Spiro, I'm Blushing!

[FatherTiresias]

Seems Spiro been jacking up the ol' Dodger run line fade this past week.

Remember my thread from last week.

http://therxforum.com/6/ubb.x?a=tpc&s=100090022&f=988094022&m=1301098

Which MLB team has..

*played 52 games
*lost 22
*won 20 by 1 run
*is making BIG MONEY as fade getting 1.5 runs?

From Olympic website:
===============================================
957 Texas Rangers 6:05 pm Add to Ticket 958 Montreal Expos

+1½ -155 Game Spread -1½ +135

+129 Game MoneyLine -149

===============================================
977 Chicago White Sox 9:10 pm Add to Ticket 978 Los Angeles Dodgers

+1½ -175 Game Spread -1½ +155

+129 Game MoneyLine -149
================================================

Btw, next time someone asks why someone doesn't post picks or info on the forums...think about this thread.

 

[UncleButternutts]

LOL


Lou, i hate the name man... You want Lou Diamond back?

 

[FatherTiresias]

I think the real question is...do you want Lou Diamond back.

 

[UncleButternutts]

Dammit man...Do you want to use Lou Diamond or not???

Name is now "Unbanned'...Kill off this Father Firestone dude...

 

[FatherTiresias]

I don't know how to do it. You mind...?

 

[UncleButternutts]

lol

Do what???

I unbanned Lou Diamond... You can use it now , if you remember the password..

If not, E-Mail me butternutts61@yahoo.com
we can set a new one.

 

[hamneggs]

Father-

That sounds like a good play to bet against LA

btw, your thread got 43 hitsLINK

Maybe that was enough to move Oly's line?? LOL

 

[SPIVE]

LA Dodgers leading all MLB teams with 22 of 59 games followed by, Marlins (20) and A's, D'backs and Royals each with (19).

MLB teams involved in the LEAST number of 1-run games: Angels and Mariners (10) each, followed by Yanks (11), Phillies (12).


"VALUE" or lack there of, as pointed out, is determined by utilizing the appropriate ratios and associated pricing.

 

[FatherTiresias]

Spive,
Those are 1 run wins. Count all the dodger losses and you have an unbelievable strech of winners. 80-85% win rate?

 

[SPIVE]

8-0 8
4-5 9 LOSS
5-0 5
1-6 7
2-4 6
0-3 3
4-3 7 WIN
4-6 10
5-3 8
5-2 7
1-2 3 LOSS
2-3 5 LOSS
4-5 9 LOSS
2-3 5 LOSS
3-0 3
4-3 7 WIN
1-5 6
3-9 12
16-4 20
2-1 3 WIN
0-3 3
2-3 5 LOSS
5-2 7
4-3 7 WIN
6-2 8
0-3 3
6-2 8
4-0 4
1-4 5
3-5 8
4-1 5
3-2 5 WIN
2-3 5 LOSS
2-1 3 WIN
6-1 7
9-5 14
5-6 11 LOSS
4-3 7 WIN
4-11 15
1-3 4
5-1 6
2-1 3 WIN
4-1 5
2-1 3 WIN
3-1 4
3-2 5 WIN
4-3 7 WIN
6-4 10
6-0 6
5-1 6
3-7 10
0-6 6
5-12 17
3-5 8
3-0 3
3-4 7 LOSS
4-3 7 WIN
1-2 3 LOSS
5-2 7

Dodger 1-run wins = 12 / losses = 10

Average runs scored in Dodger's games = 6.78

Cha OVER 7 +109
Los UNDER 7 -119

 

[LouDiamond+]

"btw, your thread got 43 hitsLINK

Maybe that was enough to move Oly's line?? LOL"


are you related to TTinco?

Spive,
What I'm try to point out is that EVERY LOSS equals a win on the +1.5 dodger fade. So count every loss as a win as well as their 1-run wins.

EZ MONEY!

 

[SPIVE]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Spive,
What I'm try to point out is that EVERY LOSS equals a win on the +1.5 dodger fade. So count every loss as a win as well as their 1-run wins. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

It would figure, as I pointed out, Dodger games are (a league leading low) producing 6.78 total runs per game, placing VALUE upon +1.5 of the 6.78 total average runs scored in their games.

Similar to taking a large (>6 pt) NFL dog when the projected game total is mid to lower 30's.

 

[LouDiamond+]

fair enough. you threw me off by only mentioning (22) 1-run games, not clearifying those were only wins.

 

[SPIVE]

Fading Dodgers at +1.5 = 38 wins 21 losses = 64.4% (Dodgers have WON 21 games by more than 1-run)

Dodger game totals of less than 7.5 runs = 42 - 17 = 71.2%

 

[LouDiamond+]

Agree on your dodger totals. But the numbers are catching up. Seems 7un-30 down to 6.5 everyday. Ride it while you can!

 

[hamneggs]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Lou Diamond:
"btw, your thread got 43 hitsLINK

Maybe that was enough to move Oly's line?? LOL"


are you related to TTinco?

Spive,
What I'm try to point out is that EVERY LOSS equals a win on the +1.5 dodger fade. So count every loss as a win as well as their 1-run wins.

EZ MONEY!<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>



"EZ MONEY" LOL, play the picks and post it then you can call it easy money, kid. You are talking about games completed, talk about games in the future. Are you related to beanbrain?

 

[LouDiamond+]

Oh shit. Here comes the Teenage Mutant Ham and Eggs... I'm getting scared now.

 

[SixthSense]

"Similar to taking a large (>6 pt) NFL dog when the projected game total is mid to lower 30's."

Sounds good in principle but they are only 154-130-7 54.2% since 1983.

 

[hamneggs]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Lou Diamond:
Oh shit. Here comes the Teenage Mutant Ham and Eggs... I'm getting scared now.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Teenage mutant or not, play the picks before you call it "EZ MONEY"

Seems pretty obvious to most I am sure

duh and more duh

 

[LouDiamond+]

"Teenage mutant or not"

Looks like I picked another winner, tadpole.

[This message was edited by Lou Diamond on June 07, 2003 at 04:27 PM.]