SNF Hilton Super Contest Play....

[Lt.Dan]

actually a fade of the cappers that have the most popular play.

Line was Ind -5' for the contest.

3 cappers need NE w/ 3 games in
1 capper need NE w/4 games in

6 cappers need Ind w/3 games in
4 cappers need Ind w/4 games in

If you haven't read my previous posts, I have been tracking the Super Contest since the beginning and have collected data on it. Look at it as a reverse parlay because I fade the cappers that need the side to complete their parlays. There is a 1 pt. difference tonite as most outs have Ind-6'.

The fade is to take NE + 5' as more cappers need Ind -5' to run the table or to stay alive.

There was no SNF last week but Tenn covered on MNF as suggested by this data. The data is not fool proof but wins more times than not based on simply going against the odds that would be realized if the cappers were being paid for a winning parlay bet.

I played NE +6'.

Dante

 

[LetsWin]

hows this working for you?

seems like you would say more winners are on indy, so that would be the play

 

[Lt.Dan]

hows this working for you?

seems like you would say more winners are on indy, so that would be the play

LW,

I am fading the cappers who need Ind as they out number the NE cappers 10 to 4. The odds are more against the Ind bettors to complete their bets without a loss.

 

[ivan722]

The Pats are a L-O-C-K in the game tonight against Indy.

 

[woodypaige]

The Pats are a L-O-C-K in the game tonight against Indy.

If you of all people say they are, they can't possibly win.:lol:
Badluck Sledrock!!

 

[RDTrains]

Mnf

10 people in the top are on Washington and Only 2 on Pitt.

Does this suggest a play on Pitt tonight?

 

[Lt.Dan]

10 people in the top are on Washington and Only 2 on Pitt.

Does this suggest a play on Pitt tonight?

RD,

My calculations have nothing to do w/ the leader board. I don't even look at who is leading or not. I see that some of the other men on this board are looking at the leader board or the top 25 etc.. The worst capper on the board can get lucky and make a run. My system (hate that word but for lack of a better 1) takes into consideration the laws dealing w/ odds etc. There are several other variables that come into play. I have been doing this since the creation of the Super Contest w/ winning results.

I haven't had time to run my results yet but will post my conclusion later.

Dante

 

[VicVega91]

RD,

My calculations have nothing to do w/ the leader board. I don't even look at who is leading or not. I see that some of the other men on this board are looking at the leader board or the top 25 etc.. The worst capper on the board can get lucky and make a run. My system (hate that word but for lack of a better 1) takes into consideration the laws dealing w/ odds etc. There are several other variables that come into play. I have been doing this since the creation of the Super Contest w/ winning results.

I haven't had time to run my results yet but will post my conclusion later.

Dante

Thanks Lt. Dan:toast: