Simple Little concept worth watching

[Elephant]

Your initial concept looked good, so I checked out how it would have gone from the start of the season.

From my calculations, it would only have hit about 42% (June is the only month above 50%), meaning you would need to average +135 on all bets just to break even
:sad3:

 

[CHOPTALK]

Your initial concept looked good, so I checked out how it would have gone from the start of the season.

From my calculations, it would only have hit about 42% (June is the only month above 50%), meaning you would need to average +135 on all bets just to break even
:sad3:

There are a hell of alot of 1 run games. I wonder what the results would be on a mixed -1 and -1.5 system.

However. I bet with the above system. The average win would be above +135 for a winning record.

 

[Elephant]

There are a hell of alot of 1 run games. I wonder what the results would be on a mixed -1 and -1.5 system.

Yeh there did seem to be a lot. How much juice do they charge to reduce the Runline from -1.5 to -1 ?

However. I bet with the above system. The average win would be above +135 for a winning record.

That is quite possible, from the post from SSI with todays plays and the price he got for them, the average was +140.
It did seem 1 run games were severly reducing the hit percent over the season so far

 

[SSI]

thx for doing the research elephant,,,, i started this about 10 days ago,

8-7 (+4.08) yesterday, 65-66 (+21.00) in 10 days..

doubt i post them sunday, but ill play them and try and update the record tonight...

 

[heart222]

for the first 6 weeks or so there were less road team sweeps in the a.l. than the n.l. dont know if that figures into the equasion or not. it has to be tough to bet k.c. and tampa even at home.

 

[SSI]

thru 10 days: 65-66 (+21.00 units) ($2100)

plays for sunday:

phil rl (+1.78)
atl rl (+2.01)
wash rl (+1.77)
fla rl (+1.59)
mets rl (+1.27)
reds ml (+1.20)
pitt rl (+1.17)
hou rl (+1.28)
stl rl (+1.61)
col ml (+1.17)
sd ml (+1.11)
sf ml (+1.16)
lad ml (+1.01)
az rl (+1.31)
cubs rl (+1.61)

all listed pitchers, some big (+ juice) today, a 7-8 day would be nice... all flat bet for 1 unit ($100), so only $1500 total risk..

 

[SSI]

6-9 (-0.95 units on sunday)..

71-75 (+20.05 units)

will update monday later..

 

[SSI]

5-2 (+4.73 units) so far on monday, with angels RL +1.67 pending... pretty good night either way..

 

[SSI]

mondays results: 6-2 (+6.40 units)

12 day results: 77-77 (+26.45 units) (+$2645)

big card on tuesday, will flat bet all home teams again..