Week 14 – Situational Trends
Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, double-digit underdogs are: 225-178-4 (56% ATS).
Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, home underdogs of a touchdown or more are: 124-91-3 (58% ATS).
Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, teams that lost by 21 or more points the previous week and are home dogs are: 94-80-6 (54% ATS).
NFL Trends – Week 14
Note: In our data "All-time" goes back to 1978 or when the team joined the league.
Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, double-digit underdogs are: 225-178-4 (56% ATS).
- Games Matching this Criteria: Bills (+10) @ Broncos and Falcons (+12) @ Packers.
Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, home underdogs of a touchdown or more are: 124-91-3 (58% ATS).
- Games Matching this Criteria: Raiders (+8) vs. 49ers.
Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, teams that lost by 21 or more points the previous week and are home dogs are: 94-80-6 (54% ATS).
- Games Matching this Criteria: Redskins (+2.5) vs. Rams and Raiders (+8) vs. 49ers.
NFL Trends – Week 14
Note: In our data "All-time" goes back to 1978 or when the team joined the league.
| Team | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| ATL | +12 @ GB | All-time, the Falcons on Monday Night Football are 10-20 (33% ATS). |
| AZ | -1 vs. KC | Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, home favorites against the Chiefs are 32-40-2 (44% ATS). |
| BAL | +3 @ MIA | Since 2008, the Joe Flacco era, the Ravens as road dogs are 20-15-3 (57% ATS). |
| BUF | +10 @ DEN | Bills need a win to keep Wild Card hopes alive, All-time, double-digit road dogs in Mile High are 9-47 (16%) straight-up |
| CAR | +9.5 @ NO | Since 2006, the Drew Brees era, opponents playing in New Orleans are 31-40-2 (44% ATS). |
| CHI | +3.5 vs DAL | All-time, the Bears on Thursday are 7-10-1 (41% ATS). |
| CIN | -3 vs. PIT | All-time, the Bengals as home favorites against the AFC North are 22-17-1 (56% ATS). |
| CLE | +4 vs. IND | The Browns are in the playoff race and need a win but all-time as home dogs Cleveland is 38-79 (33%) straight-up. |
| DAL | -3.5 @ CHI | In the last 10 years, following their game on Thanksgiving the Cowboys are 3-7 (30% ATS). |
| DEN | -10 vs. BUF | In the Peyton Manning era, the Broncos have only lost 3 games as a home favorite and are 16-7-2 (70% ATS). |
| DET | -9.5 vs. TB | Since 2011, the Matthew Stafford era, the Lions as favorites of 7 points or more are 3-5 ATS. |
| GB | -12 vs. ATL | All-time, the Packers at home in December are 38-25-3 (60% ATS). |
| HOU | -5 @ JAX | In the last five years, favorites against the Jaguars are 41-25 (62% ATS). |
| IND | -4 @ CLE | Since 2012, the Andrew Luck era, the Colts in December are 7-3 (70% ATS). |
| JAX | +5 vs. HOU | In the last ten games following a win, the Jaguars are 2-8 (20% ATS). |
| KC | +1 @ AZ | All-time, the Chiefs at home in December are 36-29 (55% ATS). |
| MIA | -3 vs. BAL | Since 2012, the Ryan Tannehill era, the Dolphins at home are 13-6-2 (68% ATS). |
| MIN | -6 vs. NYJ | In the last ten years, when the Vikings have won and covered, the next game Minnesota is 10-21-2 (32% ATS). |
| NE | -3.5 @ SD | Since 2001, the Tom Brady era, the Patriots following a loss are 26-12 (68% ATS). |
| NO | -10 vs. CAR | Since 2006, the Drew Brees era, the Saints as home favorites of a touchdown or more are 19-15 (56% ATS). |
| NYG | Pick'em @ TEN | Since 2005, the Eli Manning era, the Giants on the road are 50-33-2 (60% ATS). |
| NYJ | +6 @ MIN | Since 2009, the Rex Ryan era, the Jets as road dogs of 3 or more points are 13-16-1 (45% ATS). |
| OAK | +8 vs. SF | All-time, teams that have lost by more than 5 touchdowns the previous week are 99-79-8 (56% ATS). |
| PHI | -1.5 vs. SEA | Since 2012, the Russell Wilson era, favorites against the Seahawks are 2-10-1 (17% ATS). |
| PIT | +3 @ CIN | Since 2004, the Ben Roethlisberger era, the Steelers on the road against its AFC North brethren are 19-13-1 (59% ATS). |
| SD | +3.5 vs. NE | Since 2006, the Philip Rivers era, the Chargers as home dogs are 7-4 (64% ATS). |
| SEA | +1.5 @ PHI | Since 2012, the Russell Wilson era, the Seahawks as road dogs are 6-2-1 (75% ATS). |
| SF | -8 @ OAK | Since 2012, the Colin Kaepernick era, the 49ers as road favorites are 12-3-1 (80% ATS). |
| STL | -2.5 @ WAS | All-time, teams that won by 50 or more points the previous week are 3-4-1 (43% ATS). |
| TB | +9.5 @ DET | All-time, underdogs in Detroit of 9 or more points are 12-4-1 (75% ATS). |
| TEN | +1 vs. NYG | In the last ten years, the Titans at home are 38-46-2 (45% ATS). |
| WAS | +2.5 vs. STL | Since 2002, when the NFL expanded to 32 teams, the Redskins as home dogs are 20-25-3 (44% ATS). |
