass]

It is way way too complex, if you are making money now, do not change your approach, there are so many different entities that report % of bets, and % of money bet, how can you have access to all? How can you make a decision until 5 minutes before the game to know what %'s are? Public plays home favorites, especially small home favorites, and avoids road dogs, especially small road dogs, that is a big chunk of it, actually, but it is too complex overall.
eg I avoid Bookie Report, it works sometimes, yes, but it is a very SSS. Yes I have looked at major books and the %'s they report, good luck with that.
There is so much more but I will leave it at that. Unless you are a LV insider, you will never have all the info you need
Stick to your current methods or drive yourself even further insane with all of this... DON'T DO IT!
GL!

I personally don't wait 5 min before game time and I also don't look at online books percentages and/or money.

 

[Serbone]

Look for the money with the proper respected resource. Indianapolis had 59% of moneyline bets and of those wagers they had 85% of moneyline dollars. The books heavily needed the Steelers straight up. I used that as an example because you mentioned that game. Good luck to you Xeno.

So where did you get this 59-85?
I see that on some sites but there are so many that might be different.

 

[Loves2kickass]

So where did you get this 59-85?
I see that on some sites but there are so many that might be different.

Let's just say we'll see how i do this week. I'll post sides and why. I can tell you this, in college ball, based on early one sided money, I'll more than likely be on K State straight up versus TCU to name one. K State is a large book need this weekend as of now and that probably won't change.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Good day and evening to all. I'll post what I have if interested in the NFL and CFB forums as we approach game day this week. Friday and Saturday with CFB championship week and Thursday and Sunday with week 13 of the NFL. Good luck with your wagers.

 

[Michelangelo]

Look for the money with the proper respected resource. Indianapolis had 59% of moneyline bets and of those wagers they had 85% of moneyline dollars. The books heavily needed the Steelers straight up. I used that as an example because you mentioned that game. Good luck to you Xeno.

You are quoting bet tracking numbers here. What are you using to get them?

 

[exploited17]

Let's just say we'll see how i do this week. I'll post sides and why. I can tell you this, in college ball, based on early one sided money, I'll more than likely be on K State straight up versus TCU to name one. K State is a large book need this weekend as of now and that probably won't change.

Not exactly an answer

 

[Serbone]

Better off finding out stuff like:

Do Utah, Purdue, K State, LSU and other conference championship game teams already know what bowl they are in, win or lose, or do they go to a much nicer bowl if they win? Kids are told "if you lose we got to the goddam Idaho Potato Bowl, if we win we play in Florida".
Sure they are competitors and want to win but deep inside if they are behind---especially the big dogs like Purdue & LSU---will they fight as hard if they already know the exact bowl they are going to?

 

[Loves2kickass]

Not exactly an answer

?

 

[Loves2kickass]

You are quoting bet tracking numbers here. What are you using to get them?

You're asking for an exact source. Is it required to say exactly where the information is gathered from? Use the info or don't i guess. Good luck to you.

 

[cigar]

You're young you'll learn. At least a td maybe not xp value? They're in your head.

 

[XENO]

I get most of my info from head man at Excalibur -knew him for years great friend but even with that it’s still hard sometimes as again late bulk money can change the percentages - but most can be gotten -I also have a big bookin NJ takes 1000+ betters -past Sunday ravens and TB huge bets with both Vegas and northeast players -Saturday was terrible but money in NFL is 20 times more.