Smart money (IMO) is on the under 38.5 in NFL tonite...

[Iceman]

First off let me say I do not have an opinion of the game but from studying this stuff all year tonites game in NFL seems to be a lesson in if you are following smart money.

Game opened 40.5 and got drilled down to 37 or so in w/in a day, meaning game was bet most likely by the sharper bettors who flattened line out. It hovered all week around key #37. Today the public has been slowly but steadily driving the number up.

If this was a Sunday afternoon game I think it would still be at 37 or so. Rookie QB, outdoors in Lambeau in December (nite game no less), just seems like a great example in square money versus sharp money.

I say now is the time to bet under 39 or so and be with the sharp money. We shall see what happens.

 

[mj23]

More value with OREGON !

 

[Iceman]

More value with OREGON !

what did you get Oregon at?

 

[mj23]

what did you get Oregon at?

Juiced up to 5 and money line. And UNder 63

 

[Iceman]

Juiced up to 5 and money line.

I am heavy on BYU -3 (-103) and I like it. May the best man win:toast:

 

[mj23]

OU 56.5 now

 

[mj23]

I am heavy on BYU -3 (-103) and I like it. May the best man win:toast:

Good Luck the LEAF could be the difference !!:toast:

 

[Iceman]

I think this is why they call it smart money. Man this is uglyucking:

 

[mj23]

I think this is why they call it smart money. Man this is uglyucking:

Good pick!!

 

[Iceman]

I may have witnessed the WORST starting QB in the history of the NFL. If he starts again(and I am sure he will) there is no line that will be high enough to bet against the Vikes!!!!!!!!!

 

[Journeyman]

I may have witnessed the WORST starting QB in the history of the NFL. If he starts again(and I am sure he will) there is no line that will be high enough to bet against the Vikes!!!!!!!!!

And Green Bay doesn't cover..I am ill over not sweeping this game.

:youmad:

 

[Iceman]

And Green Bay doesn't cover..I am ill over not sweeping this game.

:youmad:

I here ya. I would be too. Just bet the under myself. I woud have bet GB at -3 (and would have lost). That was a bad beat in a different way (IMO). Sort of like that Jax/Tenn game last week.

 

[Journeyman]

Could cost me the Pick 4...sick!

 

[bakinbaconwithMacon]

wow, this was the easiest $400 I made, picked the under at 37.5 and although 40 is a better price I think even 36 was worth it. :hugesmile

 

[Iceman]

Could cost me the Pick 4...sick!

honestly it was a GREAT pick. You know as well I as do you are going to lose a few like that throughout the year, you can't let it effect your judgements or your confidence. Just stay focused.

If I don't win (which I would have to 8-0 most likely) I want it to be you because of all the work you have put into this (and a few other contests). Good Luck!!!

 

[Journeyman]

honestly it was a GREAT pick. You know as well I as do you are going to lose a few like that throughout the year, you can't let it effect your judgements or your confidence. Just stay focused.

If I don't win (which I would have to 8-0 most likely) I want it to be you because of all the work you have put into this (and a few other contests). Good Luck!!!

Thanks Ice