Signs Pointing To A McCain Victory

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Signs Pointing To A McCain Victory
By Steven M. Warshawsky

Despite there being an entire cottage industry devoted to exposing the liberal bias of the mainstream media, Republicans and conservatives continue to allow themselves to be unduly influenced, and even demoralized, by what they read and hear in the big city newspapers and on network television.

What are they reading and hearing? That Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States. It's inevitable. It's his election to lose. What proof does the media offer? Public opinion polls that supposedly show Obama "winning" the race. (But see here and here.) The thousands of devoted supporters who attend Obama's rallies. The legions of blacks and young people who are more "inspired" than ever to vote for a candidate who understands their needs and interests. Etc. We all know the story by heart by now.

This is the "narrative" that the mainstream media has been imposing on this year's presidential campaign almost from the start. Remember how quickly the MSM jumped off the Hillary Clinton bandwagon and onto Obama's? Remember how annoyed and angry they became as Hillary refused to concede the nomination? The MSM decided that electing the nation's first black, socialist, anti-American president was politically and historically more important (and, for them, more exciting) than electing the nation's first female, socialist, patriotic president. And they are doing everything they can to achieve this goal.

Well, there is another story out there that the MSM refuses to address. A huge story. One that could, and I think will, significantly affect the outcome of this race. I'm referring to the widespread phenomenon of registered Democrats openly supporting John McCain. There are numerous "Democrats for McCain" type organizations. There are numerous websites and blogs written by Democrats touting McCain's candidacy. There are pro-McCain grassroots efforts being led by Democrats. And we all know friends or relatives who are Democrats, who voted for John Kerry in 2004, and who are no fans of President Bush - but who are going to vote for John McCain this year.

Yet, surprise surprise, the mainstream media is not talking about these voters, not talking about the real rift that is occurring within the ranks of the Democratic Party. Needless to say, if a similar rift were occurring in the Republican Party, it would be treated as the major story that it is. (Indeed, as such stories about the political fault lines in the Republican Party have been treated in the recent past.)

Who are these pro-McCain Democratic voters? They overwhelmingly tend to be former Hillary supporters. Perhaps the most well-known of these voters are the "PUMAs" - which stands for Party Unity My Ass. These are Hillary supporters who are adamantly opposed to Obama. Let's not forget that during the Democratic primaries - real elections, not polls - Hillary crushed Obama among white working-class and middle-class voters in such key states as Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. If a meaningful number of these voters end up voting for McCain, as I predict they will, then Obama's smooth road to the White House is going to run smack into a brick wall.

Earlier this week, I attended a John McCain campaign event in New York City. There were several Democrats in attendance. Not only people who are registered Democrats, but party leaders and workers who had been actively involved in Hillary Clinton's campaign. Indeed, the gentlemen who "keynoted" the event was a former publisher of the left-wing Village Voice magazine and a veteran of the Robert Kennedy, George McGovern, and Jimmy Carter campaigns. Hardly a right-wing conservative. He gave one of the best stump speeches I have heard why Barack Obama should not be elected president. (It comes down to not trusting Obama to keep the United States safe and strong in a dangerous world and rejecting Obama's "government knows best" attitude when it comes to domestic issues.) Another person I met at the event was a sprightly elderly woman who manned telephones for Hillary for five months, and now is supporting McCain.

There is nothing remotely similar to this taking place among Republicans. (No, Christopher Buckley endorsing Obama is not the same thing at all.)

Some more anecdotal evidence of a lack of support for Obama among Democrats: I live in the Upper West Side neighborhood of New York City. You cannot find too many places in the country that are more liberal than that. Walking around my neighborhood during the 2004 presidential campaign, I felt "assaulted" on all sides by Kerry-Edwards buttons, bumper stickers, and posters. This year, there clearly is not the same level of outward support for Obama. It is remarkable (and welcome). Will most of the people in my neighborhood vote for Obama on election day? Of course. Will Obama win New York? Almost certainly. But the lack of enthusiasm for Obama among these Democrats, who I'm sure would be going gaga for Hillary, speaks volumes about Obama's true prospects for victory this year.

The point is simple: Don't believe the Obama hype coming out of the mainstream media. If the media were truly objective and unbiased, they would be covering the race much differently. Instead of trying to browbeat the country into voting for Obama, they would be analyzing the issues and factors that favor and disfavor both candidates. Instead of focusing on college students and intellectuals, they would be focusing on working-class and middle-class voters, especially "Hillary Democrats." These voters may very well determine the election. Yet this huge story is being ignored by the MSM.

Furthermore, the media would not so consistently confuse intensity of support for breadth of support. Granted, Barack Obama's supporters tend to be more enthusiastic about their candidate than John McCain's supporters are about him. Leftists are always looking for their earthly messiah. But this does not mean that Obama's supporters, come election day, will outnumber McCain's. Whether in support of McCain or in opposition to Obama, I predict these voters will go to the polls. Contrary to the wishful thinking of Democratic pundits, they are not staying home. These voters may be unexcited, but they are not apathetic. And 51% of "unexcited" voters will defeat 49% of even the most "inspired" voters. Every time.

Of course, we all know what the mainstream media's "narrative" will be if (I believe, when) John McCain wins the election: The American people refused to vote for Obama because of the color of his skin (and not because of the content of his politics). The "right-wing attack machine" scared voters into voting for McCain, even against their own social and economic self-interest. Black and poor voters were intimidated by Republican thugs and prevented from voting. We know this story by heart as well.

So be prepared. In a few more weeks, the political environment in this country is likely to become a heckuva lot nastier. For there are real signs pointing to a McCain victory this year, whether or not the mainstream media wants to acknowledge them.

Page Printed from: <A href="http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/10/signs_pointing_to_a_mccain_vic.html" target=_blank>http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/10/signs_pointing_to_a_mccain_vic.html at October 26, 2008
 

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Watch the hateful lefty moonbats come out of the woodwork for this article.

3-2-1....:nohead:
 

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So let me guess if Mccain fails to win, you guys gonna be crying voter fraud, right???

PUMA, my ass!!:tongue2::nohead:

Just like how most of the Repub base learned to love Mccain, most of Hillary supporters learned to love Obama as well
 

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So let me guess if Mccain fails to win, you guys gonna be crying voter fraud, right???

PUMA, my ass!!:tongue2::nohead:

Just like how most of the Repub base learned to love Mccain, most of Hillary supporters learned to love Obama as well

If you guys don't win, will you blame Diebold like in 2004 or voter suppression like in 2000? Or racism like in 1988? Or securing deals with terrorists like in 1980?
 

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November 4th will prolly be the biggest political upset in American history and the media social manipulation industry will be left scratching its collective head.

The main thing the McCain camp needs to do during the final week is ensure that it gets it's core voters out en masse, telling them to ignore the polling propaganda and to get into those voting booths if they want to save the American way.
 

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<TABLE class=storycontent cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2>Prejudices run deep in US elections


</TD></TR><TR><TD class=storybody><!-- S BO -->
As Barack Obama surges ahead in the opinion polls, Stephen Evans hears from white working class people in crucial swing states as to whether they will be voting for a black president.
<!-- S IIMA --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=226 align=right border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>
_45139485_cb5ab444-b214-4ba2-bf84-236a2868c788.jpg
Charlie Brown always had the prize snatched away at the last moment

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- E IIMA -->
As in so many things, Charles M. Schulz got it right.
He, you may remember, was the cartoonist who created Charlie Brown whose idea of happiness was to kick the football his friend Lucy held upright on the ground for him, except that she invariably removed it at the very last moment.
Learning from repeated experience, Charlie came to expect the prize to be snatched away at the very last moment.
You detect the same weary mind set when you talk to black people about the possibility of Barack Obama winning the election and so the White House.
I sat one morning in Tom's Diner in Brooklyn and literally chewed the fat with four friends in their 70s and 80s, men who had lived through real, in-their-face discrimination and insult, and who now dared to hope that a fellow black man might be president.
Voicing doubt
Alfred Waters, Henry Meltz, Harold Goodridge and Calvin Carrion worked together for decades and some of them go back even further to school days together.
At their regular Thursday meeting, on the end table, under the open, breezy window, the conversation ebbs and flows softly.
One says he never thought he would live to see the day, but now he can die happy because he knows, he knows, that Barack Obama is going to win.
<!-- S IIMA --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=226 align=right border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>
_45139654_obama226_getty.jpg
One black voter in his 70s said he could die happy if Obama wins

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- E IIMA -->
But then others voice doubt. It might yet be snatched away, they feel.
"There is no certainty of anything in life but, as a black man, never let your guard down," one said.
"We have to be very strong and keep politicking until the day of the election."
Not that all black people assume that a President Obama would be a good thing. I met Carol Swain at another diner, the Loveless Cafe on Route 100, in Tennessee, named after the family who founded it, by the way, and not its atmosphere.
Prejudices
Carol was all for McCain on the grounds that his policies would be better for all, including black people. Carol is a professor of law in Nashville and ultra quiet until she gets going on politics.
I found her unpredictability refreshing. After all, to assume that all black people want a black president would be racist, would it not?
Which brings me to a Saturday morning school carnival in Akron, Ohio, where, I met a white man.
<!-- S IIMA --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=226 align=right border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>
_45139397_edbogavich226.jpg
Voter Ed Bogavich is a rarity by voicing his prejudices

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- E IIMA -->
Ed Bogavich sat with his wife at his side and dog on his lap in front of his souped up, shiny Model T. Ed told me he was not going to vote for a negro, his word.
After all, whites were superior, and Obama was a Muslim and an Arab.
I challenged him with prefect politeness, but I might as well have been arguing with a stone. Mr Bogavich was never going to be moved.
The question is how many more of them are out there, particularly in unionised, Democrat-tending, rust-belt America like Ohio.
Ed Bogavich is rare in that he speaks his prejudices out loud.
The other night, I was out rummaging in the big waste bins outside my cheap, chain hotel, as you do.
Important bits of paper had been thrown out, receipts if you must know, and I had sought the help of the over-night security guard, a white man, low on the economic scale.
As I rummaged, he talked. Anybody but the black man was the message, though I kept pressing him why.
He could never quite say it but the feeling was clear. In the end, he blurted out defensively that it was because Obama himself was a racist.
<!-- S IBOX --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=231 align=right border=0><TBODY><TR><TD width=5>
o.gif
</TD><TD class=sibtbg>
start_quote_rb.gif
We're about to see just how deep race cuts in this country
end_quote_rb.gif



Harold Ickes, former deputy chief of staff to President Bill Clinton

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- E IBOX -->
'Bradley effect'
It is not just white, working class people in Rust Belt towns. A black friend of mine in New York, a socialite who dines in the richest circles, complained to me that he was looking hard at his own white friends whose difficulties with Obama seemed to revolve around blackness.
Now, there is something called the Bradley effect, named after Tom Bradley, the black mayor of Los Angeles who lost the election to become governor of California in 1982 even though the exit polls had predicted a victory, the theory being that white people told the pollsters one thing but voted another.
But this week, one of Mr Bradley's organisers said it was much more complicated than that.
The polls had simply failed to measure all shades of opinion because they had not taken enough account of absentee ballots.
And Mr Obama does remain far enough ahead in most polls to over-ride any Bradley effect, if any there be. But polls move and prejudices run deep, even as younger America seems increasingly colour-blind. One of the people at the heart of the Clinton White House, Harold Ickes, told me, "We're about to see just how deep race cuts in this country." And he is right. Will Lucy snatch the ball away again? We are about to find out.
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/from_our_own_correspondent/7687777.stm
 

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November 4th will prolly be the biggest political upset in American history and the media social manipulation industry will be left scratching its collective head.

The main thing the McCain camp needs to do during the final week is ensure that it gets it's core voters out en masse, telling them to ignore the polling propaganda and to get into those voting booths if they want to save the American way.

Man eek, I think McCain has a chance, but you seem a lot more confident than me right now.

I believe a 5 point swing is doable, but not much is going right for Johnny right now. It's almost like we have to hope that all the hype and all the exposure and all the attacks on Palin backfire.

I hope you're right my commie friend.
 

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why is it...

when 98% of blacks support obama regardless of his political views match theirs it is "black pride", but when a handful of whites do not vote for him because of this skin color they are racists.

if obama were not black he would not be on the top of the ticket--period

how is that a guy whose only prominent office has been in the u.s. senate for less than four years and who has not pushed one bill of any significance through in that time gets to where he is. there are hundreds of white people who had much better credentials in politics than he has that never got a sniff at the nomination including his running mate.

according to congressional quarterly obama is the #1 liberal in the senate and biden is #3. the next two years are going to be ugly as the democrats send this country into a bigger spiral. you'll have a chain smoking, inexperienced big time liberal getting his strings pulled by reid, dodd, frank and pelosi trying to figure out where pennsylvania avenue is.
 

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Some more anecdotal evidence of a lack of support for Obama among Democrats: I live in the Upper West Side neighborhood of New York City. You cannot find too many places in the country that are more liberal than that. Walking around my neighborhood during the 2004 presidential campaign, I felt "assaulted" on all sides by Kerry-Edwards buttons, bumper stickers, and posters. This year, there clearly is not the same level of outward support for Obama. http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/10/signs_pointing_to_a_mccain_vic.html
http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/10/signs_pointing_to_a_mccain_vic.html


I know this is just anecdotal, but I am seeing this trend here all over Central PA. Totally agree with the "assaulted" by Kerry-Edwards signs in 2004.. They were everywhere.. They outnumbered Bush 2:1 in an area that ended up going about 57-43 for Bush. McCain signs are pummeling Obama signs in this same area by atleast 4:1 ratio.
 

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Man eek, I think McCain has a chance, but you seem a lot more confident than me right now.

I believe a 5 point swing is doable, but not much is going right for Johnny right now. It's almost like we have to hope that all the hype and all the exposure and all the attacks on Palin backfire.

I hope you're right my commie friend.


I think there's a very good chance McCain can win the electoral and lose the popular by 3 or 4 points. Lefty loonburgers and the press will burst at the seams if that happened. :lol:
 

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I like how the article contends that it's significant that a bunch of Dems are crossing over to McCain, but somehow the Republicans crossing over to Obama "is not the same thing at all".

Someone look at an electoral map and explain how McCain has a chance. Hell, Karl Rove's website has Obama with 317 electoral votes right now, with 64 toss ups. McCain could win every single one of the toss up states and still come up 49 votes short.

Everyone one is looking at polling percentages, but that makes zero difference. The Electoral Collage is what matters, and right now McCain is facing a nearly impossible deficit.
 

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I like how the pubs on this board can never seem to manage getting through a post without using some gay emoticon.

These guys would vote in bugs bunny as long as he had (R) next to his name.
 
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<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/S81brjpteDk&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/S81brjpteDk&hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object> Voted 3rd party Baldwin but the song still good from Hank Williams Jr
 

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sekrah, do you still got mccain winning PA? if so, do you want to make a bet on it. remember, you were carrying on about no way mccain losing PA.
 

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sekrah, do you still got mccain winning PA? if so, do you want to make a bet on it. remember, you were carrying on about no way mccain losing PA.

Listen retard.. You have trouble over and over with reading comprehension, I'm not surprised you're a Democrat. I made bets on Pennsylvania with my books. I'm not making wagers with an idiot and escrow on a forum when I can make it with someone I know will pay me.
 
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Listen retard.. You have trouble over and over with reading comprehension, I'm not surprised you're a Democrat. I made bets on Pennsylvania with my books. I'm not making wagers with an idiot and escrow on a forum when I can make it with someone I know will pay me.

Running again. Typical.
 

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