Service Plays Wednesday 03/18/09

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Bullitt
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Raging Bull

Soccer:

Ajax Amsterdam +110 (UEFA Cup)

Cardiff City -150 (English Championship)
 

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Matt Rivers

100,000 Northwestern
50,000 Boise State

Matt went 0-2 yesterday with South Carolina and Nebraska
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Oakland, Michigan, (-5-1/2) and New Mexico (-8) Tuesday night.

Today it's Virginia Tech. The surplus is 325 sirignanos.
 
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Dave Cokin

(637) GEORGETOWN
(638) BAYLOR
Take "(637) GEORGETOWN"

There cannot be much question that Georgetown is the biggest flop in the country this season. Maybe the Hoyas can salvage something with a good run in the NIT. They're certainly in a strong scheduling position tonight as they visit Baylor. The Bears made a huge run in the Big 12 Tournament before falling in the title game against Missouri, and they could very well be on fumes tonight. Georgetown's poor play and apparent lack of any continuity on offense is worrisome enough to keep this from being a big play, but there's enough there to warrant an opinion on the Hoyas plus the points.
 
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Jim Feist

(619) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
(620) PHOENIX SUNS
Take "(620) PHOENIX SUNS"

Phoenix is hot again, on a 2-0 SU/ATS run, tearing up tired teams. Well they catch another break, facing a tired Philly team here, one playing its 3rd game in 4 nights and the second of a back to back road spot. Shaq O'Neal credits the trainers for resurgence. The Suns center bench-pressed strength-and-conditioning coach Erik Phillips in the locker room before scoring 26 points in a 154-130 win at Golden State! Philly has to run up and down the court with the Lakers, then the next night try and keep up with the uptempo Suns -- both on the road. That's a tough task and they will wilt in the second half. Play the Suns.
 
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Golden Contender

Game: Buffalo at Wichita.St
Date/Time: 3/18/2009 8:00PM EST
Pick: Buffalo

On Wednesday the Bonus Play is on Buffalo.Game 645 at 8:00 eastern.Buffalo has some solid numbers on there side here and are vey much a live dog capable of winning the game outright.Buffalo is 9-1 this year vs opponents who score less than 65 ppg,5-1 su in tournament games this year,and 5-0 on the road when the total is 120-130.Wichita.St is just 7-12 vs winning teams and 0-3 ats this year as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6. Back Buffalo tonight as the Bonus Play. bol GC-
 

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Maddux Sports

Basketball
#621 - NBA - 3 units on Washington +7
#646 - NCAA - 3 units on Wichita State -5
#534 - NCAA - 3 units on Evansville -6.5
 

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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Houston Cougars @ Oregon State Beavers - Wednesday March 18, 2009 10:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: Oregon State Beavers +1.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)

4 Unit Play. Take Oregon State +1.5 over Houston (Wednesday @ 10pm est). I'm glad we were able to cash with Oakland with a big second half over Kent State. Let's go 2-0 on the week and continue our perfect week overall as we are 3-0 currently including the NBA. Let's state the obvious - Craig Robinson is the man. This team nearly beat Stanford for the third time this year and if they did, they would have advanced in the Pac Tournament. But, let's be honest, either through being the brother in law of Barack (Michelle's brother) or simply because he has an added advantage of being an African-American coach that is able to connect with many prospective high school stars, this man was able to recruit several 3* and 4* players. Plus, Robinson is a helluva coach. He has an incredible work ethic that is well known and he is one of the smartest "x's and o's coaches" in the business in my opinion. Next to Pitino and Tubby, he is my favorite coach. He has brought an Oregon State team that did not win 1 conference game last year, to a 7-11 record in a very competitive conference - that is damn good. Can you imagine what this guy is going to do with the talent he is bringing in next year, then the year after, and the year after that? Let me be frank, Oregon State will go the Sweet 16 at some point in the next four years as long as Craig Robinson is there. Bank on it. This team beat Cal twice, Stanford twice, Washington State on the road, Nebraska at home and USC (the Pac 10 Tourney Champ) at home as well. Why in the world does the public to a tune of 60% (I saw one site at 53% and another at 70%) believe that Houston can just waltz into a Pac-10 house in Oregon State and win this game is beyond me. Have people been paying attention? This is the same Oregon State team that won seven games in the Pac-10 a tough conference. I'm sorry, the Conference USA besides Memphis does not strike fear into my heart. Can you please tell me one decent team that Houston has beat on the road? This team did beat UTEP on the road and took Arizona to the limit on the highway as well. But besides that, this team has not been all that impressive on the road. Oregon State is thrilled to be in this game. Yes, absolutely thrilled. They will have quite a crowd on hand and I think Houston is headed into a tough crowd with better competition level to win this game. This is a nice spot with a team that has beaten even better teams than Houston this year on the road and at home defeating the likes of USC, Stanford (twice), California at home and on the road and Washington State on the road. I expect Oregon State to get plenty of home cooking calls here. I expect Oregon State to get down early and then to start chipping away and making their comeback. If Oregon State is up early and at the half, that is just an added bonus but this will be one of the games they get down early because of Houston having such a bad game against Memphis and they will come out fired up, but as the game wears on, look for Oregon State to come back and get the Outright here as the public likely gets buried. The Houston Cougars are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 overall and the Beavers are 5-0 ATS as a home underdog of 0 to 6.5 points. In Craig Robinson I trust. Good luck, Indian Cowboy.







Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: New Jersey Nets @ New York Knicks - Wednesday March 18, 2009 7:35 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: New York Knicks -7 (-110) (Play of the Day)

4 Unit Play. #608. Take the New York Knicks -7 over the New Jersey Nets (Wednesday @ 7:30pm est). Glad we cashed with the Bulls Outright over the C's yesterday. We also cashed on the Thunder Outright over the Spurs on Monday. Let's keep it going by cashing in a 3-0 week with today's POD winner on the Knicks. I was very close to making a selection on the Grizzlies but I just couldn't show as much faith on the Grizz as I did on the Thunder to win Outright over the Spurs. I think the Grizz are definitely worth a look though and would not be surprised if they win Outright at home or stay inside the number. But, let's take another home team with revenge today in the Knicks. I don't really like laying the 7 nor do I like going against a Nets team that comes off getting crushed by the Nuggets. That being said, here are the things going for us. The Knicks are hot. This is a huge rivalry. The Knicks have played well against the Nets this year leading at parts in the last time they played to push on the +5 and defeating them on the road by 12 points and covering. This is the first time the Knicks play the Nets in MSG this year. The Nets are reeling with the loss of Devin Harris. In an up-tempo game, how are the Nets going to keep up with the scoring of the Knicks? Is Vince going to do all the work? He tried against the Nuggets and dropped 32 points, but guess what? - his team was killed by 25 points. Who would you like in a track meet? The likes of Carter, Dooling, Hassell, Jianlian and Brooke Lopez or Robinson, Lee, Chandler, Hughes, Harrington, Richardson, Jefferies and Gallinari? Give me the Knicks at home, with revenge, playing well as they have covered their last 4, are 6-1-1 ATS of late, come home after a long five game road trip in the midwest, are much healthier than a Nets team without Harris, with the possibility of getting back Duhon in an up tempo game with a stronger bench. The Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games overall and the Nets are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The Knicks are also 5-2-1 ATS after a SU loss as they played an admirable game against Cleveland and will look to bounce-back here.

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.
 

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Charlies Sports

NBA. Denver @ Memphis+7. Three straight wins have the Denver Nuggets back on top of the Northwest Division, and the opponent standing in their way of extending their streak isn’t too intimidating. Denver’s recent play on the road, however, makes another victory anything but certain. The Nuggets will try for their seventh consecutive victory against the woeful Memphis Grizzlies tonight, but to do so they’ll have to put an end to a six-game road losing streak, Memphis covers-7.
 

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Overthespread
Free Pick: Tennessee-Martin
3 Stars (1 to 5 Star Basis)

Free Pick Record: 50-27
 

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SPORTS ADVISERS

NIT



Duquesne (21-12, 15-12 ATS) at Virginia Tech (18-14, 12-15 ATS)



Virginia Tech makes it second consecutive NIT appearance after closing the season by losing nine of its final 13 games (5-8 ATS). In last week’s ACC tournament, the Hokies routed Miami, Fla., 65-47 as a three-point underdog in Thursday’s opening-round action before coming up just short against top-ranked North Carolina on Friday, falling 79-76 but easily cashing as an 11½-point underdog.



Duquesne just missed out on a stunning trip to the Big Dance, losing 69-64 to Temple in the finals of the Atlantic 10 tournament, falling just short as a 4½-point underdog. The Dukes, whose 28 wins are the most by the school in 28 years, advanced to the A-10 championship game after three straight wins in as many days over UMass (91-81), Rhode Island (78-74) and Dayton (77-66), cashing in all three contests. Prior to the tourney, Duquesne had been in a 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS funk.



These teams last met in 2000, when both were in the same conference. The Hokies won four of the final five meetings from 1998-2000, going 3-2 ATS.



Virginia Tech got as far as the NIT quarterfinals last season, while Duquesne is in this event for the first time in 15 years.



The Hokies have lost three straight home games (1-2 ATS), all to NCAA Tournament qualifiers North Carolina (86-78 as a 9½-point pup), Duke (72-65 as a 5½-point underdog) and Florida State (67-65 as a 2½-point ‘dog). Va.-Tech is 2-5 ATS in its last seven in Blacksburg, 2-5 ATS in its last seven non-conference contests and 3-10 ATS as a favorite this season. Meanwhile, Duquesne is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog.



The over is on runs of 6-1 for Duquesne on Tuesday, 10-4 for the Hokies at home, 5-1 for the Hokies in non-conference play and 4-1 for the Hokies on Wednesday. Conversely, the under is on stretches of 4-1 for the Dukes in non-league action, 5-2 for the Dukes on the road and 7-0 for Virginia Tech against Atlantic 10 foes.



ATS ADVANTAGE: DUQUESNE





Miami, Fla. (18-12, 12-12-1 ATS) at Providence (19-13, 11-17 ATS)



Miami stumbled to the finish line, losing nine of its final 14 games after starting the season 13-3. The Hurricanes also followed up a 5-1 ATS run that closed February by failing to cover in their final three games, including a 65-47 loss to Virginia Tech as a three-point favorite in the opening round of last week’s ACC tournament.



Providence ended the regular season on a 5-3 SU run, then went one-and-done in the Big East tournament, getting crushed by regular-season and conference tournament champ Louisville 73-53 as a 10½-point underdog. The Friars were a terrible bet down the stretch, going 3-9 ATS in their last 12 (all in Big East play), including 0-3 ATS in the last three.



Miami is making its fourth NIT appearance in five seasons under coach Frank Haith, while the Friars are back in the NIT for the first time since losing an opening-round game to Bradley in overtime in 2007.



These former Big East rivals last met in the Puerto Rico Invitational preseason tournament in November 2007, with the Hurricanes rolling to a 64-58 win in a pick-em contest. Miami has covered in the last two meetings after Providence went 4-1 ATS in five clashes from 2001-03. The visitor is 7-1 ATS in the last eight battles, and the underdog has cashed in five of the past seven.



Although Miami is 0-3 ATS in its last three overall and 2-5 ATS in its last seven on the road, the Hurricanes are on positive ATS stretches of 15-3 in non-conference games, 15-5-2 after a non-cover, 6-2 as an underdog and 8-3-1 as a pup of less than seven points. Providence carries negative ATS trends that include 3-9 overall, 2-7 in non-Big East contests, 1-4 at home and 1-7 against winning teams, but the Friars are 5-1 ATS in their last six when laying less than seven points.



The over is 4-1 in Providence’s last five against ACC opponents and 19-7 in its last 26 on Wednesday, while the over is 5-2 in Miami’s last seven on the highway.



ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI, FLA. and OVER





Northwestern (17-13, 13-12-1 ATS) at Tulsa (24-10, 14-14 ATS)



Northwestern’s hopes for a first-ever NCAA Tournament berth were dashed with consecutive losses to Ohio State (52-47) to end the regular season and Minnesota (66-53) in the first round of the Big Ten tournament. Prior to that, the Wildcats had won three in a row and four of five.



Tulsa took a seven-game winning streak (5-2 ATS) into Saturday’s Conference USA championship game, but the Golden Hurricane were no match for fourth-ranked Memphis, losing 64-39 as a 14½-point road underdog. Tulsa scored at least 70 points in 12 of its last 16 games, with two of the exceptions coming against Memphis, which held the Hurricane to just 37 and 39 points.



Northwestern is in the NIT for the first time since 1999. Meanwhile, the Golden Hurricane last year advanced to the postseason for the first since 2003 and it won the inaugural College Basketball Invitational, going 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS.



Northwestern is on ATS runs of 6-2-1 in non-league games, 4-1 on Wednesday, 5-2 after a SU defeat and 4-0 after a non-cover, but the ‘Cats are 3-8-1 ATS as a single-digit underdog this season and 1-6 ATS in their last seven when catching less than seven points on the road.



Tulsa is on ATS tears of 17-8 ATS at home, 20-7 as a favorite (4-1 last five), 13-3 as a chalk of less than seven points and 9-4 in postseason tournament action going back to last March. However, the Golden Hurricane are also in pointspread dips of 3-7 on Wednesday, 2-5 in non-Conference USA games and 2-5 after a SU defeat.



The over is on runs of 12-5 for the Wildcats overall, 12-5 for the Wildcats in non-conference play, 6-0 for the Wildcats on Wednesday, 9-1 for the Wildcats after a SU defeat, 4-1-1 for Tulsa at home and 8-2 for Tulsa on Wednesday.



ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
 
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SCOTT RICKENBACH


3/18/2009
10:05:00 PM 0 GOALS(0) ANAHEIM MIGHTY DUCKS
-vs- Nashville Predators
Scott Rickenbach’s NHL 2* (Top Play) Anaheim Ducks Money Line (-) vs Nashville @ 10:05 PM ET – The Predators had lost six straight trips to Anaheim before coming up with a win here on November 14th in overtime. The Preds than also got a 4 to 2 win on February 5th in Nashville when they faced the Ducks. That makes this a double revenge spot for Anaheim and we’re backing the Ducks as they battle for their playoff lives. Anaheim has now gone 1-3-1 in their last five games after a solid stretch where they had won three of their last four games. They actually played well against San Jose on Sunday but they couldn’t get anything past Sharks goaltender Evgeni Nabokov. The Ducks can build off of that effort even though it was a loss and Anaheim is also well-rested here. Though they’ve struggled in March they’ve actually played better than their record shows. All their games this month have been decided by a single goal. On Wednesday, the Ducks will take advantage of a Predators team that had scored two goals or less in 16 of their last 17 road games before suddenly coming up with a 4-goal effort at Los Angeles on Monday night. The Preds won that game 4 to 3 but we’re still not sold on them as being a team worth backing on the road very often. They’re still struggling to get the job done offensively on the road and they’re facing a Ducks team that will be very fired up here! Anaheim knows they can ill-afford a loss to this playoff contender and they will be pressuring Nashville from the drop of the opening puck. Off of a shutout home loss we have no doubts about the effort that Anaheim will bring here. Note that Nashville had scored just 6 goals in their last four games before the “fluke” result at Los Angeles on Monday night. We lost with the Kings that night as the Predators scored the winning goal with about two minutes to go in the game. We get some redemption tonight and Nashville’s offensive woes on the road quickly resume. Anaheim has outshot their opponent in each of their last four games and yet they only have one victory to show for it. This is serving to give us line value here as the Ducks are a very small home favorite due to their recent losses. The recent defeats are masking how well this Ducks team has been playing and we’ll take advantage by grabbing the value. Yes, the Ducks power play has struggled recently but Anaheim’s power play at home is normally very strong while the Predators power play on the road ranks as the worst in the league. Grab the value with an under-priced home team that is going to play this game as if it’s their last game of the season! Look for a huge effort from the Ducks here. Play Anaheim on the money line as a Top Play selection.
 

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SportsBetCapping

30-20ATS last 7 days-

guaranteed pick for free-

Oregon St +1.5 (7*)
 
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Brandon Lang
Wednesday ...

20-Dime Baylor
5-Dime Illinois State

5-Dime Northwestern



FREE - Charlotte Bobcats
 

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Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - KANSAS STATE WILDCATS....10 DIMER - PROVIDENCE FRIARS
20 DIMER - KANSAS STATE WILDCATS



I have no confidence at all in Illinois State to stay close at Manhattan tonight.



I keep thinking back to their game on Bracket Buster Saturday when they went to Niagara in a similar priced contest, and got their asses blasted!



I think it could happen again tonight, as Kansas State has been playing them close down the stretch, and could be due for an eruption.



Illinois State has dropped 4 of their last 6, and they get dropped here tonight in a big way.



The Wildcats are tough on their home court, and a 15-3 mark indicates just that.



Look for the strength of the Big 12 conference to pay off handsomely tonight, as K-State drills MVC rep Illinois State tonight.



10 DIMER - PROVIDENCE FRIARS



I have a feeling Keno Davis will have the Friars prepared for this NIT tournament, and see them advance past the 'Canes tonight.



These schools are no strangers to one another, as they have played 9 times since 2000, Providence taking 2 of the last 3.



The Friars looked OK in the Big East tournament, winning a game against DePaul before bowing to eventual champ Louisville. Expect their solid play to continue tonight.



Miami's blowout loss to Virginia Tech in the ACC tournament has me a little troubled, as I can see the 'Canes following suit off that loss tonight at Providence.



My belief is Providence is excited to be still playing, while Miami will just go through the motions, and lay down come the end of this one.



Take the Friars.
Today's Complimentary Selection

Winner last night from the G-Man on Davidson OUTRIGHT at South Carolina, and while I don't expect the Falcons of Bowling Green to win their game at Crieghton outright, I do expect Bowling Green to sneak inside the generous impost.



Creighton has been laying bloated numbers for a while now, and they did fail their final 3 down the stretch when laying wood. Overall, the Jays are on a 1-4-1 spread run their last 6, and went just 5-7 against the spread at home this season.



Bowling Green counters off covers in 5 of their last 6, and they did go a massive 11-4 against the spread on the road this year.



The Blue Jays have got to be a little disappointed that they missed out on going to the Big Dance, and while I expect a win tonight, I don't expect them to blow this Bowling Green team out.



G-Man taking the points in this one.



3♦ BOWLING GREEN
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
 

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