Starting one tournament late after the new season opened last week. I tend to play mostly full tournament match-ups. Some of the info I post will not be written by me (course info, weather, etc.) but I will link to any outside info so it is not construed as my own writing. All analysis of my plays will be my own though. Let's make this a profitable season :toast:
RSM Classic
Late start, got busy and wasn't able to post for the first few fall tournaments.
RSM Classic is being played at the Seaside course and Plantation course (rotating on Thursday and Friday) with the Seaside course being played on the weekend. Going to be targeting some locals this weekend and fading some of the bombers as these are both shorter courses where driving distance won't be such a large advantage.
Harman -120 over Kokrak - 1.2U/1U
Kuchar -110 over J. Thomas - 1.1U/1U
Kizzire +110 over Streb - 1U/1.1U
Henley -110 over B. Haas - 1.1U/1U
Varner III +145 over B. Todd - 1U/1.46U -Todd has terrible form (3 straight missed cuts) so taking a shot on Varner. He is coming off the web.com tour and has made 3 cuts (finishing T48, T39, and most recently T5) of last 4 tournaments on the PGA tour.
Good luck this weekend.
Late start, got busy and wasn't able to post for the first few fall tournaments.
RSM Classic is being played at the Seaside course and Plantation course (rotating on Thursday and Friday) with the Seaside course being played on the weekend. Going to be targeting some locals this weekend and fading some of the bombers as these are both shorter courses where driving distance won't be such a large advantage.
Harman -120 over Kokrak - 1.2U/1U
Kuchar -110 over J. Thomas - 1.1U/1U
Kizzire +110 over Streb - 1U/1.1U
Henley -110 over B. Haas - 1.1U/1U
Varner III +145 over B. Todd - 1U/1.46U -Todd has terrible form (3 straight missed cuts) so taking a shot on Varner. He is coming off the web.com tour and has made 3 cuts (finishing T48, T39, and most recently T5) of last 4 tournaments on the PGA tour.
Good luck this weekend.
DP World Tour Championship
Taking a stab at the final leg of the Race to Dubai.
Strategy for me here is to target long hitters who have faired well on desert courses.
Pieters +125 over Wiesberger - 1U/1.26U
Olsen -120 over Levy - 1.2U/1U
Sullivan -115 over Uihlein - 1.16U/1U
Dubuisson -105 over Reed - 1.06U/1U
Good Luck.
Taking a stab at the final leg of the Race to Dubai.
Strategy for me here is to target long hitters who have faired well on desert courses.
Pieters +125 over Wiesberger - 1U/1.26U
Olsen -120 over Levy - 1.2U/1U
Sullivan -115 over Uihlein - 1.16U/1U
Dubuisson -105 over Reed - 1.06U/1U
Good Luck.
Happy with the weekend, going 4-1 +3.46 units in the RSM classic and 2-2 -.06 units in the DP World Tour Championship, bringing my record to 6-3 +3.4 units for the weekend. See you guys in a couple weeks.
RSM:
Harman -120 over Kokrak - 1.2U/1U (W)
Kuchar -110 over J. Thomas - 1.1U/1U (W)
Kizzire +110 over Streb - 1U/1.1U (L)
Henley -110 over B. Haas - 1.1U/1U (W)
Varner III +145 over B. Todd - 1U/1.46U (W)
DP:
Pieters +125 over Wiesberger - 1U/1.26U (L)
Olesen -120 over Levy - 1.2U/1U (W)
Sullivan -115 over Uihlein - 1.16U/1U (W)
Dubuisson -105 over Reed - 1.06U/1U (L)
RSM:
Harman -120 over Kokrak - 1.2U/1U (W)
Kuchar -110 over J. Thomas - 1.1U/1U (W)
Kizzire +110 over Streb - 1U/1.1U (L)
Henley -110 over B. Haas - 1.1U/1U (W)
Varner III +145 over B. Todd - 1U/1.46U (W)
DP:
Pieters +125 over Wiesberger - 1U/1.26U (L)
Olesen -120 over Levy - 1.2U/1U (W)
Sullivan -115 over Uihlein - 1.16U/1U (W)
Dubuisson -105 over Reed - 1.06U/1U (L)
Would have liked to play Fowler this week but do not like any of his matchup lines/opponents (matched up against Adam Scott, Patrick Reed, and Hideki Matsuyama). Fowler has played well on links style courses in less than ideal conditions (wind, rain). Would be most inclined to play his matchup against Matsuyama, but am going to pass. Scott is coming off a T2 in the Australian Open last week, is a great links player, and has a home on the course. Reed has been on fire on the European Tour these past few weeks and I do not see any value in betting against him.
Thailand Golf Championship
One bet here for the weekend. Bubba is coming off a win in the Bahamas, and his game suits the course perfectly. That said, I will be fading him this weekend. He has not fared well at this course in the past, and his record coming off a win is less than stellar (not to mention him traveling from the Bahamas to Thailand this week). Going with the European Tour Rookie of the Year, Byeong-Hun An.
Byeong-Hun An +135 over Bubba Watson 1u/1.26u
Enjoy the weekend.
One bet here for the weekend. Bubba is coming off a win in the Bahamas, and his game suits the course perfectly. That said, I will be fading him this weekend. He has not fared well at this course in the past, and his record coming off a win is less than stellar (not to mention him traveling from the Bahamas to Thailand this week). Going with the European Tour Rookie of the Year, Byeong-Hun An.
Byeong-Hun An +135 over Bubba Watson 1u/1.26u
Enjoy the weekend.
