INDIAN COWBOY
Magic -3.5 (POD)
You got the play yesterday so you should have gotten a proper line.
I've already released a play on this game, and yesterday I took the Celts rather than take the under which was my other lean, but today, I am not likely to do that and take both the side and the total of this game. Do you know why Detroit has covered the last 3 of 4 and the last 2 ballgames these 2 teams have played,it is because those 4 ballgames at Detroit, this series is going to be much different in Orlando and there is a reason why I left yesterday's thoughts on the Detroit vs. Orlando up as this series would be drastically different as the Magic were cheated out of Game 2 in my opinion, after all, I am still upset at that call as this team deserves to have had a better chance to win that game as they played exceptionally well as they did not cover, although the game did go over, but they could have won that game outright. Why do I feel bad for the Magic? Well, this team was swept last year by the Pistons and have lost 6 straight playoff games to them, heck, that is why they blew them out in the first game of the season against the Pistons at home as they had a great deal of revenge from that playoff series sweep that they faced. Look for the Magic to do well today as they are rightfully favored. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Pistons are 0-5 ATS as small dogs of 0-5 points.
Giants +124
I would love to give a long and elaborate write-up, but given that I have several other plays to write and want to get ahead for the research in the upcoming days to get the plays out earlier for better lines, this will be relatively short and sweet. I will tack on the research that I put on the website today so that it will give additional insight into the play. Long story short here, I want to take a shot on Zito after his embarassing reassignment back down to triple AAA after his horrible 0-6 start as the Giants hope that a little embarassment will get the once start to have a solid outing today. There is no reason why the Pirates and Dour should be favored today, so I will take the dog price as it has solid value as I am betting on the pride of Zito to finally have a quality start today:
Zito is 0-6 with a 7+ ERA. The guy is simply horrible. However, he was sent back down to triple AAA in an embarassing move for the gent that this team shelved out incredible amount of money for him to be their pitcher of the future as he was throwing gas balls. Got to love the A's for getting rid of him and putting up some young guns, heck, they have now even recycled Haren and now have Greg Smith to replace him as they have kept a good throwing hurler like Blanton as well. Does Zito take the sending back down to triple AAA to heart and show up against the lowly Pirates today? Dumatrait had a 9 ERA in his last start but received 11 runs of total offense last time out. Look, I'm no fan of Zito, but he had to take the fact he was a proud pitcher that got sent back down to triple a, the highest paid pitcher to do so likely for a reassignment for absolutely being terrible. I might take a shot on the pride of Zito today at the dog price
Nationals +163
Long story short, great value on the Nats today with the better pitcher. Here was the research that I placed on the website: Perez has pitched 6 of 7 quality starts and he has yet to pick up a win because Washington cannot score a run worth a lick. But Perez has pitched in 5 straight unders to his credit, Oswalt has been steadily giving up 3 runs in 6 innings, but he needs a dominating home start as he has a 7.41 ERA at home surprisingly, maybe the ol' man is losing his speed? who knows? But, I do like him stepping up at home today against a ballclub that scores 3.97 runs per game. I don't like the under 8.5 very much but there is value here and heck, there is even great value on Washington today as they actually have the more consistent pithcer on the mound.
Cards/Rockies Under 9
Great price here on the Cards with a pitcher that is 3-1 with a 2.6 ERA. He didn't pick up a win in his last ballgame out although wain went a little more than 6 inns and gavce up just 1 run. Francis got spanked in his last start by the Dodgers, he is on a bounce-back, helped the Rockies win both games against the Cards last year with a 2.57 and 2.35 ERA both times, this has the under written over it today as Wain is 3-1-1 to the under of late as well. Thus, long story short here, you can get an opportunity to take a pitcher that has pitched very consistently on the road and at home not to mention Francis who has historically pithced well against the Cards that comes off his worst start of the year, look for the Under in Coors today.
Diamondbacks RL +146
s you know I don't do the RL very often, but I did do the A's RL a while back at +133 with sound success and the RL makes a great deal of sense today. Kendrick is 2-1 with a 6.05 ERA on the road this year and Owings comes off back to back horrible starts including a start against the Mets where he got absolutely spanked as he gave up a season high 11 hits in less than 6 innings and 7 runs to boot. This is great value on the Dbacks today in my opinion facing a young pitcher in Kendrick who struggles on the road and Owings on the bounce-back here. Dbacks were averaging 6 runs per ballgame just recently so I will take them on the RL here givcen value at nearly a dollar and a half.
