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Big 12 tournament betting preview: Value in teams chasing Jayhawks

The Big 12 tournament is a mix of things we’ve come to expect out of the conference. Kansas is the regular season champ and a host of schools are looking to knock off the Jayhawks for a shot at an automatic bid into the NCAA tournament.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the teams to watch in the Big 12 this week.

Favorites

Kansas Jayhawks (+200) – Their star freshman Joel Embiid may be out with a back injury, but the Jayhawks still earned another outright regular season title and expect to be contenders for the conference double. Leading scorer and fellow freshman Andrew Wiggins (16.8 ppg) is going to have to step up and shake off a season finale loss on the road to West Virginia if the Jayhawks are going to make their conference tournament stay a long one.

Iowa State Cyclones (+400) - One of the best teams in non-conference play, the Cyclones suffered a midseason slump before roaring to the finish line to finish third in the Big 12 behind Oklahoma. Boasting Big 12 Player of the Year Melvin Ejim (18.2 PPG, 8.6 RPG) and senior guard DeAndre Kane (17.1 PPG, 5.9 APG) the Cyclones have two experienced leaders who will leave everything on the floor.


Live Underdog

Oklahoma State Cowboys (+400) – Forget the losing streak and the Marcus Smart suspension. The Cowboys won four straight (including a Kansas sweep of the Wildcats and Jayhawks) before pushing Iowa State to overtime, proving they’re still a force to be reckoned with. The No. 8 seed Cowboys have work to do, but they’re a team that nobody wants to face.


Best ATS team

Oklahoma Sooners (+600) – The Sooners (18-10-1 ATS) are the third favorite to win the Big 12 tournament and have been an ATS force. Six straight ATS wins and eight of the last 10 have bettors confident that the surprising Sooners can make a run deep into the conference tournament while continuing their ATS success.


Best total team

Texas Tech Red Raiders (+7,500) - The scrappy Red Raiders have played strong defense under respected head coach Tubby Smith. Texas Tech has troubles scoring the ball - 244th in the nation - which is equally responsible for the Red Raiders’ playing Under the total eight times in their final 10 games. Their run in the tournament may be short so this value Under play may not give total bettors many opportunities.


Big 12 Tournament odds (Courtesy of the LVH):

KANSAS 2-1
IOWA ST 4-1
OKLAHOMA 6-1
OKLAHOMA ST 4-1
BAYLOR 5-1
TEXAS 8-1
WEST VIRGINIA 18-1
KANSAS ST 25-1
TEXAS TECH 75-1
TCU 2000-1
 
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Big East tournament betting preview: Villanova doesn't want to play Creighton

The first tournament of the reformed Big East is set to take place in a battle between new faces and defenders of the old guard looking for the conference crown at Madison Square Garden.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the teams to watch in the Big East this week.

Favorites

Villanova Wildcats (+150) – The Wildcats defended the Big East and held off newcomers all season on their way to a 28-3 record and a outright conference title. Looking for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament, Villanova may have to conquer their demons against a Creighton team that swept them in conference play in Nebraska and on its home court in Philadelphia.

Creighton Bluejays (+175) - Tops in the nation in 3-point shooting (42.1 percent) and FG percentage (49.6 percent), Creighton is led by senior sensation Doug McDermott who has already passed Larry Bird in scoring and is supported by sharpshooter Ethan Wragge and guards Auston Chatman and Grant Gibbs. Two 20-point wins over Villanova point to Creighton as the likely favorite in a No. 1 vs. No. 2 final, but first they’ll have to get there by outlasting the field.


Live Underdog

St. John's Red Storm (+600) – A member of the "old" Big East, the Johnnies call MSG their home and need a big tournament run to ensure that their 20-11 record is improved enough to crack the final field. St. John’s has wins in eight of its last 10, even if a home loss to Xavier is cause for concern, and the ability to hang with true Final Four contenders in Villanova and Creighton.


Best ATS team

Villanova Wildcats – Not much of a curveball in the Big East as the conference winners have the best ATS record with the Wildcats matching their 28-3 SU record with an equally-impressive 21-8 ATS mark.


Best totals team

Villanova Wildcats - In addition to having the best ATS mark the Wildcats also have the best O/U differential with their games going Over the total 18 out of 28 times.


Odds to win Big East Tournament (courtesy of the LVH):

VILLANOVA 3-2
CREIGHTON 7-4
ST JOHN'S 6-1
XAVIER 10-1
MARQUETTE 12-1
PROVIDENCE 12-1
FIELD 8-1
 
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SEC tournament betting preview: Can anyone beat the Gators?

Most experts believe the Southeastern Conference title is the Florida Gators' to lose - and it's hard to argue with that logic, as the Gators roll into the Georgia Dome with a perfect conference record and the top rank in the nation.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the teams to watch in the SEC tournament at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta this week:

Favorites

Florida Gators (10-13) - No team in the conference could touch Billy Donovan's Gators, who went through a shaky stretch in mid-to-late February - beating Auburn, Mississippi and Vanderbilt by single digits - but have no equal within the SEC. Casey Prather leads a balanced attack with 14.6 points per game while shooting a blistering 62.5 percent from the floor.

Kentucky Wildcats (4-1) - John Calipari's crew represents the best chance at knocking off powerhouse Florida, but was soundly outclassed in an 84-65 loss at Gainesville, Fla., last weekend. Julius Randle had 16 points and 10 rebounds in the loss, and while it will be difficult for the Gators - or anyone else in the tournament - to stop him, he's going to need plenty more help to lead Kentucky to the upset.


Live Underdog

Arkansas Razorbacks 15-1) - Not only are the fifth-seeded Razorbacks the only team in the SEC to take the Gators to overtime - dropping an 84-82 decision back on Jan 11 - they also handled the second-seeded Wildcats twice in extra time during the regular season, including a 71-67 decision at Lexington on Feb. 27. Arkansas won six of its final seven games going into the tournament, and ranks in the top-20 nationally in scoring at 80.6 points per game.


Best ATS team

Tennessee Volunteers (5-1)– The Volunteers (17-12 ATS) were the best of a tightly-packed bunch atop the conference ATS standings, ultimately prevailing thanks to a three-game winning streak to end the season. Fourth-seeded Tennessee comes into the tournament as a longshot, but has momentum on its side after obliterating its final three opponents - Vanderbilt, Auburn and Missouri - by a combined 93 points.


Best Over/Under

Vanderbilt Commodores - No SEC team does low-scoring affairs like the Commodores (6-21-2 O/U), who returned more Under value than just about any team in all of Division I. Kevin Stallings' roster put together three lengthy Under streaks throughout the season, capped by an eight-game run to close the season. Just how offensively void were Commodores games down the stretch? Only three times did either team score more than 70 points in Vanderbilt's final 14 games.


SEC Tournament odds (Courtesy of the LVH):

FLORIDA 10-13
KENTUCKY 4-1
TENNESSEE 5-1
ARKANSAS 15-1
GEORGIA 20-1
MISSOURI 25-1
OLE MISS 25-1
LSU 30-1
ALABAMA 40-1
TEXAS A&M 100-1
FIELD 12-1
 

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Steve's Golf Picks

Luke Donald 21:1 (2 units)

Matt Kuchar 20:1
Bill Haas 34:1
Brooks Koepka 110:1
Gary Woodland 40:1

Head to Head 72 holes

Luke Donald +100 over Jordan Spieth
Brooks Koepka -125 over Peter Uihlein
 
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ACC Conference Tournament betting cheat sheet

Round 1

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Wake Forest (+3.5)

Notre Dame enters its first ACC Tournament as the 13th seed and looks to avenge an earlier defeat against Wake Forest in the opening round at Greensboro, N.C. on Wednesday. The Fighting Irish comes in off three straight solid efforts, although the last two were losses to Pittsburgh in overtime and at 15th-ranked North Carolina 63-61.

Wake Forest, the 12th seed, shocked sixth-ranked Duke last week at home before losing momentum in a 13-point defeat at Miami (Fla.) on Saturday. Leading scorer Codi Miller-McIntyre (12.9) looks to rebound off a two-point effort at Miami, but has dished out at least six assists in three of his last four contests. Forwards Travis McKie (11.2) and Thomas (11) also score in double figures and Tyler Cavanaugh (9.2) posted 20 points against Duke.

TRENDS:
* Fighting Irish are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last eight neutral site games.
* Demon Deacons are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Over is 12-4 in Demon Deacons last 16 neutral site games.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes (-6)

The Hokies have struggled with injuries much of the season and will be trying to snap a six-game losing streak. Senior Jarell Eddie leads the way at 13.2 points per game for a team that has shot 40.6 percent from the field overall – 37.2 in league play.

Miami (Fla.) will have to win five games in five days to defend its ACC Tournament title. Senior forward Erik Swoope has averaged 13.2 points over the last five contests and the Hurricanes need a big effort from improving 7-0 center Tonye Jekiri for a long tournament run.

TRENDS:
* Hokies are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
* Hurricanes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Hokies are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games.
* Under is 22-5 in Hokies last 27 overall.

Boston College Eagles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-1)

Olivier Hanlan is the Eagles’ biggest offensive weapon, finishing third in the ACC in scoring (18.6 points) and seventh in field-goal percentage (45 percent). Ryan Anderson leads all active conference players in double-doubles (19), ranking ninth in the league in rebounding (7.1) and 11th in scoring (14.3). Eight of the Eagles’ conference losses came by single digits.

The Yellow Jackets closed the season with two victories in a row, starting with the upset of the Syracuse Orange, and own a pair of close victories over the Eagles this season. They have battled injuries all season, but are finally healthy with leading scorer Trae Golden and Robert Carter Jr. back to full strength.

TRENDS:
* Eagles are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
 
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Big 12 Conference Tournament betting cheat sheet

Round 1

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (-9)

The ninth-seeded Red Raiders ended the regular season on a high note by defeating Texas to put an end to a six-game losing streak. They will need senior forward Jaye Crockett to be on his game to make any noise in this tourney. Crockett, who leads Texas Tech in scoring (13.5) and rebounding (6.3), averaged just 6.8 points on 14-of-40 shooting before breaking out of his slump to score 22 points (on 9-of-13 shooting) and grab 10 rebounds in Saturday’s upset of Texas.

Marcus Smart has more than a little bit of history with Texas Tech this season. The Oklahoma State guard will try to assure the Red Raiders don’t damage the Cowboys’ NCAA Tournament hopes when the teams meet in Wednesday’s first round of the Big 12 tournament in Kansas City. Smart infamously shoved a Texas Tech fans in the final seconds of a road loss to the Red Raiders and then returned from a three-game suspension 14 days later to lead the Cowboys past Texas Tech.

TRENDS:
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. Big 12.
* Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight neutral site games.
* Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last seven overall.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears (-15)

The 10th-seeded Horned Frogs have lost 18 straight games since the calendar turned to 2014. Forward Amric Fields (knee) is expected to miss his sixth consecutive game and the Horned Frogs badly miss their second-leading scorer (13.1) and rebounder (6.1). His absence leaves junior point guard Kyan Anderson (17 points, 4.4 assists) to again carry the load and Anderson has topped 20 points in seven of the last 13 games.

Seventh-seeded Baylor has won seven of its last eight games to re-emerge after a midseason swoon in which it lost seven of eight contests. Shooting guard Brady Heslip (11.5 ppg) made 13 3-pointers in the two routs of the Horned Frogs and is two away from becoming the fifth player in school history to make 100 or more in a season. Point guard Kenny Chery (11.7 points, five assists) has been strong down the stretch and is averaging 20.3 points over the past four games after ending the regular season with a 29-point outing against Kansas State.

TRENDS:
* Bears are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Horned Frogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
* Under is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last six overall.
* Under is 7-3 in Horned Frogs last 10 neutral site games.
 
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Pac-12 Conference Tournament betting cheat sheet

Round 1

Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes (-5.5)

The Huskies closed the regular season by winning three of their final four, and senior guard C.J. Wilcox has averaged 22 points in his last two contests. The Huskies have received solid production from freshmen guards Andrew Andrews and Nigel Williams-Goss, who have combined to average 26.1 points in league play.

The Utes’ weak nonconference schedule and lack of signature wins has some experts suggesting No. 8 seed Utah needs to win the league tournament in order to advance to the Big Dance. The Utes are second in the Pac-12 in scoring defense while holding teams to an average of 64 points.

TRENDS:
* Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
* Utes are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. Pacific-12.
* Under is 12-4 in Utes last 16 neutral site games.

USC Trojans vs. Colorado Buffaloes (-8.5)

The Trojans finished last in the Pac-12 in several categories, including scoring defense (75.8), 3-point field goal percentage (29.4) and turnover margin (minus-3), but leading scorer Byron Wesley offers hope for an upset. The 6-5 junior averaged 15 points and six rebounds in two games against Colorado, and he’s averaging 20.7 points while shooting 21-for-35 from the field over his last three games.

The Buffaloes defeated the Trojans in both meetings this season, 83-62 at home on Jan. 18 and 83-74 on Feb. 16 in Los Angeles. Colorado’s biggest challenge against the Trojans might be dealing with the lingering effects of Saturday's disappointing loss to California, when the Golden Bears won despite not making a single field goal in overtime.

TRENDS:
* Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
* Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
* Buffaloes are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
* Buffaloes are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks (-6.5)

Senior guard Roberto Nelson averaged 20.6 points to become the first Oregon State player since Gary Payton in 1990 to win the Pac-12 scoring title, and he had 15 points to lead the Beavers to an important win over the Sun Devils in the regular-season finale. The Beavers finished the conference season on a high note with last Saturday's 78-76 overtime win over Arizona State.

The Ducks’ roller-coaster season included a 13-0 start and a 3-8 record at one point in league play before registering impressive wins over UCLA and Arizona down the stretch. Guard Joseph Young averages a team-high 18.2 points, but he could use a bounce-back game after being held to eight points on 3-of-12 shooting in last Saturday's 64-57 win over the Arizona Wildcats.

TRENDS:
* Beavers are 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
* Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. Pacific-12.
* Ducks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.

Washington State Cougars vs. Stanford Cardinal (-10.5)

Four days after recording the biggest upset in the Pac-12 this season, Washington State looks to pull another surprise Wednesday in Las Vegas in the conference tournament's first round against No. 6 seed Stanford. The 11th-seeded Cougars snapped an eight-game losing streak with Saturday’s stunning 73-55 win over UCLA, and they’ll need a similar effort against a veteran Stanford squad.

The Cardinal swept the season series with an 80-48 home victory on Jan. 15 before winning 69-56 in Pullman on Feb. 15. They closed the regular season by losing three of their final four games and remains squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble heading into Wednesday’s contest.

TRENDS:
* Cougars are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Under is 9-1-2 in Cougars last 12 neutral site games.
* Cardinal are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
 
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AAC Conference Tournament betting cheat sheet

Round 1

South Florida Bulls vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-2.5)

The Bulls look to snap an eight-game losing streak, which included three one-point losses. Leading scorer Victor Rudd averaged 21 points and 7.8 rebounds during the past six games, scoring 32.2 percent of his teams points during that stretch. Wednesday's winner plays fifth-ranked and second-seeded Louisville in Thursday's 3 p.m. ET quarterfinal.

Myles Mack leads the Scarlet Knights, who needed to erase a 15-point second-half deficit on March 1 to finish the sweep of South Florida, with 15.1 points and 4.4 assists. Kadeem Jack, who adds 14.1 points and a team-high 6.9 rebounds, averaged 25.5 points in the two games against the Bulls. Moore adds 11.4 points for Rutgers, which outrebounded Connecticut (in a 69-63 loss) and Cincinnati last week.

TRENDS:
* Bulls are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games.

Central Florida Knights vs. Temple Owls (+1)

Isaiah Sykes, who had 23 points in the Golden Knights' 78-76 win against Temple in January, leads Central Florida with 16.4 points and 7.1 rebounds and earned All-Conference Second Team honors. He is the only AAC player ranked in the league's top 15 scoring, rebounding, assists (3.6), steals (1.6) and field-goal percentage (46.8).

The Owls enter the tournament after back-to-back wins, including a home overtime victory against the Golden Knights on March 4. Temple is one of six Division I teams (Iona, Murray State, Northwestern State, Notre Dame, Quinnipiac) with four players averaging at least 13 points.

TRENDS:
* Knights are 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
* Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. American Athletic Conference.
* Under is 4-0 in Knights last four neutral site games.
* Under is 4-1 in Owls last five neutral site games.
 
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Miami, Georgia Tech getting plenty of play in ACC tourney
by ANDREW CALEY

The Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament gets underway Wednesday with three matchups and we talk to Michael Stewart from Carbonsports about the action on all the games.

While Carbonsports has seen good two way action in the Notre Dame(-3.5)-Wake Forrest matchup, they have seen heavy play on the favorites; Miami and Georgia Tech in the other two games. They face Virgina Tech and Boston College respectively.

"We opened Miami -6 and nearly all the initial money has been on the favorite. With nearly eighty percent of the early money on Miami, we went to -6.5 earlier today," Stewart.

"We opened Georgia Tech and we've seen mostly Georgia Tech money at that price. I believe we’ll eventually get to GT -1.5 either later today or sometime tomorrow, unless we see sharp money on the other side which hasn’t been the case so far."
 
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GOLD SHEET

★★★★★ COLLEGE KEY RELEASES ★★★★★
GEORGIA TECH by 11 over Boston College (Wednesday, March 12)
STANFORD by 19 over Washington State (Wednesday, March 12)
UTAH STATE by 11 over Colorado State (Wednesday, March 12)
AUBURN by 12 over South Carolina (Wednesday, March 12)
 
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POINTWISE

NBA BASKETBALL

(7:05) MIAMI HEAT 108 - Brooklyn Nets 96 (ESPN) _____ _____

(7:05) TORONTO RAPTORS 118 - Detroit Pistons 110 _____ _____

(7:05) Sacramento Kings 99 - PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 91 _____ _____

(7:05) ORLANDO MAGIC 103 - Denver Nuggets 100 _____ _____

(7:05) WASHINGTON WIZARDS 109 - Charlotte 92 _____ _____

(7:35) BOSTON CELTICS 98 - New York Knicks 97 _____ _____

(8:05) Memphis Grizzlies 104 - NEW ORLEANS 92 _____ _____

(9:05) Dallas Mavericks 100 - UTAH JAZZ 95 _____ _____

(9:35) SAN ANTONIO 105 - Portland Blazers 104 (ESPN) _____ _____

(10:05) PHOENIX SUNS 99 - Cleveland Cavaliers 97 _____ _____

(10:35) LA CLIPPERS 117 - Golden State Warriors 106 _____ _____

BEST BETS
MIAMI
WASHINGTON
MEMPHIS
CLEVELAND
 

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Jeffrey James (YouWinNow) - CBB Play of the Day Georgia Tech


#628 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -1 (7:00 edt)


Neither of these teams is all that great but G Tech is way better than Boston College. The Yellow Jackets have 6 SU ACC wins against only 4 for Boston College and the Eagles only have 2 SU wins in their last 10 games. Tech has already beaten B C twice this season and with this game being held in Greenboro North Carolina you know that Eagles fans will be few and far between. Lay the single point here with Georgia Tech.
 
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NBA

Hot teams
-- Toronto won six of its last eight games.
-- Washington won eight of its last ten games. Bobcats won three of their last four.
-- New York won last four games, all by 10+ points.
-- Grizzlies won five of their last six games. New Orleans won its last three games, scoring 118.3 ppg.
-- Spurs won last seven games, covered four of last six.
-- Golden State won its last five games (4-1 vs spread). Clippers won last eight games (6-2 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Nets lost six of their last seven games. Miami lost three of last four.
-- Nuggets lost 13 of their last 16 games. Orlando lost six of last eight.
-- 76ers lost their last 17 games (4-13 vs spread). Kings lost six of their last eight games.
-- Pistons lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Celtics lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Utah lost six of its last seven games. Mavericks lost last three road games, by 6-5-23 points.
-- Portland lost its last five games, by 5-5-10 points.
-- Phoenix lost six of its last nine games. Cavaliers lost their last four games, all by 9+ points.

Series records
-- Nets beat Miami twice this year, 101-100/104-95ot, after losing 13 in a row to the Heat before that.
-- Nuggets won four of last five games with Orlando.
-- 76ers won four in row, nine of last ten games with Sacramento.
-- Raptors won three of last four games with Detroit.
-- Bobcats lost four of last five visits to Washington.
-- Knicks lost four of last six games with Boston.
-- Pelicans are 2-0 vs Memphis this season, 104-98/95-92.
-- Mavericks won ten of last thirteen games with Utah.
-- Spurs lost four of last five games with Portland.
-- Suns won their last four games with Cleveland.
-- Clippers lost five of last seven games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Last three Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Denver games went over total.
-- Five of last six Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Over is 11-6 in last seventeen Detroit-Toronto games.
-- Five of last seven Washington games went over.
-- Five of last seven New York games went over total.
-- Nine of last ten Memphis games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games went over total.
-- Eight of last nine Phoenix-San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Golden State games.
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Bruins won their last five games, allowing nine goals.
-- Colorado won five of last six games. Blackhawks won three of their last four.


Cold teams
-- Canadiens lost three of their last four games.
-- Jets lost last four games, scoring eight goals. Vancouver lost 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Flames lost five of last eight games. Anaheim lost its last three games, scoring six goals.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Boston games went over total.
-- Five of last six Winnipeg games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Chicago-Colorado games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Calgary games.

Series records
-- Canadiens won their last five games with Boston.
-- Canucks won five of last seven games witrh Winnipeg.
-- Avalanche won seven of its last ten games with Chicago.
-- Ducks won nine of last twelve games with Calgary.
 

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