South Florida ATS?

cloverleaf · Aug 12, 2017

South Florida won 11 games last year and went 7-5 against the spread. The 11-2 SU
record was the best in school history.

Take a look: 56 upper classman including 24 seniors return. There are 15 returning
players with at least 10 career starts available. Sounds good...real good?

Too DAMN good when you consider a coach who couldn't win at TEXAS is taking over
and was a loser for Horn's betting men.

Take a nape on South Florida is my best advice as a gaming man. Just saying.........

Welcome all opinions...................

CFBall2014 · Aug 14, 2017

I'm sure most think the offense should still be dynamic with Q. Flowers at QB... But they do have top two playmakers to replace in Mack and Adams. Along with a replacing 2 two O-lineman that made All ACC teams last year. So it may quite be as explosive immediately at the start... The defense has 9 starters back and maybe Charlie Strong will actually revive his "Defensive Coach" rep...b/c at Texas they were basically just speed bumps on the way to the end zone giving up an avg of 450 yds the last two yrs. Last yr USF gave up a rough 482 per game. So I wouldn't expect the 85 Bears to take the field this year either.

SJ State has a new QB this year but a veteran O-line... they return their top two of their top three RB's but the #1 guy last year only had 508 yards and two TDs.. Lost their #1 WR from last yr but #2 and #3 each caught over 30 catches last yr. New DC but he does have 8 starters to work with. Last year they gave up over a 60% completion % to opposing QBs.

I wish they started at home to get the Cali kids down into the South Florida September heat and I'd like them more but I will take a flyer on USF the first game. Certainly won't be very confident tho. I'm just banking on Quinton Flowers trying to make an early Heisman statement like Lamar did last year vs Syracuse. In order to get into the convo early.

cloverleaf · Aug 14, 2017

Great read CFBall....obviously you have some interest/knowledge in the SF program.

You probably know this but the public will be all over SF's results from last year.

I guessing the PUBLIC will be WRONG with Strong as coach...at least the 2017 season.

Shua12 · Aug 19, 2017

Good read brother.

boxgames · Aug 21, 2017

I have followed closely the Spartans offseason so I can give you a bit of notes:

-1st game of Brent Brennan's staff with new defensive packages and scheme. This usually takes some time to work fine.
-There will be a new QB, fine. Nobody knows who. Brennan has 5 to select, each worse than the preceding one. It looks like (at least against USF) the starter will be Josh Love, the only with a bit of "experience", 31/60 392yd 2 TD-5 INT. So, yes, well, experienced..... but still a Soph. Montel Aaron should be the guy after week 1. Of course this are guesses because there isn't an official communication.
-The OL is the most experienced in the country, but only Kolone (LG) and Taylor (C) are solid linemen. The tackles are sack-eaters.
-Malik Roberson and Zamore Ziegler form a nice duo but expect less rushes and more passes in game 1 to test the selected QB (Love, Aaron or whoever).
-The defense have some NFL material in Andre Chachere, Maurice McKnight or Frank Ginda. Also, some young talented guys like Ethan Aguay or Trevon Bierria. But the rest is mostly unknown. There are a bunch of true freshmen on the 2nd team defense. And other unexperienced guys in the 1st. This defense couldn't stop the run in 2016 and I doubt this will improve a lot in game 1. The secondary is the best of the MWC and a top 10-15 in the nation, but despite Ginda, the front-7 is a weak too big to stop an offense like USF.

USF defense is not the best and I have read about tests of Charlie Strong in this game (nice place to try haha). The interior of the line is good to run the ball, and the guy who will get the starting job will play at 101% here, so I hope the Spartans will score about 25 with the Bulls going very easy over 40. So I'd play the over (67).

If you think the Bulls defense will make the work and sweep the Spartans, then no doubt and go with the spread.

BOL