I have been posting plays that I feel have a special reason to cover at another forum. This is only the 6th play I have posted this season and they are 5-0 so far. Even though this is the first time I have posted one of these plays here, there may be someone from the other forum who remembers my Special Situation plays there and can say I'm not making anything up.
After posting two Special Situation plays just 1 day apart way back on September 14th, when the 49ers won SU at Seattle, it's taken 5 weeks to find another play that I can rate as a Special Situation.
Boise State is at San Jose State Friday night on ESPN2. We have a situation where the home team is a 7 point dog, yet they have the best home ATS record the past three years in all of college football, going 11-1 ATS. Since mid 2004, San Jose State is 15-2 SU at home. On the other hand, while Boise State is 11-2 SU on the road the past three years, they are only 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Now this is where this play gets even better. This will be the 4th time in the past 5 years that San Jose State has hosted an unbeaten Nationally ranked opponent. Back in 2004, when San Jose State was just 2-6, they lost in double OT to 8-0 Number 14 Boise State. Oh, BTW, San Jose was a 33 point dog. Two years later in 2006, Boise was 9-0 and Ranked Number 14, when they kicked a winning FG on the last play of the game to win by 3. San Jose covered as a 13 point dog. Last year it was Hawaii who came to San Jose 6-0 and Ranked Number 16. Again San Jose took a ranked team into OT, before losing 42-35. All close games, all cover s for San Jose at home.
This years San Jose State team is the best they have had in years, 3-0 in the conference and 5-2 overall. The field is green and history says San Jose, after 3 close home games against unbeaten ranked teams, will add to it's 11-1 ATS record at home and will cover the seven point spread. I'm posting this now because I have a feeling the spread may drop below 7 closer to game time.
SPECIAL SITUATION PLAY NUMBER SIX IS SAN JOSE STATE +7.
After posting two Special Situation plays just 1 day apart way back on September 14th, when the 49ers won SU at Seattle, it's taken 5 weeks to find another play that I can rate as a Special Situation.
Boise State is at San Jose State Friday night on ESPN2. We have a situation where the home team is a 7 point dog, yet they have the best home ATS record the past three years in all of college football, going 11-1 ATS. Since mid 2004, San Jose State is 15-2 SU at home. On the other hand, while Boise State is 11-2 SU on the road the past three years, they are only 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Now this is where this play gets even better. This will be the 4th time in the past 5 years that San Jose State has hosted an unbeaten Nationally ranked opponent. Back in 2004, when San Jose State was just 2-6, they lost in double OT to 8-0 Number 14 Boise State. Oh, BTW, San Jose was a 33 point dog. Two years later in 2006, Boise was 9-0 and Ranked Number 14, when they kicked a winning FG on the last play of the game to win by 3. San Jose covered as a 13 point dog. Last year it was Hawaii who came to San Jose 6-0 and Ranked Number 16. Again San Jose took a ranked team into OT, before losing 42-35. All close games, all cover s for San Jose at home.
This years San Jose State team is the best they have had in years, 3-0 in the conference and 5-2 overall. The field is green and history says San Jose, after 3 close home games against unbeaten ranked teams, will add to it's 11-1 ATS record at home and will cover the seven point spread. I'm posting this now because I have a feeling the spread may drop below 7 closer to game time.
SPECIAL SITUATION PLAY NUMBER SIX IS SAN JOSE STATE +7.
