Something new - sort of

[jaypaw]

I'm gonna try something a little different - although it still involves a red sox fade I picked up on what looks like some good prices on some uneven pitching matchups

(@pinny):

Seattle -107
Seattle -1.5 +148

Baltimore +105
Baltimore -1.5 +221

Mets +112
Mets -1.5 +161

Cleveland -115
Cleveland -1.5 +130

Toronto +265
Toronto -1.5 +411


YTD 73-79 +28.56

 

[jaypaw]

The more I think about it this Jays pick was rediculous in that I laid in the -1.5

I dont think the jays have ever won by 2 have they?


anyway they have the lead so maybe I'll at least break even on it...

 

[jaypaw]

ugh

tie game

well only 2 units lost hopefully I'll come out ahead on the others

 

[Coldweather]

Tro. Was the play tonight. Even if they don't win ya got 1.5 runs to play with. This a good play in my opinion. Hope ya hit it.

 

[jaypaw]

close but no cigar

I was pretty close with Lilly avoiding the loss - however in the end the better team won yet again.

W-Seattle -107
W-Seattle -1.5 +148
L-Toronto +265
L-Toronto -1.5 +411
L-Baltimore +105
L-Baltimore -1.5 +221
L-Cleveland -115
L-Cleveland -1.5 +130

So far its +2.48 on Seattle and -6.15 on the other losers... a net loss of -3.67


Mets +112
Mets -1.5 +161

Mets are currently tied so if they lose I will end up -5.67 on the day
- if they win by 1 then I would end up -3.55
- if they win by 2 I will end up only -0.94 on the evening...


no matter how you slice it this was not a very good night.

can't win em all

 

[jaypaw]

mets lose

2-8 on the day for -5.67

YTD 75-87 +22.89

 

[jaypaw]

a few more for tonight:

Seattle -120
Seattle -1.5 +135
Houston -143
Houston -1.5 +117
Yankees +126
Yankees -1.5 +197

 

[jaypaw]

Forgot Fatman Ponson
Baltimore +124
Baltimore -1.5 +254



my chalk plays I think are realtively self explanatory - I liked seattle last night and tonight as well for similar reasons comparable pitchers but seattle has the better O and I think clemens is underpriced because lidle has a decent ERA vs Houston.

As for the dogs - I am taking the rare yankees play with them as a dog, as word on mussina seems to be pretty good regarding his road to recovery and ponson has picked up his level of play drastically - also after last nights 11-0 home humiliation I have to think that baltimore will come out with a little chip on their shoulders tonight...

GL

 

[jaypaw]

also mussina "owns" the twins - I only hope this is not where they get their revenge...


NY Yankees (75-43) at Minnesota (65-53)

Preview - Box Score - Recap

Game Info: 7:05 pm EDT Wed Aug 18, 2004
TV: ESPN Add to Calendar
Buy Tickets


Starting Pitchers


M. Mussina
NYY vs.
J. Santana
Min


9-6 Record 12-6
5.20 ERA 3.25
75 K 190
23 BB 44
15 HR 23



If the past is any indication, Mike Mussina won't have to do much in his return from the disabled list to baffle the Minnesota Twins.
After sitting out nearly six weeks due to right elbow stiffness, Mussina will make his return to the New York Yankees' rotation when they continue their series at the Metrodome.

Mussina has not pitched since allowing seven runs and nine hits over six innings in a 9-1 loss to Detroit on July 6. The 35-year-old right-hander went straight to the DL and has gone through a deliberate rehabilitation program.

``He feels confident he's ready to go,'' Yankees manager Joe Torre said of Mussina, who is 9-6 with a 5.20 ERA in 18 starts this season.

Torre is giving Mussina every chance to succeed in his return as he juggled his rotation so the veteran ace could face the Twins, a team he has owned throughout his career.

Mussina, who is expected to go no more than five innings Wednesday, is 20-2 with a 2.77 ERA in 24 career starts against the Twins, including a 10-2 mark with a 2.84 ERA at the Metrodome.

Even though Mussina has dominated Minnesota, the Twins may have the edge in this pitching matchup because manager Ron Gardenhire will give the ball to Johan Santana.

The 25-year-old left-hander has been arguably as good as anyone in baseball over the last two-plus months, going 10-2 with a 1.66 ERA in 13 starts. He has struck out 129 over his last 97 1-3 innings, and has pitched at least seven innings 12 times during his surge. He has allowed just 47 hits during that span.

``I always trust myself and the things that I can do, but I also trust my teammates,'' Santana said recently. ``I trust that we're a team and that's all that matters.''

The Twins ended a 13-game regular season losing streak to the Yankees with an 8-2 win on Tuesday. Corey Koskie went 3-for-4 with three RBIs and right-hander Brad Radke shut New York down over seven innings.

Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter went 1-for-5, extending his hitting streak to 17 games.

 

[jaypaw]

L-Seattle -120
L-Seattle -1.5 +135
W-Houston -143
L-Houston -1.5 +117
L-Yankees +126
L-Yankees -1.5 +197
L-Baltimore +124
L-Baltimore -1.5 +254

1-7 -6.2

Wow hows that for something new - my worst two days all season long

now I know why I went to one or two plays a day

YTD 76-94 +16.69

 

[jaypaw]

taking maddux and leiter today to start:

Cubs -137
Cubs -1.5 +123

Mets (Leiter) -118
Mets (Leiter) +124

 

[jaypaw]

finally got +2.23 units back on the cubs - after the loss of -11.87 over the last 2 nights

hopefully the mets will win their second game by a couple runs and I'll end up +4.47 on the day

wishful thinking the way its been going lately


GL

 

[jaypaw]

W-Cubs -137
W-Cubs -1.5 +123
W-Mets (Leiter) -118
W-Mets (Leiter) +124

Wow 4-0 +4.47

only 7.4 units to go to get back to where I was before the drubbing from the other day...

YTD 80-94 +21.16

 

[jaypaw]

Starting off with:

Cleveland -109 (pinny)

Westbrook has be superb lately and I think this line is almost too good to be true - going against a somewhat slumping lohse I would have guessed this line would be a lot higher than this - although its possible that westbrook is due for a loss or a no decision after winning an amazing 5 of his last 6...

the last meeting between these two was just their last start when cleveland mustered 4 runs in the first and went on to win 7-1.

Hoping for a similar outing this time.

GL

 

[jaypaw]

Cleveland -1.5 +159

Do or die I'm gonna stick with this strategy for another day or so.

 

[jaypaw]

also looking at texas but I'm waiting for a line to come out on wood - the starter for KC


"Right-hander Mike Wood, who was scheduled to start against the Mariners, will start Friday night against the Texas Rangers instead."
http://kansascity.royals.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/kc/news/kc_news.jsp?ymd=20040819&content_id=832641&vkey=news_kc&fext=.jsp

He was slightly favored over villone last night before the game was rained out.

I would take drese if the line is somewhat reasonable...

 

[jaypaw]

finally came out at pinny

Texas -145
Texas -1.5 +110

 

[jaypaw]

Also gonna take a job at florida

had this discussion with RSS that Lawrense may be due to stop sucking soon - but with willis I'll take the chance

Florida -104
Florida -1.5 +173

 

[jaypaw]

wanted to get them all in one place:

Cleveland -109
Cleveland -1.5 +159
Texas -145
Texas -1.5 +110
Florida -104
Florida -1.5 +173

 

[jaypaw]

L-Cleveland -109
L-Cleveland -1.5 +159
W-Texas -145
W-Texas -1.5 +110
L-Florida -104
L-Florida -1.5 +173

Updating from Friday 2-4 -2.03
YTD 82-98 +19.13

was away for the weekend

much needed rest