Nick Parsons NHL Pick for Wednesday!
Play ON Detroit Red Wings $ line (-) @ Dallas @ 8:05 ET Unbelievably both of the conference finals currently sit at three games to none and the favorite has grabbed the cash in every single game. Where does that leave us tonight? It means that its the perfect time to lay some chalk and look for the Red Wings to close out the Stars. Detroit has been so dominant in this series that the Stars have never even held the lead in a game. As for the mindset of Dallas, it certainly doesnt sound good. The players are simply talking about playing for pride and trying to send the series back to Detroit for another game. That said, theres little left to play for when, as a club, you feel like you have no chance to come back and win a series. Making matters worse for the Stars is the current injury situation as they have a number of banged up players and a number of players who are out too. This is in stark contrast to a Red Wings team that seems to hardly have broken a sweat in dismantling the Stars so far in this series. As you can see by the line posted on this game, the odds maker seems to be agreeing with the Stars own assessment and that is that Dallas is merely playing for pride here and that is not often conducive to coming up with an upset win against a team that is playing with a ton of confidence. That said, this series should be over as of Wednesday night so lay the price with Detroit.
Play ON Detroit Red Wings $ line (-) @ Dallas @ 8:05 ET Unbelievably both of the conference finals currently sit at three games to none and the favorite has grabbed the cash in every single game. Where does that leave us tonight? It means that its the perfect time to lay some chalk and look for the Red Wings to close out the Stars. Detroit has been so dominant in this series that the Stars have never even held the lead in a game. As for the mindset of Dallas, it certainly doesnt sound good. The players are simply talking about playing for pride and trying to send the series back to Detroit for another game. That said, theres little left to play for when, as a club, you feel like you have no chance to come back and win a series. Making matters worse for the Stars is the current injury situation as they have a number of banged up players and a number of players who are out too. This is in stark contrast to a Red Wings team that seems to hardly have broken a sweat in dismantling the Stars so far in this series. As you can see by the line posted on this game, the odds maker seems to be agreeing with the Stars own assessment and that is that Dallas is merely playing for pride here and that is not often conducive to coming up with an upset win against a team that is playing with a ton of confidence. That said, this series should be over as of Wednesday night so lay the price with Detroit.
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8.5/-117 Under Play Title: Wednesday's MLB Top Total Play
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These teams have been under machines recently. The Yankees have had tremendous problems scoring, while Tampa Bay’s starting and relief pitching have completely shutdown teams. The Ray’s best starter, Scott Shields, gets the start today. He has allowed only 0.78 baserunners per inning in his last three starts, while going 21 innings total in those outings. He has also only allowed 13 hits while posting a 2.91 ERA in his last three starts. Mike Mussina has also pitched very well, as he has been able to establish a different approach to pitching as he has become older. His location has been outstanding, and he has approached each start with a terrific game plan. In the eight games these teams have played against each other this season, the under has gone 6-2. I look for another low scoring game today. The under has gone 8-1 in the Yankees last nine games and 5-2 in the Rays last seven games. Look for a low scoring game tonight.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -116 Chicago Cubs Play Title: NL Moneyline Play of the Night
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Chicago is one of the best home teams in baseball with a record of 15-7 at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are unbeatable at home when they face struggling opposing pitchers, as their offense is able to really crush them. Jake Peavy hasn’t had his best stuff recently. Ted Lilly has pitched very well at home recently, as most of the Cubs pitchers have done. He has allowed teams to less than one base runner per inning and posted a 2.70 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed only 13 hits and gone 20 innings total in those starts. San Diego also hits significantly worse against left handed pitching. Chicago is hitting .300 at home against right handed pitching this season. They will hit Peavy and the Padres bullpen hard enough to get an easy win.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 176/-109 Under Play Title: Cavs/Celtics Top Play
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These teams have become very predictable in the playoffs, but especially in this series. Boston’s defense is significantly better at home than on the road. They have limited Cleveland to below 80 points in both games at home, while allowing them to average well over 80 points in both road games. Boston’s offense has been fairly stagnant though, as they haven’t had any breakout performances in this series. The reason for their low scoring offense is that Cleveland is a decent defensive team, and they play a slower paced style, similar to Boston. The Celtics don’t get as many chances to score against Cleveland as opposed to other teams. I expect Boston to really ratchet down on defense tonight, and this game will be played at a slow enough pace to go under the total.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Lakers (NBA) - 10:35 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 8.5/-107 Utah Jazz Play Title: Jazz/Lakers Top Play
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Kobe Bryant is dealing with significant back pain going into game four. His ailing back is going to play a substantial role in this game. Bryant is the catalyst to the Lakers, and the younger role players feed off his play. Utah has become accustomed to playing in Los Angeles after games 1 and 2. In both of those games the Jazz fell behind early but showed resiliency in almost covering in both games. After winning two straight games and having much more confidence, I don’t expect them to fall behind by such a significant margin in the first two quarters. In addition, as the game goes on, Bryant will not be as effective with his injury. The Jazz will play him very physical as in games three and four. I look for this game to be very close and come down to the wire.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona D-Backs (MLB) - 9:40 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/129 Arizona D-Backs Play Title: NL Late Addition
No Analysis
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - 8:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 9/-115 Under Play Title: AL Late Addition
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8.5/-117 Under Play Title: Wednesday's MLB Top Total Play
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These teams have been under machines recently. The Yankees have had tremendous problems scoring, while Tampa Bay’s starting and relief pitching have completely shutdown teams. The Ray’s best starter, Scott Shields, gets the start today. He has allowed only 0.78 baserunners per inning in his last three starts, while going 21 innings total in those outings. He has also only allowed 13 hits while posting a 2.91 ERA in his last three starts. Mike Mussina has also pitched very well, as he has been able to establish a different approach to pitching as he has become older. His location has been outstanding, and he has approached each start with a terrific game plan. In the eight games these teams have played against each other this season, the under has gone 6-2. I look for another low scoring game today. The under has gone 8-1 in the Yankees last nine games and 5-2 in the Rays last seven games. Look for a low scoring game tonight.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -116 Chicago Cubs Play Title: NL Moneyline Play of the Night
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Chicago is one of the best home teams in baseball with a record of 15-7 at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are unbeatable at home when they face struggling opposing pitchers, as their offense is able to really crush them. Jake Peavy hasn’t had his best stuff recently. Ted Lilly has pitched very well at home recently, as most of the Cubs pitchers have done. He has allowed teams to less than one base runner per inning and posted a 2.70 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed only 13 hits and gone 20 innings total in those starts. San Diego also hits significantly worse against left handed pitching. Chicago is hitting .300 at home against right handed pitching this season. They will hit Peavy and the Padres bullpen hard enough to get an easy win.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 176/-109 Under Play Title: Cavs/Celtics Top Play
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These teams have become very predictable in the playoffs, but especially in this series. Boston’s defense is significantly better at home than on the road. They have limited Cleveland to below 80 points in both games at home, while allowing them to average well over 80 points in both road games. Boston’s offense has been fairly stagnant though, as they haven’t had any breakout performances in this series. The reason for their low scoring offense is that Cleveland is a decent defensive team, and they play a slower paced style, similar to Boston. The Celtics don’t get as many chances to score against Cleveland as opposed to other teams. I expect Boston to really ratchet down on defense tonight, and this game will be played at a slow enough pace to go under the total.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Lakers (NBA) - 10:35 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 8.5/-107 Utah Jazz Play Title: Jazz/Lakers Top Play
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Kobe Bryant is dealing with significant back pain going into game four. His ailing back is going to play a substantial role in this game. Bryant is the catalyst to the Lakers, and the younger role players feed off his play. Utah has become accustomed to playing in Los Angeles after games 1 and 2. In both of those games the Jazz fell behind early but showed resiliency in almost covering in both games. After winning two straight games and having much more confidence, I don’t expect them to fall behind by such a significant margin in the first two quarters. In addition, as the game goes on, Bryant will not be as effective with his injury. The Jazz will play him very physical as in games three and four. I look for this game to be very close and come down to the wire.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona D-Backs (MLB) - 9:40 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/129 Arizona D-Backs Play Title: NL Late Addition
No Analysis
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - 8:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 9/-115 Under Play Title: AL Late Addition
Bob Balfe
NBA Basketball
Cavs +9 over Celtics
Boston plays great at home, but horrible on the road. To me that is not a good sign of a winning basketball team. Sooner or later someone is going to beat them at home and then what? Cleveland clearly has the momentum back and are playing great defense. LeBron isn't even having his best series and still the Cavs have them tied at two. This spread is way too high. Take Cleveland.
Jazz +8.5 over Lakers
The Jazz now have the momentum. The Lakers have lost two in a row after steam rolling their opponents in the first six games of the playoffs. Kobe has a bad back and that is not an injury that heals in two games. Kobe will need the off season to straighten that out. Utah has the offense to stick with any team in this league. This will be a good one, but again this spread is too high.
Major League Baseball
Bluejays -130 over Twins
Halladay/Bonser
NBA Basketball
Cavs +9 over Celtics
Boston plays great at home, but horrible on the road. To me that is not a good sign of a winning basketball team. Sooner or later someone is going to beat them at home and then what? Cleveland clearly has the momentum back and are playing great defense. LeBron isn't even having his best series and still the Cavs have them tied at two. This spread is way too high. Take Cleveland.
Jazz +8.5 over Lakers
The Jazz now have the momentum. The Lakers have lost two in a row after steam rolling their opponents in the first six games of the playoffs. Kobe has a bad back and that is not an injury that heals in two games. Kobe will need the off season to straighten that out. Utah has the offense to stick with any team in this league. This will be a good one, but again this spread is too high.
Major League Baseball
Bluejays -130 over Twins
Halladay/Bonser
Dr. Bob
NBA
3 Star Selection
BOSTON (-9) over Cleveland
14-May-08 05:05 PM Pacific Time
Boston suddenly can?t win on the road after posting the NBA?s best road record in the regular season, but the Celtics are having no problems winning at home. Boston is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games (5-1 ATS in post-season home games) and they?re 9-3 ATS at home after a loss this season (3-0 ATS after consecutive losses). Boston applies to an 11-0 ATS subset of a 51-18-4 ATS playoff situation and the Celtics? defense continues to give Cavaliers? star LeBron James fits. James has made just 49 of 148 shots (33%) against Boston this season, including 20 of 78 in this series (26%) and the Cavs? supporting cast isn?t likely to play as well on the road as they have at home ? especially after playing well in consecutive games. Cleveland is only 2-12 ATS this season after covering the spread in consecutive games, including 0-7 ATS recently and 1-11 ATS on the road. Cleveland is 28-15 ATS in the post-season in the James era, but they?re just 1-4 ATS after beating their opponent by a double-digit margin. My ratings favor Boston by 11 points in this game and I?ll take Boston in a 3-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 2-Stars at -10 ? or -11 points.
3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars at -10 1/2 or -11.
Opinion
L.A. LAKERS (-8 ?) vs. Utah
14-May-08 07:35 PM Pacific Time
Kobe Bryant tweaked his back early in game 4 and was obviously lacking his normal explosiveness, but the Lakers still managed to force overtime on the road without Bryant at his best. That does not bode well for the Jazz here in Los Angeles, where the Lakers won the first two games of this series by 11 points and 10 points. My ratings favor the Lakers by 9.2 points here at home, but Bryant still may be limited by his bad back, so a line of 8 ? or 8 points is about right. There are no strong situations favoring either team and I have no opinion on this game.
NBA
3 Star Selection
BOSTON (-9) over Cleveland
14-May-08 05:05 PM Pacific Time
Boston suddenly can?t win on the road after posting the NBA?s best road record in the regular season, but the Celtics are having no problems winning at home. Boston is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games (5-1 ATS in post-season home games) and they?re 9-3 ATS at home after a loss this season (3-0 ATS after consecutive losses). Boston applies to an 11-0 ATS subset of a 51-18-4 ATS playoff situation and the Celtics? defense continues to give Cavaliers? star LeBron James fits. James has made just 49 of 148 shots (33%) against Boston this season, including 20 of 78 in this series (26%) and the Cavs? supporting cast isn?t likely to play as well on the road as they have at home ? especially after playing well in consecutive games. Cleveland is only 2-12 ATS this season after covering the spread in consecutive games, including 0-7 ATS recently and 1-11 ATS on the road. Cleveland is 28-15 ATS in the post-season in the James era, but they?re just 1-4 ATS after beating their opponent by a double-digit margin. My ratings favor Boston by 11 points in this game and I?ll take Boston in a 3-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 2-Stars at -10 ? or -11 points.
3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars at -10 1/2 or -11.
Opinion
L.A. LAKERS (-8 ?) vs. Utah
14-May-08 07:35 PM Pacific Time
Kobe Bryant tweaked his back early in game 4 and was obviously lacking his normal explosiveness, but the Lakers still managed to force overtime on the road without Bryant at his best. That does not bode well for the Jazz here in Los Angeles, where the Lakers won the first two games of this series by 11 points and 10 points. My ratings favor the Lakers by 9.2 points here at home, but Bryant still may be limited by his bad back, so a line of 8 ? or 8 points is about right. There are no strong situations favoring either team and I have no opinion on this game.
Billy,
Like I said the other day not your fault on the Budin issue and things like that happen. Keep posting what you see and if an issue comes up we'll handle it then. Wrong sides are posted in all forums, just the other day a wrong Ness play was posted and it didn't originate here!
Keep up the good work!:toast:
Like I said the other day not your fault on the Budin issue and things like that happen. Keep posting what you see and if an issue comes up we'll handle it then. Wrong sides are posted in all forums, just the other day a wrong Ness play was posted and it didn't originate here!
Keep up the good work!:toast:
Tuesday was a very nice day, if you followed the same guys I did.
*note a few were on the same game so even though a few of the guys lost, I made huge coin yesterday.
Consensus Group (sportswire)Lost NYY
Winners Inc (youwin) Lost Cubs
Sean Micheals (?)Lost Cubs
Will Kidd Win KC
Wise Guy Insider (youwin) Win Cinncy
Hammer (youwin) Win Philly
Baseball crew heating up if anyone wants in....they had a note a few days back that said alot more plays coming soon.
If interested, theeiconwins@live.com
it will be nice if we get some plays from our investment in the "baseball crew". Since the start (3/31), we have gotten 3 plays, and one of those was basketball and the first one wasn't an actual play (it was sent out as a play by mistake). But the play we got last week was on SFO and was a WINNER. So we are 1-0 on the plays.
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