Attention....This read is copied and pasted from another forum.
I am not taking credit for the information:lol:
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]OAKLAND AT TAMPA BAY: There was a little underdog action on Oakland +13½ right at the opener. Tampa Bay hasn't played very well in recent weeks. Oakland has covered a couple of spreads. That inspired a few guys to take the points at what they considered to be a very inflated line. Most people passed the game. Some dog lovers in general preferred to wait to see if the public took the line to -14 or higher. Through the week, that wasn't happening. It might Sunday morning. Note that this is a "bad body clock" game for the Raiders. Some guys are leaving the dog alone for that reason.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]DETROIT AT GREEN BAY: The line here has jumped from Green Bay -7½ all the way up to -10 or so. The oddsmakers were expecting the sharps to hit Detroit because everyone knows the Lions are trying to avoid an 0-16 season. Instead...all of the early money was on the Packers! I do think we'll see some dog money hit this weekend. Maybe they were taking early positions and creating their own middle with heavy action. I have to say that what I heard about this game from guys I talked to wasn't matching the money. I always have to pay closer attention when that happens. The total dropped from 45 down to 43...and will come down even more if the weather is going to be an issue.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]DALLAS AT PHILADELPHIA: The sharps have hit Philadelphia pretty hard here, driving an opener of pick-em up to Philly -2. It didn't make it all the way to a field goal. Maybe it should have based on the money, but sportsbooks didn't want to open up a can of worms by creating a middle with a -3 on the end. Dallas has been shaky in recent weeks, particularly against good teams. Tony Romo is hard to trust in a close game based on what we've seen against Baltimore and Pittsburgh. He didn't look all that great in the win at Washington either. Sharps are counting on a full effort from the Eagles even though a playoff berth is now a longshot.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]NY GIANTS AT MINNESOTA: What would this line be in a normal regular season spot? The Giants would be a small road favorite at least. Because Minnesota needs the game badly, and the Giants don't need it at all, the Vikings opened at -6½. Sharps bet it up a half a point to -7 on the theory that the public would line up on the Vikings over the weekend. Sharps can by back and set up a middle on game day should the number make it to 7½, 8, or more. My read on the money wasn't support for Minnesota, but rather position taking for that middle possibility. Sharps don't like taking teams with nothing to play for, particularly one that may rest its starters. Several non-playoff teams actually WON'T rest their starters...so you still may get a good game out of them. Top seeds are better served by playing backups.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]CHICAGO AT HOUSTON: Big move from the sharps here on Houston, as the Texans went from +1½ all the way to -3! That's a huge adjustment because it went all the way to a field goal and didn't bounce back down. Note that Philly stopped at -2 in a similar move at home against Dallas. The sharps think Houston will be very motivated to avoid a losing record with a win. Chicago was lucky to win Monday Night, and will have trouble winning a shootout on the road here. You don't often see this much affection for a non-playoff team. Houston garnered serious support at anything below a field goal. The total has fallen from 48 to 46½, which I understand is a math play from the numbers guys.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]CAROLINA AT NEW ORLEANS: The line opened at a field goal, and is still technically a field goal even though it's still at -3. The juice has changed...with Carolina being -115 at first if you wanted them at -3. So much money has come in on New Orleans that you now have to lay extra vigorish to get the Saints and the points. Sharps are impressed with how Carolina has closed the season...but they see this as a tough spot off that brutal Sunday Night meltdown against the Giants. New Orleans played great at Detroit last week, and should still be trying at home against a divisional rival even if the playoffs aren't in play. Great message sending spot for the Saints...and that's how the early sharp bettors have seen it.[/FONT]
I am not taking credit for the information:lol:
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]OAKLAND AT TAMPA BAY: There was a little underdog action on Oakland +13½ right at the opener. Tampa Bay hasn't played very well in recent weeks. Oakland has covered a couple of spreads. That inspired a few guys to take the points at what they considered to be a very inflated line. Most people passed the game. Some dog lovers in general preferred to wait to see if the public took the line to -14 or higher. Through the week, that wasn't happening. It might Sunday morning. Note that this is a "bad body clock" game for the Raiders. Some guys are leaving the dog alone for that reason.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]DETROIT AT GREEN BAY: The line here has jumped from Green Bay -7½ all the way up to -10 or so. The oddsmakers were expecting the sharps to hit Detroit because everyone knows the Lions are trying to avoid an 0-16 season. Instead...all of the early money was on the Packers! I do think we'll see some dog money hit this weekend. Maybe they were taking early positions and creating their own middle with heavy action. I have to say that what I heard about this game from guys I talked to wasn't matching the money. I always have to pay closer attention when that happens. The total dropped from 45 down to 43...and will come down even more if the weather is going to be an issue.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]DALLAS AT PHILADELPHIA: The sharps have hit Philadelphia pretty hard here, driving an opener of pick-em up to Philly -2. It didn't make it all the way to a field goal. Maybe it should have based on the money, but sportsbooks didn't want to open up a can of worms by creating a middle with a -3 on the end. Dallas has been shaky in recent weeks, particularly against good teams. Tony Romo is hard to trust in a close game based on what we've seen against Baltimore and Pittsburgh. He didn't look all that great in the win at Washington either. Sharps are counting on a full effort from the Eagles even though a playoff berth is now a longshot.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]NY GIANTS AT MINNESOTA: What would this line be in a normal regular season spot? The Giants would be a small road favorite at least. Because Minnesota needs the game badly, and the Giants don't need it at all, the Vikings opened at -6½. Sharps bet it up a half a point to -7 on the theory that the public would line up on the Vikings over the weekend. Sharps can by back and set up a middle on game day should the number make it to 7½, 8, or more. My read on the money wasn't support for Minnesota, but rather position taking for that middle possibility. Sharps don't like taking teams with nothing to play for, particularly one that may rest its starters. Several non-playoff teams actually WON'T rest their starters...so you still may get a good game out of them. Top seeds are better served by playing backups.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]CHICAGO AT HOUSTON: Big move from the sharps here on Houston, as the Texans went from +1½ all the way to -3! That's a huge adjustment because it went all the way to a field goal and didn't bounce back down. Note that Philly stopped at -2 in a similar move at home against Dallas. The sharps think Houston will be very motivated to avoid a losing record with a win. Chicago was lucky to win Monday Night, and will have trouble winning a shootout on the road here. You don't often see this much affection for a non-playoff team. Houston garnered serious support at anything below a field goal. The total has fallen from 48 to 46½, which I understand is a math play from the numbers guys.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]CAROLINA AT NEW ORLEANS: The line opened at a field goal, and is still technically a field goal even though it's still at -3. The juice has changed...with Carolina being -115 at first if you wanted them at -3. So much money has come in on New Orleans that you now have to lay extra vigorish to get the Saints and the points. Sharps are impressed with how Carolina has closed the season...but they see this as a tough spot off that brutal Sunday Night meltdown against the Giants. New Orleans played great at Detroit last week, and should still be trying at home against a divisional rival even if the playoffs aren't in play. Great message sending spot for the Saints...and that's how the early sharp bettors have seen it.[/FONT]
arty:
