Since 2005 at least 1 road underdog getting at least 4.5 points has won outright in divisional round

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So which team will it be this weekend? Or does the streak end?

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id have too id pick colts cause bad conditoins any thing cams happans
 

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colts... patriots are hurting on D.. no gronk.... not that I think they are but they have the best chance. I like them to cover.
 
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I still dont know what the hell this thread means? And why did you look at 4.5 and up instead of 7 and up? No game is from 4.5-6.5
 

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Going to be tough for any of these dogs. I would have to say the Saints have the best shot of them all but highly unlikely. I think the weather will favor NE....I could see a big day out of Blount but they are hurting on D.

San Diego will not beat Denver. Everyone on our parlay cards has them...incredible that they are getting that kind of love imo. It is the NFL though.
 

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I still dont know what the hell this thread means? And why did you look at 4.5 and up instead of 7 and up? No game is from 4.5-6.5

It means that in the last 8 years, every year, there was at least 1 road underdog that won outright in the divisional round.

It really isn't confusing at all.
 

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A case for the Colts

They have a big SoS edge over the Pats and have beaten KC twice, Denver, Seattle, and San Fran
They have the fewest turnovers of any team
Brady is an un-intimidating 2-2 in divisional playoff games in the last 4 years
 

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A Case for San Diego

Rivers has already beaten Manning as a big road dog in the playoffs (2007)
Manning has lost 3 round 2 games as a big home favorite, as gone one-and-done in the postseason a record 8 times
These two teams have played 8 quarters of football and Denver has outscored SD by 1 in those 8 quarters
San Diego has held Denver to less than 30 in both games

I don't like this game because intuitively the line makes no sense and I haven't seen a talking head or picker yet who has says Denver covers.
 

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A case for the Colts

They have a big SoS edge over the Pats and have beaten KC twice, Denver, Seattle, and San Fran
They have the fewest turnovers of any team
Brady is an un-intimidating 2-2 in divisional playoff games in the last 4 years

The Patriots played 11 games this year that were decided by 7 points or fewer
 
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It means that in the last 8 years, every year, there was at least 1 road underdog that won outright in the divisional round.

It really isn't confusing at all.

Its not confusing. But its too general.

So every year at least 1 road dog? Or at leas one road dog over 4.5? Now im confused. Because there were years without the line that high....
 

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I think san diego and new orleans have a shot. I picked the seahawks to cover but if they don't I think saints win SU. Chargers because they match up well against denver. Mannings cryptonite over his career has been defenses that can play the 3-4 well and disguise coverages. Historically san diego has done well against manning at denver and indy.
 

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Its not confusing. But its too general.

So every year at least 1 road dog? Or at leas one road dog over 4.5? Now im confused. Because there were years without the line that high....

Yes, every year since 2005 a road dog. Yes, every year in the last 8, a road dog of at least 4.5 has won.
That is not "general" at all.

I have no idea what you're talking about, but you're absolutely wrong.
 

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Its not confusing. But its too general.

So every year at least 1 road dog? Or at leas one road dog over 4.5? Now im confused. Because there were years without the line that high....

Since you are having trouble with this, here is the date, line and result for the last few years.

1/12/13 Ravens +9 - Win
1/15/12 Giants +8.5 - Win
1/16/11 Jets +9 Win
1/12/10 Jets +8.5 Win
1/10/2009 Arizona +10 Win
1/13/2008 Chargers + 11 Win
1/14/2007 Patriots +4.5 Win
1/15/2006 Steelers + 9.5 Win

Can you stop the nonsense now?
 

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Right on cue, ESPN's resident Mush Hammerin' Hank (1-3 playoffs; 47-62-2 reg season) dials in:

Seattle -8
New England -7
 

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My bet would be San Diego or the Colts.

I think New Orleans can cover, but not win. Colts have a small chance, but I could see them coming out flat after such an emotional game last week. San Diego is hot, playing well on both sides of the ball, and didn't need much to beat the Bengals, who flat out shit the bed.

I think this is the same trap that everyone falls into every year. There are (seemingly) more BIG road dogs in the playoffs. There shouldn't be near double-digit spreads in the 2nd round of the playoffs IMO. There shouldn't be such a disparity between the top and the bottom. Public will see Denver and all the records and easily lay 10 at home against the wild card team. Favorites to win the Super Bowl VERY RARELY do so, which means at least one of this upsets will hit this round or the next.
 
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Since you are having trouble with this, here is the date, line and result for the last few years.

1/12/13 Ravens +9 - Win
1/15/12 Giants +8.5 - Win
1/16/11 Jets +9 Win
1/12/10 Jets +8.5 Win
1/10/2009 Arizona +10 Win
1/13/2008 Chargers + 11 Win
1/14/2007 Patriots +4.5 Win
1/15/2006 Steelers + 9.5 Win

Can you stop the nonsense now?

I just dont understand the point of saying "4.5" when every game this weekend is 7.5 and up. Patriots chargers at 4.5 isnt even an upset. Its barely home field advantage.
 

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