I know this, if you don't have a team that can play some kind of defense, your not going to win playoff games, assuming you even get there.. So for me at this time, these are the only serious contenders to win this thing..
Seattle
SF ( if they get there shit together )
Green Bay ( they make just enough defensive plays)
I would give AZ a chance but Palmer is not a SB QB
Cincy ( most talented team outside of Seattle & a very good defensive team )
Denver ( enough defensively but Peyton is becoming a postseason liability )
San Diego ( sleeper, but they can't afford to many more injuries )
Indy ( barely enough defense )
NE ( will be very good defensively by playoffs if Brady survives )