Holysmoke said:can we have a discussion on the wisdom of this play.
I have never layed this much juice in mlb.
what is everyones thoughts?
For anyone to lay that juice is simply foolish. It will burn you in the long run. If you like the game that much, I would take the runline and lay -1.15. That is what I did.
I laid the 1.5 but there is Nothing wrong with laying the number. Colorado playing first game on the road. Francius pitching at night. Please, tell me they have 1 chance in five of winning this game. Go ahead, I Promise not to break out laughing. Its an overlay. Anytime you play with the odds in your favor you do it. True odds here are probably close to 9-1. Pretty Good overlay. GL
I too went to the Run Line on this one. But I will lay over -200 on occasion if I truly believe the play is almost a foregone conclusion.
Francis is very young, is 5-1 at home, but only 1-4 on the road. He tends to get hammered in road games and there is no better team to do the deed than St. Louis. And I don't need to tell anyone about the Rockies road record.
Where I might go -200 instead of RL is where there is a question about the offensive power of the team, especially if they are at home. No doubts here. I say home because many home teams win by EXACTLY ONE RUN.
I also like -1 sometimes.
GL to all.
Francis is very young, is 5-1 at home, but only 1-4 on the road. He tends to get hammered in road games and there is no better team to do the deed than St. Louis. And I don't need to tell anyone about the Rockies road record.
Where I might go -200 instead of RL is where there is a question about the offensive power of the team, especially if they are at home. No doubts here. I say home because many home teams win by EXACTLY ONE RUN.
I also like -1 sometimes.
GL to all.
This is a perfect example of why nobody should ever lay a huge favorite. I am not bashing at all, as I had the Cards as well. However, I cut my losses by only playing the runline,-1.15. A loss, but no big deal. Betting huge favorites in baseball will kill you in the long run.
