Service Plays Wednesday 4/23/08

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Purelock

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Premium Play:
MLB
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE
PLAY: MILWAUKEE (HAMELS/BUSH) LISTED
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Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Pistons -10.5 over Sixers
Philadelphia is a much improved team, but Detroit is the #2 seed for a reason and will be more focused tonight. If Detroit puts their foot on the gas this could be a blowout. I like how this line has moved over 10. This will get a lot of late money on Philly. In a game like this you pick the team that you think will win and let the spread take care of itself. Take Detroit.

Atlanta +15 over Boston
Last game the Celtics crushed Atlanta, but they did shoot 50% from three point land while Atlanta shot only 21%. I doubt those numbers will repeat themselves tonight. The Hawks are a young team with a lot of energy and have play the Celtics enough times already this year to fix what they have been doing wrong and to make it a closer game. The Celtics still win this game, but not by 15.


Major League Baseball
Rockies -105 over Cubs
Morales/Hill
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WUNDERDOG SPORTS Comp

MLB
Game: New York Mets at Washington (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Washington +180 (moneyline)

Yes, Johan Santana goes tonight. But can he fix all that ails this slumping Mets team? They have been outscored 20-6 over their last three games. The Mets are 4-6 on the road this season and 2-7 vs. right-handed pitchers. Santana is great but he's been average thus far this season (2-2 with a 3.25 ERA). The bullpen has been horrendous on the road (6.07 ERA) and they are getting a lot of innings. We think this line has value on the home team as a result. Yes, Washington has their own problems but this team has done well against lefties (4.2 runs per game vs. 3.3 vs. rightites). Over the past two seasons the Mets are a sub-.500 team to a line of -175 to -250. Santana is just 17-18 when the total is under 9. Will Washington win this game? Not likely if Santana has a great game and goes deep. But if he is off or the Nats can score runs late vs. this suspect bullpen, they have a shot. Either way they have a much better shot than what this line dictates and as such there is betting value on the Nats here.
 

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Hey CPAW

Has the Source lost a game of year since I started posting him on here?? I don't keep track just wondering if you did. I think its like 4-0 but not to sure. No big deal just wanted to see if you knew.%^_
 

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Stats that will help you

This is based on a buck a gm. on each particular team for the first 20 gms. Will not bore you with the close ones, only the ones that stick out.
Bal +550 ag. R; Bos +200 ag. L +250 ag. R; Chws +240 ag. L, +190 ag. R; Clev -580 ag. L -230 ag. R; Det +195 ag. L -1215* ag. R; Laa +330 ag. R; NYy -455 ag. R; Oak +525 ag. R; Tex. -250 ag. L; **Tor -560 ag. L +255 ag. R. N.L. Ariz +510 ag. L +385 ag. R; Atl -250 ag L, Cubs +310 ag. L; Cinci -310 ag. R; Col. +215 ag. L; FL +615* ag. R; Hous -710* ag. R; LAD -200 ag. L -310 ag. R; Mil. +360 ag. L; **Mets +650 ag.L -515 ag. R; Phi -165 ag L -295 ag R; **Pit -465 ag. L+325 ag.R; S.D. -590* ag.L +195 ag. R; S.F. +265 ag. L -540* ag. R; STL +180 ag. L +325 ag. R; **Wash -270 ag. L -570 ag. R. This helps me, hope it helps you. After 30 gms. will only post the 400 + or -. Keep your eye on the Yks. I've laid off 3 gms. when the cappers were on them in which they went 2-1 & are still on a pace to lose 3 dimes.

:dancefool
 

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Service Plays

Las Vegas Sports Advisors

2-1 Yesterday...


League Game Date/Time Game Pick Type Pick Unit Value
MLB 4/23/2008
7:10:00 PM Toronto/Roy Halladay -150
Play of the Day 5*

MLB 4/23/2008
8:10:00 PM Cleveland/Fausto Carmona -150
FREE PICK 5*

MLB 4/23/2008
10:10:00 PM Seattle/Carlos Silva -125 5*

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
I Payed For One Week Thru Their Website And They Never Deleted My Email To Check The Games..

All You Do Is Send An Email To: picks@lasvegassportsadvisors.com
You Will Get An Autoreply Back With The Games...
gl To ALL %^_
 
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WUNDERDOG SPORTS Comp

NBA PLAYOFFS
Game: Denver at Los Angeles Lakers (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (-110)

In game two games thus far we have seen a few teams with a distinct skill advantage repeat their game one wins and covers (Cleveland, Utah, New Orleans). We put the Lakers in this same category and we like them again here vs. Denver. We pounced on the Lakers in game one noting how Denver really struggles on the road, especially vs. elite teams. That same dynamic is in play here tonight and despite any desire to even the series, they just can't keep with Kobe, Gasol and the rest of this high-flying Lakers team. They don't have the committment to defense. This will eventually be the downfall of George Karl who has done an admirable job with the Nuggets. But, he will never make it deep into the playoffs with a team that doesn't care about defense. We don't expect a letdown by LA as every team in the West has been conditioned to never take a night off this year. Unlike the east where a couple of teams absolutely dominated, in the West it was a dogfight all year and as a result the mindset is for no team to ever feel overconfident or safe. Kobe said after game one, "We played good enough to win the game, but I don't think we are completely pleased with the way we played." This tells us he is not resting on his laurels. Denver is now 2-11 ATS on the road the past two seasons vs. elite teams that outscore their competition by 6+ ppg. This season they own a 4-12 ATS mark on the road vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ ppg and they are 5-13 ATS vs. great offensive opponents (those averaging 103+ ppg). In contrast, LA is 18-4 ATS in their last 22 vs. teams averaging 100+ ppg and 13-5 ATS overall this season vs. teams scoring 103+ppg. Denver can outscoure weaker foes and roll over them. But, when they face a great team that can also score, they are in deep trouble. Lakers to make it two in a row.
 

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<TABLE style="BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" borderColor=#742339 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#eef8fd border=1><TBODY><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18 width=46 bgColor=#641e31>
#
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Handicapping Sites
</TD><TD class=style18 width=27 bgColor=#641e31>
Sport
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Free Picks
</TD><TD class=style18 width=208 bgColor=#641e31>
This Week
</TD><TD class=style18 width=202 bgColor=#641e31>
Last Week
</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
1.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>WinSportsNow.com</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-0 (+0)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>4-0 (+560)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
2.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Black Magic Sports</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-1 (-100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>5-0 (+535)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
3.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Insider Sports Report </TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Detroit Ov 10 </TD><TD class=style18 align=left>2-0 (+200)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>5-0 (+500)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
4.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>SportsAction365.com</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Ov Atl 10 </TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-1 (+100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>6-1 (+490)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
5.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>FreeWinners.org</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-1 (-10)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>4-0 (+400)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
6.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>TodaysPicks.net </TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Detroit Ov 10
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-0 (+0)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-0 (+310)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
7.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>ToutHouse Sports Handicappers </TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Cubs over 9.5</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-1 (-100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-0 (+310)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
8.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>YouWinNow.com</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-0 (+100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-0 (+305)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
9.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>The Parlay King </TD><TD align=middle>NBA</TD><TD align=left>Philly +425</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-1 (-100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>2-2 (+235)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
10.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Ross Benjamin</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Toronto -145</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-1 (+0)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>4-2 (+180)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
11.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Tout Master </TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Reds over 10</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-1 (-10)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>2-1 (+90)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
12.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Black Widow Sports</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Brewers OV 8.5
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-0 (+100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-2 (+90)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
13.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Info Plays</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-1 (+10)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-3 (-30)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
14.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Guaranteed Sports Pick</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Wash +190 </TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-1 (-100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-3 (-40)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
15.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Mike Neri Sports </TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-1 (-100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>2-3 (-95)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
16.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>WagerWatchWin.com</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Arizona -105 </TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-0 (+110)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-2 (-100)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
17.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Jeff Alexander</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-1 (-105)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-2 (-120)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
18.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Shark Handicapping</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD align=left></TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-0 (+100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>2-3 (-120)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
19.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Jimmy Boyd </TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Cubs -105</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-1 (-5)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>2-3 (-130)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
20.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>Dave Price </TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Cardinals +100</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-0 (+100)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-4 (-155)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
21.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>National Sports Advisors</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Ov Angels 10 </TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-2 (-210)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>3-4 (-140)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
22.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>SICPicks.com</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Cubs Ov 10 </TD><TD class=style18 align=left>1-1 (+20)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>2-4 (-230)</TD></TR><TR class=Estilo4><TD class=style18>
23.
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>SecureOnlineSportsbooks.com</TD><TD align=middle>MLB</TD><TD align=left>Ov 9.5 Yanks
</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-0 (+0)</TD><TD class=style18 align=left>0-3 (-320)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Dunkel Index: MLB

Arizona at LA Dodgers
The Diamonbacks have won six of nine road games with starter Dan Haren picking up wins in each of his last three starts. Arizona is the underdog pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the D-backs favored straight up by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105).
Thanks for paring down the Dunkel ratings for us, they definately help but all of them is a bit too much. My r-l post will probably draw some complaints for being too long, but it's early in the season, I'll pare down as the season progresses. There is no such thing as bad information, it's how
:drink: you use it. Keep up the good work. Appreciated.
 

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