So WHY Are The Patriots Down to 6 Points?

[BAGIANT]

Most of the people I know.....except those from Indiana.....are on the Patriots. Seems like the majority of the newspaper writers, sportscasters and others from the sports world are also on the Pats. However, according to "Scores and Odds", only 53% of the wagers are on the Pats. Still it's a higher % on the Pats than the Colts, albeit we don't know how much money is on either side. Still, I'm going to assume that more money is on the Pats than the Colts.

So I ask you, WHY has the line dropped to 6 points when it opened at 7 and stayed there for a few days? Seems like it's very easy to tease the Pats down to Pick em and take your chances with the over/under. Pats in their previous meetings have handled the Colts fairly easily. Just doesn't make sense to me!

 

[Betallsports]

99% of the shops have -6.5

Yes line opened at -7, but moved the very next day at a bunch of places. It's been hanging at -6.5 since, some even coming back at -7

and the only one I see currently at -6 is Cris

 

[NickPappagiorgio]

Its still a valid question, NE at less than a td seems easy. Weather reports have it raining at game time, but Im not sure its gonna be hard enough to affect the game.

 

[RenoChazz]

I think 6.5 is right. People that like NE think they only need a touch down, people that like the Colts to win think they get a whole touch down. Line should be at -4 IMO.

 

[HamGlaze]

The obvious bet is to tease both the Pats and Seahawks. Seems way too easy. So easy that it has the smell of a trap all over it. If I had to choose which game would be the upset I would think it would be the Colts.

 

[PatsFan1283]

I think some of the syndicates might be doing what the Colts won't be able to do Sunday

HITTIN THAT BLOUNT

 

[HamGlaze]

I think some of the syndicates might be doing what the Colts won't be able to do Sunday

HITTIN THAT BLOUNT

Ha Ha Ha Maybe you're right!

 

[Betallsports]

the name of the game is Equal Action

to me, the game that "smells" a little is the Seachickens

 

[skoda]

the name of the game is Equal Action

to me, the game that "smells" a little is the Seachickens

Legal to hit the blunt in Seattle

Okay........ Pro/Super Bowls in Arizona 25th/Grounhog day I'll look for Patriots/Packers and Wilson will not be playing in either!

Coach B vs Coach M

 

[X-Files]

So I ask you, WHY has the line dropped to 6 points when it opened at 7 and stayed there for a few days?

Pats in their previous meetings have handled the Colts fairly easily. Just doesn't make sense to me!

I see the line at 6.5 now, down from 7. I'd say the sharp money was on Indy +7.

I think people are looking at how the Colts have fared the last 2 games, especially in dominating the last one on the road in Colorado. Denver has similarities to NE.

In their first game vs Denver the Colts lost, getting behind 24-0, but beat the Broncos last week. So just because they lost the first game to NE by a lot does not mean that history will repeat itself.

""Very disappointed, not acceptable by any means," Colts coach Chuck Pagano said. "I felt like we played better than we did, but any time you give up the rushing yards we gave up and can't get off the field and they go 5 for 5 in the red area again, give them credit. They beat us soundly."

http://espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=400554273

Maybe Indy will force Brady to try to beat them, just like they forced Manning last week, instead of allowing NE to run for a ton of yardage. IOW use the Seahawks game plan on D.

 

[BostonBettor]

I don't root for the Patriots, but living 15 minutes away from Foxboro, I'm having a hard time not getting brainwashed by the local media. The last 3 times these teams have met, the Pats have blown the Colts out, but I guess anytime a team has an up and coming superstar in the making QB going - there is always a chance of getting the cover. I look at less than 7 points, and I just want to pound the Patriots. Sometimes what seems so obvious actually does come through, but over my not so illustrious betting career I have lost this type of bet more often than not, so I'm staying away.

 

[Willie99]

I don't think the line has really moved. Opened at 7 most places on the 12th, or opened at 6.5 and quickly moved to 7 on the 12th. On the 13th, pretty much moved to 6.5 and hasn't changed since

line hasn't moved since Tuesday

and the action on both games is split. this something I factor in when it gets to like 85% on one side

 

[Betallsports]

I see the line at 6.5 now, down from 7. I'd say the sharp money was on Indy +7.

I think people are looking at how the Colts have fared the last 2 games, especially in dominating the last one on the road in Colorado. Denver has similarities to NE.

In their first game vs Denver the Colts lost, getting behind 24-0, but beat the Broncos last week. So just because they lost the first game to NE by a lot does not mean that history will repeat itself.

""Very disappointed, not acceptable by any means," Colts coach Chuck Pagano said. "I felt like we played better than we did, but any time you give up the rushing yards we gave up and can't get off the field and they go 5 for 5 in the red area again, give them credit. They beat us soundly."

http://espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=400554273

Maybe Indy will force Brady to try to beat them, just like they forced Manning last week, instead of allowing NE to run for a ton of yardage. IOW use the Seahawks game plan on D.

You still have to factor in that P. Manning was far from 100% last week. Hiding that injury was HUGE. and you have people saying he was less than 50%
So I would think, the result would have been Different if he was healthy.

 

[Betallsports]

Oh and CRIS did move back to -6.5 Overnight

 

[Willie99]

You still have to factor in that P. Manning was far from 100% last week. Hiding that injury was HUGE. and you have people saying he was less than 50%
So I would think, the result would have been Different if he was healthy.

he was absolutely pathetic last week, 50% is being kind

he couldn't throw down-field, the Colts just played defense on the line of scrimmage and Manning couldn't make them change. Fox should have went to the backup, Manning was incapable of winning that game

 

[X-Files]

he was absolutely pathetic last week, 50% is being kind

he couldn't throw down-field, the Colts just played defense on the line of scrimmage and Manning couldn't make them change. Fox should have went to the backup, Manning was incapable of winning that game

He threw down field for long passes quite a few times, mostly missing open recievers who would
have had big gains or TDs. If he had hit a couple more of those that might have made it a close
game, but he kept over throwing. So he had the arm strength to throw down field. Maybe chalk it up
to another of his lousy games, which he admitted to having several times this year. And not having
enough time to throw, as Indy dominated on both line of scrimages & sides of the ball. Like in the
Superbowl vs Seattle, Manning was pathetic even when 100% healthy.

 

[BostonBettor]

Saw this tidbit this morning from Mike Salfino (WSJ), between GB & Indy, the Colts would appear to have the better shot at pulling an upset (or at least covering). Since 2012 Indy as a road dog is 12-10 SU, and 13-9 ats, GB is 2-11 SU and 2-10-1 ats. Small sample size, but something to consider.

 

[DesertDevil]

Fox should have went to the backup

LOL

One of the dumbest posts I have read in a long time.

Bench one of the best QB's in the history of the league in a playoff game for Brock fucking Osweiler.

Funny.

 

[GoSooners]

the name of the game is Equal Action

to me, the game that "smells" a little is the Seachickens

I'm probably in the minority, but i think Green Bay is the real live dog tomorrow...

 

[HarryCaray]

I'm probably in the minority, but i think Green Bay is the real live dog tomorrow...

I agree