Service Plays Wednesday 9/3/08

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theRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays post, but some do. If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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SCOTT FERRALL

BEST IN BOLD

DICE K and Boston -220 over Baltimore

ChiSox -130 at Cleveland--Vazquez over Sowers

LA -220 over SD

Chicago Cubs -240 over Houston

Philly -155 at Washington--Blanton wins

Cincy -205 over Pittsburgh-Volquez over Olendorf
 

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Sports Advisors

NATIONAL LEAGUE

N.Y. Mets (78-61) at Milwaukee (80-58)

The Mets try for the three-game sweep at Miller Park when they hand the ball to Oliver Perez (9-7, 3.90 ERA) in an afternoon affair, while the Brewers counter with Dave Bush (9-9, 4.12).

After rallying for a 4-2 victory on Monday, New York blew a 5-0 lead last night, but pulled out a 6-5 win in 11 innings, improving to 36-17 in its last 53 games to remain two games clear of Philadelphia in the N.L. East race. Additionally, the Mets are on runs of 5-1 on the road, 10-2 against right-handed starters, 10-3 on Wednesdays and 8-1 when Perez faces winning teams.

Despite losing the last two nights, the Brewers are still on positive streaks of 20-9 overall, 9-3 at home, 4-1 after a loss, 23-9 against lefty starters overall, 42-17 against lefties at home and 10-4 on Wednesdays. Also, Milwaukee is 5-0 in Bush’s last five starts overall, 6-1 in his last seven versus the N.L. East and 16-5 in his last 21 at home.

New York holds a slim 3-2 edge in the season series but has won 11 of its last 15 games at Miller Park.

Perez has delivered a quality start – at least six innings pitched and three earned runs or fewer allowed – in 10 of his last 12 outings, with New York going 9-3 during this run. That includes Friday’s 5-4 come-from-behind win at Florida, with Perez getting a no-decision after yielding two runs (one earned) in six innings. The southpaw is now 5-5 with a 4.01 ERA in 15 road starts.

Bush has been equally tough as late, registering five consecutive quality outings in going 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA. On Friday at Pittsburgh, Bush gave up just a single run on six hits over 6 2/3 innings en route to a 3-1 victory. It was the fifth time in his last nine starts that the right-hander has allowed just one run, and Milwaukee is 8-1 in his last nine outings (5-0 in the last five). At home, Bush is 6-3 with a 3.21 ERA.

Perez is 3-1 despite a hefty 5.09 ERA in eight career starts against Milwaukee, including a 9-7 home loss on April 13 when he gave up six runs in 4 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Bush has faced New York just once, and that was back in 2006 when he gave up four runs (three earned) in six innings of a 9-6 victory.

The over is 4-0-1 in Bush’s last five starts overall, 7-2 in Perez’s last nine against the N.L. East and 41-18-5 in the last 64 series meetings between these teams, including 11-2-1 in Milwaukee.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
======================================================

AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (74-64) at Tampa Bay (84-52)

The resurgent Carl Pavano (2-0, 3.27) takes the ball for the Yankees for the third time this season when he opposes the Rays and Edwin Jackson (11-8, 3.81) in the middle game of this three-game set between A.L. East rivals at Tropicana Field.

New York cruised to a 7-2 win at Tampa Bay on Tuesday, but still trails the first-place Rays by 11 games in the A.L. East and wild-card-leading Boston by 6½ games. The Yankees have won five straight on the road, scoring 42 runs in the five contests. Also, New York is 47-18 in its last 65 games on Wednesday.

Tampa Bay had a five-game winning streak snapped last night, and its lead over Boston in the A.L. East is down to four games. The Rays are still on impressive runs of 48-13 at home, 55-26 against right-handed starters, 36-18 against winning teams, 5-1 versus A.L. East rivals and 5-1 on Wednesdays.

New York has now won eight of the last 11 meetings with the Rays, including the last three in a row.

Pavano, who made just two big-league starts for the Yankees from June 2005 until late August 2008, has now matched that total in the last 10 days. He beat the Orioles 5-3 on Aug. 23, giving up three runs on seven hits in five innings, then shut down Toronto on Friday at home, surrendering a run on three hits in six innings of a 2-1 victory.

In two starts against the Rays in a Yankee uniform, the oft-injured Pavano has given up a total of 10 runs (nine earned) on 12 hits (three home runs) in 11 innings, with New York wining 9-5 at home in 2007 and losing 5-3 in Tampa in 2005.

Jackson has been money lately, posting a 1.73 ERA in his last four starts, allowing a combined five runs in 26 innings. In Thursday’s 3-2 home win over Toronto, the right-hander yielded a run on six hits in seven innings, as Tampa moved to 6-1 in Jackson’s last seven outings. He’s now 5-5 with a 4.35 ERA in 13 home starts.

Jackson has already faced the Yankees four times this season, going 1-1 with a 2.59 ERA while allowing one run or fewer in three of the four outings. Over the last two years, Jackson is 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA in 11 games (seven starts) against New York.

Although Tuesday’s game barley went over the total, the under is still 10-2 in the last 12 series clashes, including 5-1 in the last six meetings at the Trop and 4-0 in Jackson’s four outings against New York this season. Also, the under is on streaks of 4-1-1 with Pavano pitching overall (2-0 this year), 5-0-1 when Pavano stats on the road, 13-5 when Jackson pitches at home and 4-1 when Jackson faces the A.L. East. However, the over is 7-2 in New York’s last nine games overall and 6-2 in Tampa’s last eight overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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Sports Gambling Hotline

NY Mets at MILWAUKEE

Afternoon UNDER at Miller Park today as the Mets, and the Brewers get themselves involved in a pitchers duel.

Last night's extra-inning game did slip OVER the posted total, but New York has still be UNDER in 3 of their last 4, while Milwaukee has stayed LOW in 3 of their last 5.

Oliver Perez is coming off a 6 inning, 1 run start against the Marlins, while his counterpart Dave Bush has thrown 21 innings of 6 run ball his last 3 starts.

Bush's home ERA is just over 3, while Perez sports a road ERA just over 4. We are going to play this one UNDER the posted total, as we see a definite pitcher's duel emerging.

Play on the Under for 1 Unit
 

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Chris Jordan

Pittsburgh at CINCINNATI

We play the Over in the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati contest tonight.

List both pitchers and watch this one soar into double digits. There are plenty of numbers backing this move, as Pittsburgh’s Zach Duke is 0-5 on the road this season and has a 5.72 ERA to go with that record. Plus, nine of his 12 road starts have gone over the posted number. On the flipside, while Edinson Volquez is 8-2 in 11 home starts, nine of those games have gotten past the number. Whether or not that’s because he’s giving up the runs is irrelevant, as the totals are certainly soaring.

Duke has lost three straight and has given up a combined 12 earned runs in those games, while Volquez has yielded nine earned runs over 11 innings in his last two starts. And with Volquez aboard the rubber, the Reds are on Over runs of 8-0 at home, 10-1 overall and 7-1 when he’s facig the NL Central. Even further, these two came into this series on a 10-2 over run when they play in Cincinnati. This one should have no issue getting up there tonight.

3* Over
 

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Karl Garrett

Seattle -120 at TEXAS

Afternoon winner today on the Mariners over the Rangers.

Seattle did have their 4 game winning streak snapped last night, but the do have Felix Hernandez on the mound for today's game, and Hernandez has won his last pair of starts to move to 9-8 on the year.

Dustin Nippert will counter for the slumping Texas Rangers. Even with last night's win, Texas has still dropped 4 of their last 6, and Nippert has yet to win in his two starts this season.

Nippert has lasted just 9 innings, and has allowed 10 runs to cross.

Seattle's bats have been swinging hot lately, and I don't see Nippert cooling them off today.

Take Seattle minus the small road chalk.

4* SEATTLE
 

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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Washington

The Nats send Odalis Perez to the hill against Joe Blanton and the Phillies in a game that has upset written all over it. For openers, Perez has cashd in 6 of his 9 career team starts against Philadelphia, winning each of his last three home efforts while posting a microscopic 0.38 ERA at home in those games against today's visitors. On the flip side, Blanton is 2-11 on the road on Wednesday in his MLB career with a 7.32 ERA. With Perez' 2.57 ERA at home this season more than three full runs better than his 5.66 road ERA and Blanton owning a lousy 5.28 ERA on the road this year, we have no problem whatsoever staying at home with the Nationals tonight.
 

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Jimmy The Moose

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

The Angels beat the Tigers again last night and will take another one tonight. LA is 28-13 in their last 41 games played on grass. The Angels are 6-2 in Garland's last 8 starts. The Angels have won 5 of his last 7 road starts. In Garland's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record the Angels are 5-1. The Tigers have now lost 7 of their last 9 games. Detroit is 2-5 in Miner's last 7 home starts. The Tigers are 15-42 in the last 57 meetings between the clubs. LA is 18-8 in their last 26 trips to Detroit. Play on the Angels -.
 

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Chris Jordan

Pittsburgh at CINCINNATI

We play the Over in the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati contest tonight.

List both pitchers and watch this one soar into double digits. There are plenty of numbers backing this move, as Pittsburgh’s Zach Duke is 0-5 on the road this season and has a 5.72 ERA to go with that record. Plus, nine of his 12 road starts have gone over the posted number. On the flipside, while Edinson Volquez is 8-2 in 11 home starts, nine of those games have gotten past the number. Whether or not that’s because he’s giving up the runs is irrelevant, as the totals are certainly soaring.

Duke has lost three straight and has given up a combined 12 earned runs in those games, while Volquez has yielded nine earned runs over 11 innings in his last two starts. And with Volquez aboard the rubber, the Reds are on Over runs of 8-0 at home, 10-1 overall and 7-1 when he’s facig the NL Central. Even further, these two came into this series on a 10-2 over run when they play in Cincinnati. This one should have no issue getting up there tonight.

3* Over


PIT. SP is the recently acquired Ross Ohlendorf. First appearance with the Pirates. He spent August in AAA ball showing nothing impressive.
 

Dr. Bob who?
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Updated tout winning percentages:

Jefferson Sports - 46.5%

Mighty Quinn - 75%

Winners Inc - 70%

The Hitman - 26.5% (Great fade material)

Millionaires Club - 79% (They actually lost their only play yesterday although I still question whether that play was ever released)

Big Al - 38%
 

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tue recap

thanks for update on lang and ic's record- had other record probably because his plays were unposted on monday




SCOTT FERRALL 5-1
EZWINNERS MLB 2-0
Hondo 2-0
TOTALS 4 U 3-0
Yankee Capper 3-1
teddy covers 2-0
Mike Rose 4-1
Frank Rosenthal 4-2
Charlies Sports 4-2 hit *500
akmens 2-1
lt profits 2-1

1-0

ANTHONY CAPONE
nsa
hsw
winners inc
hammer
gina
MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY
The Experts Guaranteed Selections
BOOKIE PAYS YOU
TOM FREESE
PowerPlaywins
black magic sports
MIKE WYNN
DAVE MALINSKY
JEFFERSONSPORTS
MICHAEL CANNON
ARTHUR RALPH
lvtr
MIGHTY QUINN
Jim Feist
Jimmy The Moose
Bobby Maxwell

others

armvin 1-1
burns 1-1
kelso 0-1
fairway 1-2
ness 0-3
rynning 0-1
lang 1-1
balfe 0-1

last 4 days

lang 11-3
bob balfe 8-2
kelso 6-2
beatyourbookie 7-1 (no plays tue?)
Charlies Sports 14-8
armvin 5-1
teddy covers 3-0


:toast:
 
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Hondo

Hondo doubled his pleasure last night when he connected with the Yankees New York Yankees and Indians to boost his bulging bankroll to 665 beardens.

Today, he'll go with the White Sox against risky Sowers - 10 units on Vazquez.
 
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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty split with the Mets and White Sox Tuesday night.
Wednesday it's the Mets. The surplus is 435 sirignanos.
 

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