I agree with that to an extent. There are many lines that could be set higher and would get about the same two way action.
I believe books know which way the majority of action will go.
I believe alot of lines are set to encourage action on a side in order to get to a median that will get two way action.
This line could have easily been set at 4/4' and still would have gotten alot of TSU action. This stuff happens every night.
Sure games move Everytime there is Big money comening in on that side, as you say it happens everynight!
This line that you are referring to today was about right as the opener was -2 and the closer was -1.5 the other side.
Lots of times when the Major groups are moveing on a game and the bookmakers finally wake up to the fact that they are not going to get any sizeable action on that side, they SKIP Pickem and go staright from one side as of being -1 to the other side as being -1, as the game Cant fall on Pick. Its hard for some people to grasp that the public can be on one side of a game and only one wiseguy group on the other and the number moves rapidly against the public. Its like someone said here John Q Public can bet 100k on a game and the number never moves, one wiseguy group bets 50k on the other side and the makers cant move the line fast enough in the wiseguy direction. So its really Not how much they bet, its WHO bet it. This is one of the problems about playing early, ya never know which way the number is going to move, and if it moves 3 points against you, you are more than likely on the Wrong side to begin with. Lots of angles to cbb and Lots of games the wiseguys plays from time to time. This game today is the perfect exmple of the wiseguys killing the makers and the public at the same time.
If it looks like a Duck, and if it quacks like a Duck, its probably a Duck.
Sometimes you have to force yourself off of a side, ans sometimes you have to get off at numbers that you can middle yourself as well.
This is why Locals are so very important, as they are sometimes slow to move and sometimes they move the other way.