Shane Mosley vs Raul Marquez

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Selection # 1: Boxing Shane Mosley vs Raul Marquez Will Marquez win by Decision? Yes +4600

I haven't really looked into the fight yet, but I do have an opinion on this line at Pinnacle. I know it is HIGHLY unlikely I will win, but +4600?. Am putting a small bet on this.
 

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Hey lakerfan, how's it going? I got an idea for
a different type of bet. On the Margarito-Lewis
fight, bet Lewis by ko+200 and Lewis by decision
+175. Of course one will lose, but, but it still
makes money with a Margarito win. I checked with
the book and a DQ is considered a KO win. Of
course a draw is a loss here. I took Margarito
to win -250. If you use the above method it's a
little cheaper.
 
laker....+4600?......i see your point....but,unfortunately,this is practically a slam dunk for mosley.....marquez is a lefty,but slow is a very kind way to describe him...mosley will shred him...i am looking into the odds on a mosley stoppage....the problem there is mosley`s move up in weight...i`ll be back with a more definitive look at this.....g.l.....those odds are outrageous...
 

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franks,

So essentially you are getting +100 if Margarito wins by KO, and -267 if he wins by decision. But you lose on the draw. As compared to just take him -252 to win. I am not expert so I don't know if it is a good bet or not, but doesn't seem like a bad idea. I guess if you think KO is likely then it would be a really good bet.

Your pretty strong on Margarito then, right?

sphincter,

I didn't think he has much of a chance, but I am sucker for those kind of odds.

This bet looks pretty good at Pinnacle, I can't believe you can get better than even money on the knockout.

Will Mosley win by KO?
Maximum Wager: 500.00 USD
07:00 PM 7 Yes +104
 

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Huge mistake here. I meant take Margarito! Gheez
what a bone head I am. Very sorry.
 

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franks.

I figured that is what you were trying to say, no problem.
 
got mosley by stoppage the other day-185.....it`s -295 now....glad i moved.....i also took under 9 rounds for a smaller wager at +145...i don`t understand why you have to lay odds for a mosley stoppage and get odds for under 9 rounds?.....over 9 was like -190 or something....doesn`t make sense to me...i did a long write-up on this prop over at madjacks under gardenweasel...i really don`t feel up to repeating it....basically the mosley speed advantage,along with his recent forrest losses and forrest`s recent loss.....also the fact that every time marquez stepped up to the top echelon,he took a fearful beating....from f.vargas and a slow,over the hill yori boy campas...yori boy moved up from welterweight and beat up marquez...he`s easy to hit,lumps up and cuts....he`s slow...was out of boxing for over a year...came back for some non-descript wins and now gets a big money fight....mosely needs to look impressive at jr middle to get back into the pound for pound picture and build some enthusiasm for another de la hoya bout...with forrest`s loss,and this perfect opponent,i expect mosley to really be sharp and prove that he carries his power up to jr middleweight....marquez is slow and not a huge puncher....gets hit easily...mosely is faster than fast,hits harder, and is now squatting 500 lbs and benching 360....he walks around at 160....should make 154 easily and be very fresh and comfy at the weight....many think struggling to make 147 did him in vs forrest..this is a statement fight for mosely showing that he`s back and ready to return to his lofty pound for pound perch...sorry i didn`t post sooner(i posted a madjacks...could have sworn i posted here also)...this lost lots of value going from -185 to -295....also took under 9 rounds for a smaller wager at +145......g.l.
 

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Can still get Mosley by KO at Pinnacle for -143. Great price. This will keep going up the rest of the day. I took it Wednesday and mentioned it above at +104. It was -122 late last night.

Glad you are on Mosley, sphincter. I think this is a great bet and I also like the under (I think the money will come in on the under today as well so anyone else should bet early). Thanks for the info.
 

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I'm going with Mosley by decision +145, and under 9 rounds +136. Not a huge payoff, but
a nice safe bet to cash in a little. If as we
expext Shane knocks this guy out, it wins 36
cents for a buck. After I lost on Augustus
last nite, I need some redemption.
 

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Does Marquez have any shot tonight or is it safe to lay the 12-1 and bet the money line?
 

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I not sure if you are asking if it is safe to bet Mosley at -1200, but if so, no way. I think Mosley has this easily, but I would never bet -1200 on anything. There are so many things that can go wrong in the fight.

If you like Mosley take him to win by KO. An excellent bet at -140 at Pinnacle. Or if you want the bet Frank has above.

I am so against taking heavy chalk that I scalped out my Mosley bet I had at -600 (bet it early in the week with the intention to scalp right away, but waited as the line kept movien). Too much money to risk. I think -400 is as high as I would go. Maybe -600 if I had some info on a fix, because even fixes can go bad.

Just my 2 cents and I am no boxing expert compared to the people here, so maybe they will jump in.
 
not suggesting this to anyone...but,i also took a small wager on lewis+240 and margarito +195 by stoppage...a hedge...margarito not a huge banger...but he throws many punches and lewis will have to fight for 12 rounds....i think someone will get stopped....some of my boxing wagers tonight are a little chancy....went 2-0 last night....hope we don`t give it back....and,yes,although i would NEVER,EVER lay anything close to 12-1,i don`t think marquez has a prayer...mosley`s mind would have to be on another planet to lose this bout....
 

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push/cancel- no bet too bad because I had Mosely to win by ko and I believe he was on his way
 

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That is fair - what would have happened had the fight gone 4 rounds and then that happened?
 
I`M CURIOUS ABOUT THE PUSH ON THE UNDER 9 ROUNDS....IT WENT UNDER 9.....IF THIS HAD GONE TO A TECH DECISION FOR MOSLEY AFTER 4.WE LOSE THE MOSLEY STOPPAGE...THAT SUCKS...THESE SOB`S HAVE A HUGE ADVANTAGE.....THE FIGHT LASTED LESS THAN 9 ROUNDS.....WE SHOULD GET CREDIT.....BASTARDS....
 

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sphincter,

Not questioning you as I have much less experience, but this is always the way I have had them graded in the past. If their is no decision all bets are no action.

And as mention above I had the Under as well.
 
laker....you are right....it`s the 1st time it`s happened to me...just venting.......they do have an advantage(as always)......at least we pulled the margarito hedge out....lucky it didn`t go another couple rounds...those cuts were quite serious....get `em next week...
 

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Agree, sphincter. When the head butt happen it didn't look good for the KO bet.

I think most books didn't like the results tonight either. Those with balanced action got nothing from the Mosley fight despite taking tons of bets, and the first fight didn't go well for some books.

I had 10k in scalps on the Mosley fight. All that for nothing too, but it happens.

Lots of boxing coming in the coming months; am looking forward to it.
 

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Seymour, I missed your question the first time.

If it had been in the later rounds and it had to be stopped b/c of accidental head-butt (no matter when the head butts happen), the results are based on the judges scores at that time. So it wouldn't have been a KO. It would have been a decision.
 

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