Sim System

[chimo]

So I've been backtesting a system using various game simulators and I'm ready to give it a shot. The concept is basically to compile different simulations of each game (accounting for weather, lineups, pitchers) and play any side is showing disproportionate value.

The only drawback is how late the sims are complete to game time. Makes for tight windows to get plays in. There will be plays on the 3:40 games today. Posting to share, but also to keep myself disciplined playing the system myself.

All plays will be fractional units - if you're following, the biggest play I've seen this system make is 2.5 units. Most common play is 0.7 - 1.0 units.

 

[chimo]

6/28 Early Slate:

PHI ML: 0.3 units at +200 to win 0.6 units
PHI +1.5: 0.4 units at +100 to win 0.4 units

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight....

 

[chimo]

6/28 7PM Slate:

WSH -1.5: 0.5 units at +127
TB ML: 0.9 units at +100
BAL ML: 0.6 units at +197
NYM ML: 0.4 units at +106
DET -1.5: 0.5 units at +140

 

[chimo]

6/28 Late Slate:

STL ML: 0.3 units at +123
LAA ML: 0.9 units at +118
ATL ML: 0.9 units at +116

 

[chimo]

6/28: 6-4 (+0.4 Units)

Play size didn't work in the system's favor yesterday. For those wondering; I am basing this on a nickel unit. Backtested for the month of June, its been profitable.

 

[XSPower]

Good luck today...

 

[chimo]

6/29 Early Slate

ARI ML:. 0.6 units at -126
ARI -1.5: 0.5 units at +148
WSH ML:. 0.4 units at -100
WSH -1.5: 0.4 units at +180

 

[chimo]

6/29 7PM Slate:

BAL ML: 0.6 units at +170
NYM ML: 0.3 units at +129

 

[chimo]

Total: 8-8 (-0.5)

Nats 9th inning meltdown blew a winning day. Hoping for better results tonifht.

 

[chimo]

6/30 7PM Slate:

SF ML: 0.3u at +100
BAL ML: 0.6u at +117
TOR ML: 0.7u at -122
TOR -1.5: 0.7u at +162
CHC ML: 0.5u at +110
DET ML:. 0.9u at +111
MIA ML: 1.1u at -103