Service Plays Wednesday 9/4/13

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Wednesday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's American League games:

Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros (-110, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Astros right-hander Jordan Lyles has surrendered five home runs over his last two starts.

Hot batting stat: Houston 2B Jose Altuve had as many hits in his first two games in September (seven) than he had in his final 11 games in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Twins are just 8-25 in their last 33 Wednesday games.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (+111, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers right-hander Yu Darvish is 4-2 with a 2.11 ERA and a league-leading 79 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: Athletics 3B Josh Donaldson hasn't been able to solve Darvish, going 1-for-8 with six strikeouts against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 13-3-1 in Darvish's last 17 starts.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Indians right-hander Zach McAllister was shelled in his previous outing against Detroit, surrendering five runs on six hits over 3 2/3 innings of a 7-2 loss.

Hot batting stat: Orioles SS J.J. Hardy has three hits, including a double and a homer, in six at-bats lifetime against McAllister.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: Cleveland is 1-5 in its last six games against a left-handed starter.

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (-182, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Yankees left-hander C.C. Sabathia is 28-16 lifetime in September, while his 2.83 ERA is the lowest of any month.

Cold batting stat: White Sox DH Adam Dunn is just 5-for-32 with 12 strikeouts against Sabathia.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: New York is 8-2 in its last 10 games with umpire Bruce Dreckman behind home plate.

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-129, 10)

Cold pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander Ryan Dempster has struggled at Fenway Park in 2013, going 5-7 with a 4.93 ERA in 17 starts there.

Hot batting stat: Members of the Boston roster are hitting a sizzling .370 with two homers in 46 career at-bats against Detroit starter Rick Porcello.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Detroit is 8-2 in Porcello's last 10 starts.

Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals (-168, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Royals right-hander Ervin Santana is 0-2 in his last five starts while surrendering five home runs over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: Mariners 3B Kyle Seager is 3-for-19 against Santana.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-0 in Seattle's last seven Wednesday games.

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels (-133, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Jeremy Hellickson is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in three starts and one relief appearance against the Angels.

Hot batting stat: Tampa Bay sluggers Evan Longoria, Ben Zobrist and James Loney are all hitting better than .330 lifetime against Los Angeles starter Jered Weaver.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under clear skies, Wind will blow out to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 12-2-2 in Hellickson's last 16 starts against the American League West.

Odds, stats, probable starters and weather forecast as of 7:30 p.m. ET Tuesday.
 
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Wednesday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's National League games:

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-160, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Dillon Gee limited the Braves to two hits over seven shutout innings in their last encounter back on July 22.

Cold batting stat: Braves 2B Dan Uggla has struggled against Gee over his career, recording just four hits while striking out five times in 26 at-bats.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 14-6 in New York's last 20 Wednesday games.

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs (-165, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija is 3-5 with a 4.70 ERA in 15 home starts.

Cold batting stat: Marlins OF Giancarlo Stanton is hitless in seven at-bats against Samardzija.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 11-2 in Samardzija's last 13 home starts.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-102, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Giants right-hander Tim Lincecum has dominated the Padres historically, going 12-6 with a 2.21 ERA and 192 strikeouts over 166 2/3 career innings.

Hot batting stat: Members of the San Francisco roster are hitting a combined .322 in 146 at-bats against Padres left-hander Eric Stults.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants are 3-13 in their last 16 Wednesday games.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (+119, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Jordan Zimmermann is just 2-5 with a 4.37 ERA in eight career starts against the Phillies.

Hot batting stat: Washington OF Bryce Harper has three hits, including a triple, in six career at-bats against Philadelphia right-hander Roy Halladay.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Washington is 20-7 in Zimmermann's last 27 starts against teams with losing records.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-118, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Cardinals rookie right-hander Shelby Miller is 5-6 in 13 starts away from Busch Stadium, with a 4.43 ERA and 10 home runs allowed over 69 innings.

Hot batting stat: Reds 2B Brandon Phillips has already surpassed his previous career high in RBIs (98) set in 2009.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The road team is 8-1 in umpire Tim Timmons' last nine games behind home plate.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (+140, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano silenced the St. Louis Cardinals in his last outing, holding them to two hits over eight shutout innings in a 5-0 victory.

Hot batting stat: Brewers OF Carlos Gomez has had Liriano's number, going 7-for-14 with a pair of homers lifetime against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 10-2 in Liriano's last 12 starts against teams with losing records.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies (-115, 10)

Hot pitching stat: Rockies left-hander Jorge De La Rosa has won his last five starts while allowing three or fewer runs in all of them.

Hot batting stat: Colorado C Wilin Rosario is 5-for-11 with a homer and seven RBIs against Dodgers starter Edinson Volquez this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The Rockies are 1-10 in De La Rosa's last 11 starts against Los Angeles.

Toronto Blue Jays at Arizona Diamondbacks (-130, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Blue Jays left-hander Mark Buehrle is 6-1 with a 2.14 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: Diamondbacks 2B Aaron Hill has just four hits in 24 career at-bats versus Buehrle.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-100s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Arizona has won 13 of its last 16 interleague games against a left-handed starter.

Odds, stats, probable starters and weather forecast as of 7:45 p.m. ET Tuesday.
 
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Football lines that make you go hmmm...
By JASON LOGAN

The term “Bulletin Board Material” has always stuck in my craw.

Why can’t a player be confident enough in himself and his team to say things like, “I don’t think they have anybody to stop me - for real” and not be held over the coals for it?

If I were a coach, I’d want my guys feeling like no one can stop them. And if I’m a bettor, I’d want my wager riding on a dude with that much bravado.

The above quote comes from Buffalo Bills WR Stevie Johnson, and the “they” he’s talking about are the New England Patriots.

Johnson might even be right. New England may not have anyone that can stop him. But the tricky thing about receivers is that they first need someone to throw them the ball. And that’s where Johnson’s comments and the 50-point total for Week 1’s matchup get a little confusing.

The Bills will hand the ball to a rookie passer versus the Patriots, either undrafted free-agent Jeff Tuel or dinged-up first-round pick E.J. Manuel, who is questionable with a knee injury. Neither player is striking fear in the cold, dark heart of Bill Belichick.

If these teams are going to top that 50-point total – the third-highest number on the Week 1 board – New England is going to have to do all the heavy lifting.

The Patriots were the best over bet in football last season but are without four of their top five receivers from 2012. And if the preseason is any indication, Tom Brady could have his work cut out for him this year.

Fifty-point totals could be a thing of the past for the Pats.

NFL

Perhaps the one Week 1 spread that has kept NFL bettors up at night the most is the 9.5-point line for Thursday’s season opener between the Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos.

It’s the exact same spread bettors tangled with when these two teams played in the AFC Divisional Round back in January, with Baltimore winning 38-35 in Denver.

Sure, the Ravens lost some key components and the magic from that Super Bowl could be all dried up, but a championship should buy a little respect from the bookmakers. Bettors certainly have had their say with the early line, taking it as low as a touchdown at some spots.

A let’s not forget the crappy offseason the Broncos had: Numerous black eyes for the front office, injuries to the offensive line, and a six-game suspension for the team’s top pass rusher.

If you don’t think these dark clouds can disrupt an entire season, talk to the New Orleans Saints.

NCAAF

The Northwestern Wildcats came back from a Week 1 trip to California with a lot more baggage, in the form of ice packs and crutches.

The Wildcats took an ugly 44-30 win over Cal last Saturday, needing two long INT-return touchdowns from Collin Ellis to overcome injuries to starting QB Kain Colter (concussion) and RB Venric Mark as well as CBs Matthew Harris and Daniel Jones, who is out for the year after suffering a knee injury.

Colter is questionable for Saturday’s home showdown with Syracuse but oddsmakers have still tabbed banged-up NU as a 12-point favorite in Week 2.

The Orange gave Penn State a good fight in Week 1, losing 23-17 but covering as 8-point dogs at MetLife Stadium, and looked solid on defense. This spread will surely move up or down depending on Colter’s status.
 
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Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Washington Huskies (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

The Huskies showed signs of greatness last season, with upset wins over Top 25 teams Stanford and Oregon State. The season ended with a disappointing loss to Boise State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Washington avenged that loss in emphatic fashion in Week 1, blowing out the No. 19 ranked Broncos at Husky Stadium.

Bishop Sankey ran for 161 yards and a pair of scores on 25 carries and Keith Price completed 23 of 31 passes for 324 yards and a pair of touchdowns. If the Huskies continue to play like this, they are going to be tough to beat.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)

The Buckeyes won big over Buffalo in Week 1, but coach Urban Meyer wasn't happy with the way his team played in the second half. With OSU clinging to a 10-point lead in the third quarter, Braxton Miller fumbled on his own 1-yard line but fortunately for Ohio State, it was nullified by a penalty.

The Buckeyes are going to have to be better against tougher opponents and Urban Meyer knows it.

"And then we rough a punter, and we have a fourth down (play) we don't make and then we throw a screen and it goes the other way,” he told the media. “In a tight game, you're going to lose."

Unranked team that should be ranked: Baylor Bears (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

The Bears had the top offense in the country in 2012 (total yards) and they scored 69 points in a Week 1 blowout over Wofford. What's even more impressive is that their defense, which couldn't stop anyone a season ago, limited the Terriers to just three points.

The Bears have a light schedule through the next two months, with six straight games against unranked teams.
 

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[h=1]Moreno to make an impact[/h]
  • By: David John
  • Last Updated: September 3 2013, 12:36 BST

[h=2]David John is tipping a touchdown anytime for Knowshon Moreno when Denver host Baltimore on Thursday night.[/h]
Knowshon-Moreno-v-Baltimore_2997672.jpg

Knowshon Moreno: Fancied to score a touchdown

Let's face it, it doesn't take much to get the blood pumping for the NFL season-opener as Denver host Baltimore on Thursday night.
Giant American flags, jets flying over and a rousing rendition of the Star Spangled Banner will set the tone but this is a rematch that needs little in the way of an introduction after their epic play-off clash back in January.


  • sui.gif
    2pts Knowshon Moreno to score a touchdown anytime v Baltimore at 11/4 - Looks the pick of the Denver backfield currently and a potential scorer

On that occasion, the visitors came out on top in a wild 38-35 success on the way to Super Bowl glory as they bested the heavily-favoured Broncos in frigid conditions in a game that took over four hours to reach a conclusion.
Both teams have tried to play down the significance of the encounter on the back of the last meeting with both keen to stress the slate is clean as a fresh campaign gets under way.
Denver feel they will not gain a significant advantage in terms of motivation by seeking revenge. The Ravens know January's win gives them little in terms of psychological one-upmanship.
Who are they kidding? Controlling emotion and execution will be key as Denver try and justify the tag of 8.5-point favourites against a rival that revels in being an underdog.
Baltimore went from Denver on the road again to New England and won there to book their ticket to the big dance last season and running back Ray Rice feels it is a role they are accustomed to.
He said: "We just find a way to win games, that is the kind of football team we are. I think we have embraced being the villains at times."
The attitude is clearly right but whether that is still enough to overcome losing no less than six starters on defense to retirement and free agency at such an early stage of the season remains to be seen.
Quarterback Joe Flacco has been handsomely rewarded for the team's Super Bowl heroics and a lot is going to rest on his shoulders with a useful rather than super-talented receiving corps this season that has already been stripped of Dennis Pitta due to a dislocated hip.
Opposite number Peyton Manning can perhaps feel a little hard done by as it was a couple of defensive howlers back in January that let the chance of a second Super Bowl slip through his fingers.
He remains arguably the best around at the position and I fully expect him to hit the ground running, unlike last year when he needed half a dozen games to find his rhythm following a year out and a number of procedures on an injured neck.
I would be inclined to give the hosts the nod on the spread but a more profitable angle could be running back Knowshon Moreno to score a touchdown at anytime.
Moreno has not really lived up to expectations but he did finish last season in stronger form - strong enough to give him the nod here over rookie Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman.
Ball is still easing his way into the pro ranks while Hillman has had ball security issues during the pre-season, coughing up the rock three times.
Moreno is the best blocker of the three on passing plays and head coach John Fox may well opt to give him the lion's share of the touches - his price has been trimmed already but 11/4 still looks a viable option.
 

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Matt Cronin's Day 10 picks

b_02SEP13_10162_Tipsarevic_Ferrer_Andrew.jpg







By Matt Cronin
Wednesday, September 4, 2013
MEN’S QUARTERFINALS
No. 2 Rafael Nadal vs. No. 19 Tommy Robredo
Credit to Robredo for playing super steady and being advantageous in his upset of Roger Federer in the last round, but the Swiss played way below his level – in truth, it did not take the Spaniard’s best to be able to win the contest. His finest form and even more will be necessary here, because fellow Spaniard Nadal is 6-0 against Robredo.
Nadal is playing very well and is rarely wild. In order to be able to beat the world No.2, a man has to be able to hit through him, and Robredo does not have enough firepower to do that on a consistent basis.
In the fourth round, Philipp Kohlschreiber did an excellent job of pulling Nadal off the court with heavy slice serves to his backhand and then hitting to openings. Once Nadal began to step further inside the court when returning in the last three sets, however, and worked the points until he could get a forehand he could rip, the contest was all but decided. Nadal put on a serving clinic, as he was not broken once in the match, primarily because his sliced serve to the German’s one-handed backhand was tremendously effective – it was nearly impossible for Kohlschreiber to get a good hit on it, and Nadal was able to batter his weak replies with his forehand.
Robredo does not return or serve better than Kohlschreiber, plus he doesn't produce any more power from the backcourt, either. He’s experienced and savvy, but that won’t be enough against one of the greatest players ever, who is on a big-time roll on hard courts. Take Nadal in straight sets.
No. 4 David Ferrer vs. No. 8 Richard Gasquet
Both these men survived marathon victories in the round of 16, Ferrer in nearly four hours over No. 18 Janko Tipsarevic in four sets and Gasquet in four hours and 40 minutes in five sets over No. 10 Milos Raonic. Comparing their four matches here, Ferrer has only been on court only one more minute than the Frenchman, logging 11 hours, 25 minutes. So even though Gasquet played later into the evening than Ferrer did on Monday, the overall wear on their wheels is about dead-even.
Here’s what is not: Their head-to-head record, which is 8-1 for Ferrer, who has won 18 of their 20 sets including a straight-sets victory over the Gasquet last year in New York. The 31-year-old Spaniard is faster than Gasquet is, has a more intimidating forehand and a more consistent return, and rarely seems to tire. He does not have Gasquet’s flair, and rarely gets fans to their feet after constructing a master class of a point, but he will get folks courtside jumping up and down after he digs out six or seven near impossible gets in a row.
Gasquet should be able to make this match close if he plays smart and patiently and does not hit himself off the court. Let’s assume he will for a set, given that he has reached only his second career Grand Slam quarterfinal and will be fired up, but Ferrer will move past him in four sets and reach the US Open semifinals once again.
WOMEN’S QUARTERFINALS
No. 2 Victoria Azarenka vs. Daniela Hantuchova
Azarenka offered much praise about Hantuchova when asked about their impending clash, perhaps recalling the first two times they faced off, both of which were impressive victories for the Slovak. But Hantuchova’s last win over the Belarusian came in 2011, and that was before Vika’s transformation into a Slam-winning frontrunner, a two-time defending Australian Open champion and owner of a 29-1 record on hard courts in this 2013 season.
Hantuchova is still a very capable player at the age of 30. She’s serving huge in the tournament, isn't overplaying her hand from inside the baseline and seems to have a good idea of what her limitations are. Yet she has played no one even close to as good as Azarenka yet. Though the 24-year-old has struggled in her last two matches, Azarenka is pretty resourceful and has stepped up when called upon. Azarenka has not been very effective when serving, but her return game is at an “A” level and she consistently breaking her opponents. She has not been errorless from inside the baseline, but she hasn't needed to be yet.
The only way Hantuchova can win this match is if Azarenka’s forehand begins to break down early, or if she isn't hitting her spots with her serve, or loses her temper and implodes. Hantuchova is bound to play ambitiously and fight (she leads active players with 260 three set matches played and is willing to keep battling), but Azarenka is due for stellar performance and she’ll take this in straight sets.
No. 10 Roberta Vinci vs. Flavia Pennetta
These two Italians were roommates for four years when they were kids, with Pennetta saying that Vinci is “like her sister.” So don’t expect the same type of intensity level that they might show if they were going up against other foes. Sure there will be cries of “forza!” but these two respect one another and don’t want to offend the other player.
That said, this could be a terrific contest. Their head-to-head record is even at 4-4, and it will be a good contrast of styles and personalities. Vinci plays with more spin and aims to trip her foes up, while Pennetta is a more straightforward player who attacks when given opportunities. When’s she’s feeling confident in her defense, she will play steady until she gets the right ball to make a move on.
Pennetta has struggled since returning from wrist surgery but has picked it up in New York, the Grand Slam where she has had the most success. Two years ago she ran Maria Sharapova into the ground in the third round and was favored going into her quarterfinal against the then-unproven Angelique Kerber, but let the contest slip away in the third set.
This is just as good as opportunity for Pennetta as that contest was. She won’t be the favorite here, as Vinci is competent, resourceful and also is a member of the US Open’s “Final Eight Club,” knocking off Agnieszka Radwanska and Dominika Cibulkova in 2012 before falling to her doubles partner, Sara Errani, at this hurdle. The former Top 10 player Pennetta appears overdue for a semifinal and will win this match deep in the third set.
 

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Baseball Crusher
Texas Rangers + Oakland Athletics UNDER 7
(System Record: 73-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 73-78-2
 

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Soccer Crusher
Bahia + Cruzeiro UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 449-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 449-389-59
 
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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Gee is 3-1, 2.36 in his last six starts.
-- Samardzija is 2-0, 3.04 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 2.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Arroyo is 4-1, 3.86 in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 3-1, 1.61 in his last four starts.
-- de la Rosa is 4-0, 3.42 in his last four starts.

-- Buehrle is 6-0, 1.92 in his last eight starts. Delgado is 0-1, 2.77 in his last two starts.

-- Lyles is 2-1, 3.54 in his last three starts.
-- Parker is 4-0, 2.23 in his last six starts. Darvish is 3-1, 2.51 in his last six.
-- McCallister is 3-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello is 7-1, 3.36 in his last ten starts.
-- Walker won his first MLB start, allowing one run in five IP.
-- Weaver won his last two starts, allowing one run in 14 IP.

Cold pitchers
-- Loe has started 47 big league games (Texas) but last one was in '07; he has a 33-42, 4.48 career record. He's allowed eight runs in 11 big league IP this year, and was 4-4, 3.07 in ten AAA starts this year.
-- Lefty Flynn is making MLB debut; he was 7-12 in minors this year, but his ERA was 2.63 (145 hits/161 IP).
-- Stults is 0-5, 6.04 in his last eight starts.
-- Zimmerman is 1-2, 5.76 in his last three starts. Halladay has a 5.73 RA in two starts since coming off the DL.
-- Miller is 1-2, 5.16 in his last four starts.
-- Peralta is 0-3, 5.02 in his last four starts.
-- Volquez was 1-2, 10.13 in his last four starts for San Diego; this is his first start for the Dodgers.

-- Hendriks is 1-2, 5.54 in five starts this season.
-- Sabathia is 3-5, 7.71 in his last ten starts. Johnson is making MLB debut; he was 12-3, 1.96 in 24 starts in minors this season.
-- Britton is 1-2, 4.76 in his last four starts, last of which was July 9.
-- Dempster is 1-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.
-- Santana is 0-2, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Hellickson is 0-5, 9.00 in his last six starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Gee 5-27 (1 of last 12); Loe 0-0
-- Flynn 0-0; Samardzija 7-28 (1 of last 9)
-- Lincecum 9-27 (0 of last 7); Stults 9-28
-- Zimmerman 5-27; Halladay 5-9 (4 of last 4)
-- Miller 7-25; Arroyo 5-27
-- Liriano 5-21; Peralta 4-28 (0 of last 15)
-- Volquez 10-27 (3 of last 4); de la Rosa 4-27 (1 of last 18)

-- Buehrle 6-28 (0 of last 5); Delgado 5-14

-- Hendriks 2-5; Lyles 7-21
-- Darvish 7-25 (0 of last 4); Parker 8-27 (0 of last 6)
-- Johnson 0-0; Sabathia 8-28
-- Britton 1-6; McCallister 5-19 (0 of last 7)
-- Porcello 5-25; Dempster 8-25 (0 of last 4)
-- Walker 0-1; Santana 12-28 (5 of last 10)
-- Hellickson 11-27 (3 of last 3); Weaver 3-20 (1 of last 16)

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven St Louis road games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Milwaukee games.
-- Seven of last nine Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Last four games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Washington games.

-- 16 of last 21 Toronto games stayed under the total.

-- Four of last five Bronx games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota games, seven of last nine Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Last four Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Angel games.

Hot teams
-- Atlanta won seven of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers won 10 of their last 13 games. Colorado is 10-4 in its last 14 games at Coors Field.
-- Phillies won five of their last six home games.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.

-- Toronto won six of its last eight games.

-- Bronx won ten of its last fifteen games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games; Detroit won four of last five.
-- Royals won seven of their last nine games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost three of their last four games.
-- St Louis lost four of its last five games. Reds are 3-5 in their last eight.
-- Mets lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Milwaukee lost seven of its last eight home games.
-- Marlins lost ten of their last 13 games. Cubs lost nine of last 13.
-- San Diego lost five of its last seven games. Giants are 6-9 in their last 15.

-- Arizona lost four of its last five games.

-- White Sox lost their last four games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Twins lost six of their last eight games. Houston lost seven of last nine.
-- Indians lost six of their last seven games. Orioles lost seven of their last ten away games.
-- Rangers lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last nine games.

Umpires
-- Wsh-Phil-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Conroy games.
-- StL-Cin-- Last six Timmons games went over the total.
-- NY-Atl-- Home teams won last six Bell games.
-- Mia-Chi-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Hickox games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Reynolds games.
-- LA-Col-- Nine of last eleven Gorman games stayed under.
-- SF-SD-- Favorites won seven of last nine Baker games.

-- Tor-Az-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Layne games.

-- Balt-Clev-- Home teams won last seven Dimuro games.
-- Chi-NY-- Underdogs won five of last six Dreckman games.
-- Det-Bos-- Over is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Kellogg games.
-- Sea-KC-- Underdogs won 11 of last 15 Cederstrom games, with last three staying under the total.
-- Min-Hst-- Seven of last ten Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- TB-LA-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Tichenor games.
-- Tex-A's-- Six of last seven Kulpa games stayed under the total.
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Tampa Bay at LA Angels[/h] The Rays look to follow up last night's 7-1 win and build on their 18-6 record in Jeremy Hellickson's last 24 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tampa Bay is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: NY Mets at Atlanta (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.863; Atlanta (Loe) 14.920
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over
Game 903-904: Miami at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Flynn) 13.549; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.122
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+145); N/A
Game 905-906: San Francisco at San Diego (6:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Lincecum) 14.507; San Diego (Stults) 15.966
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over
Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 13.971; Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.861
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Under
Game 909-910: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.753; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.872
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); Over
Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.675; Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.199
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); Under
Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Volquez) 16.267; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.731
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Over
Game 915-916: Minnesota at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 13.479; Houston (Lyles) 14.258
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Under
Game 917-918: Texas at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.005; Oakland (Parker) 16.178
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Over
Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Johnson) 15.040; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.450
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-185); Under
Game 921-922: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 15.866; Cleveland (McAllister) 14.922
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Under
Game 923-924: Detroit at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.122; Boston (Dempster) 17.565
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Over
Game 925-926: Seattle at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Walker) 13.982; Kansas City (Santana) 16.140
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-170); Over
Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.862; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.858
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Under
Game 929-930: Toronto at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.649; Arizona (Delgado) 13.082
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Under
 
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