I'm going to attempt to minimize my smaller plays from now on and focus more on my strong 2* plays and have half a dozen medium plays (1*) or so I do in the NFL. I think I've tinkered with the college way too much and gotten to cute even flip flopping today which is a big no no.
These were my 2* plays from Week 2 which went 5-2-1, I have a system in place which hit 62% last year and I expect more of the same this year:
Value: I'll post the line I have
Spots: I'll discuss why this game favors us in terms of home field, motivation, etc.
Perception: How the public perceives the teams
Match ups: Self explanatory
Oregon vs Purdue
Value: Oregon -13.5
Spot: Purdue having to travel, Kelly having to prove his worth as HC, moving on from Blount, etc.
Perception: Do I really need to elaborate here
Match ups: Purdue defense sucks-coaching and passing edge.
LSU vs Vandy (Push)
Value: LSU -15.5
Spot: LSU back home, Defense playing with a chip on their shoulder, etc.
Perception: LSU defense sucks, Washington almost beat them, etc.
Match ups: More talent in skill positions, better O/D line play, coaching.
North Texas vs Ohio
Value: NT +2
Spot: I believe this will be the 2nd largest crowd that Ohio sees behind Tennessee's. They better bring their road game because people are excited in Denton. 2-0? Not since 1994. K I'll stop now this is getting to festive
Perception: Both teams suck, NT has been a doormat since before I can crawl. Ohio at least has been a decent team a couple years ago, etc.
Machups: UNT has quite a few weapons this year with their pop pass attack along with their strong run game. Defense is improved some, little penalties translates into a win.
UNLV vs Oregon State
Value: +6
Spot: Hosting a PAC-10 team in 18 years enough said
Perception: Middle tier WAC team vs last years surprise Pac-10 team.
Match ups: Best wideouts and 2nd best QB (very accurate) in the Wac vs questionable Beaver pass defense.
Arkansas State vs Cornholes
Value: +20.5
Spot: Arkansas State super bowl
Perception: Sun belt vs Big 12, good running game vs superior run defense, spread offense vs piss poor defense
Match ups: this game out of all my big games is the most unique. Typically I stay away from strength against strength but in this game I think Arkansas State coach Steve Roberts will have some tricks up his sleeve .You see coach Roberts always schedules these early Big 12 teams to get his team ready for the Sun Belt conference games. His team should be at towards the top of those standings again this year and this game is one hes been working on all off season long for.
Michigan vs Notre Dame
Value: ND -1
Spot: Big House
Perception: Notre Dame getting more love, more experience offense, etc.
Match ups: Michigan defense, Rich Rod had extra time to put in offensive wrinkles tehe
Duke vs Army
Value: Duke -2
Spot: Duke avoiding 0-2 start
Perception: Losing against Richmond
Match ups: Army wasn't as good as last week and Duke wasn't as bad. Duke still has the better talent, etc.
Boston College vs Kent
Value BC -21.5 (waited too long here hence 2* instead of 2.5*)
Perception: Talking heads don't talk about BC. So why they're giving so many points?
Match ups: Will Kent score? Remember the name Montel Harris, I'll stop there
Honorable mention: USC by 3
LT
