Small NBA home dog value...

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Sep 21, 2004
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Hornets +7 1 unit

4 units 1-0 +4.0
3 units 4-1 +8.7
2 units 6-5 +1.0
1 unit 3-1 +1.9
Bottom line (+15.6)
Winning days 9-1. 90%

Very tough sched, at least for me, this evening. But this is a play, no matter what for me. I will not force or throw a play out there just for laughs. Like to keep my winning day % up there. This is an against the grain play. Slightly contrarian or anti-square. Kings on fire, won last night, luckily, and had nice winning streak at home vs. sub.500 teams. Have not fared well back to back on road, and Hornets are the rested team. Kings shoot a lot of J's, and those seem to rim more often than not that second game. Kings have not fared well on road, and won no games by 6 or more traveling. Most of quality depth, especially scoring sold off. Bobby off the bench is about it. Pretty good minutes for Peja and CWebb, also a nailbiter, so they worked entire game. Hornets can't score. Top 3 scorers out. However, I like this loser team better. Why? They make me money. They are consistent. They have added by subtraction, and have a vastly improved defense. Held last 5 opponents to a very low fg%, on the road, against top offensive teams. I thinks worst was 41%. But flipside, never topped 41%. So we rake the unders. But Kings have only had 3 lined games under 200. And all went over easily. Better spot for under will come up. Tonight the +7 might come in handy, if the game is low scoring, all the better. Loser Hornets may be 1-4 L5, but ATS they are 4-1. Opponents are commenting about grit and tough D, no quit. They were leading in Denver after 3, last game of a brutal 5 game road trip. But they played respectful the entire trip, winning in Utah, double OT at Warriors. So now they come home, and face the mighty Kings. But the scheduler gave them a big assist. Last home game they played TWolves tough until very end, only to lose by 5. What did the Kings do against the TWolves? 1 unit is good.

Best Wishes...:howdy:


Not seeing anything in NCAA. Huge sched but I need advantages on both sides, overrated/underrated. I would rather be ultra selective and go for high winning % then throw 4 or 5 maybes out there and hope for best.:icon_conf
 

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good luck .of


i am on the square play tonight sac-6.5


long long road trip...first home game ..just believe they will play flat

as i said its probably the square play but this line should go up.....
 

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thanks frog. your contribution does not go unnoticed. lets cash tonight. great call on dinosaurs last night. here is wishing you the best.:howdy:


stoner
 

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Good luck, OF.
Thanks for the winners last night !
Keep them coming.
 

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Thanks!

Really appreciate your posts, both here and in the CBB forum. Have won lots of units tailing your picks. Hope we cash again tonight!!!

Thanks again!

FNG :banger:
 
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Updated record.

4 units 1-0 +4.0
3 units 4-1 +8.7
2 units 6-5 +1.0
1 unit 3-2 +.8
Bottom line (+14.5)
Winning days 9-2.

Well that sucked. Pretty much had the game diagnosed, as Kings bench besides Bobby had 6 points. Kings outrebounded, and took a whopping 26 less shots. What happened? Hornets were just ice cold for one. Two players in particular, Armstrong and Smith went a combined 2-19, with a brutal 0-9 from behind the arc. Worse yet, the bad team went to the line a shocking 7 times, to the Kings 23. Either way, one is those is just slightly better, a cover. But that is the chance you take on a mutt. Was a brutal night all the way around for dog players like me as chalk was 9-2 NBA. With some nasty bad beats. One game was decided by less than 8. NCAA was also ugly, with chalk outlining all of the weak dogs. Sometimes a small loss is a victory as last night could have been a bloodbath for me. Just donated 1 unit. No NBA tonight as short sched and unknown status of Carmellow makes it tough. Sorry about the dud. The bloody under was there again.

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:


However found 3 decent NCAA selections, which I will post in the NCAA forum, at least an hour before post. :digit:
 

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